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California Water Service (CWT)
NYSE:CWT

California Water Service (CWT) AI Stock Analysis

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CWT

California Water Service

(NYSE:CWT)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$47.00
â–²(7.28% Upside)
California Water Service's overall score reflects solid financial performance and a positive outlook from the earnings call, balanced by technical analysis indicating bearish momentum. The valuation is reasonable, supported by a stable dividend yield. Key risks include cash flow challenges and potential regulatory delays.
Positive Factors
Infrastructure Investments
Significant infrastructure investments indicate a commitment to long-term service reliability and operational efficiency, enhancing the company's ability to meet future demand.
Debt Refinancing
Successful debt refinancing with oversubscription suggests strong investor confidence and reduces financial risk by securing favorable long-term financing.
Texas Market Growth
Expansion in the Texas market highlights growth potential and diversification, which can drive future revenue and mitigate regional regulatory risks.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
A decline in operating revenue suggests challenges in maintaining growth momentum, potentially impacting profitability and cash flow.
Cash Flow Challenges
Limited cash flow conversion efficiency can constrain the company's ability to fund operations and investments, affecting long-term financial health.
Regulatory Delays
Regulatory delays can lead to uncertainty in revenue adjustments, impacting financial planning and potentially delaying infrastructure projects.

California Water Service (CWT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

California Water Service Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCalifornia Water Service (CWT) is a leading public water utility company that provides water utility services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across California. The company operates through various subsidiaries and serves multiple regions, including the Bay Area, Central Coast, and Southern California. CWT focuses on delivering high-quality water services, ensuring sustainable water supply, and maintaining infrastructure to meet the needs of its diverse customer base. Its core offerings include water distribution, wastewater treatment, and related services designed to promote water conservation and efficient resource management.
How the Company Makes MoneyCalifornia Water Service generates revenue primarily through the sale of water to its customers, which includes residential, commercial, and industrial users. The company operates under a regulated pricing structure, where rates are set by state utility commissions based on the cost of providing service, infrastructure investments, and operational expenses. Key revenue streams include monthly water service charges, connection fees for new customers, and charges for additional services such as water quality testing and emergency services. CWT may also participate in public-private partnerships and government contracts that provide additional revenue opportunities. Factors contributing to its earnings include effective water management practices, infrastructure investments, and regulatory frameworks that allow for reasonable rate adjustments to meet operational costs and ensure service reliability.

California Water Service Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance in a challenging rate case cycle, with significant infrastructure investments and successful debt refinancing. Growth in Texas and substantial PFAS settlement recoveries further add to the positive outlook. However, potential delays in the California rate case decision and a year-to-date revenue decrease offset some of the positive aspects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance in Challenging Environment
California Water Service Group reported a Q3 2025 revenue increase of $11.6 million or 3.9% compared to Q3 2024, reaching $311.2 million. Despite being in the third year of a rate case, net income remained consistent at $61.2 million or $1.03 per diluted share.
Significant Infrastructure Investments
The company invested $135 million in water infrastructure during the quarter, marking a 14.8% increase over Q3 2024, and a 10% increase year-to-date over 2024.
Successful Refinancing of Debt
Refinanced short-term borrowings with $370 million of long-term notes and bonds, significantly oversubscribed, helping to minimize credit spreads.
Growth in Texas Market
Added 1,100 new connections year-to-date, with 15,500 committed but not connected customers in Texas, highlighting strong growth potential in the South Austin, San Antonio region.
PFAS Settlement Proceeds
Received an additional $24 million in net PFAS settlement proceeds during the quarter, bringing the year-to-date total to about $35 million, directly offsetting customer costs.
Dividend Increase
Declared the 323rd consecutive quarterly dividend of $0.30 per share, representing a 10.71% increase for 2025 and a 7.7% 5-year compound annual growth rate.
Negative Updates
Potential Delay in California Rate Case Decision
The administrative law judge requested more time to process the 2024 General Rate Case due to its complexity, though interim measures like a CPI-tied rate increase and lost revenue tracking have been authorized.
Decrease in Operating Revenue Year-to-Date
Operating revenue for the first 9 months of 2025 decreased by $34.4 million or 4.2% compared to the same period in 2024 due to the delayed 2021 general rate case decision.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, California Water Service Group delivered a strong financial performance despite operating in the third year of a challenging rate case cycle. The company reported a revenue increase of $11.6 million, or 3.9%, reaching $311.2 million compared to the same period in 2024. Net income was recorded at $61.2 million, or $1.03 per diluted share, maintaining the same earnings per share as the prior year. The company made significant capital investments, totaling $135 million for the quarter, marking a 14.8% increase from Q3 2024, and a 10% rise year-to-date over 2024. Additionally, California Water Service Group issued $370 million in long-term notes and bonds, a transaction that was significantly oversubscribed. The company also received $24 million in PFAS settlement proceeds, bringing the year-to-date total to approximately $35 million. The firm continues to expand in Texas and awaits the approval of its General Rate Case settlement. As the company approaches its 100th year, it remains focused on operational excellence, regulatory outcomes, and delivering value to customers and shareholders.

California Water Service Financial Statement Overview

Summary
California Water Service demonstrates solid revenue growth and profitability, supported by a stable balance sheet. However, cash flow management poses challenges, with declining free cash flow growth and moderate cash flow ratios. The company should focus on improving operational efficiencies and cash flow generation to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
72
Positive
California Water Service shows a stable revenue growth with a TTM increase of 1.18%. The gross profit margin is strong at 49.87%, although it has decreased from the previous year. Net profit margin remains healthy at 13.61%. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have slightly declined, indicating some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.84, reflecting a balanced approach to leverage. Return on equity is reasonable at 8.09%, though it has decreased compared to the previous year. The equity ratio stands at 32.91%, indicating a stable capital structure.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate at 0.52, while the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.57, suggesting limited cash flow conversion efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.00B1.04B794.63M846.43M790.91M794.31M
Gross Profit567.62M989.12M363.38M530.35M483.77M391.62M
EBITDA337.09M424.26M217.54M263.34M259.87M251.65M
Net Income136.39M190.81M51.91M96.01M101.13M96.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.52B5.18B4.70B3.95B3.62B3.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments75.99M50.12M84.97M85.03M78.38M44.55M
Total Debt1.52B1.40B1.25B1.14B1.10B1.17B
Total Liabilities3.82B3.54B3.27B2.62B2.45B2.47B
Stockholders Equity1.70B1.64B1.43B1.32B1.17B921.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-180.60M-179.93M-165.93M-83.98M-61.48M-180.73M
Operating Cash Flow322.74M290.87M217.82M243.77M231.72M117.92M
Investing Cash Flow-507.85M-474.87M-389.42M-335.52M-300.87M-346.07M
Financing Cash Flow201.52M194.72M171.54M96.12M104.68M229.98M

California Water Service Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price43.81
Price Trends
50DMA
45.97
Negative
100DMA
45.84
Negative
200DMA
46.19
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.68
Positive
RSI
43.74
Neutral
STOCH
57.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CWT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 43.81 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.50, below the 50-day MA of 45.97, and below the 200-day MA of 46.19, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.68 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CWT.

California Water Service Risk Analysis

California Water Service disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. California Water Service reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

California Water Service Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$2.86B21.9113.73%2.62%10.28%13.56%
69
Neutral
$483.27M24.058.58%2.59%3.63%-5.82%
66
Neutral
$10.74B15.7410.29%3.48%21.35%20.96%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$2.63B19.318.19%2.83%-2.60%-33.78%
64
Neutral
$25.67B23.0710.46%2.51%12.29%13.13%
55
Neutral
$972.82M22.279.27%2.60%6.24%3.35%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CWT
California Water Service
43.81
-2.83
-6.07%
AWR
American States Water
73.97
-6.35
-7.91%
AWK
American Water
134.13
8.05
6.38%
WTRG
Essential Utilities
38.43
1.75
4.77%
MSEX
Middlesex Water Company
53.05
-4.77
-8.25%
YORW
The York Water Company
33.80
-0.31
-0.91%

California Water Service Corporate Events

Dividends
California Water Service Declares Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

On October 29, 2025, California Water Service Group announced the declaration of its 323rd consecutive quarterly dividend of $0.30 per common share. This dividend will be payable on November 21, 2025, to stockholders of record as of November 10, 2025. This consistent dividend declaration underscores the company’s stable financial performance and commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

Private Placements and Financing
California Water Service Completes Major Debt Issuance
Positive
Oct 3, 2025

On October 1, 2025, California Water Service Group completed the sale and issuance of $70 million in Series A Notes and $100 million in Series B Notes, while its subsidiary, California Water Service Company, issued $200 million in First Mortgage Bonds. The proceeds from these financial transactions are intended for refinancing existing debt and general corporate purposes. The Notes and Bonds received strong ratings from S&P Global, indicating a stable financial outlook for the company and its subsidiary.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025