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Middlesex Water (MSEX)
NASDAQ:MSEX
US Market

Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) AI Stock Analysis

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MSEX

Middlesex Water Company

(NASDAQ:MSEX)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$59.00
â–²(13.37% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/20/26
The score is primarily driven by steady but mixed financial performance (good margins and operating cash flow, offset by uneven earnings and historically pressured free cash flow). Technicals are constructive with price above key moving averages and positive momentum indicators. Valuation is reasonable with dividend support, while the recent corporate event is a modest governance positive.
Positive Factors
Regulated revenue model
A regulated utility framework that allows approved rate recovery provides durable revenue visibility and margin protection. Over 2–6 months this underpins predictable cash flows, supports infrastructure spending recovery, and reduces business-cycle sensitivity relative to unregulated peers.
Negative Factors
Meaningful leverage
Leverage near 0.8–1.0 is significant for a regulated utility, increasing dependence on capital markets and sensitivity to rising interest costs. Sustained elevated leverage reduces financial flexibility for opportunistic investments and raises refinancing and credit risk over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Regulated revenue model
A regulated utility framework that allows approved rate recovery provides durable revenue visibility and margin protection. Over 2–6 months this underpins predictable cash flows, supports infrastructure spending recovery, and reduces business-cycle sensitivity relative to unregulated peers.
Read all positive factors

Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Middlesex Water Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Middlesex Water Company owns and operates regulated water utility and wastewater systems. It operates in two segments, Regulated and Non-Regulated. The Regulated segment collects, treats, and distributes water on a retail and wholesale basis to re...
How the Company Makes Money
Middlesex Water Company generates revenue primarily through the sale of water and wastewater services. The company operates under a regulated utility model, which means it is allowed to charge rates approved by state regulatory agencies to recover...

Middlesex Water Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Stable regulated-utility margins and consistently positive operating cash flow support the score, but it is held back by uneven net income, a 2025 revenue dip, and a multi-year pattern of negative free cash flow (despite improvement in 2025). Leverage remains meaningful for a capital-intensive business.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue194.69M191.88M166.27M162.43M143.14M
Gross Profit76.29M99.51M83.16M83.34M69.47M
EBITDA94.43M92.06M72.72M80.20M63.31M
Net Income42.82M44.35M31.52M42.43M36.54M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.37B1.26B1.24B1.07B1.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.80M4.23M2.39M3.83M3.53M
Total Debt419.25M385.96M412.31M366.95M330.62M
Total Liabilities871.71M808.28M810.98M672.04M650.21M
Stockholders Equity494.03M446.90M425.07M402.41M369.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-33.76M-15.89M-37.40M-29.97M-46.35M
Operating Cash Flow62.60M58.73M52.78M61.36M33.03M
Investing Cash Flow-100.96M-74.62M-90.18M-88.21M-79.38M
Financing Cash Flow38.61M17.73M35.96M27.15M39.48M

Middlesex Water Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price52.04
Price Trends
50DMA
52.75
Positive
100DMA
52.08
Positive
200DMA
52.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.34
Negative
RSI
64.09
Neutral
STOCH
87.52
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MSEX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 52.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 52.13, below the 50-day MA of 52.75, and below the 200-day MA of 52.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.52 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MSEX.

Middlesex Water Company Risk Analysis

Middlesex Water Company disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Middlesex Water Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Middlesex Water Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$11.52B17.439.18%3.48%21.35%20.96%
67
Neutral
$1.03B26.969.08%2.67%6.24%3.35%
66
Neutral
$26.80B22.9110.34%2.51%12.29%13.13%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$3.11B21.4213.10%2.64%10.28%13.56%
58
Neutral
$2.80B20.137.68%2.88%-2.60%-33.78%
58
Neutral
$466.40M22.208.49%2.68%3.63%-5.82%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MSEX
Middlesex Water Company
55.85
-4.69
-7.75%
AWR
American States Water
79.47
3.27
4.29%
AWK
American Water
137.22
-5.29
-3.71%
WTRG
Essential Utilities
40.66
2.65
6.97%
CWT
California Water Service
46.94
-2.08
-4.24%
YORW
The York Water Company
32.28
-1.04
-3.12%

Middlesex Water Company Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Middlesex Water boosts board oversight and executive governance
Positive
Dec 22, 2025
Middlesex Water Company, a regulated water and wastewater utility serving over 500,000 customers in New Jersey and Delaware, continues to emphasize infrastructure investment, operational excellence and sustainable growth as it executes its long-te...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 20, 2026