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Middlesex Water (MSEX)
NASDAQ:MSEX
US Market
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Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) AI Stock Analysis

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MSEX

Middlesex Water Company

(NASDAQ:MSEX)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$54.00
â–²(3.77% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/21/26
The score is driven primarily by solid but not flawless financial performance (steady revenue/profitability and manageable leverage, tempered by margin compression and still-weak cash conversion despite improved TTM free cash flow). Technical indicators add a notable drag due to below-average price trends and negative MACD, while valuation is mid-range with a supportive dividend yield but a not-cheap P/E.
Positive Factors
Regulated business model
Middlesex operates as a rate-regulated water/wastewater utility where revenues and returns are set through regulatory mechanisms. This creates predictable, contract-like cash flows and a durable ability to recover capital and operating costs over time, reducing demand volatility risk.
Negative Factors
Weak cash conversion
Although FCF turned positive, operating cash converts only half of EBITDA and FCF trails net income, indicating working-capital swings and sustained reinvestment demands. This limits free-cash flexibility for dividends, debt paydown, or accelerated capital projects without external financing.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Regulated business model
Middlesex operates as a rate-regulated water/wastewater utility where revenues and returns are set through regulatory mechanisms. This creates predictable, contract-like cash flows and a durable ability to recover capital and operating costs over time, reducing demand volatility risk.
Read all positive factors

Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Middlesex Water Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Middlesex Water Company owns and operates regulated water utility and wastewater systems. It operates in two segments, Regulated and Non-Regulated. The Regulated segment collects, treats, and distributes water on a retail and wholesale basis to re...
How the Company Makes Money
Middlesex Water Company primarily makes money by charging customers for regulated water (and, where applicable, wastewater) services and earning an allowed return on the utility assets it invests in and operates. A large portion of revenue comes f...

Middlesex Water Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Steady regulated-utility fundamentals with modest TTM revenue growth and solid profitability (TTM net margin ~22%, EBITDA margin ~43%). Balance sheet leverage is manageable (debt-to-equity ~0.84) with growing equity, but absolute debt remains elevated. Cash flow is the key offset: while TTM free cash flow turned positive (~$35.8M) after prior years of negative FCF, cash conversion remains weak (operating cash flow ~0.51x EBITDA; FCF below net income), and margins have compressed versus prior annual periods.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue199.11M194.69M191.88M166.27M162.43M143.14M
Gross Profit92.03M76.29M99.51M83.16M83.34M69.47M
EBITDA96.46M94.43M92.06M72.72M80.20M63.31M
Net Income43.95M42.82M44.35M31.52M42.43M36.54M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.39B1.37B1.26B1.24B1.07B1.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.04M2.80M4.23M2.39M3.83M3.53M
Total Debt428.00M419.25M385.96M412.31M366.95M330.62M
Total Liabilities884.99M871.71M808.28M810.98M672.04M650.21M
Stockholders Equity501.05M494.03M446.90M425.07M402.41M369.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.19M-33.76M-15.89M-37.40M-29.97M-46.35M
Operating Cash Flow60.55M62.60M58.73M52.78M61.36M33.03M
Investing Cash Flow-102.69M-100.96M-74.62M-90.18M-88.21M-79.38M
Financing Cash Flow43.20M38.61M17.73M35.96M27.15M39.48M

Middlesex Water Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price52.04
Price Trends
50DMA
51.73
Positive
100DMA
52.01
Positive
200DMA
52.33
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Negative
RSI
53.94
Neutral
STOCH
55.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MSEX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 52.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 51.34, above the 50-day MA of 51.73, and below the 200-day MA of 52.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MSEX.

Middlesex Water Company Risk Analysis

Middlesex Water Company disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Middlesex Water Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Middlesex Water Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
64
Neutral
$3.00B24.6913.06%2.64%11.68%5.79%
63
Neutral
$970.51M22.589.07%2.67%1.76%-0.20%
62
Neutral
$24.45B33.8510.14%2.51%8.10%2.89%
61
Neutral
$10.62B12.718.16%3.48%13.07%-11.65%
58
Neutral
$484.17M22.798.89%2.68%4.38%7.70%
55
Neutral
$2.63B167.626.96%2.88%4.20%-12.47%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MSEX
Middlesex Water Company
52.11
-3.58
-6.42%
AWR
American States Water
76.64
0.24
0.31%
AWK
American Water
125.20
-14.73
-10.52%
WTRG
Essential Utilities
37.44
-0.05
-0.13%
CWT
California Water Service
43.95
-1.76
-3.86%
YORW
The York Water Company
29.87
-1.85
-5.84%

Middlesex Water Company Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Middlesex Water Shareholders Approve Directors and Key Proposals
Positive
May 20, 2026
Middlesex Water Company held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders virtually on May 19, 2026, for investors of record as of March 24, 2026. Shareholders elected one Class II director, Robert Hoglund, and three Class III directors, Joshua Bershad...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Middlesex Water Updates At-The-Market Equity Offering Agents
Neutral
Feb 24, 2026
On February 20, 2026, Middlesex Water Company amended its at-the-market equity offering sales agreement governing the ongoing sale of up to $110 million of its common stock at prevailing market prices. Under the amendment, Janney Montgomery Scott ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 21, 2026