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American Water Works (AWK)
NYSE:AWK

American Water (AWK) AI Stock Analysis

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AWK

American Water

(NYSE:AWK)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$137.00
▲(3.22% Upside)
American Water's overall stock score reflects a mix of stable financial performance and positive corporate events, offset by weak technical indicators and a high valuation. The merger with Essential Utilities is a key positive factor, expected to drive future growth and operational efficiency. However, the bearish technical signals and high P/E ratio suggest caution in the short term.

American Water (AWK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

American Water Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmerican Water Works Company, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides water and wastewater services in the United States. It offers water and wastewater services to approximately 1,700 communities in 14 states serving approximately 3.4 million active customers. The company serves residential customers; commercial customers, including food and beverage providers, commercial property developers and proprietors, and energy suppliers; fire service and private fire customers; industrial customers, such as large-scale manufacturers, mining, and production operations; public authorities comprising government buildings and other public sector facilities, such as schools and universities; and other utilities and community water and wastewater systems. It also provides water and wastewater services on various military installations; and undertakes contracts with municipal customers, primarily to operate and manage water and wastewater facilities, as well as offers other related services. In addition, the company operates approximately 80 surface water treatment plants; 480 groundwater treatment plants; 160 wastewater treatment plants; 52,500 miles of transmission, distribution, and collection mains and pipes; 1,100 groundwater wells; 1,700 water and wastewater pumping stations; 1,300 treated water storage facilities; and 76 dams. It serves approximately 14 million people with drinking water, wastewater, and other related services in 24 states. American Water Works Company, Inc. was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Camden, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmerican Water generates revenue primarily through its Regulated Utilities segment, where it charges customers for water and wastewater services based on usage rates set by state regulatory agencies. The company also earns revenue from fixed fees and service charges. In its Market-Based Operations segment, American Water provides specialized services such as water system management and consulting for municipalities and industries, contributing additional revenue. The company benefits from significant partnerships with local governments and other entities, which often lead to long-term contracts and stable cash flows. Regulatory frameworks that allow for rate adjustments also play a critical role in maximizing revenue, as they enable the company to recover costs and provide returns to investors.

American Water Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment with strong earnings growth, significant capital investments, and successful acquisition activity. Despite some challenges such as weather impacts and increased operating costs, the company has demonstrated robust regulatory execution and strategic growth initiatives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Earnings and Revenue Growth
Earnings were $1.48 per share for the second quarter compared to $1.42 for the same period last year. Year-to-date earnings were $2.53 per share, up from $2.37 in 2024. Revenue growth was driven by authorized rate increases and recent acquisitions.
Capital Investments and Acquisitions
Invested $1.3 billion in capital projects year-to-date, targeting $3.3 billion for 2025. Announced acquisition agreements including Nexus Water Group systems, adding 47,000 customer connections with $315 million investment.
Regulatory and Dividend Growth
Achieved new rates in several states with ongoing rate cases. Affirmed long-term targets for earnings and dividend growth at 7% to 9%, driven by 8% to 9% rate base growth.
Improvement in Pennsylvania Acquisitions
Renewed activity in Pennsylvania with 4 closed systems and 8 under agreement, utilizing fair market value guidelines.
Negative Updates
Weather Impact on Earnings
Unfavorable weather resulted in a $0.06 per share impact on earnings due to wet weather conditions in 2025.
Increased Operating Costs
Operating and maintenance costs were higher by $0.17 per share due to employee-related expenses, increased maintenance, technology costs, and acquisition-related costs.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025 earnings call, American Water provided updated guidance reflecting strong financial performance. The company reported earnings of $1.48 per share for the second quarter, up from $1.42 the previous year, and $2.53 per share for the first half of 2025, compared to $2.37 for the same period in 2024. As a result, American Water expects to achieve the top half of its initial 2025 earnings per share (EPS) guidance range, narrowing it to $5.70 to $5.75 per share. The company highlighted a robust capital investment of $1.3 billion year-to-date and plans for approximately $3.3 billion in 2025, supporting long-term EPS and dividend growth targets of 7% to 9%, with 8% to 9% rate base growth. Additionally, American Water is expanding its customer base with acquisitions, including the Nexus Water Group systems, aiming for 87,000 customer connections and $500 million in acquisitions. The company continues to focus on regulatory execution, with several rate cases completed and ongoing, contributing to its competitive and sustainable shareholder return profile.

American Water Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

American Water Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price132.72
Price Trends
50DMA
133.30
Negative
100DMA
136.50
Negative
200DMA
138.62
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Negative
RSI
54.67
Neutral
STOCH
76.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AWK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 132.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 130.23, below the 50-day MA of 133.30, and below the 200-day MA of 138.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AWK.

American Water Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (―)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$16.56B13.1616.99%2.23%-10.23%-26.87%
70
Outperform
$2.85B21.8513.73%2.63%10.28%13.56%
66
Neutral
$10.84B15.8910.29%3.43%21.35%20.96%
65
Neutral
$2.62B19.198.19%2.82%-2.60%-33.78%
64
Neutral
$25.90B23.2710.46%2.51%12.29%13.13%
55
Neutral
$976.49M22.359.27%2.59%6.24%3.35%
* Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AWK
American Water
134.01
12.57
10.35%
AWR
American States Water
73.73
-3.28
-4.26%
WTRG
Essential Utilities
39.01
4.02
11.49%
CWT
California Water Service
43.90
-0.97
-2.16%
SBS
Companhia De Saneamento
24.26
10.36
74.53%
MSEX
Middlesex Water Company
53.25
-1.24
-2.28%

American Water Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
American Water Seeks Rate Hike for Infrastructure Upgrades
Neutral
Nov 14, 2025

On November 14, 2025, Pennsylvania American Water filed a rate request with the Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission to support $1.2 billion in ongoing investments in water and wastewater infrastructure. The request, if approved, would increase rates for residential customers to fund critical upgrades, including replacing aging water and sewer mains and addressing contaminants like PFAS. The proposal also includes a summer wastewater billing adjustment and a pilot assistance program for low-income renters, reflecting the company’s commitment to affordability and service improvement. The new rates, pending approval, are expected to take effect in August 2026.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
American Water Seeks Rate Adjustment in Virginia
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, Virginia American Water filed a request with the Virginia State Corporation Commission to adjust its water and wastewater rates, seeking an annual revenue increase of $21.9 million. This request is driven by over $115 million in capital investments aimed at infrastructure improvements, including updates to water treatment plants and replacement of aging pipelines, reinforcing the company’s commitment to providing high-quality service. Interim rates are expected to take effect on May 1, 2026, with the final rates subject to approval and potential refund to customers. The rate review process allows for customer involvement through comments and public hearings.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
American Water Reports Strong Q3 Earnings Growth
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

On October 29, 2025, American Water reported strong third-quarter earnings of $1.94 per share, up from $1.80 per share in 2024, and affirmed its 2025 earnings per share guidance. The company also initiated its 2026 earnings guidance, reflecting an 8% growth, and announced a merger with Essential Utilities expected to close by Q1 2027. The merger aims to enhance the company’s scale and growth potential, benefiting stakeholders by combining complementary businesses. Additionally, American Water outlined its capital investment plans through 2035 and maintained its long-term growth targets.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
American Water Announces Merger with Essential Utilities
Positive
Oct 27, 2025

On October 26, 2025, American Water Works Company, Inc. and Essential Utilities, Inc. announced an Agreement and Plan of Merger, which will see Essential become a wholly owned subsidiary of American Water. This strategic merger, approved by both companies’ boards, aims to enhance operational efficiency and expand customer service capabilities, with a combined market capitalization of approximately $40 billion. The merger is expected to be accretive to American Water’s earnings per share in the first year and maintain long-term growth targets. The merger will also provide greater long-term growth opportunities for employees and strengthen commitments to community and water affordability.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025