tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Companhia De Saneamento Basico Do Estado De Sao (SBS)
NYSE:SBS

Companhia De Saneamento (SBS) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
274 Followers

Top Page

SBS

Companhia De Saneamento

(NYSE:SBS)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(5.44% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/19/26
The score is anchored by solid financial profitability but moderated by 2025 revenue/margin compression, higher leverage, and softer cash-flow conversion. Valuation is a clear positive (low P/E and ~4% yield), while technicals are neutral with longer-term trend support but limited near-term momentum.
Positive Factors
Regulated concession model and scale
Long-term concession contracts and a dominant regional footprint create durable revenue visibility and limited direct competition. Scale in São Paulo supports bargaining power on procurement, regulatory engagement, and efficient deployment of capex, underpinning steady utility-style cash flows over the medium term.
Strong profitability and earnings quality
High margins and improved adjusted EBITDA demonstrate structural earnings power versus peers. Sustained margin levels provide buffer for regulatory or cost shocks, support reinvestment and dividends, and signal operational efficiency that should persist given the regulated, essential nature of water services.
Aggressive capex driving network expansion and social impact
Material, sustained capex that advances universalization strengthens long-term demand, regulatory goodwill and concession value. Delivering connections and treatment capacity expands the customer base, supports regulated revenue growth, and positions the company to monetize infrastructure investments over multi-year concession lives.
Negative Factors
2025 revenue decline and margin compression
A meaningful YoY revenue drop and sharp gross-margin contraction indicate exposure to volume, tariff mix or cost pressures that can persist across quarters. Sustained top-line weakness reduces free cash flow and limits ability to fund capex organically, increasing reliance on external financing over the medium term.
Elevated and rising leverage
Higher leverage reduces financial flexibility and raises sensitivity to interest-rate changes. With sizable ongoing investments and further debenture issuance, elevated debt increases refinancing risk and constrains balance-sheet capacity to absorb shocks or pursue opportunistic M&A without diluting stakeholders or raising funding costs.
Weaker cash-flow conversion and lower free cash flow
Deteriorating cash conversion and a significant drop in FCF signal timing or working-capital strains and heavier cash requirements from capex. Persistent weaker cash generation stresses ability to self-fund investments and dividends, raising the probability of additional external financing or deferred projects over the medium term.

Companhia De Saneamento (SBS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Companhia De Saneamento Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCompanhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo – SABESP provides water and sewage services to residential, commercial, industrial, and governmental customers. It provides water supply, sanitary sewage, urban rainwater management and drainage, urban cleaning, and solid waste management services, as well as related activities, including the planning, operation, maintenance, and commercialization of energy. As of December 31, 2021, the company provided water services through 9.8 million water connections to approximately 27.8 million people; sewage services through 8.4 million sewage connections to approximately 24.6 million people; and operated 88,904 kilometers of water pipes and water transmission lines, as well as 61,122 kilometers of sewer lines. It also offers water and/or sewage services to four other municipalities through special purpose companies. The company was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.
How the Company Makes Moneynull

Companhia De Saneamento Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 11, 2024
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture. While there were positive developments in revenue and EBITDA growth, operational cash generation, and new strategic directions post-privatization, significant challenges remain. These include regulatory impacts, transition costs, and construction delays. The company is focused on overcoming these hurdles with a new management team and investment strategies.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Net revenue increased by 7%, and EBITDA grew by 17% driven by a 2% increase in volume and pricing adjustments.
Operational Cash Generation
Generated operational cash of BRL 1.6 billion, which was almost entirely reinvested in the asset base.
Strategic Privatization and Transition
Privatization process enabled SABESP to transition from a state-owned model to a private one, allowing for potential operational and financial improvements.
Investment Program
Completion of BRL 1.4 billion investment this quarter with a significant investment program planned, including over BRL 60 billion for universalization of services.
Formation of New Management Team
New management team established to guide SABESP through privatization and operational transformation.
Negative Updates
Impact of Regulatory Adjustments
Revenue impacted by regulatory adjustments, including a 1% tariff reduction post-privatization.
Concession Contract Challenges
New concession contract presents challenges with regulatory parameters and tariff reviews.
Transition and Non-Recurring Costs
Incurred costs associated with privatization and transition, leading to non-recurring effects on operations.
Gap in Commercial Programs
Identified gaps in commercial programs leading to approximately 500 contract terminations.
Construction Delays
Delays in construction works attributed to transition period, with ongoing efforts to accelerate execution.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for SBSP3.SA, the management team provided comprehensive guidance on several financial metrics and strategic initiatives. Daniel Szlak, the CFO, detailed a 7% increase in net revenue, translating into a 17% rise in EBITDA, driven by a 2% growth in volume and pricing adjustments. The company reported a gross revenue impact of approximately BRL 8.8 billion due to deferred revenue adjustments under IFRS 12. Operational cash generation stood at BRL 1.6 billion, reinvested into the asset base. The privatization transition incurred non-recurring costs, yet the company saw a 6.4% tariff readjustment, netting a positive effect of around 5%. Additionally, SABESP completed BRL 1.4 billion in investments this quarter, with expectations to reach BRL 6.5 to 7 billion by year-end, despite transitioning from public to private procurement processes. The call also highlighted the company's strategic focus on universal sanitation, cost control, and an efficient capital structure, aiming to leverage a planned BRL 60 billion investment over five years.

Companhia De Saneamento Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability remains strong for a regulated utility (2025 net margin ~22%, EBIT margin ~32%), but 2025 revenue declined ~9% and margins compressed versus 2024 (gross margin ~54% to ~37%, net income down). Leverage increased (debt-to-equity ~0.94 vs ~0.68), and cash-flow pressure rose with weaker operating cash conversion and ~21% lower free cash flow.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Profitability is strong for a regulated utility, with 2025 net margin at ~22% and EBIT margin at ~32%. Longer-term trend shows a meaningful step-up in earnings versus 2020–2022, but 2025 revenue declined ~9% year over year and margins compressed versus 2024 (gross margin fell from ~54% to ~37%, and net income declined). Overall: solid earnings power, but recent top-line and margin volatility temper the score.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The company carries moderate-to-elevated leverage: debt-to-equity rose to ~0.94 in 2025 from ~0.68 in 2024 as total debt increased materially. Equity has grown over time and return on equity remains healthy (~20% in 2025, ~26% in 2024), but the recent uptick in leverage reduces balance-sheet flexibility and increases sensitivity to funding costs.
Cash Flow
66
Positive
Cash generation is generally solid: free cash flow tracks net income closely (roughly ~97% of net income in 2025), indicating earnings quality. However, operating cash flow covers only about half of net income in 2025 (down from ~62% in 2024), and free cash flow fell ~21% in 2025 after growth in prior years—suggesting increased working-capital/cash timing pressure or heavier cash needs.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue37.34B36.15B25.57B22.06B19.49B
Gross Profit13.68B19.54B9.52B7.70B6.69B
EBITDA14.20B18.11B8.96B7.94B6.16B
Net Income8.30B9.58B3.52B3.12B2.31B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets106.22B80.97B61.47B57.21B53.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.37B5.38B3.27B3.55B3.15B
Total Debt39.99B25.26B19.54B18.96B17.72B
Total Liabilities63.84B44.04B31.61B29.87B28.23B
Stockholders Equity42.38B36.93B29.86B27.33B24.93B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.93B7.30B4.71B3.89B3.86B
Operating Cash Flow8.21B7.40B4.85B3.97B3.91B
Investing Cash Flow-15.41B-9.98B-4.91B-2.88B-2.66B
Financing Cash Flow10.12B3.42B-977.84M60.30M-929.02M

Companhia De Saneamento Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price29.40
Price Trends
50DMA
27.50
Positive
100DMA
25.90
Positive
200DMA
23.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Positive
RSI
47.81
Neutral
STOCH
59.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SBS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 29.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.72, above the 50-day MA of 27.50, and above the 200-day MA of 23.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SBS.

Companhia De Saneamento Risk Analysis

Companhia De Saneamento disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Companhia De Saneamento reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Companhia De Saneamento Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$11.30B17.439.18%3.48%21.35%20.96%
68
Neutral
$19.66B10.7720.64%2.22%-10.23%-26.87%
67
Neutral
$929.25M26.969.08%2.67%6.24%3.35%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
64
Neutral
$26.51B22.9110.34%2.51%12.29%13.13%
59
Neutral
$2.83B21.4213.10%2.64%10.28%13.56%
58
Neutral
$2.62B20.137.68%2.88%-2.60%-33.78%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SBS
Companhia De Saneamento
27.90
11.86
73.96%
AWR
American States Water
72.40
-0.38
-0.53%
AWK
American Water
135.79
-0.48
-0.35%
WTRG
Essential Utilities
39.93
3.10
8.41%
CWT
California Water Service
43.91
-0.75
-1.69%
MSEX
Middlesex Water Company
50.17
-8.77
-14.87%

Companhia De Saneamento Corporate Events

SABESP Files 2025 Audited Financial Statements with SEC
Mar 17, 2026

Companhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo (SABESP) is a Brazilian basic sanitation utility that provides water supply, sewage collection and wastewater treatment services in the state of São Paulo. The company operates under long-term service concession agreements and reports under Brazilian GAAP and IFRS, reflecting its role as a key regulated infrastructure provider in Brazil’s water and sanitation sector.

SABESP has filed its March 2026 Form 6-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, furnishing its audited individual and consolidated financial statements for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024. The independent auditor issued an unqualified opinion, stating that the 2025 financial statements fairly present the company’s financial position and performance under Brazilian accounting practices and IFRS, providing investors and other stakeholders with assurance over SABESP’s reported results and disclosures, including key audit matters tied to its concession-related contract assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBS) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Companhia De Saneamento stock, see the SBS Stock Forecast page.

Sabesp Boosts 2025 Earnings Quality and Doubles Capex to Advance Sanitation Expansion
Mar 17, 2026

For the year ended 2025, Sabesp reported earnings per share of R$12.37 versus R$14.02 in 2024, or R$10.90 versus R$6.00 when excluding financial asset effects, while adjusted 4Q25 EPS rose to R$3.93 from R$2.10 a year earlier. The utility stepped up its investment program with R$15.2 billion in capex in 2025, including R$4.8 billion in 4Q25 focused on universalization targets, delivering 97,000 net additional connections, 3% volume growth, 11% cost reduction year-on-year, adjusted EBITDA of R$13.2 billion for 2025 and R$3.4 billion in 4Q25, and extending water access to 1.8 million people and sewage services to 3.8 million people while creating around 40,000 jobs.

Management highlighted that 2025 marked a ramp-up in capex deployment and efficiency gains, with collection rates reaching 100.2%, lower general and administrative expenses, optimized energy purchases, and improved credit quality supporting a 22% rise in net income to R$6.3 billion excluding financial asset updates. By meeting U-Factor expansion targets for 2024–25 ahead of schedule and maintaining solid profitability despite a more subsidized customer mix and higher benchmark interest rates, Sabesp reinforced its role as a scale player in Brazil’s sanitation sector and entered 2026 with a stronger operational and financial base to accelerate infrastructure-led growth and social impact.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBS) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Companhia De Saneamento stock, see the SBS Stock Forecast page.

Sabesp Buys Fund Holding Strategic EMAE Stake in R$171.6 Million Deal
Mar 16, 2026

On March 12, 2026, Sabesp announced it had signed an agreement to acquire 100% of the quotas of Oceania Fundo de Investimento em Ações from África Fundo de Investimento Multimercado Responsabilidade Limitada for R$171.6 million in cash, with settlement set for March 13, 2026 and no post-closing price adjustments. Oceania’s sole asset is a 3,407,000-share stake in EMAE – Empresa Metropolitana de Águas e Energia S.A., giving Sabesp indirect ownership of 23.17% of EMAE’s common shares and 9.22% of its total capital, aligning the deal with the pricing used in EMAE’s public tender offer and potentially strengthening Sabesp’s strategic position in São Paulo’s water and energy infrastructure ecosystem.

The acquisition price reflects R$49.47 per EMAE share, adjusted by the SELIC rate to R$50.38 per share as of March 11, 2026, matching the valuation framework applied in the tender process and signaling pricing discipline to investors. By consolidating a sizeable minority interest in EMAE through the fund structure, Sabesp may gain greater influence over a key regional water and energy operator, with potential implications for operational synergies and future capital allocation, while the company has pledged to keep shareholders informed of further developments.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBS) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Companhia De Saneamento stock, see the SBS Stock Forecast page.

Sabesp Board Approves R$6.29 Billion Debenture Offering to Professional Investors
Feb 11, 2026

On February 10, 2026, Sabesp’s board of directors approved the company’s 38th issuance of simple, non-convertible, unsecured debentures, in up to five series, for a total of R$ 6.29 billion. The securities will be publicly distributed under an automatic registration procedure, with a firm-commitment underwriting syndicate and allocation restricted to professional investors under Brazilian CVM rules.

The sizable debenture offer reinforces Sabesp’s access to Brazil’s domestic capital markets and provides additional funding flexibility for its investment and financing needs. By targeting only professional investors and using a firm-commitment regime, the company signals a structured, institutional approach to fundraising that may support its balance sheet and long-term infrastructure plans, while potentially affecting debt levels and returns for existing stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBS) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Companhia De Saneamento stock, see the SBS Stock Forecast page.

Sabesp Doubles 2025 Investments to R$15.2 Billion and Surpasses Sanitation Expansion Targets
Feb 4, 2026

In 2025, Sabesp invested a preliminary, unaudited total of R$15.2 billion in water supply and sewage infrastructure, more than doubling the R$6.9 billion invested in 2024, with a marked acceleration in the second half of 2025. These investments enabled the company to surpass all of its U-Factor service expansion targets for 2024–2025, adding over 664,000 new water customer units, more than 781,000 new sewage customer units and more than 1.37 million new sewage treatment units, while expanding access to water services for about 1.82 million people, sewage collection for about 2.14 million people and sewage treatment for about 3.76 million people, and generating over 40,000 direct and indirect jobs. The results, disclosed on February 4, 2026, underscore Sabesp’s aggressive expansion of its sanitation network within the URAE-1 concession area and reinforce its positioning as a central player in Brazil’s basic sanitation drive, aligning its operations with the target of reaching universal sanitation coverage by 2029 and signaling tangible benefits for both local communities and the regional labor market.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBS) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Companhia De Saneamento stock, see the SBS Stock Forecast page.

Sabesp Files Mandatory Tender Offer for Remaining EMAE Common Shares After Control Acquisition
Feb 2, 2026

On February 2, 2026, Sabesp announced that, following its January 21, 2026 closing of the acquisition of control of Empresa Metropolitana de Águas e Energia S.A. (EMAE), it has filed with the Brazilian Securities and Exchange Commission (CVM) a request to register a mandatory public tender offer for up to all remaining EMAE common shares not already held by Sabesp or in treasury. The tender will cover up to 3,695,800 EMAE common shares, representing 10.0% of EMAE’s total capital and 25.13% of its voting capital, at a price of R$49.46 per share—equal to 80% of the R$61.83 per-share amount paid in the control acquisition, which totaled R$682.6 million including both common and preferred shares. The offer price will be updated by the SELIC rate from January 21, 2026 until settlement, and the transaction underscores Sabesp’s move to consolidate its position in EMAE, with implications for minority shareholders who are being given an exit opportunity under Brazilian corporate control-sale rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBS) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Companhia De Saneamento stock, see the SBS Stock Forecast page.

Sabesp Moves to Acquire 90% Stake in Mirassol Water Concessionaire Sanessol
Jan 28, 2026

On January 27, 2026, Sabesp signed a share purchase agreement with Iguá Saneamento for the acquisition of common shares representing 90% of Sanessol S.A., the concessionaire responsible for public water and sewage services in Mirassol, São Paulo, a city of around 65,000 inhabitants. Completion of the transaction remains subject to customary conditions, including antitrust approval by Brazil’s CADE, and, once finalized, is expected to further Sabesp’s strategic plan by consolidating its footprint in the Brazilian water and sanitation sector and potentially reinforcing its role as a leading regional operator, with implications for service coverage, competitive positioning and stakeholders in the Mirassol concession area.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBS) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Companhia De Saneamento stock, see the SBS Stock Forecast page.

Sabesp Secures US$1.5 Billion Loan and Blue Bond Structure to Finance São Paulo Sanitation Expansion
Jan 28, 2026

On January 27, 2026, Sabesp announced that it had signed a US$1.5 billion loan agreement with the Inter-American Investment Corporation, split into a US$150 million A Loan maturing in 2038 and a US$1.35 billion B Loan with tranches maturing in 2031 and 2036. The B Loan will serve as the underlying asset for “blue” senior secured notes to be issued in two tranches by Luxembourg-based Nova Securitisation S.À.R.L., with the bonds priced at 5.750% for US$850 million due 2031 and 6.500% for US$500 million due 2036, to be listed on the Euro MTF market and placed with eligible institutional investors in international markets. The transaction is expected to close on February 3, 2026 and will fund projects aimed at meeting Sabesp’s universalization targets for basic sanitation in São Paulo state, particularly the construction and upgrading of sewage treatment facilities and expansion of collection systems, reinforcing the company’s financing capacity for long-term infrastructure and its positioning in sustainable “blue bond” funding channels.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBS) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Companhia De Saneamento stock, see the SBS Stock Forecast page.

Sabesp Closes R$682 Million Acquisition of Controlling Stake in EMAE
Jan 23, 2026

On January 21, 2026, Sabesp completed the acquisition of 11,009,550 common shares of Empresa Metropolitana de Águas e Energia (EMAE) from Vórtx Distribuidora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários, representing about 74.9% of EMAE’s voting capital and 29.79% of its total capital, for R$62.00 per share in cash, totaling R$682.64 million, with no post-closing price adjustments. As a result of taking control of EMAE, Sabesp plans to file within 30 days for registration of a mandatory public tender offer to purchase the remaining common shares due to the change of control, while stating that it does not intend, for at least one year, to deregister EMAE as a publicly held company or pursue any corporate reorganization between the two companies at this time, signaling a phased approach to integrating this strategic energy and water-related asset into its portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBS) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Companhia De Saneamento stock, see the SBS Stock Forecast page.

Sabesp Clears Key Antitrust and Regulatory Hurdles for EMAE Control Deal
Jan 21, 2026

On January 20, 2026, Sabesp announced that Brazil’s antitrust authority CADE unanimously rejected an appeal by Phoenix Água e Energia S.A., thereby confirming its prior decision to approve without restrictions Sabesp’s acquisition-related transaction involving Empresa Metropolitana de Águas e Energia (EMAE), with the final judgment published the same day. Also on January 20, 2026, the National Electric Energy Agency (ANEEL), at its first regular public meeting of 2026, unanimously granted prior consent for the transaction, leaving only contractual formalities under purchase and sale agreements with Vórtx Distribuidora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários and Axia Energia before Sabesp can effectively complete the transfer of corporate control, a step that may strengthen its presence at the intersection of water and energy infrastructure and is closely watched by shareholders and market participants.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBS) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Companhia De Saneamento stock, see the SBS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 19, 2026