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H2O America (HTO)
NASDAQ:HTO
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H2O America (HTO) AI Stock Analysis

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HTO

H2O America

(NASDAQ:HTO)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$55.00
â–²(10.44% Upside)
H2O America's overall stock score reflects strong earnings performance and strategic expansion through acquisitions. However, challenges in cash flow management and technical indicators suggest caution. The company's valuation and dividend yield provide a solid foundation, but improvements in financial leverage and cash flow are necessary for a higher score.
Positive Factors
Acquisition
HTO's acquisition of Quadvest provides strategic exposure to the rapidly-growing Houston metropolitan service territories and offers significant capex opportunities.
Earnings Growth
1Q25 adjusted EPS increased 39% driven by the timing of rate relief, primarily from the California general rate case.
Leadership and Credibility
CFO Andrew Walters, considered a capable leader, will take over as CEO, with improved financial execution and communication enhancing the company's credibility.
Negative Factors
Equity Issuance
HTO will see dilutive EPS impacts from unrecovered financing costs due to a significant equity issuance and higher D&A expenses.
Financing Risks
There are financing risks for SJW, including a forecasted need for $425 million in equity over the 2025-2029 period, which is about 25% of the current market cap.

H2O America (HTO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

H2O America Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionH2O America (HTO) is a leading provider of innovative water filtration and purification solutions, catering primarily to residential, commercial, and industrial sectors. The company specializes in a range of products including water filtration systems, reverse osmosis units, and water softeners, designed to improve water quality and safety. H2O America is committed to sustainability and aims to provide accessible clean water solutions while promoting environmental responsibility.
How the Company Makes MoneyH2O America generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling its water filtration and purification products directly to consumers and businesses. The company also offers installation and maintenance services, which provide a recurring revenue opportunity. Additionally, H2O America may engage in partnerships with retailers and distributors to expand its market reach, leveraging these relationships to drive sales. The company may also explore subscription-based models for filter replacements and maintenance services, ensuring steady cash flow while fostering customer loyalty.

H2O America Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.11%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with significant increases in net income, revenue, and earnings per share. Successful rate case approvals and substantial capital investments were key highlights. However, the persistent drought in Texas and increased water production expenses posed challenges. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweighed the lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Increase in Net Income
SJW Group reported a nearly 41% increase in net income from the first quarter of 2024 on a GAAP basis, reflecting strong financial performance and execution of growth strategies.
Revenue Growth
The company reported revenue of $167.6 million, marking a 12% increase over the $149.4 million reported in 2024, primarily due to rate increases in California and Connecticut.
Successful Rate Case Approvals
San Jose Water's 2025 to 2027 general rate case was delivered on time and effective January 1, with Connecticut Waters' filings also approved.
Strong Earnings per Share
Earnings per diluted share stood at $0.49, with adjusted non-GAAP earnings per diluted share at $0.50, affirming the company's strong financial position.
Capital Investment and Growth Strategy
In Q1, $78 million was invested in water and wastewater utility infrastructure across four states, and the company is on track to meet its 2025 capital plan.
Negative Updates
Texas Drought Impact
Texas service area experienced significant and persistent drought, affecting water systems and necessitating a multiphase, multiyear project to enhance system reliability.
Increased Water Production Expenses
Water production expenses increased by 14% in the quarter, primarily driven by higher costs from water wholesalers and increased production volumes.
Company Guidance
During the SJW Group First Quarter 2025 Financial Results Call, several key metrics and guidance were highlighted. SJW Group reported a 41% increase in net income compared to the first quarter of 2024, with a GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.49 and an adjusted non-GAAP EPS of $0.50. Revenue for the quarter was $167.6 million, marking a 12% increase from $149.4 million in the same period the previous year. The company affirmed its 2025 guidance range for adjusted diluted EPS of $2.90 to $3, alongside a 5% to 7% earnings growth rate through 2029, expecting to be in the top half of this range. They also maintained their $473 million capital plan for 2025 and planned equity issuances of $120 million to $140 million. Additionally, SJW Group highlighted ongoing projects such as the $100 million Advanced Metering Infrastructure project and a $2 billion five-year capital plan.

H2O America Financial Statement Overview

Summary
H2O America shows strong revenue growth and effective operational management with stable net income margins. However, the moderately high debt-to-equity ratio and negative free cash flow due to capital expenditures pose risks.
Income Statement
78
Positive
H2O America has shown consistent revenue growth with a notable increase from $564.5M in 2020 to $766.7M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025, reflecting a robust Revenue Growth Rate. The Gross Profit Margin remains strong at approximately 56.8%. The Net Profit Margin has been stable, with a recent TTM value of around 12.9%. EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate solid operational performance, though there is a slight decline in EBITDA margin due to increased expenses.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio is moderately high, indicating leverage levels that should be monitored closely. Stockholders' Equity has been growing steadily, contributing to a reasonable Equity Ratio of 29.5% in the TTM period. ROE is healthy, driven by consistent net income growth, but the increasing debt burden presents a potential risk.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating Cash Flow remains strong, though Free Cash Flow is negative, primarily due to significant capital expenditures for growth. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is positive, indicating good cash conversion efficiency. However, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is negative, highlighting the impact of high capital investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue788.74M748.44M670.36M620.70M573.69M564.53M
Gross Profit447.44M425.12M388.43M357.17M318.57M316.58M
EBITDA302.67M289.38M265.23M246.82M219.66M215.77M
Net Income102.80M93.97M84.99M73.83M60.48M61.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.85B4.66B4.35B3.76B3.49B3.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.85M11.11M9.72M12.34M10.91M5.27M
Total Debt1.87B1.83B1.75B1.66B1.60B1.54B
Total Liabilities3.38B3.29B3.11B2.64B2.46B2.39B
Stockholders Equity1.47B1.37B1.23B1.11B1.03B917.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-227.92M-185.11M-99.89M-78.04M-123.77M-110.92M
Operating Cash Flow199.01M195.53M190.83M166.20M130.04M104.05M
Investing Cash Flow-426.99M-340.10M-322.27M-244.33M-260.00M-214.26M
Financing Cash Flow225.02M145.96M128.82M78.35M132.81M101.53M

H2O America Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price49.80
Price Trends
50DMA
50.78
Negative
100DMA
51.68
Negative
200DMA
51.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Negative
RSI
49.37
Neutral
STOCH
63.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HTO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 49.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 49.29, below the 50-day MA of 50.78, and below the 200-day MA of 51.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HTO.

H2O America Risk Analysis

H2O America disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. H2O America reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

H2O America Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$351.04M15.679.34%3.65%7.13%22.19%
68
Neutral
$1.77B16.397.50%1.67%12.40%11.98%
68
Neutral
$2.76B20.258.49%2.63%0.62%-24.24%
66
Neutral
$2.90B23.1113.77%2.52%8.55%13.57%
65
Neutral
$955.42M22.009.70%2.56%11.91%16.88%
62
Neutral
HK$30.30B9.315.05%4.61%-3.25%1.36%
61
Neutral
$442.30M22.388.56%2.83%4.09%-14.30%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HTO
H2O America
49.80
-7.75
-13.47%
AWR
American States Water
75.40
-5.47
-6.76%
ARTNA
Artesian Resources
33.32
-2.56
-7.13%
CWT
California Water Service
46.37
-6.55
-12.38%
MSEX
Middlesex Water Company
53.03
-7.01
-11.68%
YORW
The York Water Company
30.67
-7.04
-18.67%

H2O America Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
H2O America Acquires Quadvest Assets for $540 Million
Positive
Jul 8, 2025

On July 7, 2025, H2O America, through its subsidiaries, entered into agreements to acquire the assets of Quadvest’s water and sewer utility businesses for a total of $540 million. This strategic acquisition is expected to significantly expand H2O America’s presence in Texas, particularly in the high-growth Houston region, and is projected to be accretive to the company’s long-term EPS growth rate. The transaction, which requires regulatory approvals, aims to enhance operational scale and customer service, positioning H2O America as the second largest investor-owned water utility in Texas by 2028.

The most recent analyst rating on (HTO) stock is a Hold with a $63.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on H2O America stock, see the HTO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
H2O America Appoints New Chief Accounting Officer
Neutral
Jun 25, 2025

On June 24, 2025, H2O America announced the appointment of Megan Mattern as the Chief Accounting Officer, Principal Accounting Officer, and Controller, effective July 28, 2025. This strategic appointment follows the recent designation of Ann P. Kelly as Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer, highlighting a significant leadership transition within the company. Mattern brings extensive experience from her previous roles at UGI Corporation and PPL Corporation. The Executive Compensation Committee approved a comprehensive compensation package for Mattern, including a base salary, incentive cash compensation, and restricted stock unit awards, aligning with the company’s long-term incentive plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (HTO) stock is a Hold with a $63.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on H2O America stock, see the HTO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
H2O America Announces Leadership Changes and CEO Transition
Neutral
May 20, 2025

On May 14, 2025, H2O America announced several key changes effective July 1, 2025, including the appointment of Andrew F. Walters as a new board member and the transition of Mr. Walters to Chief Executive Officer following Eric W. Thornburg’s retirement. Additionally, the company held its 2025 stockholders’ meeting, where stockholders approved the election of directors, executive compensation, and the appointment of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (HTO) stock is a Hold with a $63.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on H2O America stock, see the HTO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2025