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H2O America (HTO)
NASDAQ:HTO
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H2O America (HTO) AI Stock Analysis

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HTO

H2O America

(NASDAQ:HTO)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$54.00
▲(15.24% Upside)
H2O America's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, tempered by challenges in cash flow management and regulatory uncertainties. The valuation is fair, and technical indicators suggest potential for upward momentum.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition expands H2O America's presence in Texas, enhancing its operational scale and positioning it as a leading water utility in the region.
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Profitability
High profitability margins reflect efficient operations and pricing power, contributing to sustainable financial health.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow suggests potential liquidity challenges, which could hinder investment in growth opportunities and financial flexibility.
Leverage
Moderate leverage may limit the company's ability to take on additional debt for expansion, impacting long-term growth potential.
Slowing Growth Rate
A slowing growth rate could indicate market saturation or increased competition, potentially impacting future revenue expansion.

H2O America (HTO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

H2O America Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionH2O America (HTO) is a leading provider of innovative water filtration and purification solutions, catering primarily to residential, commercial, and industrial sectors. The company specializes in a range of products including water filtration systems, reverse osmosis units, and water softeners, designed to improve water quality and safety. H2O America is committed to sustainability and aims to provide accessible clean water solutions while promoting environmental responsibility.
How the Company Makes MoneyH2O America generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling its water filtration and purification products directly to consumers and businesses. The company also offers installation and maintenance services, which provide a recurring revenue opportunity. Additionally, H2O America may engage in partnerships with retailers and distributors to expand its market reach, leveraging these relationships to drive sales. The company may also explore subscription-based models for filter replacements and maintenance services, ensuring steady cash flow while fostering customer loyalty.

H2O America Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial results and successful rate case approvals, indicating robust performance and strategic growth. However, challenges in Texas due to drought and increased operating expenses present notable concerns.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
SJW Group reported a 41% increase in net income from the first quarter of 2024 and a 12% increase in revenue to $167.6 million, driven by rate increases in California and Connecticut.
Successful Rate Cases and Approvals
San Jose Water's 2025 to 2027 general rate case was effective January 1. Connecticut Water's infrastructure and conservation adjustment and water revenue adjustment filings were approved. Texas Water's second system improvement charge application is pending.
Capital Investments and Growth Strategy
In Q1, $78 million was invested in water and wastewater utility infrastructure across four states. The 2025 capital plan is a 34% increase over 2024, with a focus on a $2 billion five-year capital plan.
Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI) Implementation
The ongoing AMI project is a $100 million initiative aimed at reducing operating costs and improving billing accuracy.
S&P Credit Outlook Improvement
S&P raised the credit outlook for SJW Group to stable, highlighting the company's focus on maintaining its A category credit rating.
Negative Updates
Texas Drought Challenges
Significant and persistent drought in Texas affects water supply resilience. A multi-phase project is required to address these challenges, indicating ongoing operational and financial pressures.
Higher Operating and Water Production Expenses
Water production expenses increased by 14%, driven by increased wholesaler costs and higher production volumes. Operating expenses rose by 4% due to customer credit losses, insurance, and maintenance costs.
Company Guidance
During SJW Group's first quarter 2025 financial results call, the company provided guidance that highlighted several key metrics. SJW Group reported a 41% increase in net income on a GAAP basis compared to the first quarter of 2024. Earnings per diluted share were $0.49, with adjusted non-GAAP earnings per diluted share at $0.50. The company also affirmed its 2025 guidance range for adjusted diluted earnings per share of $2.90 to $3.00 and maintained its long-term earnings growth rate target of 5% to 7% through 2029, expecting to be in the top half of the range. Additionally, SJW Group reported a 12% increase in revenue to $167.6 million, largely driven by rate increases in California and Connecticut. The company invested $78 million in water and wastewater utility infrastructure across four states in the first quarter and is on track to meet its 2025 capital plan, which represents a 34% increase over the 2024 actual spend. The company emphasized its focus on maintaining affordability while pursuing a robust $2 billion five-year capital plan to ensure reliable service and high-quality water.

H2O America Financial Statement Overview

Summary
H2O America demonstrates strong profitability and revenue growth, supported by efficient operations. However, challenges with negative free cash flow and moderate leverage persist. Continued focus on improving cash flow and managing debt levels is crucial for sustaining financial health.
Income Statement
78
Positive
H2O America shows consistent revenue growth with a TTM increase of 2.88%. The company maintains strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 56.73% and a net profit margin of 13.03%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 23.56% and 38.37% respectively, indicating efficient operations. However, the growth rate has slowed compared to previous years, which could be a concern if the trend continues.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 1.28, reflecting a moderate level of leverage, which has improved from previous years. Return on equity is stable at 7.39%, but there is room for improvement. The equity ratio stands at 30.24%, suggesting a balanced capital structure, though slightly lower than ideal for the industry.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Operating cash flow is positive, but the free cash flow remains negative, with a TTM free cash flow to net income ratio of -1.15. While there is a positive growth in free cash flow, the negative figures indicate potential liquidity challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.63 suggests adequate cash generation relative to net income, but improvements are needed in free cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue804.22M748.44M670.36M620.70M573.69M564.53M
Gross Profit460.81M425.12M388.43M357.17M318.57M316.58M
EBITDA314.19M289.38M265.23M246.82M219.66M215.77M
Net Income109.28M93.97M84.99M73.83M60.48M61.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets0.004.66B4.35B3.76B3.49B3.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.0011.11M9.72M12.34M10.91M5.27M
Total Debt18.01M1.83B1.75B1.66B1.60B1.54B
Total Liabilities607.12M3.29B3.11B2.64B2.46B2.39B
Stockholders Equity1.52B1.37B1.23B1.11B1.03B917.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow115.42M-185.11M-99.89M-78.04M-123.77M-110.92M
Operating Cash Flow222.74M195.53M190.83M166.20M130.04M104.05M
Investing Cash Flow-476.96M-340.10M-322.27M-244.33M-260.00M-214.26M
Financing Cash Flow261.56M145.96M128.82M78.35M132.81M101.53M

H2O America Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price46.86
Price Trends
50DMA
47.42
Positive
100DMA
48.28
Negative
200DMA
50.13
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.34
Negative
RSI
55.43
Neutral
STOCH
81.87
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HTO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 46.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.43, below the 50-day MA of 47.42, and below the 200-day MA of 50.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.87 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HTO.

H2O America Risk Analysis

H2O America disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. H2O America reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

H2O America Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$2.82B21.6013.73%2.64%10.28%13.56%
67
Neutral
$1.68B14.897.65%3.54%11.39%13.86%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
66
Neutral
$2.69B19.768.19%2.74%-2.60%-33.78%
64
Neutral
7.11%2.22%16.42%12.98%
62
Neutral
$1.42B36.262.48%2.71%-4.60%-67.28%
55
Neutral
$939.81M21.519.27%2.69%6.24%3.35%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HTO
H2O America
47.45
-3.51
-6.89%
AWR
American States Water
72.89
-7.56
-9.40%
CWT
California Water Service
44.75
-2.49
-5.27%
MSEX
Middlesex Water Company
50.88
-9.81
-16.16%
WTTR
Select Energy Services
10.33
-3.86
-27.20%
ARIS
Aris Water Solutions
23.69
-2.24
-8.64%

H2O America Corporate Events

Regulatory Delays Threaten H2O America’s Strategic Sale and Revenue Goals
Oct 30, 2025

The regulatory approval process required by the PUCT poses a significant risk to H2O America, as any extension beyond current estimates could undermine the anticipated benefits of the proposed transactions. The sale of the Regulated Business hinges on PUCT’s approval, expected by mid-2026, but the timeline remains uncertain and could be delayed. This uncertainty, coupled with other uncontrollable conditions, may adversely affect the transaction’s completion, potentially leading to increased costs or reduced revenues for H2O America. Such delays could prevent the company from realizing the expected advantages within the desired timeframe.

H2O America Reports Strong Q3 Earnings and Strategic Growth
Oct 30, 2025

H2O America’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health and strategic foresight, underscored by notable earnings per share (EPS) growth and successful mergers and acquisitions (M&A). While the company celebrated these achievements, it also acknowledged challenges such as rising operating costs and uncertainties in regulatory approvals and acquisitions.

H2O America Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 29, 2025

H2O America is a prominent investor-owned water and wastewater utility company in the United States, delivering essential water services to over 1.6 million people through its subsidiaries in California, Connecticut, Maine, and Texas.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
H2O America Amends Credit Agreement with Banks
Positive
Sep 16, 2025

On September 12, 2025, H2O America and its subsidiaries entered into an amended and restated credit agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank and Wells Fargo Bank. The agreement increases the commitment from $300 million to $350 million, extends the maturity date to September 12, 2030, and revises borrower sublimits, impacting the company’s financial flexibility and operational capacity.

The most recent analyst rating on (HTO) stock is a Hold with a $54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on H2O America stock, see the HTO Stock Forecast page.

H2O America Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings Growth
Jul 30, 2025

H2O America is a leading investor-owned water and wastewater utility in the United States, providing essential water services to 1.6 million people across several states, including California, Connecticut, Maine, and Texas. The company is known for its strong financial performance, operational expertise, and commitment to community engagement and environmental sustainability.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025