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Clearway Energy Inc (CWEN)
NYSE:CWEN

Clearway Energy (CWEN) AI Stock Analysis

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Clearway Energy

(NYSE:CWEN)

72Outperform
Clearway Energy presents a solid investment opportunity with strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. However, high leverage and a high P/E ratio pose risks. The stock's upward technical trend is promising, but caution is advised due to potential overvaluation.
Positive Factors
Guidance
There is a strong likelihood that CWEN might raise its 2025 guidance or deliver CAFD toward the high-end, which is seen as very bullish.
Performance
CWEN is one of the best performing stocks in the clean energy sector, showing resilience despite a high-uncertainty environment.
Negative Factors
Financial Results
Adjusted EBITDA was below both consensus and Morgan Stanley estimates.
Legislation
Uncertainty over potential revisions to the Inflation Reduction Act continues to be an overhang to correcting valuation.

Clearway Energy (CWEN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Clearway Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionClearway Energy, Inc. operates in the renewable energy business in the United States. It has approximately 5,000 net megawatts (MW) of installed wind and solar generation projects; and approximately 2,500 net MW of natural gas generation facilities. The company was formerly known as NRG Yield, Inc. and changed its name to Clearway Energy, Inc. in August 2018. Clearway Energy, Inc. was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Princeton, New Jersey. Clearway Energy, Inc. is a subsidiary of Clearway Energy Group LLC.
How the Company Makes MoneyClearway Energy makes money primarily through the sale of electricity generated from its renewable energy assets. The company enters into long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with utilities, corporations, and other entities, ensuring a stable and predictable revenue stream. These PPAs typically have fixed or escalating pricing terms, which provide Clearway Energy with consistent cash flow. Additionally, Clearway Energy benefits from federal and state incentives for renewable energy projects, such as tax credits and subsidies, which enhance its financial performance. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to expand its asset base, further driving revenue growth.

Clearway Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Clearway Energy shows strong revenue growth and effective cash flow management. The income statement and cash flow metrics are positive, while the balance sheet indicates higher risk due to significant leverage. Managing debt and maintaining operational efficiency are crucial.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Clearway Energy's income statement reflects a strong performance in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) with a notable increase in total revenue and net income compared to previous years. The gross profit margin is solid, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low due to high operational costs. Revenue growth has been consistent, showing a positive trajectory. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, highlighting good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate financial position with a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating reliance on debt financing. However, the company's return on equity is improving, suggesting effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is stable, providing some cushion against financial volatility. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a mix of strengths in equity utilization and risks associated with high leverage.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Clearway Energy has demonstrated robust cash flow management with substantial operating cash flow and consistent free cash flow generation. The free cash flow growth rate is impressive, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating strong cash conversion from earnings. The company's ability to generate cash flow efficiently supports its financial flexibility and operational stability.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.41B1.37B1.31B1.19B1.29B1.20B
Gross Profit
592.00M870.00M841.00M755.00M835.00M833.00M
EBIT
228.00M196.00M263.00M247.00M267.00M333.00M
EBITDA
1.05B1.13B1.03B2.31B958.00M835.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
94.00M88.00M79.00M1.06B-75.00M-62.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
297.00M332.00M575.00M657.00M179.00M268.00M
Total Assets
14.65B14.33B14.70B12.31B12.81B10.59B
Total Debt
8.22B7.75B8.66B7.36B8.27B7.31B
Net Debt
7.92B7.42B8.13B6.70B8.09B7.05B
Total Liabilities
9.23B8.77B9.71B8.28B9.51B7.88B
Stockholders Equity
5.42B2.06B2.10B2.23B1.83B1.82B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
539.00M483.00M408.00M675.00M550.00M421.00M
Operating Cash Flow
784.00M770.00M702.00M787.00M701.00M545.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-775.00M-725.00M-523.00M1.06B-865.00M-62.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.66B-363.00M-124.00M-1.51B367.00M-435.00M

Clearway Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price29.17
Price Trends
50DMA
28.98
Positive
100DMA
27.40
Positive
200DMA
27.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
53.97
Neutral
STOCH
54.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CWEN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 29.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.80, above the 50-day MA of 28.98, and above the 200-day MA of 27.37, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CWEN.

Clearway Energy Risk Analysis

Clearway Energy disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Clearway Energy reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Clearway Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
EEEE
78
Outperform
$3.40B36.177.58%0.57%-15.82%36.15%
72
Outperform
$5.82B36.334.70%5.79%-1.34%21.62%
ORORA
69
Neutral
$4.45B35.545.21%0.65%1.95%-6.57%
RNRNW
65
Neutral
$2.42B96.102.00%-1.77%-41.65%
63
Neutral
$8.39B10.635.35%4.38%3.68%-10.94%
54
Neutral
$5.28B32.67-4.65%4.89%1.01%-110.78%
SMSMR
42
Neutral
$6.15B-32.34%62.41%-85.81%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CWEN
Clearway Energy
29.17
3.64
14.26%
ORA
Ormat Techno
73.04
1.03
1.43%
BEPC
Brookfield Renewable
29.30
-0.63
-2.10%
SMR
NuScale Power
22.94
16.85
276.68%
RNW
ReNew Energy Global
6.65
0.20
3.10%
EE
Excelerate Energy, Inc. Class A
29.34
10.84
58.59%

Clearway Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.58%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for Clearway Energy, Inc. highlighted strong first quarter results and a clear pathway towards achieving and potentially exceeding their 2025 and 2027 financial objectives. The company demonstrated successful execution of growth initiatives, including repowering projects, battery storage advancements, and strategic acquisitions. Despite some concerns about increased capital expenditure due to tariffs and timing shifts in CAFD, the overall sentiment remains highly positive.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong First Quarter Results
Clearway delivered solid first quarter results across all segments, reaffirming their 2025 guidance range. The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $252 million and CAFD of $77 million, with strong wind resources in California and contributions from 2024 growth investments.
Accretive Growth Pathways
Clearway executed initiatives for future long-term growth, including fleet enhancements, sponsor-enabled dropdown investments, and asset-centered third-party M&A. They closed the Tuolumne Wind acquisition and signed a binding agreement to acquire an operational solar project in California.
Successful Repowering Projects
Progress continues on repowerings for Mt. Storm, Goat Mountain, and San Juan Mesa, which are expected to extend and enhance the value of Clearway's existing wind fleet. These projects contribute to a solid CAFD per share growth outlook beyond 2027.
Positive Battery Storage Developments
Naming of the Spindle project, a 199 MW battery storage project, with a long-term contract signed with an investment-grade utility. Clearway Group's late-stage pipeline includes over 13 GW of projects that could achieve COD through 2029.
Interest Rate Risk Mitigation
Clearway mitigated interest rate risk for refinancing corporate bonds maturing in 2028 by opportunistic hedging of base rates, solidifying their financial strategy.
Negative Updates
Increased Capital Expenditure Due to Tariffs
The currently enacted tariffs could have an impact on CapEx of about 30% for battery projects, which could affect the cost of constructing projects and the pricing to customers.
CAFD Timing Shifts
First quarter CAFD was higher than seasonally expected due to timing of debt service and distributions to non-controlling partners shifting into the second quarter.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, Clearway Energy, Inc. reaffirmed its 2025 guidance range and expressed confidence in potentially achieving the top half or better, driven by typical annual resource and fleet performance strength, alongside contributions from newly committed investments. The company continues to pursue growth through fleet enhancements, sponsor-enabled dropdown investments, and asset-centered third-party M&A. Clearway Group's pipeline has been bolstered with over 9 gigawatts of late-stage projects compatible with CWEN, featuring safe harbor investments potentially reaching 13 gigawatts by 2029. The company also highlighted significant progress in repowering projects, such as Mt. Storm, Goat Mountain, and San Juan Mesa, and successfully closed the Tuolumne Wind acquisition. Financially, Clearway reported Q1 adjusted EBITDA of $252 million and CAFD of $77 million, reiterating its 2025 CAFD guidance range of $400 million to $440 million, aiming for the higher end. The firm maintains a strategic focus on disciplined growth, intending to utilize retained CAFD and debt capacity for funding, with modest equity issuances through an ATM facility to support accretive growth towards achieving the high end of its 2027 CAFD per share growth target.

Clearway Energy Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Clearway Energy Appoints TotalEnergies Executive to Board
Neutral
Dec 6, 2024

Clearway Energy, Inc. has appointed Marc-Antoine Pignon, Chief Executive Officer of TotalEnergies Renewables USA, to its board of directors following the resignation of Guillaume Hédiard. Pignon brings a wealth of experience from his roles at TotalEnergies in various international markets, particularly in renewables. He will not initially serve on any board committee or receive separate compensation for his new role.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.