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CVRx (CVRX)
NASDAQ:CVRX
US Market

CVRx (CVRX) AI Stock Analysis

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CVRx

(NASDAQ:CVRX)

Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▼( -9.77% Downside)
CVRx's stock score reflects solid revenue growth but is weighed down by profitability challenges and weak technical indicators. The earnings call provided a positive long-term outlook, but short-term obstacles like sales force realignment and seasonality remain. Valuation metrics indicate concerns about profitability, impacting the stock's attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Barostim Market Potential
Barostim is seen as a differentiated solution in a large and under-penetrated market with little to no treatment options for the majority of patients.
Compensation Plan
Management is already seeing positive validation of its decision, also noting the implementation of its new compensation plan has allowed it to attract veteran talent.
Financial Liquidity
The company continues to have adequate liquidity with over $100M of cash.
Negative Factors
Market Coverage Challenges
The number of sales territories decreased from 48 to 45, which was below the analyst's projected 51, indicating a potential challenge in market coverage.
Revenue Miss
The Q1/25 revenue of ~$12.3M missed the analyst's estimate of $14.5M and the consensus of $14.7M, which may lead to a poor stock reaction.
Salesforce Disruption
The planned salesforce reorganization led to greater than expected turnover and account disruption, resulting in lowered guidance.

CVRx (CVRX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CVRx Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCVRx, Inc., a commercial-stage medical device company, focuses on developing, manufacturing, and commercializing neuromodulation solutions for patients with cardiovascular diseases. It offers Barostim, a neuromodulation device indicated to improve symptoms for patients with heart failure (HF) with reduced ejection fraction or systolic HF. The company sells its products through direct sales force, as well as sales agents and independent distributors in the United States, Germany, rest of Europe, and internationally. CVRx, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
How the Company Makes MoneyCVRx primarily makes money through the sale of its Barostim System. The company's revenue model is based on direct sales to hospitals and healthcare providers who purchase the device for implantation in patients suffering from heart failure and related conditions. Key revenue streams include initial device sales, as well as ongoing revenue from replacement components and related services. The company also benefits from significant partnerships with healthcare institutions and providers, along with potential reimbursement from health insurance companies, which can impact the adoption and sales of its products.

CVRx Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CVRx shows promising revenue growth and strong gross profit margins but struggles with profitability and cash flow. The balance sheet has improved, moving from negative to positive equity, yet the company remains reliant on external funding to cover cash shortfalls.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
CVRx has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase in total revenue from $6.05 million in 2020 to $51.29 million in 2024. Despite the revenue growth, the company is still facing profitability challenges, as evidenced by negative net income and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin has been strong, remaining above 80% in recent years, indicating effective cost management in production. However, the persistent net loss indicates that operational and other costs are overshadowing revenue gains, which is a concern for sustainable profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a robust equity position, transitioning from negative equity in 2020 to positive equity in subsequent years, indicating improved financial health. The debt-to-equity ratio is manageable, but net debt levels are negative, suggesting high cash reserves relative to debt. However, the high total liabilities in earlier years, particularly relative to assets, and the lack of positive net income pose risks to financial stability. The equity ratio has improved, reflecting a strengthening financial position.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
CVRx has demonstrated consistent negative operating cash flows, suggesting operational inefficiencies or high cash burn rates. Despite negative free cash flow, the company has managed to maintain adequate liquidity through financing activities, indicating potential reliance on external funding. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, which is concerning for future cash generation capabilities. Improvements in financing cash flow are apparent, but the sustainability of this reliance on external funds is uncertain.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
51.29M39.30M22.47M13.04M6.05M
Gross Profit
42.96M33.04M17.47M9.40M4.61M
EBIT
-59.49M-43.10M-42.53M-25.97M-11.51M
EBITDA
-54.89M-38.73M-40.74M-40.60M-11.48M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-59.97M-41.20M-41.43M-43.08M-14.11M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
105.93M90.57M106.19M142.07M59.11M
Total Assets
133.41M115.23M124.94M152.55M64.78M
Total Debt
50.15M30.61M7.09M0.0019.28M
Net Debt
-55.78M-59.96M-99.11M-142.07M-39.83M
Total Liabilities
62.36M39.28M15.76M6.59M358.01M
Stockholders Equity
71.06M75.95M109.18M145.96M-293.24M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-40.51M-39.61M-43.36M-28.91M-16.41M
Operating Cash Flow
-39.14M-39.02M-42.68M-27.73M-16.10M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.36M-591.00K-685.00K-1.18M-311.00K
Financing Cash Flow
55.87M23.98M7.49M111.88M49.78M

CVRx Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.65
Price Trends
50DMA
8.59
Negative
100DMA
11.57
Negative
200DMA
11.23
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.54
Negative
RSI
46.65
Neutral
STOCH
75.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVRX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.65 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.71, below the 50-day MA of 8.59, and below the 200-day MA of 11.23, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.54 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CVRX.

CVRx Risk Analysis

CVRx disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CVRx reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CVRx Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$200.19M48.157.41%26.86%
54
Neutral
$177.15M-44.97%21.06%-99.70%
MYMYO
53
Neutral
$115.49M-35.68%69.17%39.01%
53
Neutral
$5.14B3.06-43.57%2.81%16.81%-0.12%
52
Neutral
$166.43M-304.05%28.24%-334.39%
52
Neutral
$173.38M-76.01%25.62%11.86%
51
Neutral
$203.20M271.41%85.03%53.73%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CVRX
CVRx
6.65
-0.80
-10.74%
MYO
Myomo
3.21
-0.62
-16.19%
BWAY
Brainsway
10.43
5.03
93.15%
LNSR
LENSAR
13.98
9.79
233.65%
MASS
908 Devices
4.74
-1.74
-26.85%
TLSI
TriSalus Life Sciences
5.35
-2.21
-29.23%

CVRx Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -14.52%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted moderate revenue growth and promising clinical evidence supporting Barostim therapy. However, significant challenges included sales force realignment, seasonality impacts, and a decrease in sales territories, which hindered the company's short-term performance. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about its strategic initiatives and long-term prospects.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Revenue for Q1 2025 was $12.3 million, representing a 15% growth over the prior year quarter.
Expansion in Heart Failure Revenue
Heart failure revenue in the US increased to $11.1 million from $9.7 million, with a unit increase from 319 to 353.
European Market Growth
Revenue generated in Europe rose to $1.1 million, a 23% increase over the prior year.
Clinical Evidence and Adoption
Recent data demonstrated large reductions in hospital visits post-Barostim implantation: 85% in heart failure visits, 84% in cardiovascular visits, and 86% in all-cause visits.
Strategic Priorities and Sales Force Realignment
The company is focusing on building a world-class sales force, targeting high-potential centers, and addressing adoption barriers. New compensation plans have generated strong enthusiasm among the sales team.
Negative Updates
Sales Force Realignment Impact
Revenue performance fell short due to significant sales team changes, with 25% of territory managers hired between December and March, leading to productivity disruptions.
Seasonality Challenges
Q1 was affected by seasonality, contributing to lower revenue performance. The company expects this pattern to continue, with Q1 usually the weakest quarter.
Decrease in Sales Territories
The number of sales territories in the US decreased by three to a total of 45 during Q1 2025.
Decline in Gross Margin
Gross margin slightly decreased to 84% from 85% in the prior year.
Net Loss
The company reported a net loss of $13.8 million, compared to a net loss of $22.2 million in the prior year.
Company Guidance
During CVRx's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided financial guidance that included expectations for full-year total revenue between $55 million and $58 million, with a gross margin between 83% and 84%. Operating expenses are projected to be between $95 million and $98 million. For the second quarter of 2025, CVRx anticipates revenue between $13 million and $14 million. The company's strategy involves enhancing their sales force, targeting high-potential centers, and addressing adoption barriers to promote their Barostim therapy. Despite a revenue performance shortfall in Q1 2025 due to sales force realignment and seasonality, CVRx remains confident in its long-term market opportunity and aims to improve sales productivity and account stabilization throughout the year. The company also highlighted ongoing efforts to improve reimbursement, expand clinical evidence, and increase awareness of their therapy.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.