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LENSAR (LNSR)
NASDAQ:LNSR
US Market

LENSAR (LNSR) AI Stock Analysis

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LNSR

LENSAR

(NASDAQ:LNSR)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▼(-0.95% Downside)
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance—deep losses, continued cash burn, and negative equity—despite strong recent revenue growth and healthy gross margins. Technical indicators are broadly neutral with limited trend strength, and valuation remains unattractive due to negative earnings and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth & Gross Margins
Very strong TTM revenue acceleration and solid gross margins indicate the product has attractive unit economics and growing clinical adoption. Sustained high gross margins provide leverage as fixed costs amortize, supporting a path to profitability if operating expenses scale more modestly.
Recurring Revenue Model
LENSAR's model includes capital placements plus recurring procedure-based consumables and service contracts. This creates annuity-like revenue from the installed base, smoothing sales cycles, boosting lifetime customer value, and improving predictability of cash flows over the medium term.
Potential Strategic Transaction
A proposed merger with Alcon represents a structural corporate outcome. Becoming a subsidiary of a larger industry player could materially expand distribution, R&D and capital access, de-risk financing needs and accelerate adoption of LENSAR's systems across broader channels.
Negative Factors
Negative Shareholders' Equity
Equity turned negative (~-$12.1M TTM), reflecting accumulated losses and weakened capitalization. Negative shareholders' equity constrains financing options, can limit covenant flexibility, and raises the likelihood of further external funding or dilution to sustain operations and growth.
Persistent Cash Burn
TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow remain meaningfully negative, showing the business is not yet self-funding. Continued cash burn forces dependence on external financing, which can dilute shareholders, constrain strategic investments, or slow commercialization if capital access tightens.
Deep Unprofitability and Widening Losses
Despite revenue gains, net margin is roughly -85% TTM and operating losses have widened versus 2024. Persistently large losses indicate operating expenses are outpacing revenue growth, threatening sustainability unless the company materially improves margins or slows expense growth.

LENSAR (LNSR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

LENSAR Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLENSAR, Inc., a commercial-stage medical device company, focuses on designing, developing, and marketing a femtosecond laser system for the treatment of cataracts and the management of pre-existing or surgically induced corneal astigmatism. Its LENSAR Laser System incorporates a range of proprietary technologies designed to assist the surgeon in obtaining visual outcomes, efficiency, and reproducibility by providing imaging, procedure planning, design, and precision. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyLENSAR generates revenue through the sale of its proprietary LENSAR Laser Systems and the associated consumables used during cataract surgeries, such as disposable tips and patient-specific software. The company also earns income from service contracts and maintenance agreements for its equipment. Significant partnerships with ophthalmic surgery centers and hospitals play a crucial role in expanding its market reach and driving sales. Additionally, LENSAR may benefit from reimbursements from insurance providers for procedures performed using its technology, enhancing its overall revenue potential.

LENSAR Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 27, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance in 2024, with record-breaking revenue growth, significant market share gains, and positive adjusted EBITDA. However, there is a notable decrease in recurring revenue percentage and a substantial net loss due to a non-cash charge. The company remains optimistic about future growth and market expansion.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue Growth
Fourth quarter top line revenue increased to $16.7 million, representing growth of 38% over Q4 2023. Full year revenue growth was 27% over 2023.
Significant Increase in ALLY System Placements
A total of 31 ALLY Systems were placed in the fourth quarter, with 20 in the U.S. This marks a new quarterly high for LENSAR.
Expansion into New Markets
Expansion in laser placements into Europe and Southeast Asia continued, with 24 systems placed since launching ALLY outside the U.S. after mid-August 2024.
Substantial Market Share Gain
LENSAR added an additional 7.5% share in procedures in the U.S., bringing the total share to almost 21%.
Positive Adjusted EBITDA
Achieved positive adjusted EBITDA of $478,000 in Q4 2024, marking the second consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA.
Strong Demand and Future Outlook
Confident in delivering strong financial results in 2025 with top line revenue growth expected to exceed 27%.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Recurring Revenue Percentage
Recurring revenue was approximately 64% of total revenue in Q4 2024, down from 73% in Q4 2023, due to increased ALLY System sales.
Net Loss Due to Non-Cash Charge
GAAP net loss of $18.7 million in Q4 2024, largely attributed to a $17.6 million noncash charge related to the increase in fair value of outstanding warrant liabilities.
Company Guidance
During the call, LENSAR provided an optimistic outlook for 2025, anticipating revenue growth exceeding the 27% achieved in 2024. The company reported a record fourth-quarter revenue of $16.7 million, marking a 38% increase from Q4 2023, driven by 31 ALLY System placements, including a U.S. record of 20 installations. The full-year revenue saw a 27% rise over 2023, with procedure volumes increasing 24% globally. LENSAR's market share in U.S. procedures grew by 7.5% over two years, reaching nearly 21%. The company ended 2024 with a backlog of 16 ALLY Systems expected to generate recurring revenue in 2025. LENSAR aims to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA for the full year of 2025, supported by strategic investments in commercial operations and a continued focus on expanding its market presence both domestically and internationally.

LENSAR Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite very strong recent revenue acceleration and solid gross margins, the company remains deeply unprofitable with widening losses, ongoing cash burn, and a weakened balance sheet (negative equity), increasing financing risk.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Revenue growth has been strong, accelerating from ~19% (2023) and ~27% (2024) to ~133% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), and gross margin remains solid (~47–56%), suggesting an attractive product economics profile. However, the company is still deeply unprofitable: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) net margin is roughly -85% with sizable operating losses, and losses have widened versus 2024, indicating operating expenses are scaling faster than revenue.
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Reported debt is low (about $2.9M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), which limits near-term financial leverage risk. The key concern is the sharp deterioration in capitalization: stockholders’ equity moved from positive levels in prior annual periods (e.g., ~$18.6M in 2024) to negative in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (about -$12.1M), pointing to accumulated losses and/or balance sheet pressure, which reduces flexibility and increases financing risk.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash burn remains meaningful, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow around -$11.8M and free cash flow around -$11.9M, so the business is not self-funding yet. There is improvement versus 2022–2023 burn levels (less negative), but cash generation is still consistently negative across the years provided, implying continued reliance on external funding until profitability improves.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue59.14M53.49M42.16M35.36M34.46M26.38M
Gross Profit27.06M25.85M21.11M19.95M17.83M14.07M
EBITDA-12.65M-3.00M-8.71M-16.77M-16.89M-15.36M
Net Income-51.52M-31.40M-14.38M-19.91M-19.60M-19.77M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets70.20M66.30M69.58M55.84M66.47M79.12M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.87M22.45M24.06M14.67M31.64M40.60M
Total Debt2.88M2.61M2.31M2.80M3.31M3.81M
Total Liabilities82.33M47.65M22.41M13.86M11.59M11.91M
Stockholders Equity-12.12M18.65M47.18M41.98M54.88M67.21M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-11.88M-2.43M-9.89M-14.97M-9.32M-14.16M
Operating Cash Flow-11.79M-2.27M-9.66M-14.86M-8.97M-13.79M
Investing Cash Flow-969.00K-2.16M-4.16M-115.00K-354.00K-326.00K
Financing Cash Flow9.96M78.00K19.76M-1.99M361.00K50.00M

LENSAR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.61
Price Trends
50DMA
11.40
Positive
100DMA
11.67
Positive
200DMA
12.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.26
Negative
RSI
59.80
Neutral
STOCH
59.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LNSR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.94, above the 50-day MA of 11.40, and below the 200-day MA of 12.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LNSR.

LENSAR Risk Analysis

LENSAR disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. LENSAR reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

LENSAR Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
59
Neutral
$108.83M-2.14-94.03%-20.10%7.87%
57
Neutral
$196.35M-4.44-68.83%16.63%10.43%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
$332.03M-7.01-57.91%-4.39%11.70%
45
Neutral
$152.05M-2.90-422.35%21.02%-200.88%
44
Neutral
$134.47M-2.43-1746.27%20.59%18.61%
44
Neutral
$44.53M-1.1312.24%47.45%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LNSR
LENSAR
12.73
2.08
19.53%
RCEL
Avita Medical
4.41
-4.46
-50.28%
TELA
TELA Bio
1.00
-1.67
-62.55%
HYPR
Hyperfine
1.12
-0.12
-9.68%
SGHT
Sight Sciences
6.28
3.55
130.04%
RPID
Rapid Micro Biosystems
4.43
2.24
102.28%

LENSAR Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
LENSAR stockholders approve directors and auditor at meeting
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

On December 18, 2025, LENSAR, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders with approximately 88% of the company’s total voting power represented in person or by proxy. At the meeting, shareholders elected Nicholas T. Curtis, Todd B. Hammer and Aimee S. Weisner as Class II directors to serve until the 2028 annual meeting, and ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the company’s independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, signaling strong shareholder support for the current board slate and audit firm arrangement.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNSR) stock is a Sell with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LENSAR stock, see the LNSR Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
LENSAR Announces Virtual Annual Meeting Plans
Neutral
Oct 21, 2025

LENSAR, Inc. has announced that its 2025 annual meeting of stockholders is scheduled for December 18, 2025, to be held virtually. This meeting will only occur if the proposed merger with Alcon Research, LLC is not completed before the meeting date. If the merger is completed, LENSAR will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Alcon, and the meeting will not take place. Stockholders are advised of revised deadlines for submitting proposals and nominations, which must be received by October 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNSR) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LENSAR stock, see the LNSR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026