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Rapid Micro Biosystems (RPID)
NASDAQ:RPID
US Market
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Rapid Micro Biosystems (RPID) AI Stock Analysis

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RPID

Rapid Micro Biosystems

(NASDAQ:RPID)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▲(9.65% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance: large ongoing losses, heavy cash burn, and higher balance-sheet leverage. The earnings call adds some support via reaffirmed guidance, improving recurring revenue mix, and an outlined path to better margins, but execution/liquidity risks remain meaningful. Technically, the stock is still below key moving averages, and valuation is hard to assess due to negative earnings and no indicated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Recurring revenue expansion
A rising recurring mix (consumables/services = 63% of revenue) improves revenue stability and predictability over multi-year instrument lifecycles. Durable consumables attach-rates convert installed systems into repeatable revenue and higher lifetime value, lowering reliance on one-time instrument sales.
Negative Factors
Sustained cash burn
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow creates ongoing funding needs and dilutive or covenant-driven financing risk. Until operations generate positive cash, management must secure credit or equity, which constrains capital allocation and heightens execution sensitivity over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring revenue expansion
A rising recurring mix (consumables/services = 63% of revenue) improves revenue stability and predictability over multi-year instrument lifecycles. Durable consumables attach-rates convert installed systems into repeatable revenue and higher lifetime value, lowering reliance on one-time instrument sales.
Read all positive factors

Rapid Micro Biosystems (RPID) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rapid Micro Biosystems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Rapid Micro Biosystems, Inc., a life sciences technology company, provides products for the detection of microbial contamination in the manufacture of pharmaceutical, medical devices, and personal care products in North America, Europe, and Asia. ...
How the Company Makes Money
Rapid Micro Biosystems makes money primarily by selling its automated microbial detection platform and generating recurring revenue from ongoing consumables and services tied to the installed base. Key revenue streams include: (1) Product revenue ...

Rapid Micro Biosystems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed but improving picture: revenue, product/consumables growth, recurring revenue expansion, system placements, and a strategic MilliporeSigma partnership are meaningful positives and support long-term margin improvement. However, near-term challenges include low absolute gross margins, a widened net loss, elevated operating expenses, significant Q1 cash burn, and variability in service revenue tied to validation timing. Management reiterated full-year revenue guidance and outlined margin improvement expectations, but execution risk and liquidity depend on achieving planned cost reductions, converting the sales funnel (including MilliporeSigma-driven placements), and unlocking credit facility tranches.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total revenue of $8.0M in Q1 2026, up 11% year-over-year (from $7.2M). Full-year 2026 revenue guidance reaffirmed at $37M to $41M.
Negative Updates
Low Absolute Gross Margin and Continued Negative Product Margin
Q1 total gross margin remained low at 5% and product margin, while improved, was still negative at -8% in the quarter. Company expects product margin to inflect positive beginning in Q2 but current absolute margins remain a near-term weakness.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth
Total revenue of $8.0M in Q1 2026, up 11% year-over-year (from $7.2M). Full-year 2026 revenue guidance reaffirmed at $37M to $41M.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reaffirmed full‑year 2026 guidance of $37–$41 million in revenue and 30–38 Growth Direct system placements (with at least 25 validations expected in 2026), and guided Q2 revenue of at least $7.7 million including at least 4 system placements; they expect full‑year gross margin of ~20% with Q2 gross margin in the mid‑ to high‑teens and a Q4 exit in the mid‑20% range (product margin in the high single digits to low teens; service margin >40%). Full‑year operating expenses are guided to $48–52 million with total noncash expenses of $8 million (D&A ~$3M, stock‑based comp ~$5M; $7M of noncash in OpEx and $1M in cost of revenue), CapEx ~$2M, interest income ~$1M and interest expense ~$2M. For context, Q1 results included $8.0M revenue (+11% YoY), six system placements in the quarter (196 systems placed globally, 160 fully validated), product revenue $5.6M (+36%), service revenue $2.4M, recurring revenue $5.1M (63% of total, +28%), Q1 gross margin 5% ($0.4M), Q1 net loss $14.3M, $15M cash used in Q1, $23M ending cash and $25M remaining availability under the Trinity credit facility (two $10M tranches and a $5M lender option).

Rapid Micro Biosystems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue momentum is improving and gross margin has turned positive versus earlier years, but profitability and cash generation remain major issues (TTM net margin ~-146%, TTM operating cash flow about -$36.2M and free cash flow about -$37.1M). Balance-sheet risk has also increased as leverage rose meaningfully with declining equity (TTM debt-to-equity ~1.16), keeping overall financial quality weak despite the better trajectory.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Cash Flow
24
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue34.38M33.59M28.05M22.52M17.13M23.23M
Gross Profit4.26M7.61M-109.00K-5.49M-8.54M-7.74M
EBITDA-46.59M-44.14M-46.56M-53.46M-60.38M-45.70M
Net Income-50.14M-47.12M-46.89M-52.47M-60.81M-73.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets62.36M74.85M98.17M143.45M190.65M241.17M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.95M38.30M50.73M92.05M108.65M193.50M
Total Debt23.71M23.87M6.17M7.35M7.97M0.00
Total Liabilities41.97M41.65M22.82M25.46M26.48M20.19M
Stockholders Equity20.40M33.21M75.35M117.99M164.17M220.98M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-37.10M-31.91M-45.52M-46.93M-65.29M-58.18M
Operating Cash Flow-36.18M-31.06M-44.15M-45.08M-58.55M-54.96M
Investing Cash Flow12.24M14.33M36.66M42.15M-93.47M-13.29M
Financing Cash Flow18.76M19.77M203.00K149.00K693.00K216.75M

Rapid Micro Biosystems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.28
Price Trends
50DMA
2.34
Negative
100DMA
3.14
Negative
200DMA
3.20
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Positive
RSI
37.27
Neutral
STOCH
18.44
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RPID, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.34, below the 50-day MA of 2.34, and below the 200-day MA of 3.20, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.44 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RPID.

Rapid Micro Biosystems Risk Analysis

Rapid Micro Biosystems disclosed 69 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rapid Micro Biosystems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rapid Micro Biosystems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
54
Neutral
$273.68M-3.92-59.10%1.85%27.73%
52
Neutral
$147.91M-3.06-101.28%30.66%25.64%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
$73.72M0.50-514.92%1.12%
46
Neutral
$217.28M-2.11-370.21%23.03%60.80%
45
Neutral
$93.82M-1.81-131.52%15.99%-8.91%
44
Neutral
$65.47M-0.99-82.79%1.23%10.65%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RPID
Rapid Micro Biosystems
2.05
-1.50
-42.25%
LUNG
Pulmonx
1.55
-1.54
-49.76%
LNSR
LENSAR
6.09
-7.49
-55.15%
HYPR
Hyperfine
1.49
0.83
125.76%
SGHT
Sight Sciences
5.03
1.59
46.22%
LUCD
Lucid Diagnostics
1.07
-0.45
-29.61%

Rapid Micro Biosystems Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Rapid Micro Biosystems Announces COO Transition and Consulting Role
Neutral
Mar 27, 2026
On March 23, 2026, Rapid Micro Biosystems announced that Chief Operating Officer John Wilson intends to depart the company effective April 10, 2026, citing a desire to spend more time with his family and with no disagreements regarding company ope...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Rapid Micro Biosystems Posts Record 2025 Results, Guides Higher
Positive
Mar 12, 2026
On March 12, 2026, Rapid Micro Biosystems reported record results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, with Q4 revenue rising 37% year over year to $11.3 million and full-year revenue up 20% to $33.6 million, driven by increased product and ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026