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Rapid Micro Biosystems (RPID)
NASDAQ:RPID
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Rapid Micro Biosystems (RPID) AI Stock Analysis

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RPID

Rapid Micro Biosystems

(NASDAQ:RPID)

Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-4.58% Downside)
Rapid Micro Biosystems' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial challenges, including persistent losses and negative cash flows. The technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, further weighing on the score. However, the earnings call and recent corporate events provide some positive outlook, with revenue growth and strategic collaborations offering potential for future improvement.
Positive Factors
Customer Adoption
A 2023 Company-led survey of 146 pharma professionals found 93% were open to adopting Rapid Microbial Methods, citing faster batch release, reduced manual labor, and improved integration with workflows.
Market Leadership
Rapid Micro Biosystems is emerging as the category leader in microbial quality control automation with its Growth Direct platform, a system that compresses testing timelines from weeks to days, reduces contamination risk, and ensures compliance with increasingly strict regulatory requirements.
Recurring Revenue
Recurring revenue now represents over 55% of total revenue, which includes consumables that carry a ~60% gross margin.
Negative Factors
Spending Uncertainty
Spending uncertainty and tariff impact are driving expectations toward the lower end of 21-25 placements.
Stock Market Reaction
The selloff following the Q2 print is viewed as underappreciating the strong growth outlook for Rapid with multiple avenues to outperform.

Rapid Micro Biosystems (RPID) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rapid Micro Biosystems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRapid Micro Biosystems (RPID) is a biotechnology company specializing in the development and commercialization of innovative products for the detection of microbial contamination in the production of pharmaceuticals, biotechnology products, and personal care products. The company's core products include automated, non-destructive microbial detection systems that provide rapid and accurate results, enabling manufacturers to ensure product safety and quality while streamlining their quality control processes.
How the Company Makes MoneyRapid Micro Biosystems generates revenue primarily through the sale of its automated microbial detection systems and related consumables. The company offers a range of products designed to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of microbial contamination testing in manufacturing environments. Revenue streams include the initial sale of detection instruments, ongoing sales of consumable testing materials required for regular system operation, and service agreements for maintenance and support. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic partnerships with pharmaceutical and biotechnology firms to enhance its market reach and leverage collaborative opportunities.

Rapid Micro Biosystems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -19.63%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call emphasized strong revenue growth and significant improvements in service revenue and gross margins. However, challenges remain with high operating expenses, negative product margins, and a substantial net loss. The collaboration with MilliporeSigma and customer demand for GrowthDirect provide a positive outlook, though macroeconomic uncertainties persist.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total first quarter revenue increased 28% to $7.2 million, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of meeting or exceeding guidance.
Service Revenue Increase
Service revenue increased 64% year over year, setting a quarterly record.
Gross Margin Improvement
First quarter gross margins were 6%, representing a 33 percentage point improvement compared to the prior year quarter.
Successful System Placements
Three GrowthRx systems were placed in Q1, with 165 cumulative global placements, including 146 fully validated systems.
Collaboration with MilliporeSigma
Promising start to the collaboration, with global co-exclusive rights to sell the GrowthDirect system and related consumables.
Negative Updates
Operating Expenses
Total operating expenses were $12.1 million, representing a decrease of only 5% from Q1 2024.
Product Margins
Product margins were negative 23%, or negative $900,000 in the first quarter.
Net Loss
Net loss was $11.3 million in Q1, compared to a net loss of $13.3 million in Q1 last year.
Macroenvironment Uncertainty
Ongoing uncertainty around the timing and scale of customer purchase decisions and the evolving tariff landscape.
Company Guidance
During the Rapid Micro Biosystems First Quarter 2025 earnings call, significant guidance was provided detailing the company's financial performance and strategic outlook. The company reported a total revenue increase of 28% to $7.2 million, marking their tenth consecutive quarter of meeting or exceeding guidance. Service revenue experienced substantial growth of 64% year over year, setting a quarterly record. Notable improvements were seen in gross margins, which increased by 33 percentage points to 6%, driven by cost reductions and manufacturing efficiencies. The company placed three GrowthRx systems in Q1, maintaining a total of 165 global placements, 146 of which are fully validated. Operating expenses decreased by 5% to $12.1 million, with a net loss of $11.3 million, improving from the previous year's loss of $13.3 million. The company reaffirmed its full-year 2025 revenue guidance of at least $32 million and provided Q2 revenue guidance ranging from $6.75 million to $7.75 million. Additionally, they anticipate completing at least 18 system validations for the year. The collaboration with MilliporeSigma is expected to enhance supply chain efficiencies and gross margin improvements, positioning the company to benefit from the anticipated expansion of U.S.-based pharmaceutical manufacturing capacities.

Rapid Micro Biosystems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rapid Micro Biosystems shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow. The balance sheet is stable with a strong equity base, but operational inefficiencies and consistent net losses present challenges. Improvement in margins and cash flow management is needed.
Income Statement
40
Negative
The company has shown consistent revenue growth, with a significant revenue growth rate of 9.8% in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). However, profitability metrics are concerning, with negative gross profit margin of 12.1% and net profit margin of -151.2% in the TTM. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating operational challenges and high operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company maintains a strong equity position with an equity ratio of 76.6% in the TTM, showcasing financial stability. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.09, indicating limited leverage, which can be both a strength and a limitation for growth. However, the return on equity is negative due to persistent net losses, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns from shareholder equity.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
The company faces cash flow challenges with negative operating and free cash flows. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.84, which suggests that cash generation remains a challenge despite net income levels. Additionally, the free cash flow growth rate is negative, indicating a worsening free cash flow situation over time.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.29M28.05M22.52M17.13M23.23M16.08M
Gross Profit5.73M-109.00K-5.49M-8.54M-7.74M-8.07M
EBITDA-43.92M-46.56M-53.46M-60.38M-45.80M-32.00M
Net Income-44.11M-46.89M-52.47M-60.81M-73.52M-37.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets75.59M98.17M143.45M190.65M241.17M70.00M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments31.25M50.73M92.05M108.65M193.50M45.08M
Total Debt5.58M6.17M7.35M7.97M400.00K24.81M
Total Liabilities21.04M22.82M25.46M26.48M20.19M45.18M
Stockholders Equity54.55M75.35M117.99M164.17M220.98M24.82M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-38.28M-45.52M-46.93M-65.29M-58.18M-31.69M
Operating Cash Flow-37.27M-44.15M-45.08M-58.55M-54.96M-31.00M
Investing Cash Flow18.35M36.66M42.15M-93.47M-13.29M-15.67M
Financing Cash Flow136.00K203.00K149.00K693.00K216.75M64.23M

Rapid Micro Biosystems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.62
Price Trends
50DMA
3.46
Negative
100DMA
3.07
Negative
200DMA
2.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.19
Positive
RSI
33.90
Neutral
STOCH
29.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RPID, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.46, below the 50-day MA of 3.46, and above the 200-day MA of 2.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RPID.

Rapid Micro Biosystems Risk Analysis

Rapid Micro Biosystems disclosed 69 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rapid Micro Biosystems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rapid Micro Biosystems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$95.72M12.365.00%0.29%-22.13%
57
Neutral
$56.55M48.68-1.62%3.30%-112.70%
56
Neutral
$255.13M-46.85%14.65%-86.36%
54
Neutral
$84.74M-9.80%15.16%-39.18%
51
Neutral
$7.46B-0.16-46.00%2.25%22.82%-2.28%
47
Neutral
$124.67M-59.15%22.57%14.11%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RPID
Rapid Micro Biosystems
2.62
1.77
208.24%
FONR
Fonar
15.10
-1.96
-11.49%
XTNT
Xtant Medical Holdings
0.63
0.01
1.61%
SRTS
Sensus Healthcare
3.35
-3.70
-52.48%
MASS
908 Devices
6.63
2.37
55.63%

Rapid Micro Biosystems Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingFinancial Disclosures
Rapid Micro Biosystems Secures $45M Loan for Growth
Positive
Aug 12, 2025

On August 8, 2025, Rapid Micro Biosystems entered into a Loan and Security Agreement with Trinity Capital Inc., securing a $45 million term loan facility to bolster its financial position and support long-term growth. The company reported a 10% increase in total revenue for the second quarter of 2025 compared to the previous year, driven by strong performance in service and product revenue, and reaffirmed its full-year revenue guidance of at least $32 million.

The most recent analyst rating on (RPID) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rapid Micro Biosystems stock, see the RPID Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rapid Micro Biosystems CEO Diagnosed with Lymphoma
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Robert Spignesi, CEO of Rapid Micro Biosystems, announced his diagnosis with a treatable form of Lymphoma. Despite the diagnosis and ongoing treatment, Spignesi plans to continue leading the company with limited in-person presence, expressing confidence in the company’s ability to maintain its performance and thanking the team for their support.

The most recent analyst rating on (RPID) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rapid Micro Biosystems stock, see the RPID Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Rapid Micro Biosystems Board Resignation and Elections
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Jeffrey Schwartz resigned from the board of directors of Rapid Micro Biosystems, where he served since April 2018, without any disagreements with the company. During the company’s annual meeting on the same day, stockholders elected Dafni Bika and Inese Lowenstein as Class I Directors and ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (RPID) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rapid Micro Biosystems stock, see the RPID Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025