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Lucid Diagnostics Inc. (LUCD)
:LUCD
US Market
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Lucid Diagnostics (LUCD) AI Stock Analysis

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LUCD

Lucid Diagnostics

(NASDAQ:LUCD)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-1.96% Downside)
Lucid Diagnostics' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance, which is challenged by high leverage and negative cash flows despite strong revenue growth. The technical analysis suggests a bearish trend, and the valuation is unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio. The earnings call provides some optimism with strategic partnerships and potential Medicare coverage, but operational challenges remain significant.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Lucid Diagnostics' strong revenue growth indicates increasing adoption of its EsoGuard test, suggesting a growing market presence and potential for sustained expansion.
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with Hoag Health System enhances distribution and credibility, potentially increasing EsoGuard's market penetration and long-term revenue streams.
Medicare Coverage Progress
Progress towards Medicare coverage could significantly boost EsoGuard's accessibility and reimbursement, driving long-term revenue growth and market expansion.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk, potentially impacting Lucid Diagnostics' ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage economic downturns.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flows highlight liquidity challenges, limiting Lucid Diagnostics' ability to sustain operations and invest in future growth without external financing.
Operational Cost Challenges
High operational costs can strain financial resources, necessitating improved cost management for Lucid Diagnostics to achieve profitability and financial sustainability.

Lucid Diagnostics (LUCD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lucid Diagnostics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLucid Diagnostics Inc. operates as a commercial-stage medical diagnostics technology company. The company focuses on patients with gastroesophageal reflux disease, which is also known as chronic heartburn, acid reflux, or simply reflux, who are at risk of developing esophageal precancer and cancer, specifically highly lethal esophageal adenocarcinoma. Its lead products include EsoGuard, a laboratory developed esophageal DNA test; and EsoCheck, an esophageal cell collection device. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in New York, New York. Lucid Diagnostics Inc. is a subsidiary of PAVmed Inc.
How the Company Makes MoneyLucid Diagnostics generates revenue primarily through the sale and distribution of its EsoGuard Esophageal DNA Test. The company earns money by partnering with healthcare providers, including hospitals, clinics, and gastroenterologists, who administer the test to patients. These partnerships are crucial as they extend the reach of EsoGuard to patients who are at risk of esophageal cancer or precancerous conditions. Revenue is primarily driven by the volume of tests conducted and processed, as well as through reimbursement agreements with insurance companies and healthcare payers. Additionally, Lucid Diagnostics may engage in research collaborations and licensing agreements to further expand its diagnostic offerings and market presence.

Lucid Diagnostics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted several positive developments, including significant revenue growth, successful partnerships, and progress toward Medicare coverage. However, challenges remain in terms of revenue recognition and high operational costs. The sentiment is cautiously optimistic with a focus on achieving Medicare coverage as a key milestone.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Revenue for the second quarter was $1.2 million, representing a 40% increase from the first quarter and matching a previous quarterly high.
Partnership with Hoag
Lucid Diagnostics launched a comprehensive EsoGuard esophageal precancer testing program in partnership with Hoag, a world-class health system in Orange County, California.
Successful Financing
An underwritten public offering netted $16.1 million, extending the company's runway well into 2026.
Highmark Blue Cross Blue Shield Coverage
Highmark Blue Cross Blue Shield positive coverage policy for EsoGuard became effective, marking the first commercial coverage policy for Lucid Diagnostics.
Positive Indicators for Medicare Coverage
Upcoming Multi-Jurisdictional CAC meeting scheduled for September 4 is seen as a strong indicator of progress towards a positive Medicare coverage policy outcome.
Negative Updates
Uncertain Timeline for Medicare Coverage
The timeline for the final Medicare coverage decision remains uncertain, with expectations extending possibly into 2026.
Revenue Recognition Challenges
The company continues to face challenges with revenue recognition due to the early stages of its reimbursement process.
High Cash Burn Rate
The quarterly burn rate was $10.3 million, indicating ongoing high operational costs.
Company Guidance
During the Lucid Diagnostics Second Quarter 2025 Business Update Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics and strategic initiatives. Test volume for their EsoGuard product reached 2,756 tests, aligning with their target range of 2,500 to 3,000 tests per quarter, contributing to a revenue of $1.2 million, marking a 40% increase from the previous quarter. Lucid Diagnostics emphasized their strategic partnership with Hoag health system in Orange County to expand EsoGuard's reach, which involves collaboration with over 200 primary care physicians and gastroenterologists. The company also highlighted advancements in securing Medicare coverage, noting an upcoming Multi-Jurisdictional CAC meeting as a critical step towards favorable Medicare policy. Financially, Lucid reported $31.1 million in cash at the end of the quarter, with a quarterly burn rate of $10.3 million. They have a robust pipeline for cash pay and contracted programs and are actively engaging with commercial payers to expand coverage policies. The conference call underscored confidence in achieving Medicare coverage, which is anticipated to significantly impact future revenue and commercialization efforts.

Lucid Diagnostics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lucid Diagnostics is experiencing rapid revenue growth, but this is overshadowed by significant profitability and cash flow challenges. The company is highly leveraged, which increases financial risk, especially given its negative margins and cash flows. While the revenue growth is promising, the company must focus on improving operational efficiency and managing its debt to achieve sustainable financial health.
Income Statement
15
Very Negative
Lucid Diagnostics has shown significant revenue growth in the TTM period, but the company is struggling with negative margins across the board. The gross profit margin, net profit margin, EBIT margin, and EBITDA margin are all negative, indicating that the company is not currently profitable. The high revenue growth rate is a positive sign, but the substantial losses suggest that the company needs to improve its cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
20
Very Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, which poses a risk if the company cannot generate sufficient cash flow to service its debt. The return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate profit from shareholders' equity. However, the equity ratio is relatively stable, suggesting that the company has a reasonable proportion of equity in its asset base.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
The cash flow statement shows negative operating and free cash flows, which are concerning as they indicate the company is not generating enough cash from its operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, suggesting that the company is managing its cash flow relative to its net losses. However, the overall negative cash flow growth and coverage ratios highlight liquidity challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.36M4.35M2.43M377.00K500.00K0.00
Gross Profit-2.81M-3.92M-6.05M-3.24M-85.00K0.00
EBITDA-54.36M-44.34M-49.75M-54.23M-27.41M482.00
Net Income-55.26M-45.53M-52.67M-56.17M-28.08M-8.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets38.67M30.71M27.27M32.51M59.00M2.19M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments31.12M22.36M18.90M22.47M53.66M111.25K
Total Debt27.55M21.25M15.26M2.00M0.000.00
Total Liabilities30.81M25.32M29.58M9.46M4.26M15.71M
Stockholders Equity7.86M5.39M-2.31M23.05M54.74M-13.52M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-23.03B-44.79M-33.04M-30.59M-18.53M-5.63M
Operating Cash Flow-23.03B-44.14M-32.82M-29.68M-17.67M-5.63M
Investing Cash Flow-118.61M-646.00K-221.00K-4.11M-862.00K0.00
Financing Cash Flow16.49B48.25M29.46M2.61M72.08M5.58M

Lucid Diagnostics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.02
Price Trends
50DMA
1.08
Negative
100DMA
1.15
Negative
200DMA
1.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
41.78
Neutral
STOCH
13.37
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LUCD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.08, below the 50-day MA of 1.08, and below the 200-day MA of 1.17, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.37 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LUCD.

Lucid Diagnostics Risk Analysis

Lucid Diagnostics disclosed 9 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lucid Diagnostics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lucid Diagnostics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
52
Neutral
$84.24M-18.18-9.44%15.16%-39.18%
48
Neutral
$142.92M-2.51107.86%36.81%-74.26%
46
Neutral
$67.64M-1.18-82.41%18.24%4.81%
44
Neutral
$139.97M-463.56%14.74%14.63%
42
Neutral
$145.61M-2.7838.32%-1.31%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LUCD
Lucid Diagnostics
1.02
0.21
25.93%
ICAD
iCAD
3.87
2.31
148.08%
RCEL
Avita Medical
5.47
-5.35
-49.45%
XTNT
Xtant Medical Holdings
0.65
0.02
3.17%
LUNG
Pulmonx
1.69
-5.61
-76.85%
OWLT
Owlet
8.58
4.08
90.67%

Lucid Diagnostics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Lucid Diagnostics Completes Public Offering for $26.9 Million
Positive
Sep 11, 2025

On September 11, 2025, Lucid Diagnostics Inc. announced the closing of its underwritten public offering of 28,750,000 shares of common stock at $1.00 per share, generating approximately $26.9 million in net proceeds. The funds are intended for working capital and general corporate purposes, with Canaccord Genuity LLC and BTIG, LLC acting as joint bookrunners, and Maxim Group LLC as co-manager. This offering, made under an existing shelf registration, aims to strengthen Lucid’s financial position and support its ongoing operations in the cancer prevention diagnostics market.

The most recent analyst rating on (LUCD) stock is a Buy with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lucid Diagnostics stock, see the LUCD Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Lucid Diagnostics Announces Public Stock Offering
Neutral
Sep 10, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Lucid Diagnostics entered into an underwriting agreement for a public offering of its common stock, pricing each share at $1.00. The offering, managed by Canaccord Genuity LLC and BTIG, LLC, aims to raise $25 million, with potential to increase to $28.75 million if additional shares are purchased. The proceeds will support working capital and general corporate purposes, with the sale expected to close on September 11, 2025, subject to customary conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (LUCD) stock is a Buy with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lucid Diagnostics stock, see the LUCD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 12, 2025