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CSW Industrials (CSW)
NYSE:CSW

CSW Industrials (CSW) AI Stock Analysis

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CSW

CSW Industrials

(NYSE:CSW)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$325.00
▲(8.92% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/30/26
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying financial performance (high margins and solid free cash flow), supported by a generally positive earnings-call outlook on acquisition synergies and disciplined leverage. These positives are tempered by weak near-term technicals (oversold/downtrend versus key moving averages) and a demanding valuation (high P/E with low yield).
Positive Factors
High margins & profitability
Consistently strong gross and net margins indicate durable pricing power and operational leverage across CSW’s diversified product lines. High margins support internal cash generation and reinvestment capacity, cushioning the business through cyclical end markets and integration costs.
Robust cash generation
Material and growing operating and free cash flow demonstrate high earnings quality and funding flexibility. Reliable FCF close to reported earnings supports acquisitions, buybacks and deleveraging, reducing reliance on external financing over a multi-quarter horizon.
Disciplined acquisitions & synergy execution
Successful integration and measurable synergy targets from large, strategic deals signal scalable M&A capability. Delivering accretive acquisitions that raise margins should sustainably expand cash flow and competitive position once integration-related dilution subsides.
Negative Factors
Increased leverage and interest costs
A meaningful rise in debt and interest expense reduces net income and free cash flow available for growth or buybacks. Higher financing costs increase sensitivity to rate moves and elongate payback on acquisitions, raising refinancing and covenant monitoring risk over the medium term.
Margin compression from acquisitions and input costs
Material margin declines reflect acquisition dilution prior to synergies plus tariff-driven input pressure. Until realized synergies and pricing actions offset these headwinds, profitability and return-on-invested-capital will remain pressured and slower to translate into durable EPS gains.
Organic demand weakness and added seasonality
End-market destocking and housing weakness create multi-quarter organic revenue headwinds in the largest segment. Combined with increased seasonality from recent acquisitions, this reduces revenue predictability and delays margin recovery, making performance more dependent on successful integration.

CSW Industrials (CSW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CSW Industrials Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCSW Industrials, Inc. provides various industrial products in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Contractor Solutions, Engineered Building Solutions, and Specialized Reliability Solutions. The Contractor Solutions segment offers condensate pads, pans, and pumps; condensate switches and traps; drain management system; drain waste and vent mechanical products; ductless mini-split systems installation support tools and accessories; HVAC electrical protection, installation supplies, and maintenance chemicals; evaporator coils and air handlers; grilles, registers, diffusers and vents; line set covers; load management systems; refrigerant caps; solvents, cements, traps, and thread sealants; surge protection products; and wire pulling head tools. This segment sells its products under the AquaGuard, Aspen, Clean Check, Cover Guard, Desolv, Dust Free, EZ Trap, Falcon Stainless, Fortress, Goliath, G-O-N, Guardian Drain Lock, Hubsett, Kickstart, Leak Freeze, No. 5, Novent, PF WaterWorks, PRO-Fit, PSP Products, RectorSeal, Safe-T-Switch, Shoemaker Manufacturing, Slimduct, SureSeal, TRU-BLU, and TRUaire brands. The Engineered Building Solutions segment offers architectural railings and metals; fire and smoke protection, and fire stopping solutions; and pre-engineered and custom architectural building components under the Balco, BlazeSeal, Greco, IllumiTread, Metacaulk, MetaflexPro, and Smoke Guard brands. The Specialized Reliability Solutions segment provides compounds, lubricants, and sealants; industrial maintenance and repair, anti-seize, contamination control, and desiccant breather filtration products; lubricant management systems; operation solutions; and rail friction modifiers under the AccuTrack, Air Sentry, BioRail, Deacon, Envirolube, Extreme, Gearmate, Jet-Lube, Kopr-Kote, Matrix, NCS-30 ECF, OilSafe, RailArmor, Run-N-Seal ECF, TOR Armor, and Whitmore brands. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyCSW Industrials generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily by selling its diverse range of industrial and specialty chemical products to a variety of end markets. The company benefits from a strong distribution network and has established partnerships with major distributors and retailers, which facilitates broad market access and enhances sales. Additionally, CSW engages in direct sales to industrial clients, which contributes significantly to its revenue. The company also focuses on innovation and product development, allowing it to expand its product offerings and capture new market opportunities, thereby driving growth and profitability.

CSW Industrials Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 29, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a generally positive operational and strategic picture: record revenue and adjusted EBITDA, strong free cash flow, substantial accretive acquisitions with early synergy progress, and disciplined capital actions (including meaningful buybacks). Offsetting these positives are shorter-term financial headwinds driven by acquisition-related amortization and higher interest expense, margin compression due to acquisition dilution and tariff-driven input cost pressure, and near-term organic weakness in the Contractor Solutions end market from customer destocking and housing softness. Management expresses confidence in integration, synergy realization, and eventual margin recovery while maintaining leverage within target levels.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA
Consolidated fiscal Q3 revenue of $233.0M, up 20% year-over-year, and record adjusted consolidated EBITDA of $45.0M, up 7% versus the prior year. Management emphasized adjusted EBITDA as the best multi-period comparison metric given recent acquisitions.
Strong Free Cash Flow and Operating Cash
Operating cash flow of $28.9M (up 165% YoY) and free cash flow of $22.7M (up 193% YoY). Free cash flow per share was $1.37 in the quarter (compared to $0.46 prior year), noting the prior-year tax payment deferral materially impacted comparisons.
Large, Strategic Acquisitions Executed
Approximately $1.0B of acquisitions closed over the last twelve months, including Mars Parts for $650M (Contractor Solutions) and Hydrotech & ProAction for ~$26.5M (SRS), plus the earlier Aspen acquisition. Management stated the transactions are revenue, EBITDA and cash flow accretive and integration is progressing well.
Synergies and Integration Progress — Mars Parts
Management expects to exceed the initially announced $10M run-rate synergies for Mars Parts and to reach (and potentially exceed) a 30% EBITDA margin for that business within 12 months. ERP conversion for Mars Parts completed and commercial harmonization underway.
Disciplined Capital Allocation — Share Repurchase
Executed opportunistic buybacks of ~$70M (283,000 shares at an average $246 per share) during the quarter while maintaining liquidity and target leverage levels.
Balance Sheet and Leverage Within Target
Net debt for covenant calculation purposes of $764M and net debt-to-EBITDA leverage of 2.3x, inside the stated target range of 1–3x. Management noted use of cash and low-cost debt to fund acquisitions and an interest rate hedge (SOFR swap at 3.416%) on part of term loan A.
Operational and Cultural Strength
Safety and employee metrics improved: TRIR improved to 1.1 (from 1.2) and Korn Ferry engagement survey participation was 90% (vs. 85% two years ago), reflecting strong culture and integration focus.
Negative Updates
Adjusted EPS and Interest Expense Pressure
Adjusted EPS was $1.42, down 21% year-over-year. The reduction was primarily driven by approximately $10M of higher interest expense as the company moved from a net cash to a net debt position (quarterly interest expense ~$8M vs. prior-year interest income of $2M).
Margin Compression — Consolidated Gross and EBITDA Margins
Consolidated gross margin declined 170 basis points to 39.7% (from 41.4%), and consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin declined 250 basis points to 19.2% (from 21.7%). Management attributed margin compression to acquisition-related dilution prior to synergies and higher input costs including tariff impacts.
Organic Revenue Weakness in Contractor Solutions
Consolidated organic revenue declined 2.9%. Contractor Solutions reported $168M revenue (71% of total) up 27% overall but included a $6.8M (5.1%) organic decline driven by destocking in the residential HVACR end market and weaker housing activity.
Acquisition Accounting and Amortization Headwinds
Quarter included $11.3M of amortization of acquired intangible assets (68¢ per share) and $6.6M ($0.40 per share) of acquisition-related transaction and integration costs. Management now expects annualized amortization of intangible assets to be approximately $63M going forward, pressuring GAAP EPS comparisons.
Segment Margin Pressures and Restructuring in SRS
Specialized Reliability Solutions (SRS) revenue grew 10.8% to $38M but adjusted EBITDA fell 1.6% to $6.5M and margin contracted 210 bps to 16.9%. Management announced restructuring actions in SRS (one-time charges to be reported in Q4) to target a sustained 20% EBITDA margin.
Engineered Building Solutions (EBS) Softness and Tariff Exposure
EBS revenue declined 1% to $28.5M and segment EBITDA decreased 5% to $3.9M (margin 13.7%), with higher material costs indirectly linked to tariffs and flat backlog (book-to-bill 0.9). Management is taking project-by-project pricing actions.
Seasonality and Increased Volatility from New Acquisitions
Management noted the addition of Aspen and Mars magnifies seasonality and complicates year-over-year comparisons (e.g., Aspen down 23.7% in the quarter but +14% since May 1), and stated third-quarter organic comparisons are less relevant during integration.
Company Guidance
Guidance highlights: management reiterated a target net-debt-to-EBITDA range of 1.0–3.0x (quarter-end net debt for covenant purposes $764M, leverage 2.3x) and said they’ll provide a clearer fiscal‑2027 outlook on the fiscal Q4 call in May; they funded the $650M Mars Parts deal with a $600M five‑year term loan A (SOFR+200bps, hedged in part with a SOFR swap at 3.416% for three years) and had $200M revolver outstanding at quarter end, and opportunistically repurchased $70M of stock (283,000 shares at $246 avg); on Mars Parts they reiterated a $10M run‑rate synergy target and 30% EBITDA margin within 12 months and said they now expect to exceed that goal; annualized amortization from recent acquisitions is expected to be about $63M; Contractor Solutions remains a mid‑to‑high single‑digit organic growth target through the cycle (noting Q3 inorganic‑driven consolidated revenue of $233M, +20% YoY, with a 2.9% consolidated organic decline and Contractor Solutions revenue $168M, +27% overall but -5.1% organic), and they expect China to be ~10% of Contractor Solutions COGS by end‑FY26, Vietnam the low‑30s%, other Asia ~15%; SRS is targeting a sustained 20% EBITDA margin with restructuring benefits effective April 1; and tax guidance for FY2026 was ~23% GAAP (~26% adjusted), all while continuing to prioritize disciplined capital allocation.

CSW Industrials Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and cash generation (high margins and healthy free cash flow with solid earnings conversion). Offsetting factors are moderating growth and a notable increase in debt in the TTM period, which raises monitoring needs despite improved leverage vs. earlier years.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
CSW shows a strong profitability profile with healthy TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross margin (~43%) and net margin (~15%), supporting solid operating leverage. Revenue has trended up over the multi-year period (from ~$626M in 2021 to ~$1.00B in TTM), though the growth rate has decelerated meaningfully from the outsized 2022 step-up to low-single digits in TTM. Margins are still strong, but TTM operating profit margin is modestly below the 2025 annual level, suggesting some recent normalization.
Balance Sheet
73
Positive
The balance sheet is generally sound with equity of ~$1.07B in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and returns on equity in the low-to-mid teens. Leverage looks improved versus earlier years (debt relative to equity materially lower than 2021–2023), which reduces financial risk. A key watch item is the sharp increase in total debt in TTM versus the most recent annual period provided, which could indicate a financing event or reclassification; even so, the company’s capitalization and profitability provide a cushion.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
Cash generation is strong: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow (~$179M) and free cash flow (~$162M) are healthy and free cash flow is growing. Free cash flow is consistently close to reported earnings (roughly 0.77–0.92x across periods), supporting earnings quality. The main softness is that TTM operating cash flow is roughly in line with net income (about 1.0x) versus stronger coverage in several prior annual periods, implying less working-capital benefit recently.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.00B878.30M792.84M757.90M626.43M626.43M
Gross Profit428.95M393.31M350.75M318.21M252.69M255.96M
EBITDA229.48M223.39M198.90M174.52M133.06M133.80M
Net Income126.90M136.65M101.65M96.44M66.39M66.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.29B1.38B1.04B1.04B995.36M995.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments40.24M225.84M22.16M18.45M16.62M16.62M
Total Debt797.76M69.36M233.56M318.37M325.32M325.32M
Total Liabilities1.20B286.63M408.25M499.31M510.95M510.95M
Stockholders Equity1.07B1.07B615.72M525.67M469.09M469.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow161.97M152.10M147.76M107.50M53.44M57.42M
Operating Cash Flow178.63M168.36M164.33M121.45M69.09M66.25M
Investing Cash Flow-1.02B-102.22M-45.45M-69.72M-51.46M-289.89M
Financing Cash Flow663.62M138.05M-114.07M-49.29M-13.04M214.05M

CSW Industrials Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price298.38
Price Trends
50DMA
305.62
Negative
100DMA
281.33
Positive
200DMA
280.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
48.37
Neutral
STOCH
35.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CSW, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 298.38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 294.27, below the 50-day MA of 305.62, and above the 200-day MA of 280.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CSW.

CSW Industrials Risk Analysis

CSW Industrials disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CSW Industrials reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CSW Industrials Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$4.68B23.5921.55%1.09%8.75%64.82%
71
Outperform
$5.91B145.525.80%0.56%6.44%101.24%
70
Outperform
$4.37B30.7210.89%1.06%5.06%-22.73%
68
Neutral
$3.95B38.8111.32%0.46%-0.96%-11.55%
66
Neutral
$5.00B40.2612.02%0.26%14.87%15.63%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$5.27B196.081.71%7.81%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CSW
CSW Industrials
298.38
1.58
0.53%
NPO
Enpro
257.30
72.47
39.21%
FELE
Franklin Electric Co
99.33
-0.76
-0.76%
KAI
Kadant
345.54
-25.87
-6.97%
MWA
Mueller Water Products
30.12
5.02
20.00%
MIR
Mirion Technologies
21.92
6.96
46.52%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026