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Kadant Inc (KAI)
NYSE:KAI
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Kadant (KAI) AI Stock Analysis

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KAI

Kadant

(NYSE:KAI)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$332.00
▲(0.05% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/01/26
The score is supported primarily by strong financial performance—durable profitability and consistently solid free cash flow. It is held back by weak technical positioning (trading below major moving averages) and a relatively expensive valuation (high P/E with a low dividend yield). Recent updates are constructive (record Q4 and improved margins), while the acquisition adds strategic upside but increases leverage and integration risk.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Consistent and growing free cash flow indicates the business converts earnings to cash reliably, supporting reinvestment, dividends, and debt servicing. This cash-generation durability underpins financial flexibility and funds organic growth and M&A without relying solely on external financing.
Negative Factors
Acquisition-Financed Borrowing
Financing a €157M acquisition largely with revolver borrowings raises leverage and reduces balance sheet flexibility. Higher debt increases interest and refinancing risk, constrains capital allocation, and amplifies exposure if integration takes longer or synergies fall short.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Consistent and growing free cash flow indicates the business converts earnings to cash reliably, supporting reinvestment, dividends, and debt servicing. This cash-generation durability underpins financial flexibility and funds organic growth and M&A without relying solely on external financing.
Read all positive factors

Kadant (KAI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kadant Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Kadant Inc. supplies technologies and engineered systems worldwide. It operates through three segments: Flow Control, Industrial Processing, and Material Handling. The Flow Control segment develops, manufactures, and markets fluid-handling systems...
How the Company Makes Money
Kadant makes money primarily by selling industrial equipment and systems and by generating recurring aftermarket revenue from parts and services tied to its installed base. (1) Capital equipment/systems sales: The company sells engineered machiner...

Kadant Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 23, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call reflects a mixed but measured tone. There are clear operating strengths: record Q4 revenue, a record aftermarket mix, strong cash flow and successful recent acquisitions. Segment-level improvements and conservative but upgradeable 2026 guidance are positives. Offsetting these are meaningful headwinds: weaker capital activity (capital revenue down 16% for the year), tariff-driven margin pressure, higher SG&A and tax impacts, rising net debt and an expected leverage increase tied to acquisitions, plus timing uncertainty for large capital orders. Management is cautious and focused on cash generation and integration upside, resulting in an outlook that balances tangible operational wins against persistent macro and timing risks.
Positive Updates
Record Q4 and Aftermarket Strength
Q4 revenue reached a record $286.2M, up 11% year-over-year, driven by acquisitions and a record aftermarket parts business; aftermarket parts comprised ~70% of Q4 revenue (71% for the full year). Bookings increased 12% in Q4 versus prior year.
Negative Updates
Full-Year Adjusted EPS and Adjusted EBITDA Declines
Full-year adjusted EPS decreased from $10.28 (2024) to $9.26 in 2025 (down $1.02). Full-year adjusted EBITDA declined 6% to $216.3M (20.6% of revenue) from $229.7M (21.8% of revenue) in 2024, driven largely by lower capital revenue.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Q4 and Aftermarket Strength
Q4 revenue reached a record $286.2M, up 11% year-over-year, driven by acquisitions and a record aftermarket parts business; aftermarket parts comprised ~70% of Q4 revenue (71% for the full year). Bookings increased 12% in Q4 versus prior year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Kadant guided fiscal 2026 revenue of $1.160–$1.185 billion and adjusted EPS of $10.40–$10.75 (excludes $0.13 of acquired profit/inventory amortization); after management will add back recurring intangible amortization (forecast $33.4M pre‑tax / $25.1M net of tax, $2.13 per share) the adjusted‑EPS range becomes $12.53–$12.88. First‑quarter 2026 guidance is $270–$280 million of revenue and adjusted EPS $1.78–$1.88 (excl $0.09), which increases to $2.31–$2.41 after the amortization add‑back. Management expects gross margins of ~45.2–45.7%, SG&A of 27.7–28.3% of revenue, R&D ~1.4% of revenue, net interest expense of ~$15.5–$16.0M (excludes any incremental interest from the proposed acquisition), a recurring tax rate of ~27.3–27.8%, depreciation & amortization of ~$60–61M, and CapEx of $23–27M. The guide assumes roughly flat to +1–3% organic growth, excludes the pending voestalpine acquisition (expected to close in Q1 and would push leverage to just above 2), treats Q1 as the weakest quarter due to delayed capital bookings, and leaves upside if several large customer proposals convert to orders.

Kadant Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and cash generation support a high-quality earnings profile. Offsets include a recent slowdown in revenue growth, some margin compression versus prior-year levels, and leverage trending higher from unusually low levels.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.05B1.05B957.67M904.74M786.58M
Gross Profit475.73M466.15M416.31M389.56M337.37M
EBITDA208.51M222.69M200.71M207.05M151.18M
Net Income101.97M111.60M116.07M120.93M84.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.71B1.43B1.18B1.15B1.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments122.68M94.66M106.45M79.72M94.16M
Total Debt374.50M322.84M135.61M223.44M294.07M
Total Liabilities721.11M572.22M399.43M494.31M566.60M
Stockholders Equity991.07M847.13M773.70M653.85M563.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow154.28M134.26M133.69M74.43M149.65M
Operating Cash Flow171.33M155.26M165.54M102.63M162.42M
Investing Cash Flow-205.42M-319.14M-30.79M-29.52M-154.47M
Financing Cash Flow54.01M159.91M-111.11M-80.57M22.81M

Kadant Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price331.84
Price Trends
50DMA
321.12
Positive
100DMA
310.65
Positive
200DMA
309.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.38
Negative
RSI
59.84
Neutral
STOCH
82.42
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KAI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 331.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 308.70, above the 50-day MA of 321.12, and above the 200-day MA of 309.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.42 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KAI.

Kadant Risk Analysis

Kadant disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kadant reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kadant Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$1.99B16.6411.42%6.15%28.45%
78
Outperform
$4.36B21.5521.00%1.09%5.94%45.38%
73
Outperform
$4.43B29.6711.46%1.06%7.98%-13.65%
67
Neutral
$3.46B33.0710.90%0.46%-0.11%-8.89%
66
Neutral
$4.80B118.5711.59%0.26%16.95%-10.01%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
56
Neutral
$2.57B18.6212.21%1.42%11.43%-21.53%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KAI
Kadant
285.85
-6.07
-2.08%
CXT
Crane NXT
44.60
-2.97
-6.25%
FELE
Franklin Electric Co
99.44
12.75
14.71%
MWA
Mueller Water Products
27.39
0.64
2.38%
THR
Thermon Group Holdings
60.52
33.00
119.91%
CSW
CSW Industrials
287.15
-29.51
-9.32%

Kadant Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Kadant Completes Acquisition of Voestalpine Böhler Profil Units
Positive
Apr 30, 2026
On April 30, 2026, Kadant Holdings GmbH, a subsidiary of Kadant Inc., completed its previously announced acquisition of voestalpine BÖHLER Profil GmbH Co KG and voestalpine BÖHLER Profil VerwaltungsGmbH for approximately €157 mill...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Kadant Updates Non-GAAP Metrics and 2026 Guidance
Neutral
Feb 23, 2026
On February 19, 2026, Kadant Inc. announced during its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 earnings webcast that it will change its methodology for calculating adjusted operating income, adjusted net income, and adjusted diluted EPS to exclude the f...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Kadant Posts Record Q4 Revenue and Improves Margins
Positive
Feb 18, 2026
Kadant reported on February 18, 2026, that fourth-quarter 2025 revenue rose 11% year over year to a record $286.2 million, with gross margin improving to 43.9% and adjusted EBITDA up 11%, while net income and GAAP EPS were flat at $24 million and ...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Kadant to Host Webcast on Proposed Böhler Profil Acquisition
Neutral
Feb 2, 2026
Kadant Inc. announced that on February 3, 2026, it will host a previously scheduled webcast and conference call to discuss its proposed acquisition of voestalpine BÖHLER Profil GmbH Co KG, with an accompanying investor presentation made avai...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 01, 2026