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Kadant Inc (KAI)
NYSE:KAI
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Kadant (KAI) AI Stock Analysis

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KAI

Kadant

(NYSE:KAI)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$361.00
▲(10.41% Upside)
Kadant's overall stock score reflects solid financial performance and efficient cash flow management, which are the most significant strengths. Technical indicators suggest mild bullish momentum, but high valuation metrics and challenges highlighted in the earnings call, such as revenue decline and global trade impacts, weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Kadant’s Q2/25 results exceeded expectations, with strong performance in revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS.
Market Expansion
The recent acquisition of Italian-based Babbini could enhance Kadant's market position and expand its capabilities.
Order Activity
Kadant experienced a 16% increase in ending backlog, driven by improving capital equipment orders.
Negative Factors
Economic Uncertainty
Tariff uncertainty, a deceleration in China, and sluggish U.S. residential activity continue to act as an overhang.
Guidance Reduction
Kadant reduced its 2025 guidance due to deferred capital equipment demand and China tariffs.
Tariff Challenges
Tariff headwinds remain relatively unchanged for 2025, posing a potential challenge to Kadant's profitability.

Kadant (KAI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kadant Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKadant Inc. supplies technologies and engineered systems worldwide. It operates through three segments: Flow Control, Industrial Processing, and Material Handling. The Flow Control segment develops, manufactures, and markets fluid-handling systems and equipment, such as rotary joints, syphons, turbulator bars, expansion joints, and engineered steam and condensate systems; and doctoring, cleaning, and filtration systems and related consumables, consisting of doctor systems and holders, doctor blades, shower and fabric-conditioning systems, formation systems, and water-filtration systems. The Industrial Processing segment develops, manufactures, and markets ring and rotary debarkers, stranders, chippers, logging machinery, industrial automation and control systems, recycling and approach flow systems, and virgin pulping process equipment for use in the packaging, tissue, wood products, and alternative fuel industries. The Material Handling segment offers conveying and vibratory equipment, and balers and related equipment; and manufactures and sells biodegradable absorbent granules for carriers in as carriers in agricultural, home lawn and garden, professional lawn, turf, and ornamental applications, as well as for oil and grease absorption. The company was formerly known as Thermo Fibertek Inc. and changed its name to Kadant Inc. in July 2001. Kadant Inc. was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Westford, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyKadant generates revenue through multiple key streams, including the sale of engineered systems and products, aftermarket parts, and services. The company earns a significant portion of its revenue from the sale of equipment used in paper and packaging production, which includes advanced technologies for drying, filtration, and fluid handling. Aftermarket services, including parts replacement, maintenance, and technical support, contribute to recurring revenue, as customers require ongoing support for their systems. Additionally, Kadant has established partnerships with various industrial players, enhancing its market reach and enabling the company to leverage collaborative opportunities for innovation and efficiency improvements, further driving its earnings potential.

Kadant Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong aftermarket parts demand and increased bookings in certain segments, but also highlighted several challenges including revenue decline, tariff impacts, and weaker performance in China. The company's strategic acquisitions and efforts to manage costs were positive, but offset by broader economic and trade-related uncertainties.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Aftermarket Parts Demand
Aftermarket parts revenue reached a record $181.8 million, contributing to an overall gross margin increase to 45.9%, up 150 basis points from the previous year.
Significant Bookings Increase
Bookings in Q2 increased by 7% to $269 million, led by strong capital performance and stable demand for aftermarket parts.
Flow Control Segment Growth
Flow Control segment revenue increased by 4% to $96 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 28.9%.
Material Handling Segment Performance
Bookings in the Material Handling segment grew by 16% to $71 million, driven by the bulk material handling product line.
Improved Cash Flow and Debt Reduction
Operating cash flow increased by 44% to $40.5 million and net debt decreased by over $100 million compared to the previous year.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline and Adjusted EBITDA Decrease
Revenue decreased by 7% compared to Q2 2024, and adjusted EBITDA was down 15% due to lower capital revenue in the Industrial Processing segment.
Impact of Global Trade and Tariffs
Tariffs and trade uncertainties impacted customer decision-making, particularly affecting capital investment activity.
Weaker Performance in China
Revenue in the Flow Control segment was dampened by weaker manufacturing activity in Europe and China.
SG&A Expenses Increase
SG&A expenses rose to 29% of revenue, up from 25.5% in the prior year period, due to foreign currency impacts and acquisition-related costs.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Kadant reported a robust performance with bookings increasing by 7% to $269 million, driven by strong capital performance and stable aftermarket parts demand. However, revenue decreased by 7% compared to the record revenue of the same period in 2024, primarily due to a decline in capital shipments. Adjusted EBITDA fell by 15% to $52 million, and adjusted EPS decreased by 18% to $2.31. The Flow Control segment saw a 4% revenue increase to $96 million, with aftermarket revenue comprising 75% of the total. The Industrial Processing segment experienced a 16% revenue decline, but bookings rose by 9% to $105 million. Material Handling bookings grew by 16% to $71 million, despite a 6% revenue decline. Gross margin improved to 45.9%, up 150 basis points, supported by a higher percentage of aftermarket parts revenue, which accounted for 71% of total revenue. The company maintained its full-year guidance, anticipating revenue of $1.20 billion to $1.40 billion and adjusted EPS of $9.05 to $9.25.

Kadant Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kadant exhibits strong financial health with stable profitability, efficient operations, and prudent financial management. The income statement shows robust revenue growth and profitability, while the balance sheet highlights good leverage management and equity utilization. Cash flow generation is strong, supporting growth and strategic investments. Some attention is needed on debt management as liabilities increase.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Kadant's income statement is robust with a consistent gross profit margin of around 44% over the periods. The net profit margin is stable at approximately 10%, reflecting efficiency in operations. Revenue growth from 2022 to 2023 shows a significant increase of 5.85%, indicating strong market demand. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, demonstrating strong operational performance and management efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Kadant's balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, showing prudent financial leverage. The return on equity remains strong, indicating effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid financial position and asset management. Despite an increase in total debt, the company's equity growth supports stability.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statement is strong, with a consistent operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating effective cash management. Free cash flow growth is evident, reflecting the company's ability to generate cash after capital expenditures. The company maintains a good balance between investing and financing activities to support growth and shareholder returns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.02B1.05B957.67M904.74M786.58M635.03M
Gross Profit460.67M466.15M416.31M389.56M337.37M277.31M
EBITDA212.65M222.69M200.71M187.77M150.72M112.11M
Net Income105.84M111.60M116.07M120.93M84.04M55.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.36B1.43B1.18B1.15B1.13B927.57M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments97.19M94.66M103.83M76.37M91.19M65.68M
Total Debt248.92M288.53M135.61M204.98M269.51M233.47M
Total Liabilities547.22M572.22M399.43M494.31M566.60M430.67M
Stockholders Equity816.65M847.13M773.70M653.85M563.94M495.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow150.12M134.26M133.69M74.43M149.65M85.29M
Operating Cash Flow167.69M155.26M165.54M102.63M162.42M92.88M
Investing Cash Flow-24.56M-319.14M-30.79M-29.52M-154.47M-14.54M
Financing Cash Flow-124.40M159.91M-111.11M-80.57M22.81M-84.56M

Kadant Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price326.95
Price Trends
50DMA
331.38
Negative
100DMA
321.49
Positive
200DMA
343.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.03
Positive
RSI
47.05
Neutral
STOCH
31.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KAI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 326.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 333.79, below the 50-day MA of 331.38, and below the 200-day MA of 343.17, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KAI.

Kadant Risk Analysis

Kadant disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kadant reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kadant Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$4.34B25.2414.38%1.07%2.20%-3.74%
77
Outperform
$4.19B28.2817.33%1.00%10.19%20.71%
74
Outperform
$6.68B33.336.31%-2.67%-17.55%
71
Outperform
$4.62B54.925.78%0.56%4.99%169.24%
69
Neutral
$3.85B36.4112.21%0.40%1.74%-7.64%
64
Neutral
$4.46B31.7515.79%0.20%12.27%19.05%
64
Neutral
$10.75B15.697.62%2.01%2.75%-15.14%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KAI
Kadant
326.95
25.03
8.29%
NPO
Enpro
219.39
74.79
51.72%
FELE
Franklin Electric Co
97.60
3.04
3.21%
MWA
Mueller Water Products
26.78
7.56
39.33%
CSW
CSW Industrials
265.58
-46.71
-14.96%
GTES
Gates Industrial
25.93
9.53
58.11%

Kadant Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Kadant Reports Mixed Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Jul 29, 2025

Kadant Inc. reported a mixed financial performance for the second quarter of 2025, with a 7% increase in bookings to $269 million but a 7% decrease in revenue to $255 million compared to the previous year. Despite a decline in net income and earnings per share, the company saw significant improvements in operating and free cash flow, indicating strong cash management. The company remains optimistic about future bookings and maintains its revenue and adjusted EPS guidance for the full year, reflecting stable demand for its products and a healthy backlog.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2025