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Kadant Inc (KAI)
NYSE:KAI

Kadant (KAI) AI Stock Analysis

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Kadant

(NYSE:KAI)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$339.00
▲(7.46%Upside)
Kadant's overall stock score reflects solid financial performance and operational resilience, despite challenges highlighted in the earnings call such as tariff impacts and revised guidance. Technical indicators suggest mixed market sentiment, while valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio add downside risk. The company's strategic focus on growth and cost management offers a positive outlook, but investors should be cautious of valuation and external economic pressures.
Positive Factors
Aftermarket Demand
Robust demand for aftermarket parts drove strong new order activity in Q1/25.
Flow Control Performance
Flow Control segment experienced solid demand, with a notable increase in adjusted EBITDA.
Order Momentum
Order activity has regained momentum, supported by several large projects and maintenance spend.
Negative Factors
Industrial Processing Challenges
Industrial Processing revenue experienced a significant decline due to reduced capital shipments.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Economic headwinds and global trade policy uncertainty impacted industrial demand and capital projects.
Tariffs Impact
Management's updated 2025 guidance for revenue and adjusted EPS is lower than previous guidance, impacted by tariffs.

Kadant (KAI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kadant Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKadant Inc. supplies technologies and engineered systems worldwide. It operates through three segments: Flow Control, Industrial Processing, and Material Handling. The Flow Control segment develops, manufactures, and markets fluid-handling systems and equipment, such as rotary joints, syphons, turbulator bars, expansion joints, and engineered steam and condensate systems; and doctoring, cleaning, and filtration systems and related consumables, consisting of doctor systems and holders, doctor blades, shower and fabric-conditioning systems, formation systems, and water-filtration systems. The Industrial Processing segment develops, manufactures, and markets ring and rotary debarkers, stranders, chippers, logging machinery, industrial automation and control systems, recycling and approach flow systems, and virgin pulping process equipment for use in the packaging, tissue, wood products, and alternative fuel industries. The Material Handling segment offers conveying and vibratory equipment, and balers and related equipment; and manufactures and sells biodegradable absorbent granules for carriers in as carriers in agricultural, home lawn and garden, professional lawn, turf, and ornamental applications, as well as for oil and grease absorption. The company was formerly known as Thermo Fibertek Inc. and changed its name to Kadant Inc. in July 2001. Kadant Inc. was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Westford, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyKadant Inc. generates revenue by designing, manufacturing, and supplying a wide range of products and solutions that are essential for industrial manufacturing processes. The company earns money primarily through the sale of its engineered systems and components, which are critical for enhancing the operational efficiency of its clients' production processes. Key revenue streams include the sale of stock-preparation systems, fluid-handling systems, water-management systems, and other industrial processing technologies. Kadant also provides aftermarket services, such as maintenance and repair, which contribute to its earnings. The company benefits from strategic partnerships and a diverse customer base across various industries, which helps stabilize its revenue streams and expand its market reach.

Kadant Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.03%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
While the company experienced strong aftermarket parts business and flow control segment growth, challenges such as revenue decline, adjusted EBITDA decrease, and the impact of tariffs weighed heavily on the overall performance. The revised guidance due to tariffs further adds to the negative sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Aftermarket Parts Business
Aftermarket parts bookings represented 74% of total bookings, reaching a record $190 million. This strong demand is attributed to a large installed base and the company's ability to deliver exceptional value to customers.
Flow Control Segment Growth
Flow Control segment saw solid demand with bookings up 6% compared to Q1 of last year, and revenue increased by 7% to $92 million. The adjusted EBITDA for this segment rose by 8%.
High Gross Margin
Gross margin in the first quarter of 2025 was 46.1%, the highest since 2017, up by 150 basis points compared to the first quarter of 2024.
Healthy Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow increased 15% to $19 million compared to the first quarter of 2024.
New Order Activity
New order activity was up in the first quarter, despite challenges from tariff uncertainties.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenue in the first quarter declined by 4% compared to the same period last year, primarily due to weaker capital shipments in the Industrial Processing segment.
Adjusted EBITDA Decrease
Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 8% to $47.9 million due to lower capital revenue, leading to a decline in adjusted EBITDA margin by 100 basis points.
Industrial Processing Segment Challenges
The Industrial Processing segment experienced a 15% decline in revenue compared to the record set in the previous year, mainly due to a decrease in capital shipments.
Impact of Tariffs
Tariffs have introduced significant uncertainty, affecting capital order timing and leading to an estimated incremental material cost of $5 million to $6 million.
Revised Guidance Due to Tariffs
Full-year 2025 guidance was revised downward due to tariff-related impacts, with expected revenue reduced to $1.020 billion to $1.040 billion and adjusted EPS to $9.05 to $9.25.
Company Guidance
In Kadant's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance amidst ongoing uncertainties due to global tariffs. The impact of tariffs, particularly on steel and aluminum imports, is estimated to increase material costs by approximately $5 to $6 million, equating to $0.32 to $0.39 per share. Despite this, Kadant expects to mitigate these costs through supplier collaboration and cost-sharing with customers. The company's full-year revenue guidance has been revised to $1.020 billion to $1.040 billion, down from $1.040 billion to $1.065 billion, with adjusted EPS now forecasted at $9.05 to $9.25. This revision reflects both tariff impacts and delays in capital orders. The first quarter saw strong aftermarket parts bookings, representing 74% of total bookings at a record $190 million, while revenue declined 4% year-over-year due to weaker capital shipments. Gross margin reached 46.1%, the highest since 2017, driven by a higher percentage of aftermarket parts revenue. For the second quarter, Kadant projects revenue of $243 million to $250 million, with adjusted EPS anticipated between $1.90 and $2.00. The company remains focused on maintaining its operational resilience and strengthening its business globally, leveraging its decentralized structure to navigate economic challenges effectively.

Kadant Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kadant exhibits strong financial health with robust revenue growth and profitability. The income statement shows healthy margins and consistent cash flow generation, while the balance sheet displays prudent financial leverage. However, attention to increasing liabilities is needed.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Kadant's income statement is robust with a consistent gross profit margin of around 44% over the periods. The net profit margin is stable at approximately 10%, reflecting efficiency in operations. Revenue growth from 2022 to 2023 shows a significant increase of 5.85%, indicating strong market demand. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, demonstrating strong operational performance and management efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Kadant's balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, showing prudent financial leverage. The return on equity remains strong, indicating effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid financial position and asset management. Despite an increase in total debt, the company's equity growth supports stability.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statement is strong, with a consistent operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating effective cash management. Free cash flow growth is evident, reflecting the company's ability to generate cash after capital expenditures. The company maintains a good balance between investing and financing activities to support growth and shareholder returns.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.04B1.05B957.67M904.74M786.58M635.03M
Gross Profit
465.52M466.15M416.31M389.56M337.37M277.31M
EBIT
169.91M171.25M165.76M171.28M116.71M81.12M
EBITDA
209.18M171.25M200.71M187.77M150.72M112.11M
Net Income Common Stockholders
110.97M111.60M116.07M120.93M84.04M55.20M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
91.68M94.66M103.83M76.37M91.19M65.68M
Total Assets
1.44B1.43B1.18B1.15B1.13B927.57M
Total Debt
276.88M288.53M135.61M204.98M269.51M233.47M
Net Debt
185.20M193.87M31.78M125.26M178.33M166.83M
Total Liabilities
548.87M572.22M399.43M494.31M566.60M430.67M
Stockholders Equity
875.95M847.13M773.70M653.85M563.94M495.36M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
136.70M134.26M133.69M74.43M149.65M85.29M
Operating Cash Flow
155.27M155.26M165.54M102.63M162.42M92.88M
Investing Cash Flow
-85.71M-319.14M-30.79M-29.52M-154.47M-14.54M
Financing Cash Flow
-56.08M159.91M-111.11M-80.57M22.81M-84.56M

Kadant Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price315.46
Price Trends
50DMA
312.10
Positive
100DMA
338.09
Negative
200DMA
344.64
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.96
Negative
RSI
47.63
Neutral
STOCH
52.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KAI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 315.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 319.09, above the 50-day MA of 312.10, and below the 200-day MA of 344.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.96 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KAI.

Kadant Risk Analysis

Kadant disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kadant reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kadant Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NPNPO
78
Outperform
$4.05B46.815.90%0.66%2.92%
77
Outperform
$5.59B26.266.93%-4.01%-8.86%
CSCSW
74
Outperform
$4.85B34.4716.19%0.33%10.41%34.56%
MWMWA
73
Outperform
$3.63B25.3117.68%1.16%10.96%43.44%
68
Neutral
$3.94B22.1214.11%1.25%-1.26%-4.84%
66
Neutral
$4.47B12.225.40%3.65%4.14%-12.00%
KAKAI
65
Neutral
$3.71B33.4813.38%0.43%6.83%-1.84%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KAI
Kadant
315.46
38.07
13.72%
NPO
Enpro
187.96
41.39
28.24%
FELE
Franklin Electric Co
84.61
-11.11
-11.61%
MWA
Mueller Water Products
23.16
5.87
33.95%
CSW
CSW Industrials
288.74
23.27
8.77%
GTES
Gates Industrial
21.69
5.65
35.22%

Kadant Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Kadant’s Annual Stockholders Meeting Highlights Key Decisions
Neutral
May 15, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Kadant Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders where several key proposals were voted upon. The stockholders elected Jonathan W. Painter and Jeffrey L. Powell as directors for a term expiring in 2028, approved a non-binding advisory resolution on executive compensation, granted restricted stock units to non-employee directors, and ratified KPMG LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (KAI) stock is a Buy with a $360.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kadant stock, see the KAI Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Kadant Reports Mixed Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 29, 2025

Kadant Inc. reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, showing a mixed performance with a 3% increase in bookings to $256 million, but a 4% decrease in revenue to $239 million compared to the previous year. Despite challenges such as geopolitical uncertainties and trade issues, the company maintained strong margin performance with a gross margin increase to 46.1% and a 15% rise in free cash flow. However, net income and GAAP EPS both decreased by 3%, while adjusted EPS saw a more significant drop of 12%. The company anticipates incremental tariff costs and economic uncertainties affecting its 2025 outlook, leading to revised revenue and earnings expectations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.