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Kadant Inc (KAI)
NYSE:KAI
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Kadant (KAI) AI Stock Analysis

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KAI

Kadant

(NYSE:KAI)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$368.00
▲(8.36% Upside)
Kadant's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and cash flow generation, which are the most significant factors. Technical analysis and earnings call insights present a mixed outlook, with some positive momentum and strategic initiatives offset by valuation concerns and external challenges. The stock's high P/E ratio and low dividend yield suggest it may be overvalued, impacting its attractiveness to value-focused investors.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Kadant’s Q2 results exceeded expectations, with strong performance in revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS.
Financial Performance
Kadant experienced a 16% increase in ending backlog, driven by improving capital equipment orders.
Market Expansion
The recent acquisition of Italian-based Babbini could enhance Kadant's market position and expand its capabilities.
Negative Factors
Geopolitical Challenges
Tariff uncertainty, a deceleration in China, and sluggish U.S. residential activity continue to act as an overhang.
Guidance
Weaker than expected third-quarter guidance essentially offset the EPS beat in the second quarter versus the midpoint of guidance.
Tariffs
Tariff headwinds remain relatively unchanged, posing a potential challenge to Kadant's profitability.

Kadant (KAI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kadant Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKadant (KAI) is a global provider of engineered systems and products that are used in various industrial processes. The company primarily operates in the paper and packaging, wood processing, and other industrial sectors. Kadant’s core products include equipment for the production and processing of paper, as well as systems for recycling and waste management, enhancing operational efficiency and sustainability. The company also offers aftermarket parts and services to its customers, ensuring continuous support and optimization of their equipment.
How the Company Makes MoneyKadant generates revenue through multiple key streams, including the sale of engineered systems and products, aftermarket parts, and services. The company earns a significant portion of its revenue from the sale of equipment used in paper and packaging production, which includes advanced technologies for drying, filtration, and fluid handling. Aftermarket services, including parts replacement, maintenance, and technical support, contribute to recurring revenue, as customers require ongoing support for their systems. Additionally, Kadant has established partnerships with various industrial players, enhancing its market reach and enabling the company to leverage collaborative opportunities for innovation and efficiency improvements, further driving its earnings potential.

Kadant Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.39%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in aftermarket revenue and gross margins, along with an increase in bookings and successful acquisitions. However, the company faced challenges with a decrease in overall revenue, earnings, and ongoing trade policy uncertainties affecting capital investments.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Bookings
Bookings in the second quarter increased 7% to $269 million, led by strong capital performance and stable demand for aftermarket parts.
Strong Aftermarket Revenue
Record aftermarket parts revenue of $181.8 million, with aftermarket revenue making up 75% of total revenue in the Flow Control segment.
Improved Gross Margin
Gross margin was 45.9% in Q2 2025, up 150 basis points compared to the same period in 2024, primarily due to a higher percentage of aftermarket parts.
Acquisition and Integration Success
Integration of Dynamic Sealing Technologies completed, and acquisition of Babbini, a manufacturer of dewatering equipment, to expand market opportunities.
Strong Cash Flow
Operating cash flow increased 44% to $40.5 million, and free cash flow increased 58% to $36.5 million in Q2 2025 compared to the prior year period.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenue decreased 7% compared to the record revenue achieved in the second quarter of 2024, mainly due to softer capital orders in the back half of 2024.
Earnings Decrease
Adjusted EBITDA was $52 million, down 15%, and adjusted EPS was $2.31, down 18% compared to the same quarter in 2024.
Challenges with Tariffs and Trade Policies
Ongoing uncertainties with evolving U.S. trade policies and tariffs impacting capital investment activity, particularly with steel and China tariffs.
SG&A Expense Increase
SG&A expenses as a percentage of revenue increased to 29% in Q2 2025 from 25.5% in the prior year, partially due to currency exchange rate impacts.
Weaker Industrial Processing Segment
Revenue in the Industrial Processing segment decreased 16% due to weaker capital shipments.
Company Guidance
During the Kadant Second Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance and updates on various financial metrics and business segments. The company reported a 7% increase in bookings to $269 million and a decrease in revenue by 7% compared to the second quarter of 2024, mainly due to softer capital orders in the latter half of 2024. Adjusted EBITDA was $52 million, down 15% from the previous year, and adjusted EPS decreased by 18% to $2.31. The Flow Control segment saw solid bookings with a 4% revenue increase, while the Industrial Processing segment reported a 9% increase in new order activity but a 16% revenue decline. The Material Handling segment had a 16% increase in bookings. Kadant maintained its full-year guidance for 2025, expecting revenue between $1.20 billion and $1.40 billion and adjusted EPS between $9.05 and $9.25, with plans for a stronger second half of the year. The company highlighted a strong backlog of $299 million and expected continued improvement in industrial demand, with ongoing focus on mitigating tariff impacts and managing costs effectively.

Kadant Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kadant exhibits strong financial health with stable profitability, efficient operations, and prudent financial management. Robust revenue growth and profitability are evident, though some attention is needed on debt management as liabilities increase.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Kadant's income statement is robust with a consistent gross profit margin of around 44% over the periods. The net profit margin is stable at approximately 10%, reflecting efficiency in operations. Revenue growth from 2022 to 2023 shows a significant increase of 5.85%, indicating strong market demand. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, demonstrating strong operational performance and management efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Kadant's balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, showing prudent financial leverage. The return on equity remains strong, indicating effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid financial position and asset management. Despite an increase in total debt, the company's equity growth supports stability.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statement is strong, with a consistent operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating effective cash management. Free cash flow growth is evident, reflecting the company's ability to generate cash after capital expenditures. The company maintains a good balance between investing and financing activities to support growth and shareholder returns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.04B1.05B957.67M904.74M786.58M635.03M
Gross Profit465.52M466.15M416.31M389.56M337.37M277.31M
EBITDA209.18M171.25M200.71M187.77M150.72M112.11M
Net Income110.97M111.60M116.07M120.93M84.04M55.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.44B1.43B1.18B1.15B1.13B927.57M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments91.68M94.66M103.83M76.37M91.19M65.68M
Total Debt276.88M288.53M135.61M204.98M269.51M233.47M
Total Liabilities548.87M572.22M399.43M494.31M566.60M430.67M
Stockholders Equity875.95M847.13M773.70M653.85M563.94M495.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow136.70M134.26M133.69M74.43M149.65M85.29M
Operating Cash Flow155.27M155.26M165.54M102.63M162.42M92.88M
Investing Cash Flow-85.71M-319.14M-30.79M-29.52M-154.47M-14.54M
Financing Cash Flow-56.08M159.91M-111.11M-80.57M22.81M-84.56M

Kadant Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price339.61
Price Trends
50DMA
327.42
Positive
100DMA
320.80
Positive
200DMA
345.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
3.33
Negative
RSI
53.71
Neutral
STOCH
70.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KAI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 339.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 335.97, above the 50-day MA of 327.42, and below the 200-day MA of 345.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KAI.

Kadant Risk Analysis

Kadant disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kadant reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kadant Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$4.26B24.7814.38%1.09%2.20%-3.74%
75
Outperform
$4.10B27.7117.33%1.02%10.19%20.71%
74
Outperform
$6.21B30.986.31%-2.67%-17.55%
74
Outperform
$4.00B37.8212.21%0.39%1.74%-7.64%
72
Outperform
$4.36B31.0315.79%0.21%12.27%19.05%
71
Outperform
$4.69B55.795.78%0.55%4.99%169.24%
66
Neutral
€3.24B23.706.98%2.60%-1.64%-20.27%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KAI
Kadant
339.61
33.52
10.95%
NPO
Enpro
222.87
69.46
45.28%
FELE
Franklin Electric Co
95.82
-3.18
-3.21%
MWA
Mueller Water Products
26.24
5.87
28.82%
CSW
CSW Industrials
259.56
-50.97
-16.41%
GTES
Gates Industrial
24.10
6.29
35.32%

Kadant Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Kadant Reports Mixed Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Jul 29, 2025

Kadant Inc. reported a mixed financial performance for the second quarter of 2025, with a 7% increase in bookings to $269 million but a 7% decrease in revenue to $255 million compared to the previous year. Despite a decline in net income and earnings per share, the company saw significant improvements in operating and free cash flow, indicating strong cash management. The company remains optimistic about future bookings and maintains its revenue and adjusted EPS guidance for the full year, reflecting stable demand for its products and a healthy backlog.

The most recent analyst rating on (KAI) stock is a Buy with a $360.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kadant stock, see the KAI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Kadant’s Annual Stockholders Meeting Highlights Key Decisions
Neutral
May 15, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Kadant Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders where several key proposals were voted upon. The stockholders elected Jonathan W. Painter and Jeffrey L. Powell as directors for a term expiring in 2028, approved a non-binding advisory resolution on executive compensation, granted restricted stock units to non-employee directors, and ratified KPMG LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (KAI) stock is a Buy with a $360.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kadant stock, see the KAI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 12, 2025