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Crocs (CROX)
NASDAQ:CROX
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Crocs (CROX) AI Stock Analysis

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CROX

Crocs

(NASDAQ:CROX)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$91.00
▲(8.29% Upside)
Crocs' overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, particularly in international growth and cash flow generation. However, challenges in North American sales and the HEYDUDE brand, coupled with moderate valuation metrics, temper the overall score. The absence of technical analysis data and dividend yield further limits the stock's appeal.
Positive Factors
International Sales Growth
Crocs international sales grew 16%, suggesting feasible growth for the next several quarters.
Margin Defensibility
Despite sales weakness, Crocs maintains strong gross margins and a high-teens free cash flow margin.
Negative Factors
North American Sales Decline
Crocs' sales guidance for 3Q is down 9-11%, with a significant decline in N.A. Heydude sales.
Operating Margin Pressure
Operating margin guidance for 3Q of 18-19% is significantly below the consensus estimate.

Crocs (CROX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Crocs Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCrocs, Inc. is a global footwear company known for its innovative and comfortable shoes, particularly its signature clogs made from Croslite material. Founded in 2002, Crocs operates primarily in the footwear sector, offering a diverse range of products that include casual footwear, sandals, and clogs for men, women, and children. The company has expanded its product line to include collaborations with designers and brands, appealing to a broad consumer base and lifestyle segments.
How the Company Makes MoneyCrocs generates revenue primarily through the sale of its footwear products, which includes direct-to-consumer sales via its own retail stores and e-commerce platforms, as well as wholesale distribution to third-party retailers. Key revenue streams include seasonal collections, limited-edition collaborations, and classic styles that enjoy high demand. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and licensing agreements that expand its market reach. Additionally, Crocs has successfully leveraged brand collaborations with celebrities and fashion designers to create buzz and drive sales, contributing to its overall earnings.

Crocs Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Store Count by Brand
Store Count by Brand
Shows the number of physical stores for each brand under the company, indicating market presence and expansion strategy in various regions.
Chart InsightsCrocs has seen a notable expansion in its Hey Dude brand store count, growing from zero in 2022 to 52 by the end of 2024, reflecting strategic investment in this segment despite a recent revenue decline. Meanwhile, Crocs' store count remains relatively stable, with a significant jump at the end of 2024. The earnings call highlights strong overall revenue growth and margin improvements, but the suspension of guidance and potential tariff impacts introduce uncertainty, emphasizing the importance of diversification and cost management in Crocs' strategy.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Crocs Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -20.07%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment with significant achievements in international growth and cash flow generation, but challenges in North American sales, particularly with the HEYDUDE brand and wholesale order reductions. The company is taking strategic measures to maintain profitability and brand health.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Gross Profit
Crocs achieved its highest ever quarterly gross profit, contributing to strong free cash flow of $269 million.
International Growth
International revenues grew by 16%, with notable performances in China (over 30% growth), India, Japan, and Western Europe. The international segment now constitutes more than half of Crocs Brand revenue.
Strong Cash Flow and Debt Repayment
The company generated strong free cash flow of $269 million, repurchased 1.3 million shares, and repaid $105 million of debt, ending the quarter at the lower end of the target leverage range of 1x to 1.5x.
Successful Marketing and Brand Engagement
Crocs remained the #1 footwear brand on TikTok Shop in the U.S. and launched successfully in the U.K. The brand saw strong engagement from partnerships and product personalization efforts.
Negative Updates
Decline in North American Revenues
North American revenues for the Crocs brand were down 6% year-over-year due to reduced discounting and cautious consumer behavior.
HEYDUDE Brand Challenges
HEYDUDE revenues decreased by 4% compared to the previous year, with the brand facing a $737 million noncash impairment charge on intangible assets.
Wholesale Order Book Concerns
Retail partners reduced their open-to-buy dollars, reflecting caution due to consumer uncertainty, impacting future sales volumes.
Tariff Impact and Inventory Costs
The company faces a $90 million annual impact due to tariffs, contributing to a 7% increase in inventory costs.
Company Guidance
During the Crocs Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a 3% rise in enterprise revenues, totaling $1.1 billion, with Crocs Brand revenues reaching $960 million, a 4% increase, largely driven by 16% international growth. However, HEYDUDE revenues decreased by 4% to $190 million. The enterprise achieved its highest-ever quarterly gross margin of 61.7%, a 30 basis point increase from the previous year, while the adjusted operating margin stood at approximately 27%, supporting an adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $4.23, marking a 5% improvement. The company generated $269 million in free cash flow, enabling the repurchase of 1.3 million shares and the repayment of $105 million in debt. Net leverage concluded the quarter at the lower end of the target range of 1x to 1.5x. Looking ahead, the company anticipates challenges in the second half of the year, with a projected 9% to 11% decline in third-quarter revenues, influenced by consumer caution around discretionary spending, particularly in North America.

Crocs Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Crocs demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth, healthy profit margins, and efficient cash flow management. The company has improved its debt-to-equity ratio, although moderate leverage remains a potential risk.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Crocs has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years, with TTM revenue at $4.1 billion, up from $2.3 billion in 2021. The gross profit margin in TTM is healthy at approximately 59.2%, and the net profit margin is robust at 23.4%. These margins indicate effective cost management and strong pricing power. EBIT and EBITDA margins also reflect operational efficiency, standing at 24.8% and 26.7%, respectively. Despite a slight revenue dip in the TTM compared to 2024, overall growth trajectory remains positive.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved, with total debt decreasing significantly in TTM. The debt-to-equity ratio is approximately 0.19, indicating a more manageable leverage level. ROE has been strong, particularly due to increasing net income, reaching 48.6% in the TTM. The equity ratio has also improved to about 38.9%, suggesting a solid financial position. However, the balance sheet still reflects moderate leverage, which poses a potential risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Crocs has shown excellent cash flow management with an impressive increase in free cash flow to $951 million in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is near 1, indicating that earnings are well-supported by cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong at nearly 1, signifying efficient capital expenditure. The company has maintained a solid cash position and effectively reduced capital expenditures, enhancing cash flow stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.14B4.10B3.96B3.55B2.31B1.39B
Gross Profit2.46B2.41B2.21B1.86B1.42B749.95M
EBITDA216.85M1.09B1.09B893.89M717.47M241.34M
Net Income236.53M950.07M792.57M540.16M725.69M312.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.45B4.81B4.64B4.50B1.55B1.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments200.61M180.49M149.29M191.63M213.20M135.80M
Total Debt1.77B1.70B2.00B2.59B963.56M373.46M
Total Liabilities3.03B2.98B3.19B3.68B1.53B828.09M
Stockholders Equity1.42B1.84B1.45B817.93M14.08M290.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow768.90M923.14M814.82M498.95M511.25M224.87M
Operating Cash Flow837.39M992.49M930.44M603.14M567.16M266.90M
Investing Cash Flow-68.49M-69.35M-115.67M-2.15B-55.92M-41.76M
Financing Cash Flow-739.11M-886.05M-859.64M1.53B-429.64M-198.04M

Crocs Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price84.03
Price Trends
50DMA
100.03
Negative
100DMA
101.63
Negative
200DMA
103.51
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.25
Positive
RSI
38.14
Neutral
STOCH
25.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CROX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 84.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 96.32, below the 50-day MA of 100.03, and below the 200-day MA of 103.51, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CROX.

Crocs Risk Analysis

Crocs disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Crocs reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Crocs Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$15.39B16.3543.58%15.43%24.20%
73
Outperform
$9.47B14.4114.79%12.11%17.08%
71
Outperform
$1.94B21.0411.09%3.14%7.80%-48.10%
71
Outperform
$9.23B34.9311.36%18.66%183.98%
69
Neutral
$2.31B27.5227.52%1.40%-2.83%
68
Neutral
$4.25B22.3915.39%2.04%-71.52%
61
Neutral
$17.24B11.48-5.97%3.08%1.37%-15.54%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CROX
Crocs
84.03
-52.02
-38.24%
DECK
Deckers Outdoor
103.86
-54.56
-34.44%
SKX
Skechers USA
63.02
-1.82
-2.81%
SHOO
Steven Madden
26.74
-16.32
-37.90%
WWW
Wolverine World Wide
28.48
15.67
122.33%
BIRK
Birkenstock Holding plc
48.41
-14.48
-23.02%

Crocs Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Crocs Confirms Key Decisions at Annual Meeting
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Crocs, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders virtually, where key decisions were made. The election of Class II directors, the ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent auditor for 2025, and the approval of executive compensation were all confirmed, indicating continued stability and strategic direction for the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (CROX) stock is a Buy with a $110.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crocs stock, see the CROX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Crocs Promotes Terence Reilly to Chief Brand Officer
Positive
May 21, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Crocs, Inc. announced the promotion of Terence Reilly to Executive Vice President, Chief Brand Officer, where he will oversee marketing and communications for both Crocs and HEYDUDE brands. This leadership change aims to enhance the company’s global narrative, deepen consumer engagement, and drive brand growth, with CEO Andrew Rees temporarily assuming the role of interim President for HEYDUDE until a permanent structure is established.

The most recent analyst rating on (CROX) stock is a Buy with a $110.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crocs stock, see the CROX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025