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Crocs (CROX)
NASDAQ:CROX
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Crocs (CROX) AI Stock Analysis

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CROX

Crocs

(NASDAQ:CROX)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$91.00
▲(4.86% Upside)
Crocs' overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, highlighting international growth and strategic cost management. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation metrics indicate moderate attractiveness. Challenges in the HEYDUDE segment and North American market, along with tariff impacts, present risks that need monitoring.
Positive Factors
International Growth
Crocs international sales grew 16%, suggesting feasible growth for the next several quarters.
Leadership Change
Taking over as CFO will be Patraic Reagan, who most recently served as CFO at SharkNinja and spent 14 years at Nike.
Valuation
Raising the 12-month price target to $100, as the prior target utilized too conservative a valuation multiple.
Negative Factors
Market Sentiment
There is a lot of 'noise' in the business at the moment, making it likely to take some time to regain investor momentum.
Operating Margins
Operating margin guidance for 3Q of 18-19% is significantly below the consensus estimate.
Revenue Decline
Crocs' sales guidance for 3Q is down 9-11%, with a significant decline in N.A. Heydude sales.

Crocs (CROX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Crocs Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCrocs, Inc. is a global footwear company known for its innovative and comfortable shoes, particularly its signature clogs made from Croslite material. Founded in 2002, Crocs operates primarily in the footwear sector, offering a diverse range of products that include casual footwear, sandals, and clogs for men, women, and children. The company has expanded its product line to include collaborations with designers and brands, appealing to a broad consumer base and lifestyle segments.
How the Company Makes MoneyCrocs generates revenue primarily through the sale of its footwear products, which includes direct-to-consumer sales via its own retail stores and e-commerce platforms, as well as wholesale distribution to third-party retailers. Key revenue streams include seasonal collections, limited-edition collaborations, and classic styles that enjoy high demand. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and licensing agreements that expand its market reach. Additionally, Crocs has successfully leveraged brand collaborations with celebrities and fashion designers to create buzz and drive sales, contributing to its overall earnings.

Crocs Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Store Count by Brand
Store Count by Brand
Shows the number of physical stores for each brand under the company, indicating market presence and expansion strategy in various regions.
Chart InsightsCrocs has seen a notable expansion in its Hey Dude brand store count, growing from zero in 2022 to 52 by the end of 2024, reflecting strategic investment in this segment despite a recent revenue decline. Meanwhile, Crocs' store count remains relatively stable, with a significant jump at the end of 2024. The earnings call highlights strong overall revenue growth and margin improvements, but the suspension of guidance and potential tariff impacts introduce uncertainty, emphasizing the importance of diversification and cost management in Crocs' strategy.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Crocs Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a balanced sentiment, with strong international growth and record gross profit offset by challenges in the HEYDUDE segment, North American revenue declines, and tariff impacts. Strategic decisions to protect long-term brand health were emphasized.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Gross Profit and Strong Free Cash Flow
Crocs achieved its highest ever quarterly gross profit, with a 61.7% adjusted gross margin, up 30 basis points from the prior year. This led to strong free cash flow of $269 million.
International Growth
International revenues for the Crocs Brand grew by 16%, surpassing 50% of the brand's revenue mix, with notable strength in China, India, and Western Europe.
Successful Sandal and Personalization Expansion
Crocs' sandal category saw notable strength, with successful viral marketing on TikTok. Personalization through Jibbitz Charms continued to expand, driven by international distribution and elevated charms.
HEYDUDE Direct-to-Consumer Growth
HEYDUDE's direct-to-consumer channel grew 7%, supported by new store openings and strong TikTok performance.
Negative Updates
HEYDUDE Revenue Decline
HEYDUDE revenues were down 4% compared to the prior year, with wholesale down 13% due to inventory returns and market challenges.
North America Revenue Decrease
North American revenues for the Crocs Brand decreased 6% due to reduced discounting and cautious consumer spending.
Tariff Impact on Margins
The company faces significant cost pressures due to tariffs, with an estimated impact of $40 million in the second half of 2025 and $90 million annually at current rates.
Uncertain U.S. Consumer Environment
The U.S. consumer market remains uncertain, affecting wholesale order books and leading to proactive inventory and promotional adjustments.
Company Guidance
During Crocs' second-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a 3% year-over-year revenue increase, reaching $1.1 billion, with Crocs Brand revenues growing by 4% to $960 million and HEYDUDE revenues decreasing by 4% to $190 million. The adjusted gross margin rose 30 basis points to 61.7%, and the adjusted operating margin was approximately 27%, supporting adjusted diluted earnings per share of $4.23, a 5% increase from the previous year. Despite the challenging market, Crocs generated $269 million in free cash flow, repurchased 1.3 million shares, and reduced debt by $105 million, ending the quarter with a net leverage at the lower end of their target range of 1x to 1.5x. The company noted strong international growth, particularly in China and India, while managing cautious consumer behavior in North America by pulling back on promotional activities and planning inventory conservatively. Additionally, Crocs is focusing on cost savings, having already actioned $50 million, and is identifying further opportunities.

Crocs Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Crocs has demonstrated strong revenue growth and stable gross margins, but recent declines in net profit and cash flow growth rates highlight potential areas of concern. The balance sheet has strengthened with improved leverage ratios, but the decrease in return on equity warrants attention. Overall, Crocs remains a financially stable company with room for improvement in profitability and cash flow generation.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Crocs has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years, with a significant increase in total revenue from 2020 to TTM 2025. The gross profit margin has remained stable, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased in the TTM period compared to previous years, suggesting some pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also seen a decline in the TTM period, which could be a concern if not addressed.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly in the TTM period, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity has decreased compared to previous years, which may suggest a decline in profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio has shown improvement, reflecting a stronger balance sheet position.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Operating cash flow remains strong, with a healthy ratio to net income. However, the free cash flow growth rate has turned negative in the TTM period, which could indicate potential challenges in generating cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains robust, suggesting efficient cash conversion from earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.14B4.10B3.96B3.55B2.31B1.39B
Gross Profit2.46B2.41B2.21B1.86B1.42B749.95M
EBITDA345.44M1.09B1.09B893.89M717.47M241.34M
Net Income236.53M950.07M792.57M540.16M725.69M312.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.45B4.81B4.64B4.50B1.55B1.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments200.61M180.49M149.29M191.63M213.20M135.80M
Total Debt1.77B1.70B2.00B2.59B963.56M373.46M
Total Liabilities3.03B2.98B3.19B3.68B1.53B828.09M
Stockholders Equity1.42B1.84B1.45B817.93M14.08M290.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow768.90M923.14M814.82M498.95M511.25M224.87M
Operating Cash Flow837.39M992.49M930.44M603.14M567.16M266.90M
Investing Cash Flow-68.49M-69.35M-115.67M-2.15B-55.92M-41.76M
Financing Cash Flow-739.11M-886.05M-859.64M1.53B-429.64M-198.04M

Crocs Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price86.78
Price Trends
50DMA
95.85
Negative
100DMA
99.13
Negative
200DMA
101.88
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.03
Negative
RSI
49.38
Neutral
STOCH
68.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CROX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 86.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 83.73, below the 50-day MA of 95.85, and below the 200-day MA of 101.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CROX.

Crocs Risk Analysis

Crocs disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Crocs reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Crocs Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$18.23B18.9943.58%15.43%24.20%
78
Outperform
$9.59B28.0911.36%18.66%183.98%
77
Outperform
$9.49B14.4514.79%12.11%17.08%
74
Outperform
$2.14B23.1511.09%2.79%7.80%-48.10%
69
Neutral
$2.55B30.2827.52%1.25%-2.83%
68
Neutral
$4.94B23.3015.39%2.04%-71.52%
61
Neutral
$17.96B13.14-5.36%3.00%1.25%-13.95%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CROX
Crocs
89.02
-40.80
-31.43%
DECK
Deckers Outdoor
123.91
-19.42
-13.55%
SKX
Skechers USA
63.23
-2.85
-4.31%
SHOO
Steven Madden
30.12
-11.91
-28.34%
WWW
Wolverine World Wide
32.01
18.34
134.16%
BIRK
Birkenstock Holding plc
50.62
5.21
11.47%

Crocs Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Crocs Appoints New CFO Amid Leadership Change
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

On August 29, 2025, Crocs, Inc. announced the appointment of Patraic Reagan as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective September 22, 2025, succeeding Susan Healy who resigned on August 28, 2025. Reagan, with extensive financial leadership experience from SharkNinja and Nike, will oversee Crocs’ financial strategies, aiming to drive long-term shareholder value. The company reaffirmed its third-quarter 2025 financial outlook and highlighted Reagan’s consumer-centric mindset and international expertise as key assets to its leadership team.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Crocs Confirms Key Decisions at Annual Meeting
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Crocs, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders virtually, where key decisions were made. The election of Class II directors, the ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent auditor for 2025, and the approval of executive compensation were all confirmed, indicating continued stability and strategic direction for the company.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025