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Crocs (CROX)
NASDAQ:CROX
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Crocs (CROX) AI Stock Analysis

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CROX

Crocs

(NASDAQ:CROX)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$87.00
▲(1.80% Upside)
Crocs' overall stock score is primarily influenced by its stable financial performance and strong profitability, despite recent declines in revenue growth and profitability margins. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, and the high P/E ratio suggests limited valuation appeal. The earnings call highlights strategic initiatives and international growth, but challenges in North America and HEYDUDE wholesale channels remain significant concerns.
Positive Factors
International Growth
Strong international growth indicates Crocs' successful expansion strategy, diversifying revenue streams and reducing reliance on North American markets.
Cost Savings Initiatives
Significant cost savings initiatives enhance operational efficiency, potentially improving margins and profitability over the long term.
Cash Flow Management
Effective cash flow management allows for strategic investments and debt reduction, strengthening Crocs' financial health and shareholder value.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue across key brands suggests challenges in maintaining market share and growth, potentially impacting long-term financial performance.
North America Performance
Weak performance in North America, a major market, highlights potential issues in demand and distribution strategies, affecting overall growth.
Tariff Headwinds
Tariff-related margin pressures could persist, affecting profitability and competitiveness in international markets over the medium term.

Crocs (CROX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Crocs Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCrocs, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and distributes casual lifestyle footwear and accessories for men, women, and children. It offers various footwear products, including clogs, sandals, slides, flip-flops, boots, flats, wedges, platforms, socks, shoe charms, loafers, sneakers, and slippers under the Crocs brand name. The company sells its products in approximately 85 countries through wholesalers, retail stores, e-commerce sites, and third-party marketplaces. As of December 31, 2021, it had 193 outlet stores, 107 retail stores, 373 company-operated stores, 73 kiosks and store-in-stores, and 14 company-operated e-commerce sites. The company serves in the Americas, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. Crocs, Inc. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Broomfield, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyCrocs generates revenue primarily through the direct sale of its footwear products across multiple channels including retail stores, e-commerce platforms, and wholesale distribution. The company has established a strong online presence, leveraging its website and partnerships with major e-commerce retailers to reach a broader audience. Key revenue streams include sales from its signature clogs, seasonal collections, and collaborations with designers and brands that create limited-edition footwear. Additionally, Crocs benefits from a growing trend towards casual and comfortable footwear, which has been further amplified by the increasing consumer preference for versatile and functional shoes. Strategic partnerships with retailers and collaborations with influencers and celebrities also enhance brand visibility and drive sales, contributing significantly to the company's earnings.

Crocs Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Store Count by Brand
Store Count by Brand
Shows the number of physical stores for each brand under the company, indicating market presence and expansion strategy in various regions.
Chart InsightsCrocs has seen a notable expansion in its Hey Dude brand store count, growing from zero in 2022 to 52 by the end of 2024, reflecting strategic investment in this segment despite a recent revenue decline. Meanwhile, Crocs' store count remains relatively stable, with a significant jump at the end of 2024. The earnings call highlights strong overall revenue growth and margin improvements, but the suspension of guidance and potential tariff impacts introduce uncertainty, emphasizing the importance of diversification and cost management in Crocs' strategy.
Data provided by:The Fly

Crocs Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment with strong international growth and cost-saving measures being overshadowed by revenue declines and challenges in North America and HEYDUDE wholesale channels.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Profitability and Cash Flow
Crocs delivered strong profitability and cash flow, enabling the repurchase of 2.4 million shares and a debt paydown of $63 million.
International Growth
International revenue was up 4% year-over-year, with significant growth in China, Japan, and Western Europe.
HEYDUDE Brand Progress
HEYDUDE's DTC was down only 1%, with strong performance on TikTok Shop, despite overall revenue being down 22%.
Cost Savings Initiatives
Crocs identified $100 million of incremental gross cost savings on top of the $50 million already actioned in 2025.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Overall revenue was down 7% year-over-year, with Crocs Brand revenue down 3% and HEYDUDE Brand revenue down 22%.
North America Performance
North American revenues were down 9% due to strategic pullbacks on discounting and reduced wholesale receipts.
Tariff Headwinds
Enterprise adjusted gross margin decreased by 110 basis points year-over-year, primarily due to a 230 basis point tariff headwind.
HEYDUDE Wholesale Challenges
HEYDUDE's wholesale was down 39% due to marketplace cleanup actions and inventory returns.
Company Guidance
During the Crocs, Inc. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance focusing on strategic actions and financial metrics. Crocs reported a strong performance with $1 billion in third-quarter revenue, despite a 7% decline from the previous year. The company highlighted its robust profitability and cash flow, which facilitated the repurchase of 2.4 million shares and the paydown of $63 million in debt. Adjusted gross margin stood at 58.5%, with a noted 230 basis points headwind from tariffs. Crocs' adjusted operating margin was 20.8%, surpassing expectations. The company anticipates Q4 revenues to decrease by approximately 8%, with the Crocs brand down around 3% and HEYDUDE expected to decline in the mid-20% range. Cost savings initiatives were emphasized, with an additional $100 million identified for 2026. The call underscored Crocs' commitment to product innovation, digital engagement, and international market expansion as key growth drivers.

Crocs Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Crocs demonstrates strong profitability and cash flow management, with consistent gross profit margins and healthy cash flow ratios. However, recent trends in the TTM period show declining revenue growth and profitability margins, which could pose challenges if not addressed. The balance sheet has improved in terms of leverage, but historical high debt levels could still pose risks. Overall, Crocs is in a stable financial position but needs to focus on reversing recent negative growth trends.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Crocs has shown strong gross profit margins consistently above 50%, indicating efficient production and pricing strategies. However, the recent TTM data shows a decline in revenue growth rate and net profit margin compared to previous years, suggesting potential challenges in maintaining growth and profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased significantly in the TTM period, which could indicate rising operational costs or pricing pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly in the TTM period, indicating better leverage management compared to previous years. Return on equity remains healthy, although it has decreased from its peak in 2022. The equity ratio has improved, suggesting a stronger balance sheet position. Overall, the balance sheet shows a trend towards stability, but historical high leverage remains a potential risk.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains strong, with a healthy coverage ratio over net income. However, the free cash flow growth rate has turned negative in the TTM period, indicating potential challenges in generating cash from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains robust, suggesting efficient cash conversion, but the recent decline in free cash flow growth is a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.07B4.10B3.96B3.55B2.31B1.39B
Gross Profit2.41B2.41B2.18B1.86B1.42B749.95M
EBITDA378.20M1.09B1.09B893.89M717.47M241.34M
Net Income182.55M950.07M792.57M540.16M725.69M312.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.30B4.81B4.64B4.50B1.55B1.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments153.97M180.49M149.29M191.63M213.26M137.34M
Total Debt1.71B1.70B2.00B2.59B963.56M373.46M
Total Liabilities2.94B2.98B3.19B3.68B1.53B828.09M
Stockholders Equity1.36B1.84B1.45B817.93M14.08M290.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow716.23M923.14M814.82M498.95M511.25M224.87M
Operating Cash Flow779.84M992.49M930.44M603.14M567.16M266.90M
Investing Cash Flow-63.61M-69.35M-115.67M-2.15B-55.92M-41.76M
Financing Cash Flow-746.77M-886.05M-859.64M1.53B-429.64M-198.04M

Crocs Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price85.46
Price Trends
50DMA
80.79
Positive
100DMA
86.28
Negative
200DMA
94.63
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Negative
RSI
61.80
Neutral
STOCH
90.71
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CROX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 85.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 78.77, above the 50-day MA of 80.79, and below the 200-day MA of 94.63, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.71 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CROX.

Crocs Risk Analysis

Crocs disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Crocs reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Crocs Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$12.71B12.9343.31%12.38%18.43%
71
Outperform
$8.00B24.2211.36%18.66%183.98%
69
Neutral
$3.04B53.196.68%2.25%6.26%-66.51%
63
Neutral
$4.44B27.8611.82%<0.01%-77.31%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
$1.33B15.5325.57%1.72%3.61%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CROX
Crocs
85.46
-20.14
-19.07%
DECK
Deckers Outdoor
87.19
-108.77
-55.51%
SHOO
Steven Madden
41.88
-2.48
-5.59%
WWW
Wolverine World Wide
16.28
-6.43
-28.31%
BIRK
Birkenstock Holding plc
43.51
-8.15
-15.78%

Crocs Corporate Events

Crocs Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiments Amid Growth and Challenges
Nov 1, 2025

The recent earnings call for Crocs, Inc. painted a picture of mixed sentiment among stakeholders. While the company celebrated strong international growth and significant cost-saving measures, these positives were somewhat overshadowed by revenue declines and challenges, particularly in North America and the HEYDUDE wholesale channels.

Crocs, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2025 Results
Oct 31, 2025

Crocs, Inc., headquartered in Broomfield, Colorado, is a global leader in innovative casual footwear, known for its comfort and style, with products sold in over 80 countries under the Crocs and HEYDUDE brands.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Crocs Appoints New CFO Amid Leadership Change
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

On August 29, 2025, Crocs, Inc. announced the appointment of Patraic Reagan as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective September 22, 2025, succeeding Susan Healy who resigned on August 28, 2025. Reagan, with extensive financial leadership experience from SharkNinja and Nike, will oversee Crocs’ financial strategies, aiming to drive long-term shareholder value. The company reaffirmed its third-quarter 2025 financial outlook and highlighted Reagan’s consumer-centric mindset and international expertise as key assets to its leadership team.

The most recent analyst rating on (CROX) stock is a Hold with a $91.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crocs stock, see the CROX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 22, 2025