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Crocs (CROX)
NASDAQ:CROX
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Crocs (CROX) AI Stock Analysis

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CROX

Crocs

(NASDAQ:CROX)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$89.00
▲(12.87% Upside)
Crocs' overall stock score is driven by stable financial performance and moderate valuation, despite recent declines in revenue growth and profitability margins. The company's strong international growth and cost-saving initiatives are positive, but challenges in North America and the HEYDUDE brand weigh on the outlook. Technical indicators suggest a lack of strong momentum, and the earnings call highlighted mixed sentiment with both strengths and challenges.
Positive Factors
International Growth
Strong international growth, especially in China and India, diversifies revenue streams and reduces reliance on the North American market, enhancing long-term stability.
Record Gross Profit
Record gross profit and stable margins indicate effective cost management and pricing strategy, supporting sustainable profitability.
Leadership Change
The new CFO with extensive experience may bring fresh strategic insights and strengthen financial leadership, positively impacting long-term growth.
Negative Factors
HEYDUDE Revenue Decline
Declining HEYDUDE revenues highlight challenges in product performance and market acceptance, potentially impacting overall growth.
North America Revenue Decrease
Reduced revenues in North America suggest consumer spending challenges and may affect short-term financial performance.
Tariff Impact on Margins
Tariff-related cost pressures could erode margins, affecting profitability unless mitigated by strategic pricing or cost management.

Crocs (CROX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Crocs Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCrocs, Inc. is a global footwear company known for its innovative and comfortable shoes, particularly its signature clogs made from Croslite material. Founded in 2002, Crocs operates primarily in the footwear sector, offering a diverse range of products that include casual footwear, sandals, and clogs for men, women, and children. The company has expanded its product line to include collaborations with designers and brands, appealing to a broad consumer base and lifestyle segments.
How the Company Makes MoneyCrocs generates revenue primarily through the sale of its footwear products, which includes direct-to-consumer sales via its own retail stores and e-commerce platforms, as well as wholesale distribution to third-party retailers. Key revenue streams include seasonal collections, limited-edition collaborations, and classic styles that enjoy high demand. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and licensing agreements that expand its market reach. Additionally, Crocs has successfully leveraged brand collaborations with celebrities and fashion designers to create buzz and drive sales, contributing to its overall earnings.

Crocs Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Store Count by Brand
Store Count by Brand
Shows the number of physical stores for each brand under the company, indicating market presence and expansion strategy in various regions.
Chart InsightsCrocs has seen a notable expansion in its Hey Dude brand store count, growing from zero in 2022 to 52 by the end of 2024, reflecting strategic investment in this segment despite a recent revenue decline. Meanwhile, Crocs' store count remains relatively stable, with a significant jump at the end of 2024. The earnings call highlights strong overall revenue growth and margin improvements, but the suspension of guidance and potential tariff impacts introduce uncertainty, emphasizing the importance of diversification and cost management in Crocs' strategy.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Crocs Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment with strong international growth and cost-saving measures being overshadowed by revenue declines and challenges in North America and HEYDUDE wholesale channels.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Profitability and Cash Flow
Crocs delivered strong profitability and cash flow, enabling the repurchase of 2.4 million shares and a debt paydown of $63 million.
International Growth
International revenue was up 4% year-over-year, with significant growth in China, Japan, and Western Europe.
HEYDUDE Brand Progress
HEYDUDE's DTC was down only 1%, with strong performance on TikTok Shop, despite overall revenue being down 22%.
Cost Savings Initiatives
Crocs identified $100 million of incremental gross cost savings on top of the $50 million already actioned in 2025.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Overall revenue was down 7% year-over-year, with Crocs Brand revenue down 3% and HEYDUDE Brand revenue down 22%.
North America Performance
North American revenues were down 9% due to strategic pullbacks on discounting and reduced wholesale receipts.
Tariff Headwinds
Enterprise adjusted gross margin decreased by 110 basis points year-over-year, primarily due to a 230 basis point tariff headwind.
HEYDUDE Wholesale Challenges
HEYDUDE's wholesale was down 39% due to marketplace cleanup actions and inventory returns.
Company Guidance
During the Crocs, Inc. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance focusing on strategic actions and financial metrics. Crocs reported a strong performance with $1 billion in third-quarter revenue, despite a 7% decline from the previous year. The company highlighted its robust profitability and cash flow, which facilitated the repurchase of 2.4 million shares and the paydown of $63 million in debt. Adjusted gross margin stood at 58.5%, with a noted 230 basis points headwind from tariffs. Crocs' adjusted operating margin was 20.8%, surpassing expectations. The company anticipates Q4 revenues to decrease by approximately 8%, with the Crocs brand down around 3% and HEYDUDE expected to decline in the mid-20% range. Cost savings initiatives were emphasized, with an additional $100 million identified for 2026. The call underscored Crocs' commitment to product innovation, digital engagement, and international market expansion as key growth drivers.

Crocs Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Crocs demonstrates strong profitability and cash flow management, with consistent gross profit margins and healthy cash flow ratios. However, recent trends in the TTM period show declining revenue growth and profitability margins, which could pose challenges if not addressed. The balance sheet has improved in terms of leverage, but historical high debt levels could still pose risks. Overall, Crocs is in a stable financial position but needs to focus on reversing recent negative growth trends.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Crocs has shown strong gross profit margins consistently above 50%, indicating efficient production and pricing strategies. However, the recent TTM data shows a decline in revenue growth rate and net profit margin compared to previous years, suggesting potential challenges in maintaining growth and profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased significantly in the TTM period, which could indicate rising operational costs or pricing pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly in the TTM period, indicating better leverage management compared to previous years. Return on equity remains healthy, although it has decreased from its peak in 2022. The equity ratio has improved, suggesting a stronger balance sheet position. Overall, the balance sheet shows a trend towards stability, but historical high leverage remains a potential risk.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains strong, with a healthy coverage ratio over net income. However, the free cash flow growth rate has turned negative in the TTM period, indicating potential challenges in generating cash from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains robust, suggesting efficient cash conversion, but the recent decline in free cash flow growth is a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.07B4.10B3.96B3.55B2.31B1.39B
Gross Profit2.41B2.41B2.18B1.86B1.42B749.95M
EBITDA287.62M1.09B1.09B893.89M717.47M241.34M
Net Income182.55M950.07M792.57M540.16M725.69M312.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.30B4.81B4.64B4.50B1.55B1.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments153.97M180.49M149.29M191.63M213.26M137.34M
Total Debt1.71B1.70B2.00B2.59B963.56M373.46M
Total Liabilities2.94B2.98B3.19B3.68B1.53B828.09M
Stockholders Equity1.36B1.84B1.45B817.93M14.08M290.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow716.23M923.14M814.82M498.95M511.25M224.87M
Operating Cash Flow779.84M992.49M930.44M603.14M567.16M266.90M
Investing Cash Flow-63.61M-69.35M-115.67M-2.15B-55.92M-41.76M
Financing Cash Flow-746.77M-886.05M-859.64M1.53B-429.64M-198.04M

Crocs Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price78.85
Price Trends
50DMA
82.25
Negative
100DMA
89.47
Negative
200DMA
95.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.84
Positive
RSI
42.49
Neutral
STOCH
14.42
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CROX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 78.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 82.63, below the 50-day MA of 82.25, and below the 200-day MA of 95.98, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.84 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.42 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CROX.

Crocs Risk Analysis

Crocs disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Crocs reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Crocs Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$11.92B11.8443.31%12.38%18.43%
71
Outperform
$7.21B21.7311.36%18.66%183.98%
69
Neutral
$2.79B48.746.68%2.25%6.09%-66.51%
66
Neutral
$4.17B25.5711.82%<0.01%-77.31%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
$1.36B15.9525.57%1.72%3.61%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CROX
Crocs
78.85
-22.45
-22.16%
DECK
Deckers Outdoor
81.77
-93.84
-53.44%
SHOO
Steven Madden
38.21
-5.22
-12.02%
WWW
Wolverine World Wide
15.92
-5.60
-26.02%
BIRK
Birkenstock Holding plc
38.80
-7.82
-16.77%

Crocs Corporate Events

Crocs, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2025 Results
Oct 31, 2025

Crocs, Inc., headquartered in Broomfield, Colorado, is a global leader in innovative casual footwear, known for its comfort and style, with products sold in over 80 countries under the Crocs and HEYDUDE brands.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Crocs Appoints New CFO Amid Leadership Change
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

On August 29, 2025, Crocs, Inc. announced the appointment of Patraic Reagan as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective September 22, 2025, succeeding Susan Healy who resigned on August 28, 2025. Reagan, with extensive financial leadership experience from SharkNinja and Nike, will oversee Crocs’ financial strategies, aiming to drive long-term shareholder value. The company reaffirmed its third-quarter 2025 financial outlook and highlighted Reagan’s consumer-centric mindset and international expertise as key assets to its leadership team.

The most recent analyst rating on (CROX) stock is a Hold with a $91.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crocs stock, see the CROX Stock Forecast page.

Crocs Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiments Amid Growth
Aug 12, 2025

The recent earnings call from Crocs reflected a mixed sentiment, highlighting significant achievements in international growth and cash flow generation, while also addressing challenges in North American sales, particularly with the HEYDUDE brand and wholesale order reductions. The company is taking strategic measures to maintain profitability and brand health, showcasing a balanced approach to navigating both successes and hurdles.

Crocs, Inc. Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 8, 2025

Crocs, Inc., headquartered in Broomfield, Colorado, is a global leader in innovative casual footwear, known for its Crocs and HEYDUDE brands, offering comfort and style across more than 80 countries through wholesale and direct-to-consumer channels.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025