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Deckers Outdoor (DECK)
NYSE:DECK
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Deckers Outdoor (DECK) AI Stock Analysis

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DECK

Deckers Outdoor

(NYSE:DECK)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$91.00
▲(14.41% Upside)
Deckers Outdoor's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its overall score. The company's robust growth and profitability metrics, along with strategic international expansion, are significant strengths. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, which tempers the overall score. Valuation is reasonable, but the lack of a dividend yield may deter some investors.
Positive Factors
International Expansion
Successful international expansion enhances market reach and diversifies revenue streams, reducing reliance on any single market.
Strong Cash Position
A strong cash position provides financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic uncertainties.
HOKA Brand Performance
HOKA's strong performance indicates robust brand strength and consumer demand, supporting long-term revenue growth.
Negative Factors
U.S. Consumer Pressure
Weak U.S. consumer sentiment may dampen domestic sales, affecting overall revenue and profitability.
Tariff Impact
Tariffs can increase costs and pressure margins, potentially impacting competitiveness and profitability.
DTC Channel Challenges
Challenges in the DTC channel may hinder direct consumer engagement and reduce control over brand experience.

Deckers Outdoor (DECK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Deckers Outdoor Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDeckers Outdoor Corporation is a global leader in designing, marketing, and distributing innovative footwear, apparel, and accessories. Founded in 1973 and headquartered in Goleta, California, the company operates primarily in the outdoor and lifestyle sectors. Deckers is renowned for its flagship brands, including UGG, HOKA ONE ONE, Teva, and Sanuk, each offering a unique range of products tailored to various consumer needs, from casual wear to performance outdoor gear.
How the Company Makes MoneyDeckers Outdoor generates revenue primarily through the direct sale of its branded products to consumers and retailers. The company operates a multi-channel distribution strategy that includes wholesale, direct-to-consumer (DTC) through branded retail stores and e-commerce platforms. Key revenue streams include sales from wholesale accounts, DTC sales, and international markets. Significant partnerships with major retail chains and an expanding global presence enhance its earnings potential. Seasonal demand for specific product lines, combined with effective marketing and brand loyalty, further contribute to its financial performance.

Deckers Outdoor Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Examines revenue from different business segments, providing insight into which product lines or services are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsDeckers Outdoor's HOKA brand continues to show robust growth, with a significant increase in revenue, particularly in international markets. This aligns with the earnings call's emphasis on HOKA's strong brand performance and global expansion. UGG also contributes positively, reflecting strategic brand positioning. However, the 'Other' segment's spike in early 2025 suggests a one-time event or initiative. Despite these gains, the company faces challenges from increased tariffs and macroeconomic uncertainties, which could impact future profitability and demand. Deckers plans to counter these challenges with strategic pricing and cost-sharing measures.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Deckers Outdoor Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Deckers Brands demonstrated strong growth in revenue and earnings, driven by the international expansion and successful performance of the HOKA and UGG brands. However, the company faces challenges in the U.S. market due to consumer pressure and tariff impacts, which are expected to affect margins and growth in the upcoming quarters.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Deckers reported a 9% increase in revenue and a 14% increase in diluted earnings per share for the second quarter compared to last year. The first half of fiscal year 2026 saw total company revenue grow by 12%, with HOKA revenue increasing by 15% and UGG revenue rising by 12%.
International Expansion Success
International regions were significant contributors to revenue growth, with a 38% increase year-over-year for UGG and HOKA. The brand-building marketing investments in these regions have been successful in growing awareness and expanding market share.
HOKA Brand Performance
HOKA recorded a 15% increase in global revenue for the first half, driven by consumer-led updates and the success of the Clifton, Bondi, and Arahi franchises. HOKA gained 2 points of market share in the U.S. Road running category.
UGG Brand Growth
UGG global revenue increased by 12% in the first half, with international regions accounting for significant growth. Newer products and expanded franchises aligned with men's initiatives contributed positively.
Strong Balance Sheet and Cash Position
Deckers ended the quarter with $1.4 billion in cash and equivalents. The company also repurchased approximately $282 million worth of shares, with $2.2 billion remaining for future repurchases.
Negative Updates
U.S. Consumer Pressure
Consumer sentiment in the U.S. is under pressure due to macroeconomic factors and price increases, impacting UGG's DTC performance, which declined by 10% in the quarter.
Tariff Impact and Margin Pressure
There are anticipated headwinds from tariffs in the second half of fiscal 2026, with an unmitigated impact of approximately $150 million. The company expects to offset $75 million to $95 million through mitigation strategies.
DTC Channel Challenges
UGG's DTC channel faced challenges due to increased wholesale allocations and shifts in consumer shopping preferences towards multi-brand in-store experiences.
Company Guidance
During Deckers Brands' second quarter fiscal 2026 earnings call, the company highlighted several key metrics and projections. The second quarter saw a 9% revenue growth and a 14% increase in diluted earnings per share compared to the previous year. For the first half of fiscal 2026, total company revenue grew by 12%, with HOKA revenue increasing by 15% and UGG revenue rising by 12%, and diluted earnings per share grew by 17%. The international regions were a significant growth driver, particularly for UGG and HOKA, with a 38% year-over-year increase. The company anticipates fiscal 2026 revenue of approximately $5.35 billion, with HOKA expected to grow by a low teens percentage and UGG by low to mid-single digits. Gross margin is projected at around 56%, with SG&A expenses at 34.5% of revenue, resulting in an operating margin of approximately 21.5%. Earnings per share are forecasted to range from $6.30 to $6.39. The guidance reflects cautious consumer sentiment in the U.S. and the impact of tariffs, with a focus on long-term brand growth and sustainable value creation.

Deckers Outdoor Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Deckers Outdoor exhibits a robust financial profile with strong revenue growth, high profitability margins, and efficient cash flow management. The company's low leverage and high return on equity reflect a stable and efficient use of resources. Overall, Deckers is well-positioned for continued growth and financial stability in the competitive apparel industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Deckers Outdoor shows strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability margins. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 57.66% and a net profit margin of 19.36%, reflecting efficient cost management and strong pricing power. Revenue growth is steady, with a 2.33% increase in the TTM period, indicating a healthy demand for its products. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 24.84% and 25.49%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14, indicating conservative leverage and financial stability. Return on equity is impressive at 40.31%, reflecting efficient use of shareholder funds to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 65.15%, highlighting a strong equity base relative to total assets. Overall, the company maintains a healthy financial position with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow generation is strong, with a free cash flow growth rate of 11.30% in the TTM period, indicating effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.10, suggesting that the company efficiently converts its earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 91.87%, demonstrating strong cash flow relative to profits, which supports future growth and shareholder returns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.24B4.99B4.29B3.63B3.15B2.55B
Gross Profit3.02B2.89B2.39B1.83B1.61B1.37B
EBITDA1.34B1.32B1.04B716.87M609.60M548.07M
Net Income1.02B966.09M759.56M516.82M451.95M382.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.78B3.57B3.14B2.56B2.33B2.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.41B1.89B1.50B981.79M843.53M1.09B
Total Debt350.67M276.98M266.88M246.49M222.07M223.04M
Total Liabilities1.32B1.06B1.03B790.47M793.42M723.48M
Stockholders Equity2.47B2.51B2.11B1.77B1.54B1.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow979.91M958.35M943.82M456.40M121.34M564.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.07B1.04B1.03B537.42M172.35M596.22M
Investing Cash Flow-86.49M-75.00M-89.33M-81.01M-51.01M-32.17M
Financing Cash Flow-789.79M-581.33M-417.68M-309.03M-367.48M-129.58M

Deckers Outdoor Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price79.54
Price Trends
50DMA
104.46
Negative
100DMA
104.59
Negative
200DMA
117.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.54
Positive
RSI
32.55
Neutral
STOCH
11.62
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DECK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 79.54 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 92.36, below the 50-day MA of 104.46, and below the 200-day MA of 117.53, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.54 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.62 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DECK.

Deckers Outdoor Risk Analysis

Deckers Outdoor disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Deckers Outdoor reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Deckers Outdoor Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$11.59B11.8043.31%12.38%18.43%
73
Outperform
$2.39B25.8311.09%2.56%7.80%-48.10%
71
Outperform
$7.26B21.9911.36%18.66%183.98%
66
Neutral
$4.09B25.6611.82%<0.01%-77.31%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
$1.79B21.3427.52%1.72%-2.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DECK
Deckers Outdoor
81.81
-82.96
-50.35%
CROX
Crocs
80.23
-22.51
-21.91%
SHOO
Steven Madden
37.32
-5.72
-13.29%
WWW
Wolverine World Wide
16.72
1.00
6.36%
BIRK
Birkenstock Holding plc
39.23
-7.17
-15.45%

Deckers Outdoor Corporate Events

Deckers Brands Reports Strong Growth Amid U.S. Challenges
Oct 25, 2025

Deckers Brands recently held its earnings call, revealing a positive sentiment overall, driven by robust growth in revenue and earnings. The company has seen impressive international expansion and strong performances from its HOKA and UGG brands. However, challenges in the U.S. market, including consumer pressure and tariff impacts, are expected to affect margins and growth in the upcoming quarters.

Deckers Brands Reports Strong Q2 2026 Growth
Oct 24, 2025

Deckers Brands, a global leader in designing and distributing innovative footwear, apparel, and accessories, is renowned for its popular brands such as UGG and HOKA. The company operates in the lifestyle and performance footwear industry, offering products in over 50 countries worldwide.

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Deckers Outdoor Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Sep 11, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Deckers Outdoor Corporation held its virtual Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where three key proposals were voted on. The stockholders elected ten directors to serve until the 2026 annual meeting, ratified KPMG LLP as the independent accounting firm for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, and approved the executive officers’ compensation on a non-binding advisory basis. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and operational strategies, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (DECK) stock is a Buy with a $134.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Deckers Outdoor stock, see the DECK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025