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Deckers Outdoor (DECK)
NYSE:DECK
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Deckers Outdoor (DECK) AI Stock Analysis

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DECK

Deckers Outdoor

(NYSE:DECK)

Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:
$123.00
▲(22.42% Upside)
Deckers Outdoor scores well due to its robust financial performance and positive earnings call outlook. While technical indicators are neutral and valuation is moderate, the company's strategic focus on growth and brand strength, particularly in international markets, supports a strong overall score.
Positive Factors
Brand Performance
Hoka sales increased by 20%, surpassing market expectations.
Shareholder Value
Deckers has a substantial stock repurchase program with $2.4 billion remaining, indicating potential shareholder value return.
Negative Factors
Market Uncertainty
Uncertainty exists around future direct-to-consumer sales softness for both HOKA and UGG, especially in the US.
Operating Margins
HOKA's operating margin has declined significantly due to increased payroll, advertising, and rent expenses.

Deckers Outdoor (DECK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Deckers Outdoor Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDeckers Outdoor Corporation is a global leader in designing, marketing, and distributing innovative footwear, apparel, and accessories. Founded in 1973 and headquartered in Goleta, California, the company operates primarily in the outdoor and lifestyle sectors. Deckers is renowned for its flagship brands, including UGG, HOKA ONE ONE, Teva, and Sanuk, each offering a unique range of products tailored to various consumer needs, from casual wear to performance outdoor gear.
How the Company Makes MoneyDeckers Outdoor generates revenue primarily through the direct sale of its branded products to consumers and retailers. The company operates a multi-channel distribution strategy that includes wholesale, direct-to-consumer (DTC) through branded retail stores and e-commerce platforms. Key revenue streams include sales from wholesale accounts, DTC sales, and international markets. Significant partnerships with major retail chains and an expanding global presence enhance its earnings potential. Seasonal demand for specific product lines, combined with effective marketing and brand loyalty, further contribute to its financial performance.

Deckers Outdoor Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Examines revenue from different business segments, providing insight into which product lines or services are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsDeckers Outdoor's HOKA brand continues to show robust growth, with a significant increase in revenue, particularly in international markets. This aligns with the earnings call's emphasis on HOKA's strong brand performance and global expansion. UGG also contributes positively, reflecting strategic brand positioning. However, the 'Other' segment's spike in early 2025 suggests a one-time event or initiative. Despite these gains, the company faces challenges from increased tariffs and macroeconomic uncertainties, which could impact future profitability and demand. Deckers plans to counter these challenges with strategic pricing and cost-sharing measures.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Deckers Outdoor Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: -4.26%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a generally positive outlook for Deckers Brands, with significant revenue and EPS growth driven by record performance in both HOKA and UGG brands, particularly in international markets. However, challenges such as a tough U.S. consumer environment, gross margin pressure, and potential tariff impacts were noted. Overall, the positive highlights of strong brand performance and market expansion outweighed the lowlights.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue for HOKA
HOKA delivered its largest quarter in its history with global revenue increasing 20% year-over-year to $653 million.
Strong Performance in International Markets
Deckers' international revenue increased by 50%, driven by significant growth in both HOKA and UGG brands.
UGG's Largest June Quarter
UGG achieved its largest June quarter with global revenue increasing 19% year-over-year to $265 million.
Overall Revenue and EPS Growth
Deckers' overall revenue grew 17% year-over-year to $965 million, and diluted earnings per share increased 24% to $0.93.
Successful Wholesale Channel Expansion
The wholesale channel was a primary driver of growth for both HOKA and UGG, with strong sell-through reported.
Negative Updates
Challenging U.S. Consumer Environment
Despite international success, the U.S. market faced a choppy consumer environment, impacting HOKA's performance domestically.
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin decreased by 110 basis points to 55.8% due to unfavorable channel mix, increased promotions, and higher freight rates.
Inventory and Tariff Concerns
Inventory increased by 13% year-over-year, and potential tariffs could lead to $185 million in unmitigated costs.
Company Guidance
During the Deckers Brands First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided an upbeat guidance, reflecting a strong start to the fiscal year. Deckers reported a 17% increase in revenue to $965 million and a 24% rise in diluted earnings per share to $0.93. HOKA and UGG brands both outperformed expectations, with HOKA achieving its largest quarter ever, driving revenue up 20% to $653 million, and UGG increasing 19% to $265 million. The CEO emphasized the strong market share gains and full-price integrity maintained by both brands. International markets showed remarkable growth, with a 50% increase in revenue, largely attributed to HOKA and UGG, despite a challenging U.S. consumer environment. The company remains committed to strategic investments and operational discipline to navigate macroeconomic uncertainties, including tariffs and foreign currency fluctuations. Looking ahead, Deckers expects HOKA to continue as the fastest-growing brand and anticipates a balanced growth between wholesale and direct-to-consumer channels, with a focus on innovation and consumer experience.

Deckers Outdoor Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Deckers Outdoor shows strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth, high gross profit margins, and robust cash flow generation. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage and strong equity utilization. The increase in liabilities is a minor concern but is well-managed relative to equity.
Income Statement
92
Very Positive
Deckers Outdoor has shown strong revenue growth with a significant increase in total revenue from $2.13 billion in 2020 to $4.99 billion in 2025. Gross profit margins have been consistently high, reaching 57.88% in 2025, indicating efficient production and cost management. Net profit margin improved to 19.38% in 2025, reflecting enhanced operational profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins increased consistently, showcasing strong core earnings growth. The company has demonstrated a robust trajectory in revenue and profitability.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The balance sheet is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11 in 2025, indicating conservative leverage and financial stability. Deckers Outdoor's equity ratio improved to 70.39%, highlighting a strong equity base. Return on equity has been impressive, reaching 38.45% in 2025, showcasing efficient use of shareholder funds. The company maintains substantial cash reserves, supporting its liquidity and operational flexibility. However, the total liabilities have increased, which could pose a risk if not managed effectively.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Deckers Outdoor's cash flow performance is robust, with operating cash flow consistently exceeding net income, indicating strong cash generation capability. The free cash flow has grown steadily, underscoring effective capital expenditure management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy at 1.08 in 2025, reflecting efficient cash generation. Free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, further emphasizing the company's ability to convert earnings into cash. Overall, cash flow generation is stable and supports strategic initiatives.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.99B4.29B3.63B3.15B2.55B
Gross Profit2.89B2.39B1.83B1.61B1.37B
EBITDA1.32B1.04B719.53M611.15M548.81M
Net Income966.09M759.56M516.82M451.95M382.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.57B3.14B2.56B2.33B2.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.89B1.50B981.79M843.53M1.09B
Total Debt276.98M266.88M246.49M222.07M223.04M
Total Liabilities1.06B1.03B790.47M793.42M723.48M
Stockholders Equity2.51B2.11B1.77B1.54B1.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow958.35M943.82M456.40M121.34M564.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.04B1.03B537.42M172.35M596.22M
Investing Cash Flow-75.00M-89.33M-81.01M-51.01M-32.17M
Financing Cash Flow-581.33M-417.68M-309.03M-367.48M-129.58M

Deckers Outdoor Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price100.47
Price Trends
50DMA
104.82
Negative
100DMA
109.65
Negative
200DMA
143.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.69
Positive
RSI
41.87
Neutral
STOCH
9.02
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DECK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 100.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 105.12, below the 50-day MA of 104.82, and below the 200-day MA of 143.82, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.69 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.02 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DECK.

Deckers Outdoor Risk Analysis

Deckers Outdoor disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Deckers Outdoor reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Deckers Outdoor Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$15.08B15.6143.58%15.43%24.20%
78
Outperform
$9.05B33.529.35%18.55%147.70%
72
Outperform
$9.41B14.3914.79%12.11%17.08%
69
Neutral
$4.11B20.2015.39%2.04%-71.52%
69
Neutral
$2.17B25.8527.52%1.50%-2.83%
68
Neutral
$1.79B19.3611.09%3.30%7.80%-48.10%
61
Neutral
$16.99B10.66-7.51%3.25%1.53%-15.49%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DECK
Deckers Outdoor
100.47
-56.92
-36.16%
CROX
Crocs
76.56
-58.05
-43.12%
SKX
Skechers USA
62.91
-0.70
-1.10%
SHOO
Steven Madden
24.61
-17.59
-41.68%
WWW
Wolverine World Wide
26.75
14.35
115.73%
BIRK
Birkenstock Holding plc
47.54
-12.77
-21.17%

Deckers Outdoor Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Deckers Outdoor Reports Strong Q1 2026 Revenue Growth
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Deckers Brands announced that Dave Powers will retire from the Board of Directors and will not stand for reelection at the 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, with Patrick J. Grismer nominated for election. The company reported a 17% increase in first-quarter fiscal year 2026 revenue, reaching $965 million, and a 24% rise in diluted EPS to $0.93, driven by strong performances from HOKA and UGG brands. Despite global trade uncertainties, Deckers remains confident in its brand strength and long-term opportunities. The company also repurchased 1.7 million shares of its stock for $183 million, with $2.4 billion remaining under its repurchase authorization.

The most recent analyst rating on (DECK) stock is a Buy with a $175.76 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Deckers Outdoor stock, see the DECK Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Deckers Outdoor Appoints New Chair of the Board
Positive
May 22, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Deckers Brands announced the appointment of Cynthia L. Davis as the new Chair of the Board, succeeding Michael F. Devine, III, who retired after over 14 years of service. The company also reported a record fiscal year 2025 with a 16% increase in revenue to $4.99 billion and a 30% rise in diluted EPS to $6.33. Deckers continues to focus on long-term growth opportunities, supported by a strong balance sheet and increased share repurchase authorization.

The most recent analyst rating on (DECK) stock is a Buy with a $175.76 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Deckers Outdoor stock, see the DECK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025