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Wolverine World Wide (WWW)
:WWW

Wolverine World Wide (WWW) AI Stock Analysis

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Wolverine World Wide

(NYSE:WWW)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
▼(-10.96%Downside)
Wolverine World Wide is experiencing strong financial performance with improved profitability and robust cash flow generation. However, high leverage and declining revenue remain significant risks. The stock exhibits bullish technical momentum, but valuation concerns and caution from the earnings call due to tariff uncertainties and guidance withdrawal temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Brand Performance
The strength of Saucony and Merrell brands, with significant sales increases, contributes positively to the company's outlook.
Earnings and Price Targets
The U.S-China agreement to reduce tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30% for 90 days has led to increased estimates and price targets for the stock.
Operational Efficiency
WWW's inventory levels are cleaner and the content has improved, indicating better operational efficiency.
Negative Factors
Merrell Brand Strategy
Merrell's allocation and distribution strategy still leaves much to be desired.
Revenue Guidance
FY25 revenue guidance was disappointing; The high end of revenue guidance was 1.8% below consensus estimates.
Uncertain Future Demand
The decision to withdraw FY25 guidance is prudent, as tariff driven uncertainty makes future demand difficult to measure.

Wolverine World Wide (WWW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Wolverine World Wide Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWolverine World Wide, Inc. designs, manufactures, sources, markets, licenses, and distributes footwear, apparel, and accessories in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Canada and Latin America. The company operates through two segments, Wolverine Michigan Group and Wolverine Boston Group. It offers casual footwear and apparel; performance outdoor and athletic footwear and apparel; kids' footwear; industrial work boots and apparel; and uniform shoes and boots. The company sources, markets, and licenses a range of footwear styles, such as shoes, boots, and sandals under the Bates, Cat, Chaco, Harley-Davidson, Hush Puppies, Hytest, Keds, Merrell, Saucony, Sperry, Sweaty Betty, Wolverine, and Stride Rite brands. It also markets Merrell and Wolverine branded apparel and accessories, as well as licenses its brands for use on non-footwear products, including the Hush Puppies apparel, eyewear, watches, socks, handbags, and plush toys; Wolverine branded eyewear and gloves; and Keds, Saucony, and Sperry branded apparel. In addition, the company markets pigskin leather under the Wolverine Warrior Leather, Weather Tight, and All Season Weather Leathers trademarks for use in the footwear industry. Further, it operates brick and mortar retail stores, and eCommerce sites. The company sells its products to department stores, national chains, catalog and specialty retailers, independent retailers, uniform outlets, and mass merchant and government customers through retail stores, as well as through third-party licensees and distributors, and joint ventures. As of January 1, 2022, it operated 143 retail stores, as well as 65 consumer-direct eCommerce sites. Wolverine World Wide, Inc. was founded in 1883 and is based in Rockford, Michigan.
How the Company Makes MoneyWolverine World Wide generates revenue primarily through the sale of its footwear, apparel, and accessories across multiple channels, including wholesale, direct-to-consumer, and licensing. The company's wholesale operations involve selling products to various retailers, department stores, and specialty stores globally. Its direct-to-consumer operations include e-commerce platforms and branded retail stores, enabling direct engagement with customers. Additionally, Wolverine World Wide earns revenue through licensing agreements, allowing other companies to produce and sell products under its brand names. Partnerships with retailers and strategic acquisitions also play a significant role in expanding its market presence and boosting its earnings.

Wolverine World Wide Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 25.20%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue and earnings growth driven by key brands Saucony and Merrell, along with record gross margins. However, significant challenges such as the decline in Work Group and Sweaty Betty revenues, and uncertainties related to tariffs warrant caution. The withdrawal of full-year guidance further underscores the cautious outlook despite the strong start to the year.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Earnings Growth
Wolverine Worldwide reported a revenue growth of over 5% on an ongoing basis and nearly 7% on a constant currency basis in the first quarter. Earnings increased by more than 3 times compared to last year.
Record Q1 Gross Margin
Achieved record Q1 gross margin, marking the fourth time in the last five quarters the company posted record gross margins.
Saucony Brand Performance
Saucony delivered 30% year-over-year revenue growth in Q1 with strong double-digit growth in North America and more than doubling the Asia-Pacific business. Gross margin improved by nearly 400 basis points.
Merrell Brand Performance
Merrell grew revenue by 13% compared to Q1 last year, with largest contributions coming from Asia Pacific and EMEA. Gross margin improved by more than 200 basis points.
International Business Growth
Reported mid-teens year-over-year growth in international markets, with a strong outlook for the balance of the year.
Negative Updates
Work Group Revenue Decline
Work Group revenue decreased by 17% in the quarter due to timing shift and the non-repeat of significant discounting on certain styles from the prior year.
Sweaty Betty Revenue Decline
Sweaty Betty revenue declined 16% in Q1, though gross margins improved significantly by nearly 1,000 basis points.
Tariff Uncertainty and Impact
The company withdrew its full-year guidance due to significant uncertainty with the tariffs, estimating a $30 million profit impact before mitigation.
Withdrawal of Full-Year Guidance
The full-year guidance for 2025 was withdrawn due to dynamic market conditions, particularly the evolving tariff situation.
Company Guidance
During the Wolverine Worldwide First Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance for the second quarter of 2025. They expect revenue to be between $440 million to $450 million, representing a year-over-year increase of approximately 5% at the midpoint, or 4.6% on a constant currency basis. The Active Group is anticipated to grow by a high single-digit percentage, while the Work Group is expected to decline by a low single-digit percentage. The company also projects second quarter adjusted operating margins of approximately 7.2%, with adjusted diluted earnings per share in the range of $0.19 to $0.24. Wolverine Worldwide highlighted several actions to mitigate the impact of tariffs, including strategic price adjustments and efforts to reduce U.S. sourcing from China to less than 10% of their volume by year-end, with a target to push this down to near zero in 2026.

Wolverine World Wide Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Wolverine World Wide shows improving profitability with recent net income and margin improvements. However, high leverage and declining revenue pose risks. The company’s strong cash flow generation provides a positive outlook, but the balance sheet's leverage is a concern that needs monitoring.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable with a slight improvement in the TTM period at 44.2%. The net profit margin improved to 4.1% in TTM from a loss position previously, indicating better cost management. Revenue growth has been negative over the last few periods, showing a decline from 2022 levels. However, the improvement in EBIT and EBITDA margins in TTM suggests operational efficiency gains.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio remains high at 2.77 in TTM, indicating significant leverage. Return on equity improved to 23.66% in TTM, driven by better net income. The equity ratio is low at 18.44%, reflecting a highly leveraged balance sheet with substantial liabilities relative to equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Free cash flow has shown a positive trend with a growth rate of 2.39% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.82, indicating strong cash generation relative to net earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.51 further supports solid cash flow performance.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.77B1.75B2.24B2.68B2.41B1.79B
Gross Profit784.10M781.50M872.50M1.07B1.03B735.60M
EBITDA164.40M130.50M-46.20M-137.30M207.30M-96.60M
Net Income73.50M47.90M-39.60M-189.10M68.60M-138.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.68B1.67B2.06B2.49B2.59B2.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments106.50M152.10M179.00M131.50M161.70M347.40M
Total Debt860.10M797.70M1.09B1.35B1.12B886.80M
Total Liabilities1.36B1.35B1.76B2.15B1.94B1.56B
Stockholders Equity310.60M307.30M278.60M339.00M644.40M573.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow110.80M159.90M107.20M-215.40M69.20M298.80M
Operating Cash Flow133.50M180.10M121.80M-178.90M86.80M309.10M
Investing Cash Flow-6.50M86.80M171.60M54.60M-437.30M6.10M
Financing Cash Flow-185.70M-299.20M-246.30M107.10M169.30M-154.00M

Wolverine World Wide Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.53
Price Trends
50DMA
15.94
Positive
100DMA
15.38
Positive
200DMA
17.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.49
Positive
RSI
62.11
Neutral
STOCH
82.04
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WWW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.65, above the 50-day MA of 15.94, and above the 200-day MA of 17.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.04 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WWW.

Wolverine World Wide Risk Analysis

Wolverine World Wide disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Wolverine World Wide reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Wolverine World Wide Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$5.78B6.3153.70%2.09%26.18%
74
Outperform
$1.78B10.5919.51%3.42%10.17%-4.71%
71
Outperform
$166.76M12.175.97%2.77%-2.01%2.08%
70
Outperform
$323.57M11.1311.76%3.20%-5.46%-1.09%
WWWWW
68
Neutral
$1.50B20.9025.29%2.16%-13.05%
CACAL
66
Neutral
$423.81M5.2413.67%2.23%-4.84%-49.08%
56
Neutral
HK$23.98B4.08-1.57%6.81%0.06%-64.88%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WWW
Wolverine World Wide
18.53
5.59
43.20%
CROX
Crocs
103.02
-44.73
-30.27%
RCKY
Rocky Brands
22.35
-11.60
-34.17%
SHOO
Steven Madden
24.56
-15.98
-39.42%
WEYS
Weyco Group
33.78
6.84
25.39%
CAL
Caleres
12.54
-19.55
-60.92%

Wolverine World Wide Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Wolverine World Wide Shareholders Meeting Results Announced
Neutral
May 7, 2025

On May 1, 2025, Wolverine World Wide held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where four proposals were voted on. The shareholders elected two directors for terms expiring in 2028, approved executive compensation, ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent auditor for fiscal year 2025, and rejected a proposal on greenhouse gas emissions disclosures and targets.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 10, 2025