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Rocky Brands (RCKY)
NASDAQ:RCKY
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Rocky Brands (RCKY) AI Stock Analysis

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RCKY

Rocky Brands

(NASDAQ:RCKY)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(10.95% Upside)
Rocky Brands receives a solid score driven by strong earnings performance and strategic improvements in profitability and debt management. While technical indicators suggest some short-term caution, the company's valuation remains attractive, and the positive outlook from the earnings call supports future growth prospects.

Rocky Brands (RCKY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rocky Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRocky Brands, Inc. (RCKY) is a leading manufacturer and marketer of premium footwear, apparel, and accessories, primarily catering to outdoor enthusiasts, industrial workers, and the military. Founded in 1932, the company operates through multiple segments, including Rocky, Georgia Boot, Durango, and others, offering a diverse range of high-quality products such as work boots, outdoor shoes, and tactical gear. With a strong focus on innovation, comfort, and durability, Rocky Brands has established a solid reputation in the marketplace.
How the Company Makes MoneyRocky Brands generates revenue primarily through the sale of its footwear and apparel products across various distribution channels, including wholesale, retail, and e-commerce. Key revenue streams include direct sales to consumers via their websites and retail outlets, as well as partnerships with major retailers and distributors. The company benefits from a diverse product lineup that caters to different market segments, which helps mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations. Additionally, Rocky Brands engages in strategic collaborations and licensing agreements that can enhance brand visibility and expand its market reach, contributing to its overall earnings.

Rocky Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with strong revenue and EPS growth, improved gross margins, and strategic brand expansions. However, challenges remain with specific brands like Georgia Boot and the impact of tariffs. Overall, the company showed resilience and adaptability in a complex market environment.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue and EPS Growth
The company reported high single-digit revenue growth and adjusted EPS more than tripled to $0.55 per diluted share, driven by strong execution across a diversified portfolio.
XTRATUF Brand Performance
XTRATUF maintained its position as the fastest-growing brand, showing accelerating momentum across multiple quarters with strong performance in U.S. Wholesale and e-commerce.
Improved Gross Margin
Gross margin expanded by 230 basis points to 41.0%, primarily driven by higher wholesale margins and a higher percentage of Retail sales.
Operating Income Growth
Operating income increased by 58.7% to $7.2 million, showing significant improvement compared to last year.
Debt Reduction
Total debt decreased by 13.1% since June 30 of last year, reflecting improved financial health.
Strong Performance in Outdoor Category
The Outdoor category saw significant growth, becoming a key engine alongside traditional Work and Western strengths.
Negative Updates
Challenges with Georgia Boot and Inventory Issues
Georgia Boot finished down modestly for the quarter, with tariff-related timing shifts delaying fall product shipment by a month.
Tariff-Related Challenges
The company faced global tariff uncertainties and economic pressures, with an estimated $11 million of incremental tariffs impacting financial performance.
Mixed Consumer Demand
Confusion around consumer behavior was noted, with fluctuations in week-to-week sales performance, indicating uncertain consumer demand.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, Rocky Brands reported a 7.5% increase in net sales to $105.6 million, with Wholesale sales up 7.1% to $73.1 million and Retail sales rising 13.9% to $29.7 million. The gross profit improved to $43.3 million, representing a gross margin of 41.0%, up 230 basis points from the previous year. Operating income surged by 58.7% to $7.2 million, or 6.8% of net sales, bolstered by a disciplined cost management strategy. Adjusted EPS more than tripled to $0.55 per diluted share, while interest expenses decreased significantly due to a strategic debt refinancing. The company raised its full-year guidance, now expecting revenue growth between 4% to 5%, supported by strong performances in the Outdoor category, particularly from the XTRATUF and Muck brands, and a strategic focus on manufacturing efficiencies. The balance sheet showed continued strength with a 13.1% reduction in total debt compared to the previous year, positioning Rocky Brands favorably for sustained growth despite global economic challenges.

Rocky Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rocky Brands demonstrates reasonable financial health with stable profitability and operational efficiency. The company maintains a balanced capital structure, though revenue growth has faced challenges. Cash flow generation remains strong, providing a solid foundation for future investments and debt servicing.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Rocky Brands shows moderate profitability with a gross profit margin of 39.98% and a net profit margin of 3.03% in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The revenue growth is slightly negative, indicating a decline from previous years. EBIT and EBITDA margins are fairly stable, indicating operational efficiency despite reduced revenue.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet presents a moderately leveraged structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.56 in the TTM, which is a manageable level. Return on Equity is relatively low at 5.83%, suggesting room for improvement in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 50.45%, indicating a balanced approach between equity and liabilities.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a positive trend with a 35.6% growth in free cash flow in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow to net income ratio is robust, which supports the company's ability to fund operations and investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue462.33M453.77M461.83M615.48M514.23M277.31M
Gross Profit187.11M179.01M178.60M225.22M194.54M104.73M
EBITDA44.38M41.32M46.31M56.36M36.71M32.41M
Net Income18.63M11.39M10.43M20.46M20.56M20.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets471.02M457.30M479.38M582.39M624.58M229.09M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.78M3.72M4.47M5.72M5.91M28.35M
Total Debt134.68M135.05M181.27M268.18M278.85M1.57M
Total Liabilities231.96M225.08M255.83M366.92M426.72M49.59M
Stockholders Equity239.06M232.22M223.56M215.47M197.85M179.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow24.53M48.10M69.66M12.42M-75.93M19.73M
Operating Cash Flow30.93M52.76M73.58M19.12M-54.88M31.44M
Investing Cash Flow-6.41M-2.96M13.38M-1.23M-233.46M-11.71M
Financing Cash Flow-25.85M-50.55M-88.21M-18.08M265.89M-6.89M

Rocky Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price27.94
Price Trends
50DMA
28.40
Positive
100DMA
25.44
Positive
200DMA
22.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.18
Positive
RSI
45.47
Neutral
STOCH
9.49
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RCKY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.48, below the 50-day MA of 28.40, and above the 200-day MA of 22.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.49 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RCKY.

Rocky Brands Risk Analysis

Rocky Brands disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rocky Brands reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rocky Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$2.41B26.1411.09%2.47%7.80%-48.10%
71
Outperform
$208.89M11.258.05%2.18%-0.09%24.18%
69
Neutral
$2.04B24.2327.52%1.55%-2.83%
68
Neutral
$4.30B21.7815.39%2.04%-71.52%
64
Neutral
$275.88M10.7810.36%10.58%-6.39%-14.72%
63
Neutral
$458.91M7.789.50%2.11%-5.31%-62.20%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RCKY
Rocky Brands
27.94
-1.20
-4.12%
CROX
Crocs
80.39
-59.16
-42.39%
SHOO
Steven Madden
34.00
-12.60
-27.04%
WEYS
Weyco Group
28.79
-2.40
-7.69%
WWW
Wolverine World Wide
25.69
9.51
58.78%
CAL
Caleres
13.27
-18.89
-58.74%

Rocky Brands Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Rocky Brands Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 4, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Rocky Brands, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where several key decisions were made. The shareholders elected directors to serve until the 2027 meeting, approved the compensation of the company’s executive officers on an advisory basis, and ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 09, 2025