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Rocky Brands (RCKY)
NASDAQ:RCKY
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Rocky Brands (RCKY) AI Stock Analysis

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RCKY

Rocky Brands

(NASDAQ:RCKY)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(11.03% Upside)
Rocky Brands' strong earnings call performance and positive technical indicators are key strengths. Financial stability and undervaluation also support a favorable outlook, despite challenges in revenue growth and tariff pressures.

Rocky Brands (RCKY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rocky Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRocky Brands, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets footwear and apparel under the Rocky, Georgia Boot, Durango, Lehigh, Muck, XTRATUF, Servus, NEOS, Ranger, and licensed Michelin brand names in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through Wholesale, Retail, and Contract Manufacturing segments. The Wholesale segment offers products in approximately 10,000 retail locations through a range of distribution channels comprising sporting goods stores, outdoor retailers, independent shoe retailers, hardware stores, catalogs, mass merchants, uniform stores, farm store chains, specialty safety stores, and specialty and online retailers. The Retail segment sells its products directly to consumers through its e-commerce websites, including rockyboots.com, georgiaboot.com, durangoboot.com, lehighoutfitters.com, lehighsafetyshoes.com, slipgrips.com,muckbootcompany.com,xtratuf.com, and Rocky outlet store in Nelsonville, Ohio, and retail stores. The Contract Manufacturing segment include private label sales and any sales to customers which are contracted to manufacture a specific footwear product for a customer and include sales to the U.S. Military. It serves industrial and construction workers, as well as workers in the hospitality industry, such as restaurants or hotels; farmers and ranchers; consumers enamored with western influenced fashion; commercial military personnel; hunting, fishing, camping, and hiking enthusiasts; law enforcement, security personnel, and postal employees; and for the U.S. military personnel. Rocky Brands, Inc. was founded in 1932 and is headquartered in Nelsonville, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyRocky Brands generates revenue primarily through the sale of its footwear and apparel products. The company sells directly to consumers via its e-commerce platforms and retail stores, as well as through wholesale channels to various retailers. Key revenue streams include sales from its core brands, such as Rocky, Georgia Boot, and Durango, which appeal to different market segments like outdoor enthusiasts, industrial workers, and fashion-conscious consumers. Additionally, Rocky Brands benefits from strategic partnerships and licensing agreements that expand its market reach and brand recognition. The company's earnings are also supported by its focus on product innovation, quality, and customer service, which drive repeat business and customer loyalty.

Rocky Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 17.58%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a generally positive outlook with strong Q2 performance, significant revenue and earnings growth, and successful brand momentum, particularly in the Outdoor category. However, challenges remain, including tariff-related pressures and modest declines in specific brand segments like Georgia Boot.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q2 Results
Rocky Brands delivered strong Q2 results, significantly outperforming both last year and their own expectations. Revenue grew by high single digits, and adjusted EPS more than tripled to $0.55 per diluted share.
XTRATUF's Accelerating Momentum
XTRATUF continues to be the fastest-growing brand, building momentum across multiple quarters with strong demand and an expanding distribution network.
Operating Income Growth
Operating income increased by 58.7% to $7.2 million, or 6.8% of net sales, compared to $4.5 million or 4.6% of net sales last year.
Debt Reduction and Interest Expense Decrease
Interest expense decreased to $2.5 million from $6.1 million last year, reflecting lower interest rates and debt levels, with total debt decreasing by 13.1% since June 30 of last year.
Robust Outdoor Category Growth
The Outdoor category is reemerging as a key growth engine, with brands like XTRATUF and Muck driving performance and broadening distribution.
Retail Net Sales Increase
Retail net sales increased by 13.9% to $29.7 million, with strong direct-to-consumer sales and marketing investments driving growth.
Negative Updates
Georgia Boot's Modest Decline
Georgia Boot finished down modestly, although it showed progressive improvement throughout the quarter.
Tariff-Related Challenges
The company faced challenges due to tariffs, with approximately $11 million of incremental tariffs on the balance sheet impacting financial performance.
Retail Gross Margin Decline
Retail gross margins decreased by 170 basis points to 45.2%.
Supply Chain and Tariff Pressures
The company accelerated receipts in the first half of the year to avoid the impact of higher tariffs but still faced supply chain and tariff pressure.
Company Guidance
During the Rocky Brands Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance reflecting strong performance and strategic positioning for the remainder of the fiscal year. Key metrics included a 7.5% increase in reported net sales to $105.6 million, with Wholesale sales up 7.1% to $73.1 million, Retail sales up 13.9% to $29.7 million, and Contract Manufacturing sales at $2.8 million. Gross profit improved to $43.3 million or 41.0% of net sales, driven by a 230 basis point increase in gross margin. Operating expenses were $36.1 million, translating to 34.2% of net sales. Adjusted operating income rose 58.7% to $7.8 million. The balance sheet showed cash and cash equivalents at $2.8 million and total debt decreased by 13.1% to $132.5 million. Inventory levels increased by 6.8% to $186.8 million. The company revised its full-year revenue growth forecast to 4%-5% and expects EPS to rise approximately 10% over last year’s $2.54 per share, highlighting improved efficiencies and strategic brand positioning.

Rocky Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rocky Brands demonstrates reasonable financial health with stable profitability and operational efficiency. While cash flow generation remains strong, revenue growth has faced challenges.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Rocky Brands shows moderate profitability with a gross profit margin of 39.98% and a net profit margin of 3.03% in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The revenue growth is slightly negative, indicating a decline from previous years. EBIT and EBITDA margins are fairly stable, indicating operational efficiency despite reduced revenue.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet presents a moderately leveraged structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.56 in the TTM, which is a manageable level. Return on Equity is relatively low at 5.83%, suggesting room for improvement in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 50.45%, indicating a balanced approach between equity and liabilities.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a positive trend with a 35.6% growth in free cash flow in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow to net income ratio is robust, which supports the company's ability to fund operations and investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue454.94M453.77M461.83M615.48M514.23M277.31M
Gross Profit181.87M179.01M178.60M225.22M194.54M104.73M
EBITDA41.92M41.32M46.31M38.09M62.71M32.41M
Net Income13.78M11.39M10.43M20.46M20.56M20.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets468.22M457.30M479.38M582.39M624.58M229.09M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.56M3.72M4.47M5.72M5.91M28.35M
Total Debt131.47M135.05M181.27M265.11M278.85M1.57M
Total Liabilities232.01M225.08M255.83M366.92M426.72M49.59M
Stockholders Equity236.21M232.22M223.56M215.47M197.85M179.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow31.51M48.10M69.66M12.42M-75.93M19.73M
Operating Cash Flow36.59M52.76M73.58M19.12M-54.88M31.44M
Investing Cash Flow-3.39M-2.96M13.38M-1.23M-233.46M-11.71M
Financing Cash Flow-33.70M-50.55M-88.21M-18.08M265.89M-6.89M

Rocky Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price27.02
Price Trends
50DMA
23.03
Positive
100DMA
20.04
Positive
200DMA
21.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.76
Negative
RSI
61.53
Neutral
STOCH
37.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RCKY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.09, above the 50-day MA of 23.03, and above the 200-day MA of 21.43, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.76 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RCKY.

Rocky Brands Risk Analysis

Rocky Brands disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rocky Brands reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rocky Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$0.006.2553.70%2.09%26.18%
75
Outperform
$187.13M10.098.05%2.47%-0.09%24.18%
72
Outperform
$461.66M5.7913.67%2.13%-4.84%-49.08%
71
Outperform
$1.71B18.5011.09%3.57%7.67%-48.10%
68
Neutral
$1.80B24.9925.29%1.70%-13.05%
67
Neutral
$281.52M10.9910.36%10.70%-5.46%-1.09%
61
Neutral
$16.48B10.03-9.00%3.34%1.42%-22.40%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RCKY
Rocky Brands
27.02
0.20
0.75%
CROX
Crocs
102.00
-24.18
-19.16%
SHOO
Steven Madden
25.10
-16.02
-38.96%
WEYS
Weyco Group
29.39
1.05
3.71%
WWW
Wolverine World Wide
23.50
10.91
86.66%
CAL
Caleres
13.66
-20.67
-60.21%

Rocky Brands Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Rocky Brands Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 4, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Rocky Brands, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where several key decisions were made. The shareholders elected directors to serve until the 2027 meeting, approved the compensation of the company’s executive officers on an advisory basis, and ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (RCKY) stock is a Hold with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rocky Brands stock, see the RCKY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2025