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Caleres Inc (CAL)
NYSE:CAL
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Caleres (CAL) AI Stock Analysis

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CAL

Caleres

(NYSE:CAL)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$16.00
▲(6.67% Upside)
Caleres' overall stock score is driven by a mixed financial performance and technical indicators showing limited momentum. The valuation suggests potential undervaluation, but recent earnings challenges weigh on the score. Positive corporate events provide some support to the stock's outlook.

Caleres (CAL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Caleres Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCaleres, Inc. engages in the retail and wholesale of footwear in the United States, Canada, China, and Guam. It operates through Famous Footwear and Brand Portfolio segments. The company offers licensed, branded, and private-label athletic, casual, and dress footwear products to women, men, and children. Its retail shoe stores provide brand name athletic, casual, and dress shoes, including Nike, Skechers, adidas, Vans, Converse, Crocs, Puma, Birkenstock, New Balance, Asics, New Balance, Under Armour, Bearpaw, Timberland, Sperry, and Dr. Martens, as well as company-owned and licensed brands, such as Dr. Scholl's Shoes, Blowfish Malibu, LifeStride, Naturalizer, Zodiac, Circus by Sam Edelman, Franco Sarto, and Ryka. The company also operates naturalizer.com, naturalizer.ca, vionicshoes.com, samedelman.com, allenedmonds.com, drschollsshoes.com, lifestride.com, francosarto.com, ryka.com, bzees.com, and zodiacshoes.com, as well as Vince.com, blowfishshoes.com, and veronicabeard.com websites. In addition, it designs, sources, manufactures, and markets footwear to retail stores, such as national chains, online retailers, department stores, mass merchandisers, independent retailers, and catalogs. Further, the company wholesales men's apparel, leather goods, and accessories under the Allen Edmonds brand; footwear for women under LifeStride brand; Italian footwear Franco Sarto brand; athletic footwear for women under the Rykä brand; women's shoe collection under the Vince brand; and women's footwear under the Bzees brand; other footwear under Zodiac brand; and women's footwear collection under Veronica Beard brand, as well as Via Spiga brand. It operates approximately 980 retail stores. The company was formerly known as Brown Shoe Company, Inc. Caleres, Inc. was founded in 1878 and is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.
How the Company Makes MoneyCaleres generates revenue primarily through the sale of footwear across its retail and wholesale channels. The company's key revenue streams include direct sales from its Famous Footwear stores and e-commerce platform, as well as wholesale partnerships with other retailers that carry Caleres brands. Additionally, the company benefits from licensing agreements with other brands, expanding its reach in the footwear market. Seasonal promotions, effective marketing strategies, and a focus on customer engagement also contribute significantly to its earnings. The diverse brand portfolio allows Caleres to cater to different market segments, enhancing its revenue stability.

Caleres Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Caleres faced a challenging first quarter with a decline in sales and earnings below expectations. The company encountered significant headwinds from tariffs, sourcing disruptions, and inventory management issues. However, there were positive developments, such as market share gains, strategic cost reductions, and promising brand performances, which provide a cautiously optimistic outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Market Share Gains in Key Segments
Both business segments gained market share. Brand portfolio gained market share in women's fashion footwear, and Famous Footwear gained 0.5 points in kids' market share and 0.2 points overall.
Sam Edelman Performance
The Sam Edelman brand delivered solid performance with domestic sales growth and double-digit international growth, showing improvement in China.
Strategic Cost Reduction Initiative
Caleres plans to decrease SG&A expenses by $15 million annually through structural expense cuts starting in the third quarter.
Launch of Jordan Brand
Caleres launched the Jordan brand in 147 stores, with plans to expand to all stores for back-to-school, indicating potential for increased sales.
Negative Updates
Sales and Earnings Performance
First-quarter sales declined 6.8% year over year with adjusted earnings per share of $0.22, below expectations. February sales were particularly weak.
Impact of Tariffs and Sourcing Disruption
Tariffs and sourcing disruptions reduced gross margin profit by nearly $1.9 million. Actions to pause and move production out of China incurred additional costs.
Excess Inventory and Reserves
Higher inventory levels required additional markdown reserves, impacting the quarter by $2.3 million. Inventory was up 8.1% compared to last year.
Customer Credit Issues
Expanding customer credit concerns led to bad debt write downs, impacting profit by almost $3.1 million compared to last year.
Company Guidance
During the Caleres First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance. The first-quarter sales were reported at $614.2 million, reflecting a 6.8% decline year over year, and adjusted earnings per share were $0.22. The brand portfolio saw a sales decline of 6.9%, with a 280 basis point decrease in gross margin, primarily due to lower product margins, costs associated with canceling or moving production, and higher inventory reserves. Famous Footwear's total sales decreased by 6.3%, with a comp sales decline of 4.6%. The company noted a sequential improvement in sales trends from February into March and April. Additionally, Caleres is implementing a structural cost initiative expected to save $15 million annually, with $7.5 million anticipated in the back half of 2025. Despite the challenges, including tariff-related impacts and higher inventory levels, the company remains focused on optimizing its sourcing strategy and strengthening its market position.

Caleres Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Caleres has maintained strong gross and operating margins, but faces challenges with declining revenue and free cash flow generation. The balance sheet remains stable with manageable leverage, yet cash flow management needs improvement for long-term growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Caleres has shown a solid recovery in its income statement metrics. The Gross Profit Margin for TTM stands at approximately 44.5%, indicating effective cost management. However, the Net Profit Margin decreased to around 3.1% in TTM from 3.9% the previous year. Revenue has decreased by 3.2% over the last year, signaling a slight decline in sales momentum. The EBIT Margin is at 4.4% for TTM, highlighting stable operational efficiency despite the revenue dip. EBITDA Margin remains robust at 6.0% in TTM.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Caleres' balance sheet shows a reasonable leverage position with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of approximately 1.41 in TTM, indicating reliance on borrowed funds but within a manageable range. The Return on Equity (ROE) for TTM is around 13.8%, showcasing decent profitability relative to equity. The Equity Ratio is moderate at 31.7% in TTM, suggesting a solid equity base to support its total assets.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow analysis reflects some challenges, with Free Cash Flow decreasing significantly over the past year. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is very low, indicating limited free cash generation relative to profits. However, the Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is approximately 0.75 in TTM, showing a decent conversion of net income into cash.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.72B2.82B2.97B2.78B2.12B
Gross Profit1.22B1.26B1.28B1.23B787.05M
EBITDA205.54M253.94M276.31M257.08M-432.19M
Net Income107.25M163.87M181.74M137.02M-438.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.89B1.80B1.84B1.84B1.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.64M21.36M33.70M30.11M88.30M
Total Debt826.55M747.86M887.63M871.40M1.12B
Total Liabilities1.29B1.24B1.41B1.52B1.66B
Stockholders Equity599.02M560.63M420.68M318.57M200.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow55.41M150.53M61.84M144.30M104.29M
Operating Cash Flow104.56M200.15M125.88M168.44M126.35M
Investing Cash Flow-51.69M-49.62M-64.04M-24.14M-22.06M
Financing Cash Flow-44.51M-162.99M-58.15M-202.38M-61.31M

Caleres Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price15.00
Price Trends
50DMA
14.13
Positive
100DMA
14.62
Positive
200DMA
17.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.29
Negative
RSI
53.71
Neutral
STOCH
59.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CAL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.61, above the 50-day MA of 14.13, and below the 200-day MA of 17.86, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CAL.

Caleres Risk Analysis

Caleres disclosed 8 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Caleres reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Caleres Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$227.26M12.248.05%2.04%-0.09%24.18%
74
Outperform
$2.11B22.8411.09%2.89%7.80%-48.10%
69
Neutral
$2.60B30.8627.52%1.25%-2.83%
68
Neutral
$289.04M11.2910.36%10.10%-6.39%-14.72%
68
Neutral
$4.76B23.4215.39%2.04%-71.52%
67
Neutral
$506.95M6.2613.67%1.87%-4.84%-49.08%
61
Neutral
$17.67B14.34-5.25%3.04%1.27%-14.70%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CAL
Caleres
15.00
-24.35
-61.88%
CROX
Crocs
87.20
-52.72
-37.68%
RCKY
Rocky Brands
30.43
0.71
2.39%
SHOO
Steven Madden
29.04
-14.37
-33.10%
WEYS
Weyco Group
30.30
0.11
0.36%
WWW
Wolverine World Wide
31.94
18.55
138.54%

Caleres Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Caleres Completes Acquisition of Stuart Weitzman Brand
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

On August 4, 2025, Caleres, Inc. completed the acquisition of the Stuart Weitzman brand from Tapestry, Inc. for a net purchase price of $108.7 million, excluding cash received at closing. This acquisition, initially announced in February 2025, is expected to enhance Caleres’ portfolio and strengthen its position in the footwear industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAL) stock is a Hold with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Caleres stock, see the CAL Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Caleres Extends Credit Agreement, Boosts Facility
Positive
Jul 3, 2025

On June 27, 2025, Caleres, Inc. and its subsidiaries entered into a Seventh Amendment to their Credit Agreement with a group of lenders, extending the maturity date to June 27, 2030, and increasing the credit facility by $200 million to a total of $700 million. This amendment allows for potential further increases and includes changes to permit the acquisition of Stuart Weitzman, while also adjusting covenants and default conditions to ensure financial stability and operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAL) stock is a Hold with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Caleres stock, see the CAL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Caleres Amends Bylaws and Elects New Directors
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Caleres‘ Board of Directors amended the company’s Bylaws to reduce the number of directors from twelve to eleven. During the Annual Meeting of Shareholders on the same day, eleven directors were elected for a one-year term, Ernst & Young LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accountants, and an advisory resolution on executive compensation was approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (CAL) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Caleres stock, see the CAL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 13, 2025