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Skechers USA (SKX)
NYSE:SKX

Skechers USA (SKX) AI Stock Analysis

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Skechers USA

(NYSE:SKX)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
Skechers showcases a solid financial foundation with consistent growth and strong international sales. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to limited momentum and trading below key moving averages. The strategic acquisition by 3G Capital could bolster long-term growth prospects, but challenges in China and global trade uncertainties require careful attention. While the valuation is attractive, the lack of dividend and operational hurdles temper the overall positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Acquisition
The acquisition by 3G Capital offers a significant premium above Skechers' recent closing price, indicating a positive valuation for shareholders.
Market Position
Skechers holds a strong position as the third largest footwear brand globally with potential growth opportunities in value pricing, comfort technologies, and expansion in Asia.
Operational Improvements
Efforts to improve company dynamics, such as changing management compensation metrics and providing fiscal guidance, are noted as positive changes.
Negative Factors
Capital Expenditure
Skechers' capital intensity is increasing, as Capex as a percentage of sales is reaching all-time highs and well above sector levels.
Stock Rating Downgrade
The analyst recommendation for Skechers USA Inc has been downgraded from Buy to Hold.
Tariff Exposure
The company's significant exposure to China tariffs and revenue could continue to weigh on its financial performance.

Skechers USA (SKX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Skechers USA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSkechers USA, Inc. (SKX) is a global leader in the lifestyle and performance footwear industry, designing and marketing a diverse range of footwear for men, women, and children. Established in 1992 and headquartered in Manhattan Beach, California, the company offers two distinct footwear categories through a variety of brands: lifestyle footwear, which includes casual and fashionable shoes, and performance footwear, designed for athletic activities. In addition to footwear, Skechers also offers apparel and accessories, expanding its product line to meet consumer demands.
How the Company Makes MoneySkechers generates revenue primarily through the sale of its footwear products. The company's revenue model is comprised of three main channels: wholesale, retail, and e-commerce. The wholesale channel involves selling products to department stores, specialty shops, and independent retailers globally. The retail segment includes sales through company-owned Skechers retail stores in key markets worldwide. E-commerce serves as a growing revenue stream, with products being sold directly to consumers via the company's own digital platforms and third-party online marketplaces. Skechers also benefits from licensing agreements, expanding its brand into apparel and accessories, which contributes to its overall earnings. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with celebrities and influencers further enhance brand visibility and consumer engagement, driving sales across multiple channels.

Skechers USA Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Type
Gross Profit by Type
Shows the profit made from different product lines, highlighting which types contribute most to profitability and where there might be opportunities or challenges.
Chart InsightsSkechers' wholesale gross profit shows significant growth, driven by strong market expansion, particularly in EMEA, despite challenges like declining China sales and foreign exchange impacts. Direct-to-consumer profits also increased, reflecting robust consumer demand and strategic market entries, such as in soccer and basketball. The company’s focus on expanding distribution centers in the U.S. and China suggests a commitment to sustaining this growth trajectory. However, rising inventory levels and macroeconomic pressures in China could pose risks to maintaining momentum.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Skechers USA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 25.27%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture. While Skechers achieved record sales and strong growth in several international markets, challenges in China and increased operating expenses and inventory levels highlighted some significant hurdles. The uncertainty in the global trade environment also adds to the complexity of the current situation.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Sales Achievement
Skechers achieved record sales in the first quarter of 2025, with $2.41 billion in revenue, or $2.46 billion on a constant currency basis. This is a significant milestone for the company.
Strong International Growth
International sales accounted for 65% of the total business, with EMEA growing by 14% and The Americas by 8.3%. Excluding China, APAC sales grew 12%.
Wholesale and Direct-to-Consumer Growth
Wholesale sales increased by 7.8%, and direct-to-consumer sales grew by 6% year over year, indicating strong performance across multiple channels.
Expansion of Retail Footprint
Skechers ended the quarter with 5,318 stores worldwide, opening 51 company-owned stores and planning to open an additional 150 to 170 stores in Q2 2025.
Negative Updates
Challenges in China and APAC
Sales in China declined by 16%, leading to an overall decrease of 2.6% in APAC sales. The macroeconomic environment in China remains challenging.
Operating Margin Decrease
Operating expenses increased, leading to a decrease in operating margin to 11% from 13.3% the previous year.
Increased Inventory Levels
Inventory levels increased by 30% compared to the prior year, partly due to elongated transit times related to the Suez Canal closure.
Uncertainty in Global Trade Environment
The global trade environment remains uncertain, with tariffs affecting production costs and necessitating strategic adjustments in sourcing and pricing.
Company Guidance
During Skechers' Q1 2025 earnings call, the company reported a new sales record of $2.41 billion, or $2.46 billion on a constant currency basis, with earnings per share of $1.34. International sales constituted 65% of total business, with EMEA and The Americas seeing growth of 14% and 8.3%, respectively, while APAC saw a 2.6% decline due to soft consumer spending in China. Excluding China, APAC grew 12%. Wholesale sales rose by 7.8%, with domestic growth at 4.2% and international at 9.5%. Direct-to-consumer sales increased by 6%, with domestic up 11% and international up 2.9%; excluding China, international DTC sales grew 12%. The company ended the quarter with 5,318 stores worldwide, including 1,821 company-owned locations, and plans to open 150 to 170 more company-owned stores in Q2 2025. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, Skechers remains focused on expanding its distribution centers and enhancing product offerings. The company did not provide guidance due to the dynamic environment but expressed confidence in navigating these challenges.

Skechers USA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Skechers demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and stable profitability margins. The company maintains a robust balance sheet, ensuring financial stability and manageable leverage. Although cash flow generation has faced slight challenges recently, the overall financial health remains solid.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Skechers has shown consistent revenue growth with a strong trajectory, increasing from $4.60 billion in 2020 to $9.13 billion in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Gross profit margins have been stable, reflecting efficient cost management, with the most recent TTM margin at approximately 52.46%. However, EBIT margin has slightly decreased to 9.53% in TTM from 10.08% in 2024, indicating some pressure on operational efficiency. Overall, profitability remains robust with a net profit margin of 6.96% in TTM.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company's balance sheet is strong, with a healthy equity ratio of 57.63% in TTM, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is modest at 0.38, suggesting manageable leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) has improved to 12.74% in TTM, signifying effective use of shareholder funds. However, the increase in total debt over the years warrants careful monitoring.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
While Skechers' operating cash flow remains positive, it has decreased to $619 million in TTM compared to $687 million in 2024. The free cash flow has seen a decline, suggesting increased capital expenditure, which could be indicative of strategic investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio stands at 0.97, reflecting solid cash generation relative to net profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.13B8.97B8.00B7.44B6.29B4.60B
Gross Profit4.84B4.77B4.15B3.52B3.10B2.19B
EBITDA1.09B1.12B968.31M700.39M737.76M276.49M
Net Income635.28M639.47M545.80M373.03M741.50M146.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.65B8.46B7.55B6.89B6.49B5.81B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.10B1.23B1.26B717.90M894.86M1.47B
Total Debt2.15B1.93B1.68B1.64B1.66B2.00B
Total Liabilities3.57B3.64B3.15B3.02B2.95B3.09B
Stockholders Equity4.99B4.73B4.02B3.57B3.26B2.48B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow112.55M270.60M907.44M-120.67M-97.52M21.54M
Operating Cash Flow619.36M687.39M1.23B238.32M212.15M331.45M
Investing Cash Flow-519.80M-485.36M-418.02M-287.49M-344.67M-312.47M
Financing Cash Flow-98.82M-253.46M-234.68M-118.06M-433.92M533.30M

Skechers USA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price63.25
Price Trends
50DMA
59.80
Positive
100DMA
58.45
Positive
200DMA
62.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.75
Positive
RSI
73.80
Negative
STOCH
89.42
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SKX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 63.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 62.62, above the 50-day MA of 59.80, and above the 200-day MA of 62.67, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.75 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 73.80 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.42 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SKX.

Skechers USA Risk Analysis

Skechers USA disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Skechers USA reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Skechers USA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$15.75B16.7741.82%16.22%29.52%
77
Outperform
$6.01B6.5753.70%2.09%26.18%
77
Outperform
$9.21B34.119.35%18.55%147.70%
74
Outperform
$1.83B10.8619.51%3.33%10.17%-4.71%
SKSKX
72
Outperform
$9.44B15.2214.67%10.66%9.44%
WWWWW
68
Neutral
$1.55B21.5225.29%2.10%-13.05%
62
Neutral
$16.65B11.30-7.38%3.01%1.59%-23.30%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SKX
Skechers USA
63.25
-2.99
-4.51%
CROX
Crocs
106.74
-36.80
-25.64%
DECK
Deckers Outdoor
106.26
-50.29
-32.12%
SHOO
Steven Madden
26.04
-14.87
-36.35%
WWW
Wolverine World Wide
19.84
7.17
56.59%
BIRK
Birkenstock Holding plc
49.05
-7.57
-13.37%

Skechers USA Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
Skechers Announces Merger with 3G Capital Affiliates
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On May 4, 2025, Skechers U.S.A., Inc. entered into a merger agreement with Beach Acquisition Co Parent, LLC and its subsidiary, Beach Acquisition Merger Sub, Inc., affiliates of 3G Capital Partners L.P. The merger will result in Skechers becoming a subsidiary of Parent, with the transaction supported by significant debt financing from institutions like JP Morgan Chase Bank. The merger agreement offers Skechers shareholders cash or a combination of cash and equity in the new parent company. The financial implications of the merger include a comprehensive debt financing plan and the issuance of new equity to fund the transaction.

The most recent analyst rating on (SKX) stock is a Hold with a $63.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Skechers USA stock, see the SKX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Skechers USA Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 21, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Skechers U.S.A., Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where 92.7% of the total outstanding eligible votes were represented. During the meeting, stockholders elected three directors to the Board of Directors for a term expiring in 2028, highlighting the company’s commitment to stable governance and strategic leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (SKX) stock is a Buy with a $88.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Skechers USA stock, see the SKX Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A Transactions
Skechers USA Announces Acquisition by 3G Capital
Positive
May 5, 2025

On May 4, 2025, Skechers U.S.A., Inc. announced an agreement to be acquired by 3G Capital, a global investment firm, in a merger that will see Skechers become a privately held company. The transaction, valued at $63.00 per share in cash, represents a 30% premium over the company’s 15-day volume-weighted average stock price. This strategic move, unanimously approved by Skechers’ board, aims to support the company’s long-term growth and strategic initiatives, with the current management team continuing to lead the company alongside 3G Capital.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 06, 2025