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Skechers USA (SKX)
NYSE:SKX
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Skechers USA (SKX) AI Stock Analysis

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SKX

Skechers USA

(NYSE:SKX)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$72.00
▲(13.89% Upside)
Skechers' robust financial performance and reasonable valuation are strong positives, but challenges in cash flow management and uncertainties from the earnings call, particularly in China, weigh on the overall score. The technical analysis suggests stability, supporting a balanced outlook.
Positive Factors
Global Expansion
Skechers reported Q2 results showing strong growth overseas, with EMEA growing nearly 50% and Asia ex-China growing nearly 25%.
Valuation Premium
The acquisition by 3G Capital offers a significant premium above Skechers' recent closing price, indicating a positive valuation for shareholders.
Negative Factors
Profit Margin Decline
Skechers' Q2 gross margin declined 160bps year-over-year and EBIT margin declined 250bps.
Revenue Challenges
U.S. revenues for Skechers slowed to flat year-over-year, with pressure in the wholesale channel.

Skechers USA (SKX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Skechers USA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSkechers USA, Inc. is a leading global footwear brand known for its innovative and stylish athletic and casual footwear, headquartered in Manhattan Beach, California. The company operates in the footwear sector, offering a diverse range of products including performance shoes, lifestyle shoes, work footwear, and accessories. Skechers markets its products under several brand lines, catering to various consumer demographics, including children, adults, and athletes, and is recognized for its commitment to comfort and quality.
How the Company Makes MoneySkechers generates revenue primarily through the sale of footwear and accessories, which are distributed through various channels including company-owned retail stores, e-commerce platforms, and third-party retailers globally. The company has a robust wholesale distribution network that allows it to reach a wide audience. Key revenue streams include direct-to-consumer sales from its retail and online stores, as well as wholesale sales to department stores, specialty retailers, and international distributors. Additionally, Skechers benefits from strategic partnerships with athletic organizations and sponsorships of high-profile athletes, which enhance brand visibility and drive consumer interest. Seasonal product launches and collaborations also contribute to revenue by attracting diverse customer segments and maintaining brand relevance in a competitive market.

Skechers USA Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Type
Gross Profit by Type
Shows the profit made from different product lines, highlighting which types contribute most to profitability and where there might be opportunities or challenges.
Chart InsightsSkechers' wholesale gross profit shows significant growth, driven by strong market expansion, particularly in EMEA, despite challenges like declining China sales and foreign exchange impacts. Direct-to-consumer profits also increased, reflecting robust consumer demand and strategic market entries, such as in soccer and basketball. The company’s focus on expanding distribution centers in the U.S. and China suggests a commitment to sustaining this growth trajectory. However, rising inventory levels and macroeconomic pressures in China could pose risks to maintaining momentum.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Skechers USA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Skechers reported strong revenue growth and expansion in international markets, particularly in EMEA and The Americas, and in its direct-to-consumer segment. However, challenges in China, increased operating expenses, decreased operating margin, and inventory concerns due to tariffs were notable lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Sales
Skechers achieved a new sales record with $2.41 billion in revenue, or $2.46 billion on a constant currency basis, marking a 7.1% increase, and earnings per share of $1.34.
Solid International Growth
International sales contributed to 65% of total business, with EMEA sales increasing by 14% and The Americas by 8.3%. Excluding China, APAC sales grew 12%.
Expansion of Direct-to-Consumer Segment
Sales in the direct-to-consumer segment rose 6%, with domestic growth of 11% and international growth of 2.9%. Excluding China, international DTC sales grew 12%.
Wholesale Sales Growth
Wholesale sales increased 7.8% year over year to $1.53 billion, with international sales increasing 9.5%.
Negative Updates
Challenges in China
Sales in China declined by 16% due to ongoing macroeconomic challenges, contributing to a 2.6% decline in the APAC region.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased 180 basis points as a percentage of sales year over year to 41%, driven by higher labor and rent costs in the DTC segment and increased distribution costs.
Decreased Operating Margin
Operating margin for the quarter was 11%, down from 13.3% last year, with earnings from operations decreasing by 11% compared to the prior year.
Inventory and Tariff Concerns
Inventory increased by 30% due to elongated transit times, with concerns over tariffs impacting costs and logistics.
Company Guidance
In the Skechers U.S.A., Inc. first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a new sales record with $2.41 billion in revenue, or $2.46 billion on a constant currency basis, and earnings per share of $1.34. This growth was driven by a 7% increase in both domestic and international sales, with EMEA experiencing a 14% rise and The Americas 8.3%. APAC saw a 2.6% decline primarily due to soft consumer spending in China, but excluding China, APAC sales grew 12%. The wholesale segment grew by 7.8%, and direct-to-consumer sales increased by 6%. Skechers ended the quarter with 5,318 stores globally, opening 51 company-owned stores and 50 third-party stores, but also closing 62 third-party stores, including 42 in China. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, the company remains focused on expanding its distribution centers and enhancing its product offerings. Skechers highlighted its strategic investments in international markets and its commitment to innovation and comfort at an affordable price.

Skechers USA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Skechers shows strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by a solid balance sheet with low leverage. However, challenges in cash flow management, with declining free cash flow growth, indicate a need for improved operational efficiency.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Skechers has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue growth rate of 3.09%. The company maintains strong profitability metrics, with a gross profit margin of 52.67% and a net profit margin of 7.07% in the TTM. However, there is a slight decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to the previous year, indicating potential pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is solid, with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.38 in the TTM, reflecting prudent leverage. Return on equity is healthy at 14.09%, indicating effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 56.82%, showcasing a strong equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Skechers faces challenges in cash flow management, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -43.89% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.28, suggesting moderate cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is low at 9.85%, indicating limited free cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.41B8.97B8.00B7.44B6.31B4.61B
Gross Profit4.96B4.77B4.15B3.52B3.12B2.21B
EBITDA1.07B1.12B968.31M700.39M737.76M276.49M
Net Income665.48M639.47M545.80M373.03M741.50M98.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.28B8.46B7.55B6.89B6.49B5.81B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.48B1.23B1.26B717.90M894.86M1.47B
Total Debt2.25B1.93B1.68B1.64B1.66B2.00B
Total Liabilities3.90B3.64B3.15B3.02B2.95B3.09B
Stockholders Equity4.78B4.28B4.02B3.57B3.26B2.48B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow63.16M270.60M907.44M-120.67M-97.52M21.54M
Operating Cash Flow641.14M687.39M1.23B238.32M212.15M331.45M
Investing Cash Flow-559.88M-485.36M-418.02M-287.49M-344.67M-312.47M
Financing Cash Flow10.39M-253.46M-234.68M-118.06M-433.92M533.30M

Skechers USA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price63.22
Price Trends
50DMA
63.10
Positive
100DMA
60.67
Positive
200DMA
62.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
63.54
Neutral
STOCH
94.62
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SKX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 63.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 63.04, above the 50-day MA of 63.10, and above the 200-day MA of 62.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.62 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SKX.

Skechers USA Risk Analysis

Skechers USA disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Skechers USA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Skechers USA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$18.38B19.0343.58%15.43%24.20%
78
Outperform
$9.31B28.1811.36%18.66%183.98%
77
Outperform
$9.50B14.4614.79%12.11%17.08%
74
Outperform
$2.19B22.9011.09%2.77%7.80%-48.10%
69
Neutral
$2.60B30.9327.52%1.26%-2.83%
68
Neutral
$4.86B23.2115.39%2.04%-71.52%
61
Neutral
$17.97B12.87-5.30%2.97%1.26%-14.45%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SKX
Skechers USA
63.22
-2.80
-4.24%
CROX
Crocs
86.45
-39.28
-31.24%
DECK
Deckers Outdoor
120.40
-28.62
-19.21%
SHOO
Steven Madden
30.32
-12.10
-28.52%
WWW
Wolverine World Wide
31.85
18.07
131.13%
BIRK
Birkenstock Holding plc
50.19
5.61
12.58%

Skechers USA Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
3G Capital’s Acquisition of Skechers Approved
Neutral
Aug 28, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Skechers U.S.A., Inc. and 3G Capital Partners L.P. announced that they have received all necessary regulatory approvals for 3G Capital’s acquisition of Skechers, with the transaction expected to close on September 12, 2025. The deadline for Skechers stockholders to elect their preferred form of merger consideration is September 5, 2025, with options including cash or a combination of cash and equity in a new parent company. The acquisition is anticipated to impact Skechers’ operations and market positioning, with potential implications for stockholders and business relationships during the transaction period.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
Skechers Announces Merger with 3G Capital Affiliates
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On May 4, 2025, Skechers U.S.A., Inc. entered into a merger agreement with Beach Acquisition Co Parent, LLC and its subsidiary, Beach Acquisition Merger Sub, Inc., affiliates of 3G Capital Partners L.P. The merger will result in Skechers becoming a subsidiary of Parent, with the transaction supported by significant debt financing from institutions like JP Morgan Chase Bank. The merger agreement offers Skechers shareholders cash or a combination of cash and equity in the new parent company. The financial implications of the merger include a comprehensive debt financing plan and the issuance of new equity to fund the transaction.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025