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Cra Internationalinc. (CRAI)
NASDAQ:CRAI

Cra International (CRAI) AI Stock Analysis

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CRAI

Cra International

(NASDAQ:CRAI)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$182.00
▼(-1.58% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/27/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (steady revenue growth, healthy margins/ROE, and improving leverage) tempered by notable cash-flow volatility. Earnings call guidance and operating momentum are supportive, while weak technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD) weigh on the near-term setup; valuation is reasonable with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Consistent multi-year revenue growth
Eight consecutive years of record revenue and 9.3% YoY growth in 2025 indicate durable demand across industries and client stickiness. Broad-based practice and international growth reduce concentration risk and support a predictable project pipeline and contract renewals over the next several quarters.
Healthy profitability and returns
Sustained EBITDA margins in the low-to-mid teens and strong ROE signal scalable consulting economics and quality earnings. These margins support reinvestment in talent and technology while enabling consistent shareholder returns and resilience to moderate revenue swings over a multi-quarter horizon.
Improving leverage & disciplined capital allocation
Meaningful reduction in leverage and active revolver repayment enhance balance-sheet flexibility. Strong cash conversion in 2025 and expanded repurchase authorization reflect disciplined capital allocation that can sustain dividends and buybacks while preserving liquidity for strategic hires or M&A over the coming 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Volatile operating cash flow
Significant swings in operating cash flow weaken cash reliability despite positive free cash flow historically. This variability, driven by working-capital movement, increases financing and timing risk for buybacks/dividends and reduces margin of safety if client payments slow or project timing shifts in the next several quarters.
Elevated receivables / DSO
High DSO ties up cash and indicates collection and project billing timing risks. Elevated receivables magnify working-capital swings and increase sensitivity to client payment delays, constraining liquidity and making cash generation less predictable across upcoming reporting periods.
Concentrated talent costs & noncash amortization
Large, concentrated investments in senior talent raise noncash amortization and recurring compensation-related costs, which can depress reported EBITDA and strain cash flow if revenue growth softens. Coupled with a structurally higher projected tax rate, these factors reduce near-term earnings quality and free cash flow resilience.

Cra International (CRAI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cra International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCRA International, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides economic, financial, and management consulting services in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It advises clients on economic and financial matters pertaining to litigation and regulatory proceedings; and guides corporations through business strategy and performance-related issues. The company also offers consulting services, including research and analysis, expert testimony, and support in litigation and regulatory proceedings in the areas of finance, accounting, economics, insurance, and forensic accounting and investigations to corporate clients and attorneys. In addition, it offers management consulting services comprising strategy development, performance improvement, corporate strategy and portfolio analysis, estimation of market demand, new product pricing strategies, valuation of intellectual property and other assets, assessment of competitors' actions, and analysis of new sources of supply. The company serves various industries, including communications and media; consumer, health, and wellness products; energy; entertainment and leisure; financial services; healthcare; life sciences; manufacturing and industries; natural resources; retail and distribution; technology; and transportation. CRA International, Inc. was incorporated in 1965 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyCRAI generates revenue primarily through its consulting services, which are billed on a project basis or through retainer agreements. Key revenue streams include fees for expert witness services in litigation cases, economic consulting for regulatory matters, and strategic advisory services for corporations and government entities. The firm often engages in long-term contracts with clients, providing ongoing support and expertise. Significant partnerships with law firms, government agencies, and corporations enhance CRAI's market reach and contribute to its earnings by positioning the firm as a trusted advisor in high-stakes scenarios.

Cra International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple record operating and financial achievements (record annual and quarterly revenue, strong EBITDA and cash flow conversion, broad-based practice and international growth, robust deal lead flow, and constructive 2026 guidance). Management acknowledged near-term headwinds that are largely non-operational or one-time in nature (increased noncash forgivable loan amortization from concentrated talent investments, a higher projected effective tax rate, elevated DSO and calendar comparability from a 53-week year). Management presented a confident outlook on AI as a revenue/productivity enabler and reiterated disciplined capital allocation (share repurchase expansion, dividends, rapid revolver repayment). Overall, the positives in operating momentum, profitability, cash generation and guidance materially outweigh the noted challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Annual and Quarterly Revenue
Fiscal 2025 revenue of $751.6M, up 9.3% YoY, marking CRA's eighth consecutive year of record annual revenue; Q4 revenue was the best quarterly revenue in company history, up 11.6% YoY.
Strong Profitability and EBITDA
Non-GAAP EBITDA of $96.8M for fiscal 2025, producing a non-GAAP EBITDA margin of 12.9%; management emphasized record profits measured by net income, EPS and EBITDA.
Broad-Based Practice Growth
Seven practices grew top lines in fiscal 2025; Antitrust & Competition Economics, Energy and Intellectual Property each delivered double-digit revenue growth YoY; Q4 saw four practices (Antitrust, Energy, Forensic Services, Labor & Employment) deliver double-digit growth.
International Growth Outpaced North America
Geographic contribution: North America revenue +7.3% YoY and international revenue +19.5% YoY for fiscal 2025.
Robust Sales Pipeline and Lead Flow
Q4 weekly average project lead flow increased 9.3% YoY and new project originations rose 7.7% YoY, supporting record Q4 revenue and suggesting momentum into fiscal 2026.
Cash Flow Strength and Capital Returns
Adjusted net cash flows from operations were $108.4M in fiscal 2025, up 17% YoY; CRA converted 112% of non-GAAP EBITDA into adjusted net cash flows and returned $61M to shareholders in fiscal 2025 (56% of adjusted cash flows).
Disciplined Capital Allocation and Balance Sheet Actions
Repaid $61M of net borrowings in Q4 to reduce year-end borrowings (year-end net borrowings $15.8M, then fully repaid post-year-end); Board expanded share repurchase authorization by $55M (now $65.9M available).
Talent Investment and Leadership Expansion
Promoted 8 colleagues to VP and hired 19 new VPs; hired external Chief Marketing Officer and a Vice President of Artificial Intelligence; spent $87.9M in fiscal 2025 on acquiring/retaining senior revenue-generating talent.
Positive 2026 Guidance
Fiscal 2026 guidance (constant currency): revenue $785M–$805M and non-GAAP EBITDA margin 12.0%–13.0%; management expects only modest currency headwinds (~$5M revenue impact).
Productivity and AI Adoption Narrative
Management presented AI as a revenue and productivity enabler (examples include CRA Adequacy X and efficiency gains in code, document review and translations); adoption is described as disciplined with governance and human oversight.
Negative Updates
Increase in Noncash Forgivable Loan Amortization
Noncash forgivable loan amortization is expected to increase by approximately $15M (more than 30% YoY) in fiscal 2026 due to concentrated talent investments, which will depress reported EBITDA on a GAAP-like presentation.
Higher Projected Effective Tax Rate
Effective tax rate for fiscal 2026 is projected at 31%–32%, up from a non-GAAP 28.4% in fiscal 2025, driven largely by legislative changes impacting executive compensation.
Slight Increase in SG&A Ratio
Non-GAAP SG&A (excluding commissions to nonemployee experts) was 16.1% of revenue in Q4 of fiscal 2025 versus 15.9% a year ago; full-year ratio remained 16.1% for both years, indicating modest expense pressure.
Days Sales Outstanding Remains Elevated
DSO at quarter end was 108 days (78 billed, 30 unbilled), an improvement from 115 days the prior quarter but still relatively high.
One-Time Calendar and Comparability Effects
Fiscal 2025 included a 53rd week (extra week) while fiscal 2026 returns to a 52-week year, creating comparability considerations for YoY growth rates.
Market Volatility and Equity Market Unease about AI
Management noted recent broader equity market unease related to AI's impact on businesses has overshadowed CRA's operating performance and contributed to perceived undervaluation of the stock.
Concentrated Talent Spend
Fiscal 2025 talent-related cash outlays were significant ($17.6M in Q4; $87.9M full year), concentrating investment and driving the higher forgivable loan amortization noted above.
Relatively Low Cash Balance at Year-End
Year-end cash and cash equivalents were $18.2M with net borrowing position of $15.8M (though management subsequently repaid revolver borrowings to zero after year-end).
Company Guidance
CRA guided fiscal 2026 revenue of $785 million to $805 million on a constant‑currency basis (versus FY2025 revenue of $751.6 million) and non‑GAAP EBITDA margin of 12.0%–13.0% (FY2025 non‑GAAP EBITDA was $96.8 million, a 12.9% margin); they expect currency to reduce reported revenue by roughly $5 million and reported EBITDA by less than $1 million, noncash forgivable‑loan amortization to increase about $15 million (more than +30% YoY), a return to a 52‑week year (FY2025 was 53 weeks), a projected effective tax rate of 31%–32% for FY2026, and capital expenditures of $4 million–$5 million.

Cra International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Steady multi-year revenue growth and healthy profitability with strong ROE alongside improving leverage support a solid fundamental profile. The main constraint is cash-flow reliability: operating cash flow has been volatile and weakened recently, and free cash flow dropped sharply in 2026.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Revenue has grown steadily over the last several years (from $508M in 2020 to $752M in 2026), indicating durable demand. Profitability is healthy for a consulting model, with net margin improving versus earlier years (about 7.3% in 2026 vs. ~4.8% in 2020) and solid EBITDA margin in the low-to-mid teens in most periods. The main weakness is some year-to-year volatility in profitability (notably net income dipped in 2023 vs. 2022), and 2026 gross profit/margin appears reported as zero, which limits margin transparency for that period.
Balance Sheet
76
Positive
Leverage is moderate and improving: debt-to-equity has trended down meaningfully (about 0.73 in 2020 to ~0.36 in 2026), suggesting a strengthening capital structure. Equity has remained stable to slightly up (~$214M in 2026), while assets have grown to ~$629M. Returns on equity are strong (roughly 18%–26% across recent years, ~25.6% in 2026), supporting the quality of earnings. A key watch item is that total debt remains material (~$76M in 2026), so continued discipline is needed if operating conditions soften.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash generation is positive, with free cash flow remaining positive each year and generally tracking net income reasonably well (free cash flow at ~83% of net income in 2026). However, operating cash flow has been volatile and weakened recently (down to ~$22M in 2026 from ~$50M in 2024 and ~$60M in 2023), which drove a sharp drop in free cash flow in 2026 (about -34.7% growth). This variability suggests working-capital swings and reduces cash-flow reliability versus reported earnings.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue751.58M687.41M623.98M590.90M565.93M
Gross Profit218.16M207.48M171.73M180.82M165.88M
EBITDA96.07M97.48M81.94M86.38M81.02M
Net Income54.78M46.65M38.48M43.62M41.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets628.87M571.44M553.21M550.92M555.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.21M26.71M45.59M31.45M66.13M
Total Debt127.23M103.24M114.34M121.98M138.80M
Total Liabilities415.27M359.37M341.11M339.76M349.53M
Stockholders Equity213.60M212.07M212.10M211.15M205.83M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow18.56M33.11M57.71M21.31M73.08M
Operating Cash Flow22.42M49.73M60.07M25.12M75.70M
Investing Cash Flow-3.87M-18.12M-2.94M-18.16M-2.62M
Financing Cash Flow-29.84M-48.86M-44.48M-38.95M-51.99M

Cra International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price184.92
Price Trends
50DMA
192.08
Negative
100DMA
187.97
Negative
200DMA
188.87
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.84
Negative
RSI
56.56
Neutral
STOCH
79.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRAI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 184.92 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 169.22, below the 50-day MA of 192.08, and below the 200-day MA of 188.87, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -4.84 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CRAI.

Cra International Risk Analysis

Cra International disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cra International reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cra International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$2.51B25.3919.27%12.50%29.40%
68
Neutral
$5.09B20.1413.30%-0.95%-10.54%
67
Neutral
$1.21B22.7125.72%0.97%8.69%34.58%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$1.42B15.689.88%0.65%-3.81%-7.05%
47
Neutral
$122.95M-0.91-61.44%6.74%-10.83%-1669.11%
42
Neutral
$117.63M-0.98-43.39%-8.73%-1168.15%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRAI
Cra International
184.92
-2.38
-1.27%
FORR
Forrester Research
6.19
-4.35
-41.27%
FCN
FTI Consulting
166.30
-3.51
-2.07%
HURN
Huron Consulting
148.46
0.58
0.39%
ICFI
Icf International
77.55
-3.81
-4.69%
RGP
Resources Connection
3.67
-3.01
-45.08%

Cra International Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Cra International Posts Record 2025 Results, Boosts Capital Returns
Positive
Feb 26, 2026

On February 26, 2026, Charles River Associates reported fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results showing its eighth consecutive year of record annual revenue, with fiscal 2025 revenue up 9.3% to $751.6 million and GAAP net income up 17.4% to $54.8 million. The quarter’s revenue rose 11.6% to $197.0 million, driven by strong contributions from Antitrust & Competition Economics, Energy, Forensic Services, Labor & Employment, and other practices, and the firm returned $60.9 million to shareholders in 2025 through dividends and share repurchases.

Despite higher revenue and record profitability for the full year, fourth-quarter GAAP net income declined 12.0% year over year, while non-GAAP earnings per diluted share edged higher, and non-GAAP EBITDA margin eased slightly. The board underscored confidence in the company’s financial position by expanding the share repurchase authorization by $55 million, on top of $10.9 million remaining, and declaring a $0.57 per-share quarterly dividend payable on March 20, 2026 to shareholders of record on March 10, 2026, moves that reinforce CRA’s shareholder-return strategy amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRAI) stock is a Buy with a $199.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cra International stock, see the CRAI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026