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Fti Consulting (FCN)
NYSE:FCN

FTI Consulting (FCN) AI Stock Analysis

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FCN

FTI Consulting

(NYSE:FCN)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$207.00
▲(12.81% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/09/25
FTI Consulting's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. Technical indicators support a stable outlook, while valuation metrics suggest moderate pricing. Challenges in cash flow and specific segments are areas to watch.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth & margins
Sustained, high single-digit to double-digit top-line expansion combined with healthy gross and positive net margins indicates a scalable fee-for-service model. This durable revenue base supports reinvestment in talent and capabilities, aiding long-term margin retention and growth.
Strength in Corp. Finance & Forensic/Litigation
Outperformance in high-fee, deal-driven segments (corporate finance, restructuring, forensic/litigation) delivers outsized margins and deal-size upside. These practices are often countercyclical and generate large engagements, providing durable revenue resilience and margin support across cycles.
Strategic talent & investments
Deliberate hiring and strategic investments expand bench strength and capacity to staff large, complex engagements. Building human capital is a long-term competitive asset for advisory firms, enabling market share gains, faster client onboarding, and sustained service delivery quality.
Negative Factors
Weak cash conversion
Low operating-cash-to-net-income and worsening FCF growth suggest reported profits are not fully converting to cash. Over months this can constrain capital allocation flexibility, limit M&A or buyback capacity, and force reliance on financing to fund growth or strategic initiatives.
Economic Consulting demand decline
A large, persistent drop in demand for antitrust and economic consulting work reduces exposure to a typically high-margin advisory area. If structural, this shrinks the firm’s diversified revenue mix, pressures segment profitability, and may require repositioning or investment to restore demand.
Technology segment softness
Declining Technology revenues, tied to lower M&A-related second-request services, reveal sensitivity to deal activity. Prolonged weakness can undermine a growth channel for analytics and tech-enabled services, necessitating product diversification or pricing adjustments to sustain long-term growth.

FTI Consulting (FCN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

FTI Consulting Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFTI Consulting, Inc. provides business advisory services to manage change, mitigate risk, and resolve disputes worldwide. The company operates through five segments: Corporate Finance & Restructuring, Forensic and Litigation Consulting, Economic Consulting, Technology, and Strategic Communications. Its Corporate Finance & Restructuring segment provides business transformation, transactions, and turnaround and restructuring services. The company's Forensic and Litigation Consulting segment offers. construction and environmental solution, data and analytics, dispute, health solution, and risk and investigation services. Its Economic Consulting segment provides. antitrust and competition economic, financial economic, and international arbitration services. The company's Technology segment offers corporate legal operation; e-discovery and expertise; and information governance, privacy, and security services. Its Strategic Communications segment provides corporate reputation, financial communication, and public affairs services. The company serves aerospace and defense, agriculture, airlines and aviation, automotive and industrial, construction, energy, power and products, environmental solutions, financial services, healthcare and life sciences, hospitality, gaming and leisure, insurance, mining, private equity, public sector, real estate, retail and consumer products, telecom, media and technology, and transportation and logistics industries. The company was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Washington, District of Columbia.
How the Company Makes MoneyFTI Consulting generates revenue primarily through its consulting services, which are billed on a fee-for-service basis. The company has several key revenue streams, including fees from its financial consulting, economic consulting, and forensic and litigation consulting services. Additionally, FTI earns income from strategic communications and technology-related services. The firm's revenue is significantly bolstered by its ability to secure long-term contracts with clients, particularly in high-demand areas such as crisis management and regulatory compliance. FTI also benefits from strategic partnerships and alliances that enhance its service offerings and market reach, further contributing to its overall earnings.

FTI Consulting Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated a broadly positive outcome: management reported record full-year and quarterly results driven by strong performances in CorpFin, FLC, Stratcom and a technology rebound, supported by aggressive share repurchases and constructive 2026 guidance (+6.1% midpoint). However, material weaknesses remain—primarily the Compass Lexecon disruption that severely hit Economic Consulting EBITDA, a significant decline in operating cash flow tied to forgivable loans, higher SG&A expectations, and challenging early-2026 comparisons. Management provided a clear remediation path (senior hires, junior hiring, expected stabilization of Econ by H2 2026) and expressed confidence in long-term franchise strength and AI-driven demand, leading to an overall positive tone despite near-term headwinds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Full-Year Financials
Full-year 2025 revenues of $3.79 billion, up 2.4% year-over-year; record adjusted EBITDA of $463.6 million; record GAAP EPS of $8.24 and adjusted EPS of $8.83; 11th consecutive year of adjusted EPS growth.
Strong Fourth Quarter Performance
Q4 2025 revenues of $990.7 million, up 10.7% year-over-year and +3.6% sequentially; Q4 net income $54.5 million (+9.7% YoY); Q4 GAAP EPS $1.78 (+29% YoY) and adjusted EPS $1.78 (+14.1% YoY); Q4 adjusted EBITDA $106.2 million (10.7% margin) vs $73.7 million (8.2%) prior year.
CorpFin Outperformance
CorpFin Q4 revenues $423.2 million, up 26.1% YoY. Turnaround & restructuring grew 25%, transactions grew 46%, transformation grew 13%. Q4 adjusted segment EBITDA $80.1 million (18.9% margin) vs $44.7 million prior year.
FLC and Stratcom Drive Growth
FLC Q4 revenues $192.9 million, up 9.7% YoY with adjusted segment EBITDA $23.8 million (12.3%). Stratcom Q4 revenues $99.4 million, up 14.8% YoY with adjusted segment EBITDA $19.0 million (19.2%). FLC revenue per billable professional up 22% over three years.
Technology Rebound in 2H
Technology Q4 revenues $99.0 million, up 9.3% YoY; Q4 adjusted segment EBITDA $14.8 million (14.9% margin). Technology revenues increased 7% and adjusted EBITDA increased 69% in 2H 2025 vs 1H 2025, driven by second-request and litigation demand.
Aggressive Share Repurchase Activity
Repurchased 5.3 million shares (15% of shares outstanding) in 2025 for $858.6 million (average $163.07); Q4 repurchases 519,944 shares for $83.5 million. Approximately $491.8 million remaining under repurchase authorization.
Improved Receivables Management
Days sales outstanding improved to 88 days at December 31, 2025 from 97 days a year earlier.
2026 Guidance and AI Tailwinds
2026 revenue guidance $3.94B–$4.10B (midpoint implies ~6.1% YoY growth) and GAAP EPS guidance $8.90–$9.50; management expects AI proliferation to be a positive, creating new categories of expert-driven work (investigations, disputes, regulatory/compliance reviews).
Negative Updates
Economic Consulting (Compass Lexecon) Decline and Disruption
Economic Consulting Q4 revenues $176.2 million, down 14.5% YoY; Q4 adjusted segment EBITDA collapsed to $1.0 million (0.6% margin) from $15.8 million (7.7%) prior year. Management cites substantial Compass Lexecon disruption that drove a material adjusted EBITDA headwind and expects Q1 2026 to be the lowest point for the segment.
Aggregate EBITDA Headwinds from Tech and Econ
Steve noted Tech and Economic Consulting combined created almost a $100 million adjusted EBITDA headwind in 2025, requiring strong performance elsewhere to offset the impact.
Operating Cash Flow Decline Driven by Forgivable Loans
Net cash provided by operating activities fell to $152.1 million in 2025 from $395.1 million in 2024; largest driver was $255 million of forgivable loan issuances during 2025.
Higher SG&A and One-Time Tax/Valuation Impacts
Q4 included an $11.8 million valuation allowance expense that reduced EPS by $0.38 and pushed Q4 effective tax rate to 37.1% (vs 16.9% prior year). Management expects full-year 2026 SG&A ~ $45 million higher than 2025 (Q1 2026 ~ $30 million higher largely due to nonrecurring Q1 2025 legal settlement gains not repeating).
Headcount and Leverage Dynamics
Billable headcount decreased 3.2% and non-billable headcount decreased 2.5% YoY in Q4 2025. Management continues to add senior hires (85 in 2025) which initially pressures P&L and plans for increased junior hiring in H2 2026 to support senior talent.
Near-Term Comparisons and ECon Ramp Timing
Management warns of difficult year-on-year comparisons early 2026 (cycling periods before Compass Lexecon disruption) and expects Economic Consulting to remain a drag on YoY EBITDA through H1 2026, only ceasing to be a drag in H2 2026.
One-Time Benefits in 2025 Partly Mask Underlying Pressure
Management acknowledged some onetime benefits (e.g., prior positive litigation settlement) helped 2025 results and will not recur, creating tougher near-term comparatives for 2026.
Company Guidance
FTI guided 2026 revenues of $3.94 billion to $4.10 billion (midpoint ≈ 6.1% YoY growth) and GAAP (and adjusted) EPS of $8.90 to $9.50, with an expected effective tax rate of 22%–24% (vs. 27% in 2025) and no variance expected between GAAP and adjusted EPS; management flagged approximately $45 million higher full‑year SG&A (with Q1 SG&A roughly $30 million above Q1 2025), expects Economic Consulting adjusted segment EBITDA to trough in Q1 2026 but to stop dragging year‑over‑year EBITDA in H2 2026 as Compass Lexecon is rebuilt, assumes aggregate revenue growth across CorpFin, FLC, Tech and Stratcom will exceed the midpoint, and will continue investing in talent after 85 senior hires in 2025 while adding selective senior and more junior hires in 2026.

FTI Consulting Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FTI Consulting shows strong revenue growth and solid profitability, supported by a stable balance sheet with moderate leverage. However, cash flow performance indicates areas for improvement, particularly in converting income into cash.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
FTI Consulting demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue growth rate of 82.3%, indicating robust expansion. The company maintains healthy profitability margins, with a gross profit margin of 31.9% and a net profit margin of 7.2% in the TTM period. However, there is a slight decline in net profit margin compared to the previous year, suggesting some pressure on net earnings.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is stable with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42 in the TTM period, reflecting moderate leverage. Return on equity is solid at 13.2%, indicating efficient use of equity capital. However, a decrease in stockholders' equity compared to the previous year could be a concern if it continues.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
FTI Consulting's cash flow performance shows some weaknesses, with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -10.6% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.13, indicating potential issues in converting income into cash. Despite this, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong at 89.3%, suggesting good cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.69B3.70B3.49B3.03B2.78B2.46B
Gross Profit1.18B1.18B1.14B962.93M860.72M788.56M
EBITDA409.91M405.81M419.93M353.34M363.33M325.30M
Net Income266.05M280.09M274.89M235.51M234.97M210.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.49B3.60B3.33B3.24B3.10B2.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments145.97M660.49M328.68M491.69M494.49M294.95M
Total Debt735.99M242.15M257.64M568.70M564.01M490.52M
Total Liabilities1.74B1.34B1.34B1.56B1.52B1.38B
Stockholders Equity1.75B2.26B1.98B1.68B1.58B1.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow96.13M397.72M174.98M135.47M286.82M292.22M
Operating Cash Flow107.69M395.10M224.46M188.79M355.48M327.07M
Investing Cash Flow-63.82M-10.16M-73.83M-60.06M-79.09M-60.12M
Financing Cash Flow-287.79M-15.38M-354.66M-106.01M-61.67M-360.05M

FTI Consulting Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price183.50
Price Trends
50DMA
173.09
Negative
100DMA
167.79
Negative
200DMA
166.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.66
Positive
RSI
39.27
Neutral
STOCH
28.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FCN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 183.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 167.87, above the 50-day MA of 173.09, and above the 200-day MA of 166.38, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.66 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FCN.

FTI Consulting Risk Analysis

FTI Consulting disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FTI Consulting reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

FTI Consulting Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.03B18.8727.83%0.97%8.69%34.58%
78
Outperform
$3.50B33.9126.13%1.66%4.90%-1.52%
76
Outperform
$4.84B20.3413.30%-0.95%-10.54%
74
Outperform
$1.39B14.169.88%0.65%-3.81%-7.05%
71
Outperform
$9.13B11.2574.53%2.60%2.42%3.05%
70
Outperform
$2.18B22.8021.20%12.50%29.40%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FCN
FTI Consulting
159.98
-4.09
-2.49%
BAH
Booz Allen
75.11
-35.63
-32.17%
CRAI
Cra International
160.26
-32.20
-16.73%
EXPO
Exponent
70.49
-13.89
-16.46%
HURN
Huron Consulting
133.31
-14.87
-10.04%
ICFI
Icf International
75.16
-25.04
-24.99%

FTI Consulting Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
FTI Consulting Extends CEO Contract Amid Leadership Changes
Neutral
Dec 9, 2025

On December 8, 2025, FTI Consulting extended the employment agreement of CEO Steven H. Gunby until June 6, 2029, with automatic one-year renewals unless terminated earlier. Additionally, the company announced the appointment of Ulrike Rabl as Chief Human Resources Officer, effective January 1, 2026, succeeding Holly Paul, who will transition to a senior advisory role. This leadership change is part of FTI Consulting’s strategy to continue its organic growth and enhance its global human capital strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (FCN) stock is a Buy with a $194.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FTI Consulting stock, see the FCN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
FTI Consulting Signs New London Office Lease Agreement
Neutral
Nov 26, 2025

On November 21, 2025, FTI Consulting entered into an agreement for leases with PNBJ I Limited for its London office, covering approximately 80,664 rentable square feet, with an option to expand to 102,828 square feet. The leases, expected to commence on September 25, 2027, have a 15-year term with a break option at the 10th year, and rental payments totaling approximately $115 million, subject to market reviews every five years.

The most recent analyst rating on (FCN) stock is a Buy with a $187.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FTI Consulting stock, see the FCN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025