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Exponent (EXPO)
NASDAQ:EXPO

Exponent (EXPO) AI Stock Analysis

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EXPO

Exponent

(NASDAQ:EXPO)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$80.00
▲(10.71% Upside)
Exponent's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance, positive technical indicators, and robust earnings call results. The company's solid financial foundation and strategic initiatives support its growth prospects, despite valuation concerns and sector-specific challenges. The positive momentum and demand in key sectors bolster confidence in its future performance.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Exponent's robust revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial stability.
Cash Generation
Strong cash generation enhances Exponent's ability to reinvest in growth opportunities and maintain financial flexibility.
Market Position
Exponent's strong demand in key sectors like energy and life sciences solidifies its competitive market position and growth prospects.
Negative Factors
Decreased Activity
Decreased activity in consumer electronics could limit growth in this segment, potentially impacting overall revenue diversification.
Increased Expenses
Rising general and administrative expenses may pressure margins and reduce profitability if not managed effectively.
Potential Revenue Headwind
Anticipated revenue headwinds due to fewer workdays could impact short-term financial performance and growth forecasts.

Exponent (EXPO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Exponent Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExponent, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a science and engineering consulting company worldwide. It operates in two segments, Engineering and Other Scientific, and Environmental and Health. The Engineering and Other Scientific segment provides services in the areas of biomechanics, biomedical engineering and sciences, buildings and structures, civil engineering, construction consulting, data sciences, electrical engineering and computer science, human factors, materials and corrosion engineering, mechanical engineering, polymer science and materials chemistry, thermal sciences, and vehicle engineering. The Environmental and Health segment offers services in the areas of chemical regulation and food safety, ecological and biological sciences, environmental and earth sciences, and health sciences. The company offers approximately 90 technical disciplines to solve pressing and complicated challenges facing stakeholders. It serves clients in chemical, construction, consumer products, energy, food, beverage and nutrition, government, life sciences, insurance, manufacturing, technology, industrial equipment, transportation, and other sectors of the economy. The company was formerly known as The Failure Group, Inc. and changed its name to Exponent, Inc. in 1998. Exponent, Inc. was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyExponent generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling its software solutions via subscription-based models and one-time licensing fees. The company also earns income from providing professional services, including consulting and training for businesses looking to integrate and maximize the use of its analytics tools. Key revenue streams include recurring subscription fees from software users, project fees from consulting engagements, and potentially revenue-sharing agreements with partners for joint ventures or integrated solutions. Significant partnerships with industry leaders in technology and analytics further bolster its earnings, as they allow Exponent to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings.

Exponent Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 25, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a strong quarter with significant revenue growth and increased demand in reactive engagements. However, challenges such as decreased activity in consumer electronics, increased expenses, and potential revenue headwinds were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Third Quarter Net Revenue Growth
Exponent delivered double-digit net revenue growth, with total revenues increasing 8% to $147.1 million and net revenues increasing 10% to $137.1 million year-over-year.
Increased Demand in Reactive Engagements
There was robust growth in reactive engagements across various sectors, including energy, transportation, life sciences, and construction, with a notable 18% growth in the reactive business.
Positive Developments in Human-Machine Interaction Studies
Encouraging demand trends in consumer electronics, particularly in human-machine interaction studies, are expected to improve in the fourth quarter.
Stock Repurchase Program and Dividend Payments
The company repurchased $40 million of common stock and approved a $100 million increase in the stock repurchase program, reflecting confidence in its long-term growth trajectory.
Negative Updates
Decreased Activity in Consumer Electronics
Lower activity in consumer electronics offset gains in other sectors, although there are signs of improving demand trends.
Year-Over-Year Decrease in EBITDA Margin
EBITDA margin slightly decreased from 28.6% to 28.3% due to costs associated with a managers meeting, despite better utilization and strong realized rate increases.
Increased G&A Expenses
General and administrative expenses increased by 44% due to travel and meals associated with an in-person managers meeting and were not present in the previous year.
Potential Revenue Headwind in Fourth Quarter
A year-over-year revenue headwind of approximately 7% is expected due to fewer workdays in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to 2024.
Company Guidance
During the Exponent, Inc. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported robust financial performance. Total revenues rose by 8% to $147.1 million, with net revenues increasing by 10% to $137.1 million compared to the same period in 2024. Net income surged to $28 million, equating to $0.55 per diluted share, up from $26 million or $0.50 per diluted share the previous year. The EBITDA climbed by 9% to $38.8 million, representing a margin of 28.3% of net revenues. The quarter saw a 4% increase in billable hours to approximately 376,000, with a technical full-time equivalent employee count rising by 3% to 976. Utilization improved to 74.1%, and the realized rate increase was approximately 6%. Looking forward, Exponent anticipates net revenue growth in the low to mid-single digits for the fourth quarter of 2025, with EBITDA margins expected to be between 26% and 27%. For the full year, the company maintains its revenue guidance, expecting low single-digit growth and an EBITDA margin of 27.4% to 27.65%. The company also highlighted strong demand for its services in reactive engagements, particularly within the energy, transportation, and life sciences sectors, while noting encouraging trends in consumer electronics for the upcoming quarter.

Exponent Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Exponent demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth, efficient cost management, and robust cash flow generation. The company's low leverage and high return on equity reflect a stable financial foundation. While revenue growth has slowed, the company maintains strong profitability and cash flow metrics, positioning it well for future growth opportunities.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Exponent's income statement shows strong profitability with a consistent increase in revenue over the years. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 40.33% and a net profit margin of 18.35%, reflecting efficient cost management and strong bottom-line performance. Revenue growth is steady, albeit at a slower pace recently, with a TTM growth rate of 1.93%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, indicating healthy operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21 in the TTM period, indicating low leverage. Return on equity is strong at 24.77%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a stable capital structure. However, a slight increase in debt levels over the periods warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trajectory with a TTM free cash flow growth rate of 63.5%, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.84, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.94, both suggesting efficient conversion of income to cash. The company maintains a solid cash flow position, supporting its operational and strategic initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue571.36M558.51M536.77M513.29M466.27M399.90M
Gross Profit230.45M142.28M135.76M164.50M124.21M96.14M
EBITDA149.54M129.25M120.24M147.92M115.41M90.12M
Net Income104.84M109.00M100.34M102.33M101.20M82.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets761.45M777.27M646.78M586.66M683.74M593.77M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments207.38M258.90M187.15M161.46M297.69M242.53M
Total Debt82.60M81.48M28.26M18.60M14.97M20.33M
Total Liabilities358.59M356.20M290.69M265.91M266.67M232.28M
Stockholders Equity402.86M421.07M356.08M320.75M417.06M361.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow122.90M137.60M111.00M81.76M117.74M98.33M
Operating Cash Flow132.20M144.54M127.35M93.81M124.57M103.31M
Investing Cash Flow-9.30M-6.94M-16.36M-12.04M38.18M5.02M
Financing Cash Flow-134.34M-65.11M-86.01M-215.98M-62.75M-88.36M

Exponent Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price72.26
Price Trends
50DMA
71.87
Positive
100DMA
70.36
Positive
200DMA
72.58
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.46
Negative
RSI
48.88
Neutral
STOCH
58.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXPO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 72.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 72.61, above the 50-day MA of 71.87, and below the 200-day MA of 72.58, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EXPO.

Exponent Risk Analysis

Exponent disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Exponent reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Exponent Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.41B25.8827.83%0.97%8.69%34.58%
78
Outperform
$3.60B35.4925.79%1.66%4.90%-1.52%
76
Outperform
$5.41B22.2913.30%-0.95%-10.54%
75
Outperform
$3.17B30.7921.20%12.50%29.40%
74
Outperform
$1.75B17.869.88%0.65%-3.81%-7.05%
65
Neutral
$11.69B14.7174.72%2.60%2.42%3.05%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EXPO
Exponent
72.26
-19.05
-20.86%
BAH
Booz Allen
96.35
-37.03
-27.76%
CRAI
Cra International
215.25
34.33
18.98%
FCN
FTI Consulting
175.30
-18.39
-9.49%
HURN
Huron Consulting
183.72
56.17
44.04%
ICFI
Icf International
94.79
-33.68
-26.22%

Exponent Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Exponent Announces Dividend and Share Repurchase Plan
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Exponent, Inc. announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.30 per share, payable on December 19, 2025, and authorized an additional $100 million for share repurchases. The company reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with an 8% increase in total revenues and a 10% increase in revenues before reimbursements compared to the same period in 2024. Exponent’s net income rose to $28.0 million, driven by increased demand for its services across various sectors, despite lower activity in consumer electronics. The company is strategically increasing headcount to support growth and has maintained its revenue guidance while raising its margin guidance for the full year.

The most recent analyst rating on (EXPO) stock is a Hold with a $74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exponent stock, see the EXPO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025