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Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp. (BAH)
NYSE:BAH

Booz Allen (BAH) AI Stock Analysis

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Booz Allen

(NYSE:BAH)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$114.00
▲(6.23%Upside)
Booz Allen's strong financial performance and favorable valuation are key strengths, positioning the company well for future growth. However, bearish technical trends and challenges in the civil sector pose risks. Strategic initiatives and a robust pipeline provide optimism for overcoming these challenges.
Positive Factors
AI Business Growth
Booz Allen Hamilton's AI business grew significantly, with expectations of accelerated growth as contracts transition to higher-volume, higher-margin production.
Defense and Intelligence Growth
Defense/Intel is expected to post strong organic growth as BAH noted that it is well positioned in areas of importance for the current administration.
Technical Expertise and Mission Intimacy
The robust combination of technical expertise and mission intimacy makes Booz Allen Hamilton the partner of choice to operationalize commercial tech to the government.
Negative Factors
Civilian Business Restructuring
The stock was negatively affected by the surprising restructuring of the Civilian business despite a core outlook above expectations.
Limited Revenue and Earnings Growth
The stock of Booz Allen Hamilton has been downgraded to Sell from Neutral due to limited revenue and earnings growth expected.
Revenue Decline in Civilian Agencies
The Civilian agencies, making up about a third of Booz Allen Hamilton's revenues, are expected to decline in the upcoming fiscal year due to restructuring and adjustments for soft awards and lower run rates.

Booz Allen (BAH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Booz Allen Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBooz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH) is a leading management and technology consulting firm headquartered in McLean, Virginia. The company operates primarily in the United States and offers a wide range of services, including cybersecurity, analytics, digital solutions, engineering, and consulting. Booz Allen serves various sectors, including defense, intelligence, civil, and health, providing innovative solutions to government agencies, corporations, and not-for-profit organizations.
How the Company Makes MoneyBooz Allen Hamilton generates revenue through its consulting and professional services, primarily by securing contracts with government agencies and commercial clients. The company's key revenue streams include providing management consulting, technology integration, engineering services, and cybersecurity solutions. Booz Allen's financial performance is significantly influenced by its ability to win and maintain government contracts, particularly within the defense and intelligence sectors. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and invests in technology and innovation to enhance its service offerings and maintain competitive advantage.

Booz Allen Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 23, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -16.44%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Booz Allen Hamilton delivered strong financial results with record adjusted EBITDA and significant growth in their AI and defense business segments. However, challenges in the civil sector, including anticipated revenue decline and headcount reductions, present notable concerns. The company is optimistic about future opportunities, particularly in AI and technology partnerships.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Adjusted EBITDA
Booz Allen Hamilton achieved $1.315 billion in adjusted EBITDA, surpassing the top end of their target range, with nearly all growth being organic.
Strong Defense and Intel Business Growth
The defense business saw a 14% revenue increase, and the intel business grew by 5% year-over-year, reflecting strong performance in critical mission areas.
AI Business Expansion
Booz Allen's AI business grew over 30% year-over-year to approximately $800 million, marking significant demand and investment in AI across defense and intelligence sectors.
Robust Free Cash Flow
The company generated $911 million in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities.
Successful Capital Deployment
During the fiscal year, Booz Allen deployed $1.2 billion in capital to enhance shareholder value, including share repurchases and strategic investments.
Negative Updates
Civil Business Challenges
The civil business is expected to see a low double-digit revenue decline in FY 2026 due to contract reviews and run rate reductions on five large technology contracts.
Headcount Reduction
An approximately 7% reduction in staff is anticipated, concentrated heavily in the civil business, as part of restructuring efforts to align with demand.
Procurement Environment Slowdown
The civil procurement environment has slowed significantly, impacting the ability to redeploy staff and contributing to flat revenue in the civil segment for the fourth quarter.
VA Contract Loss Impact
The loss of a major VA contract continues to impact revenue, representing an additional 3% headwind to the consolidated top line for FY 2026.
Company Guidance
During the fourth quarter earnings call for Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation, a comprehensive outlook for fiscal year 2026 was provided, detailing several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported a strong financial performance for fiscal year 2025, with a 12% revenue growth, almost entirely organic, and an adjusted EBITDA of $1.315 billion, achieving an 11% EBITDA margin. Adjusted diluted earnings per share grew over 15%, driven by increased profitability and a 4.3% reduction in share count. For fiscal year 2026, Booz Allen anticipates revenue between $12 billion and $12.5 billion, with adjusted EBITDA in the range of $1.315 billion to $1.37 billion, maintaining a margin around 11%. Adjusted EPS is expected to be between $6.20 and $6.55. The company aims to generate free cash flow between $700 million and $800 million. The fiscal year 2026 outlook is influenced by anticipated growth in defense and intelligence sectors, contrasted by a restructuring in the civil business, which is expected to see a low double-digit revenue decline. Despite these challenges, Booz Allen remains optimistic due to its strategic alignment with government priorities and a robust pipeline of $53.4 billion. The company plans to leverage its strong balance sheet to continue capital deployment, including share repurchases and strategic investments, while also focusing on advancing its position in AI and technology-driven growth areas.

Booz Allen Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Booz Allen shows strong financial health with robust revenue growth and improving profitability margins. The balance sheet indicates better leverage management, though reliance on debt remains a concern. Strong cash flow generation further underscores its solid financial position.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Booz Allen has shown robust revenue growth over the years, with a noticeable increase from $7.46 billion in 2020 to $11.98 billion in 2025. The gross profit margin has been strong, hovering above 50%, which indicates effective cost management. The net profit margin has improved over the years, with a significant jump in net income in 2025, reflecting operational efficiency. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins showed some volatility, suggesting areas for operational improvement.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has been decreasing, reflecting improved financial leverage management, with total debt dropping significantly from 2024 to 2025. The return on equity (ROE) has improved, driven by rising net income. Despite this, the equity ratio remains relatively low, indicating a higher reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks in volatile markets.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Operating cash flow has shown a substantial increase in 2025, indicating strong cash generation from core operations. Free cash flow has also grown significantly, suggesting effective capital expenditure management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating that the company efficiently converts its profits into cash. The positive trajectory in cash flows supports the company's financial stability.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.98B10.66B9.26B8.36B7.86B
Gross Profit6.56B5.74B4.95B4.46B4.20B
EBITDA1.22B1.20B650.17M819.99M803.07M
Net Income935.00M605.71M271.79M466.74M608.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.31B6.56B6.55B6.03B5.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments885.00M554.26M404.86M695.91M990.96M
Total Debt304.00M3.64B3.06B3.10B2.67B
Total Liabilities6.31B5.52B5.56B4.98B4.43B
Stockholders Equity1.00B1.05B992.00M1.05B1.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow911.00M192.14M526.69M656.56M631.47M
Operating Cash Flow1.01B258.84M602.82M736.53M718.68M
Investing Cash Flow-218.00M-90.64M-468.02M-867.73M-158.28M
Financing Cash Flow-460.00M-18.80M-425.85M-163.85M-311.35M

Booz Allen Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price107.31
Price Trends
50DMA
112.00
Negative
100DMA
111.69
Negative
200DMA
130.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.99
Negative
RSI
54.49
Neutral
STOCH
91.13
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BAH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 107.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 102.21, below the 50-day MA of 112.00, and below the 200-day MA of 130.24, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.99 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.13 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BAH.

Booz Allen Risk Analysis

Booz Allen disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Booz Allen reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Booz Allen Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
BABAH
76
Outperform
$12.76B14.1990.74%2.11%12.36%58.08%
76
Outperform
$1.27B25.2623.18%1.05%8.49%21.06%
76
Outperform
$2.37B20.6024.88%8.83%92.48%
TRTRU
75
Outperform
$17.54B48.168.68%0.52%8.85%
FCFCN
73
Outperform
$5.63B22.4412.46%1.59%-16.79%
72
Outperform
$1.55B14.4611.64%0.66%1.95%17.98%
58
Neutral
$1.33B4.20-2.93%7.45%3.67%-51.13%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BAH
Booz Allen
107.31
-44.60
-29.36%
CRAI
Cra International
191.95
21.28
12.47%
FCN
FTI Consulting
164.27
-53.50
-24.57%
HURN
Huron Consulting
137.28
39.59
40.53%
ICFI
Icf International
87.16
-46.52
-34.80%
TRU
TransUnion
89.90
14.65
19.47%

Booz Allen Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Booz Allen Expands Board, Appoints Robert C. O’Brien
Positive
Jun 4, 2025

On June 9, 2025, Booz Allen Hamilton expanded its Board of Directors from twelve to thirteen members, appointing Robert C. O’Brien, a former U.S. National Security Advisor, to the board. O’Brien’s extensive experience in national security and geopolitics is expected to enhance Booz Allen’s strategic capabilities, particularly in serving its stakeholders and advancing its mission in national security and defense.

The most recent analyst rating on (BAH) stock is a Buy with a $150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Booz Allen stock, see the BAH Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Booz Allen Board Member Melody Barnes Retires
Neutral
May 28, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Melody Barnes, a member of Booz Allen‘s Board of Directors, announced her decision to retire and not seek re-election. Her retirement will be effective following the company’s annual stockholders meeting on July 23, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (BAH) stock is a Buy with a $150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Booz Allen stock, see the BAH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Booz Allen Reports Strong FY25 Financial Results
Positive
May 23, 2025

On May 23, 2025, Booz Allen Hamilton announced its fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025 results, showcasing strong financial performance. The company exceeded its targets for organic revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA, with a record Q4 backlog of $37 billion and a trailing 12-month book-to-bill ratio of 1.39x. Revenue for FY25 grew by 12.4% to $12.0 billion, while adjusted net income increased by 13.4% to $815 million. The company’s strategic momentum was driven by its VoLT (Velocity, Leadership, Technology) initiative, and it continues to leverage its leading positions in AI and advanced technology to support national priorities.

The most recent analyst rating on (BAH) stock is a Hold with a $160.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Booz Allen stock, see the BAH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 24, 2025