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TransUnion (TRU)
NYSE:TRU
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TransUnion (TRU) AI Stock Analysis

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TRU

TransUnion

(NYSE:TRU)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$99.00
▲(14.27% Upside)
TransUnion's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the primary drivers of the score. However, technical analysis and valuation indicate potential risks, with the stock appearing overvalued and showing bearish momentum.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
TransUnion's second-quarter results came in ahead of expectations across revenue, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, and adjusted EPS.
Growth in Key Markets
TRU saw significant improvement across its business lines, including consumer lending, auto, mortgage, and its critical India franchise.
Guidance and Outlook
Full-year guidance was raised across all key metrics to reflect strong year-to-date outperformance.
Negative Factors
Lending Environment
TRU is underearning given the pullback in the lending environment impacting credit originations and other cyclical business lines.

TransUnion (TRU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TransUnion Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTransUnion provides risk and information solutions. The company operates in three segments: U.S. Markets, International, and Consumer Interactive. The U.S. Markets segment provides consumer reports, actionable insights, and analytics to businesses. These businesses use its services to acquire new customers; assess consumer ability to pay for services; identify cross-selling opportunities; measure and manage debt portfolio risk; collect debt; verify consumer identities; and mitigate fraud risk. This segment serves various industry vertical markets, including financial services, insurance, tenant and employment, collections and services, technology, commerce and communication, public sector, media, and other markets. The International segment offers credit reports, analytics, technology solutions, and other value-added risk management services; and consumer services, which help consumers to manage their personal finances and consumer credit reporting, insurance and auto information solutions, and commercial credit information services. This segment serves customers in financial services, retail credit, insurance, automotive, collections, public sector, and communications industries through direct and indirect channels. The Consumer Interactive segment provides credit reports and scores, credit monitoring, identity protection and resolution, and financial management solutions that enable consumers to manage their personal finances and take precautions against identity theft. This segment offers its products through online and mobile interfaces, as well as through direct and indirect channels. The company serves customers in approximately 30 countries and territories, including North America, Latin America, Europe, Africa, India, and the Asia Pacific. The company was formerly known as TransUnion Holding Company, Inc. and changed its name to TransUnion in March 2015. TransUnion was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyTransUnion generates revenue primarily through its core segments: Credit Report Services, Risk and Fraud Solutions, and Marketing Services. The company charges fees for its credit reports, credit scores, and risk assessment tools, which are sold to lenders and financial institutions for evaluating consumer creditworthiness. Additionally, TransUnion earns revenue from its risk and fraud solutions by providing businesses with tools to detect and prevent fraud, which is crucial for sectors like banking and insurance. Marketing services revenue comes from data-driven marketing solutions that help clients optimize customer acquisition and retention strategies. Significant partnerships with financial institutions and technology companies enhance its offerings, while the growing demand for data-driven decision-making continues to drive its earnings.

TransUnion Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -8.39%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance by TransUnion, with significant achievements in revenue growth, innovation, and market expansion. However, the company remains cautious due to stable but subdued market conditions and potential challenges from fiscal policy changes.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Financial Guidance
TransUnion exceeded all key financial guidance metrics for the second quarter of 2025, achieving a 9% organic constant currency revenue growth, well above the 3% to 5% guidance.
Strong Performance in U.S. Markets
U.S. Markets segment delivered 10% growth in the quarter, with Financial Services growing 17% and emerging verticals such as Insurance growing double digits.
Successful Innovation and Product Launches
The company launched new AI-driven tools and achieved significant performance improvements on the OneTru platform, contributing to productivity increases for developers.
Positive Momentum in India
India's growth accelerated to 8% as anticipated, with expectations of nearly 10% organic constant currency revenue growth for the full year.
Guidance Raised for 2025
Based on strong first-half performance, TransUnion raised its 2025 full-year revenue and adjusted diluted earnings per share guidance.
Negative Updates
Muted Market Conditions
Despite strong performance, market conditions remain stable but muted, particularly in the auto and mortgage sectors, which are below historical trends.
Concerns Over U.S. Fiscal Policy
Recent U.S. fiscal policies have raised concerns about higher inflation and interest rates, which could negatively impact economic and lending conditions.
Challenges in Mortgage Sector
Mortgage inquiries are expected to decline modestly, and the sector is experiencing existential volume levels due to elevated 10-year rates.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, TransUnion exceeded its financial guidance, achieving high single-digit organic revenue growth for the sixth consecutive quarter. The company's revenue grew 9% on an organic constant currency basis, surpassing the 3% to 5% guidance, with U.S. Markets showing a 10% growth and Financial Services increasing by 17%. Growth excluding mortgage was 6.5%, also above expectations. Mortgage revenue grew by 29%, and Emerging Verticals by 5%. International operations reported a 6% organic growth, with standout performances in Canada and Africa, each growing by double digits. TransUnion's leverage ratio declined to 2.8x, and the company is on track to delever to 2.5x. The updated 2025 guidance anticipates 6% to 7% organic constant currency growth, reflecting a strong performance in a stable, albeit muted, market environment.

TransUnion Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TransUnion demonstrates solid financial performance with strong revenue growth and profitability improvements. The company has efficient cash flow management, although rising debt levels warrant monitoring.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
TransUnion has demonstrated robust revenue growth, with a notable increase in total revenue from $2.53 billion in 2020 to $4.36 billion in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025. The gross profit margin remains strong, supported by a gross profit of $1.26 billion. The net profit margin improved significantly, reaching 13.08% in TTM 2025, showcasing enhanced profitability. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a stable equity base with stockholders' equity at $4.52 billion, contributing to a favorable equity ratio of 40.67%. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderate at 1.14, reflecting a balanced approach to leverage. However, there is a notable increase in total debt over the years, which could pose potential risks if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates a strong operating cash flow of $827 million, with a positive free cash flow of $496.6 million in TTM 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, which suggests efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow growth rate has been positive, supporting the company's capacity to fund operations and investments without excessive reliance on external financing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.36B4.18B3.83B3.71B2.96B2.53B
Gross Profit2.44B2.51B2.31B2.32B1.94B1.68B
EBITDA1.34B1.20B667.30M1.13B995.20M862.50M
Net Income391.90M284.40M-206.20M266.30M1.39B343.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.12B10.98B11.11B11.67B12.63B7.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments690.00M682.00M478.90M587.90M1.85B495.90M
Total Debt5.20B5.21B5.45B5.81B6.52B3.52B
Total Liabilities6.49B6.67B7.00B7.40B8.63B4.68B
Stockholders Equity4.52B4.22B4.01B4.17B3.91B2.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow496.60M516.70M334.70M-1.00M584.10M573.30M
Operating Cash Flow827.10M832.50M645.40M297.20M808.30M787.40M
Investing Cash Flow-404.60M-307.40M-318.90M-723.90M-2.21B-267.20M
Financing Cash Flow-285.90M-308.70M-438.80M-820.50M2.76B-296.90M

TransUnion Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price86.64
Price Trends
50DMA
90.68
Negative
100DMA
86.56
Positive
200DMA
90.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.21
Positive
RSI
40.16
Neutral
STOCH
42.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 86.64 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 91.66, below the 50-day MA of 90.68, and below the 200-day MA of 90.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TRU.

TransUnion Risk Analysis

TransUnion disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TransUnion reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

TransUnion Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$17.19B44.419.06%0.50%9.34%
69
Neutral
$37.86B41.80245.09%0.62%7.60%5.28%
68
Neutral
$30.94B48.8713.06%0.67%6.86%9.10%
68
Neutral
$17.49B11.7010.34%3.85%9.75%0.63%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TRU
TransUnion
86.64
-10.40
-10.72%
EFX
Equifax
245.45
-54.59
-18.19%
VRSK
Verisk Analytics
271.91
5.48
2.06%

TransUnion Corporate Events

Stock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
TransUnion Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

On July 24, 2025, TransUnion announced its second quarter financial results, reporting a 10% increase in total revenue to $1,140 million compared to the same period in 2024. The company exceeded its financial guidance across all key metrics, with significant growth in U.S. Financial Services and international markets, particularly in India, Canada, and Africa. TransUnion also improved its leverage ratio and repurchased $47 million in shares. As a result of strong performance in the first half of 2025, the company raised its full-year revenue growth guidance to 6-7%, highlighting its focus on execution and value creation through innovation.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025