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TransUnion Corp. (TRU)
:TRU

TransUnion (TRU) AI Stock Analysis

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TransUnion

(NYSE:TRU)

72Outperform
TransUnion's stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, highlighting robust revenue growth and strategic improvements. However, technical analysis suggests bearish momentum, and valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation, which weigh down the overall score.
Positive Factors
Product Resilience
The diversified and sticky nature of TRU's product sets highlights its resilience.
Revenue Growth
The company's revenue growth was notably above consensus, primarily driven by strong performance in US Financial Services.
Shareholder Returns
TRU initiated its first share repurchase since 2017 and increased its quarterly dividend by 9.5%.
Negative Factors
Guidance
Full year guide reflects a conservative outlook.
Leverage
Leverage of 2.9x remains above their target.
Macroeconomic Risk
TransUnion carries with it elevated cyclical risk considering recent macroeconomic uncertainty.

TransUnion (TRU) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

TransUnion Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTransUnion (TRU) is a global information and insights company that operates in the consumer credit reporting industry. Headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, TransUnion provides consumer reports, risk scores, analytical services, and decisioning capabilities to businesses and consumers. Its core services span across consumer lending, insurance, tenant and employment screening, and identity management, enabling businesses to make informed decisions and consumers to access credit and protect their identity.
How the Company Makes MoneyTransUnion generates revenue primarily through its credit reporting and analytics services. Key revenue streams include subscriptions and transactional-based sales of consumer credit reports, risk scores, and analytics to a wide range of clients, including financial institutions, insurance companies, and government agencies. Additionally, TransUnion earns income from its specialized services like fraud and identity solutions, which help businesses mitigate risk and prevent fraud. Partnerships with organizations that require credit information, such as lenders and insurers, also play a significant role in revenue generation. Furthermore, TransUnion provides direct-to-consumer services, offering individuals access to their credit scores and monitoring services for a subscription fee. These diverse revenue streams allow TransUnion to maintain a strong presence in the global market.

TransUnion Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TransUnion demonstrates strong financial performance with solid revenue growth and robust profitability margins. The income statement shows efficient cost management with a significant net profit margin of 10.66%. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, while cash flow generation is effective, although attention to free cash flow growth is needed.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
TransUnion's TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue growth rate is solid, reflecting a positive trajectory with a 1.78% increase from the previous annual period. The gross profit margin stands robustly at 70.22%, indicating strong cost management in relation to revenue. The net profit margin improved significantly over the past year to 10.66%, suggesting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 17.94% and 28.06%, respectively, highlighting efficient operations. Overall, the income statement shows a well-managed and profitable business with consistent revenue and profit growth.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.17, indicating moderate leverage compared to equity. The return on equity (ROE) improved to 10.35%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds to generate profit. The equity ratio is reasonable at 40.06%, suggesting a balanced approach between debt and equity financing. While leverage is manageable, the company should remain cautious of debt levels to ensure long-term financial health.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
TransUnion's cash flow statement reveals a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.81, indicating efficient cash conversion from earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is solid at 1.10, reflecting effective cash generation relative to profits. However, free cash flow growth has been negative at -3.16% compared to the previous annual period, highlighting a slight decline in cash generation. Overall, the cash flow position remains strong, with effective cash management, though attention to free cash flow growth is warranted.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.18B3.83B3.71B2.96B2.53B
Gross Profit
2.51B2.31B2.32B1.94B1.68B
EBIT
666.70M128.50M626.30M651.90M500.30M
EBITDA
1.20B667.30M1.13B995.20M862.50M
Net Income Common Stockholders
284.40M-206.20M266.30M1.39B343.20M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
682.00M478.90M585.30M1.84B493.00M
Total Assets
10.98B11.11B11.67B12.63B7.31B
Total Debt
5.21B5.45B5.67B6.37B3.45B
Net Debt
4.53B4.97B5.08B4.52B2.96B
Total Liabilities
6.67B7.00B7.40B8.63B4.68B
Stockholders Equity
4.22B4.01B4.17B3.91B2.54B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
516.70M334.70M-1.00M584.10M573.30M
Operating Cash Flow
832.50M645.40M297.20M808.30M787.40M
Investing Cash Flow
-307.40M-318.90M-723.90M-2.21B-267.20M
Financing Cash Flow
-308.70M-438.80M-820.50M2.76B-296.90M

TransUnion Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price83.51
Price Trends
50DMA
82.75
Positive
100DMA
89.06
Negative
200DMA
93.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Negative
RSI
56.45
Neutral
STOCH
94.19
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRU, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 83.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 76.39, above the 50-day MA of 82.75, and below the 200-day MA of 93.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.19 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TRU.

TransUnion Risk Analysis

TransUnion disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TransUnion reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

TransUnion Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
EFEFX
73
Outperform
$32.37B53.2212.83%0.60%7.12%9.05%
TRTRU
72
Outperform
$16.30B44.738.68%0.52%8.85%
63
Neutral
$4.21B11.555.28%250.72%4.13%-9.42%
61
Neutral
$40.85B43.51463.98%0.55%7.47%59.46%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TRU
TransUnion
83.51
6.80
8.86%
EFX
Equifax
260.61
34.93
15.48%
VRSK
Verisk Analytics
294.51
58.57
24.82%

TransUnion Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 8.09%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
TransUnion reported strong revenue growth and strategic progress, particularly in its U.S. Market and international segments. Despite some challenges in specific segments such as Consumer Interactive and Public Sector, the company's transformation initiatives and improved capital allocation are positive indicators. The overall outlook remains cautious due to economic uncertainties.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
TransUnion delivered high single-digit organic revenue growth and double-digit adjusted diluted EPS growth for the fifth consecutive quarter, with revenue growing 8% on an organic constant currency basis.
Strong U.S. Market Performance
The U.S. Market segment delivered 9% growth, with financial services growing 15%. Consumer lending and auto both grew double digits, while card and banking grew mid-single digits.
Successful Strategic Initiatives
TransUnion made key leadership additions and progressed on its technology modernization with the OneTrue platform, achieving over 50% faster processing speeds and a 20% to 50% increase in developer productivity.
International Growth
International revenue grew 6% on a constant currency basis, with the UK delivering strong 9% growth. The company expects India to reaccelerate to 10% growth for the full year.
Improved Capital Allocation
The leverage ratio declined to 2.9x from 3.5x a year ago, and the company repurchased shares for the first time since 2017, anticipating further capital deployment flexibility.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Consumer Interactive Segment
The Consumer Interactive segment declined 1% as anticipated, with plans to launch a new freemium solution later in the year.
Mortgage Inquiry Decline
Mortgage inquiries were down roughly 10%, although revenue grew 27% due to favorable pricing.
Public Sector Revenue Decline
Public Sector revenue declined modestly year-over-year due to strong growth lapping from the previous year.
One-Time Transformation Charges
The company took $30 million in one-time charges related to its transformation program.
Company Guidance
During the TransUnion 2025 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance with several key metrics and insights into its performance and outlook. TransUnion reported an 8% organic constant currency revenue growth for the first quarter, surpassing its 5% to 6% guidance, and achieved double-digit adjusted diluted EPS growth. The U.S. Market segment grew by 9%, with financial services growing 15%, excluding mortgage growth at 9%. International markets grew by 6%, with the UK showing strong 9% plus growth. The company maintained its full-year organic growth guidance, anticipating revenue between $4.358 billion and $4.417 billion, with adjusted EBITDA between $1.549 billion and $1.590 billion. Adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be between 35.6% and 36%. TransUnion's leverage ratio improved to 2.9 times from 3.5 times a year ago, and the company repurchased 10 million shares for the first time since 2017. Despite maintaining the guidance, TransUnion acknowledged market uncertainties, including potential impacts from U.S. fiscal policy changes, tariffs, and global economic conditions.

TransUnion Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
TransUnion Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Apr 24, 2025

On April 24, 2025, TransUnion announced its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, reporting a total revenue of $1,096 million, which marks a 7% increase from the previous year. The company exceeded its financial guidance across all key metrics, with significant growth in U.S. Financial Services and Emerging Verticals. Despite challenging market conditions, TransUnion maintained its revenue growth guidance for 2025 and highlighted its ability to navigate potential economic downturns through a diversified portfolio and strategic cost management.

Spark’s Take on TRU Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TRU is a Neutral.

TransUnion’s overall stock score reflects its robust financial performance with strong revenue growth and improving profitability. The positive sentiment from the earnings call and strategic initiatives like the share repurchase program further enhance its outlook. However, the current technical indicators suggest bearish momentum and a potentially overvalued stock, which weigh down the score.

To see Spark’s full report on TRU stock, click here.

Business Operations and Strategy
TransUnion Amends Employee Stock Purchase Plan
Neutral
Feb 24, 2025

On February 19, 2025, TransUnion’s Board of Directors approved an amendment to the company’s 2015 Employee Stock Purchase Plan (ESPP). This amendment removes the ten-year term limit, allowing the plan to terminate either by the Board’s decision or upon the issuance of all available shares. This change may impact the company’s employee stock purchase strategy and provide more flexibility in managing stock distributions.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
TransUnion Reports Strong Q4 2024 Financial Results
Positive
Feb 13, 2025

On February 13, 2025, TransUnion announced its fourth quarter and full-year 2024 financial results, highlighting a 9% revenue increase driven by the U.S. Markets Financial Services and Insurance verticals, and the International segment. The company reported strong earnings, with net income rising significantly from the previous year. TransUnion also unveiled a new freemium direct-to-consumer credit education offering and refreshed its capital allocation framework, including a $500 million share repurchase program, signaling a strategic focus on enhancing shareholder value and operational transformation.

Executive/Board Changes
TransUnion Announces Retirement Plans for Key Executive
Neutral
Feb 5, 2025

Timothy J. Martin, Executive Vice President and Chief Global Solutions Officer at TransUnion, announced his intention to retire in September 2026. Until then, he will continue in his current role until a successor is appointed, after which he will serve in an advisory role. Under the Retirement Agreement effective January 31, 2025, Martin will maintain a base salary of $612,000 until his successor is in place, after which it will be reduced to $500,000. He is also eligible for annual incentive bonuses and a long-term incentive grant, subject to performance and approval by the Compensation Committee.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.