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Equifax (EFX)
NYSE:EFX

Equifax (EFX) AI Stock Analysis

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EF

Equifax

(NYSE:EFX)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
Equifax demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability, driving a high overall score. The earnings call further supports this with positive guidance and strategic initiatives. However, technical analysis indicates caution due to mixed signals, and valuation concerns arise from a high P/E ratio. Despite these challenges, the company's strong fundamentals and strategic outlook help maintain a solid overall score.
Positive Factors
Cloud Transformation
The completion of EFX's cloud transformation should support future margin expansion efforts.
Government Business Growth
Government has now become EFX's largest and fastest growing business.
Market Opportunity
EFX's Brazilian Credit Bureau presents a significant market opportunity.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
EFX has consistently missed its goal of +50bps of annual margin expansion.
Guidance Expectations
Full-year guidance fell short of expectations across all key metrics, largely due to a worse-than-expected mortgage outlook, deterioration in hiring trends, and softer verifier government growth expectations.
Mortgage Market Impact
The recent uptick in mortgage rates continues to pressure activity, implying a decline in inquiry volumes in 2025.

Equifax (EFX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Equifax Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEquifax Inc. (EFX) is a global data, analytics, and technology company headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. It operates in the financial services sector and is one of the largest credit reporting agencies in the world. Equifax provides businesses and consumers with credit reports, risk assessments, fraud detection, and identity verification services. The company's core products and services are designed to help businesses make informed decisions about lending, hiring, and other financial transactions while enabling consumers to better understand and improve their financial health.
How the Company Makes MoneyEquifax makes money primarily through the sale of its credit reporting and related data analytics services. The company's revenue model is largely based on providing credit information and related products to financial institutions, businesses, government agencies, and consumers. Key revenue streams include its U.S. Information Solutions segment, which offers consumer and commercial credit data services, and its International segment, which provides similar services in regions outside the United States. Additionally, Equifax generates revenue from its Workforce Solutions segment, which delivers employment, income verification, and human resource compliance services. Significant partnerships with financial institutions and government entities help expand its reach and effectiveness in data collection and analysis. Factors such as regulatory changes, economic conditions, and advancements in data analytics technology also play crucial roles in its earnings.

Equifax Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Workforce Solutions Revenue Breakdown
Workforce Solutions Revenue Breakdown
Analyzes revenue from workforce solutions, highlighting growth in employment verification and HR services, which can indicate strong demand from employers and a robust labor market.
Chart InsightsVerification Services have shown a robust recovery since 2022, with recent quarters surpassing pre-2022 highs, reflecting strong demand and strategic positioning. However, Employer Services have faced volatility, with recent declines suggesting potential challenges in client acquisition or retention. Despite these mixed trends, Equifax's earnings call highlights strong overall revenue growth and strategic confidence, underscored by a significant dividend increase and share repurchase program. Yet, economic uncertainties and mortgage market challenges could pose risks to sustaining this momentum.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Equifax Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 22, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 19.14%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Equifax demonstrated strong financial performance in the first quarter, surpassing revenue and EPS expectations, and successfully leveraging its cloud transformation. However, significant market uncertainties and challenges in the mortgage market pose risks to future growth.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Equifax reported a revenue of $1.442 billion, which is up 4% reported and 5% in constant dollars, exceeding the midpoint of February guidance by $37 million.
Adjusted EPS Exceeds Expectations
Adjusted EPS of $1.53 per share was $0.15 above the midpoint of February guidance, driven by higher revenue growth and improved margins.
Successful Launch of Equifax Cloud
The company successfully transitioned to the Equifax cloud and launched its first-ever Equifax-only solution in the mortgage segment.
International Growth
International revenue increased by almost 7% in constant currency, with strong growth in Latin America, particularly Brazil and Argentina.
New Capital Allocation Plan
Equifax announced a 28% increase in its quarterly dividend and a new $3 billion, four-year share repurchase program.
Negative Updates
Economic and Market Uncertainty
Significant economic and market uncertainty related to tariffs, interest rates, and inflation was highlighted, affecting future guidance.
Challenges in Mortgage Market
The mortgage market remains 50% below normal pre-pandemic levels, with U.S. mortgage revenue comprising 21% of total revenue.
Company Guidance
During the Equifax Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the second quarter and the full year, maintaining its 2025 guidance levels from February despite a strong first-quarter performance. Equifax reported Q1 revenue of $1.442 billion, up 4% reported and 5% in constant dollars, exceeding the midpoint of prior guidance by $37 million. Adjusted EPS was $1.53, $0.15 above the midpoint of February guidance. The company achieved debt leverage of 2.5 turns, aligning with its long-term goal. Equifax expects to generate around $900 million in free cash flow for the year, with a cash conversion rate nearing 95%. For Q2, Equifax anticipates revenue growth of over 5.5% reported and over 6.5% constant currency, with adjusted EPS between $1.85 and $1.95, up more than 4.5% year-over-year. The company also announced a 28% increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.50 per share and a new $3 billion four-year share repurchase program, reflecting confidence in its business model and future free cash flow growth.

Equifax Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Equifax's financial performance is robust, with strong revenue growth and profitability. The income statement reveals impressive margins and operational efficiency, while the balance sheet shows manageable leverage. Cash flow generation is healthy, supporting the company's operations and growth, although there's a slight decline in free cash flow growth rate.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Equifax has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a TTM revenue increase of 9.68% from the previous year. The gross profit margin for TTM stands at an impressive 66.99%, indicating strong cost management and pricing power. The net profit margin is 12.49%, showing solid profitability, though slightly below industry leaders. The EBIT margin of 18.37% and EBITDA margin of 28.50% highlight robust operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement reflects strong growth and profitability, albeit with room for improvement in net margins.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
Equifax's balance sheet exhibits a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 0.99, indicating moderate leverage, which is manageable but should be monitored to avoid excessive risk. The Return on Equity for TTM is 14.39%, demonstrating effective use of equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio stands at 42.03%, showing a stable capital structure with a reasonable level of shareholder equity in the asset base. While there is stability, the balance sheet could benefit from further deleveraging to enhance financial resilience.
Cash Flow
79
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a strong Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio of 1.13, indicating that the company effectively converts net income into cash. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is 1.81, underscoring healthy cash generation relative to profits. However, the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate shows a slight decline of 0.50% from the previous year, suggesting a need for vigilance in maintaining cash flow growth. Overall, the cash flow performance is robust, with steady cash generation supporting operations and growth.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
5.73B5.68B5.27B5.12B4.92B4.13B
Gross Profit
3.19B3.16B2.93B2.94B2.94B2.39B
EBIT
1.05B1.04B933.60M1.06B1.14B676.60M
EBITDA
1.74B1.72B1.58B1.67B1.58B1.22B
Net Income Common Stockholders
612.30M604.10M545.30M696.20M744.20M520.10M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
195.20M169.90M216.80M285.20M224.70M1.68B
Total Assets
11.85B11.76B12.28B11.55B11.04B9.61B
Total Debt
4.96B5.01B5.71B5.79B5.29B4.38B
Net Debt
4.77B4.84B5.49B5.50B5.07B2.69B
Total Liabilities
6.74B6.84B7.59B7.57B7.44B6.40B
Stockholders Equity
4.98B4.80B4.53B3.96B3.58B3.17B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
808.90M813.00M515.50M132.60M865.80M524.90M
Operating Cash Flow
1.30B1.32B1.12B757.10M1.33B946.20M
Investing Cash Flow
-486.80M-511.50M-878.20M-959.50M-3.40B-492.70M
Financing Cash Flow
-810.30M-846.40M-306.20M273.70M628.90M810.80M

Equifax Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price256.00
Price Trends
50DMA
255.32
Positive
100DMA
251.54
Positive
200DMA
261.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.34
Positive
RSI
41.74
Neutral
STOCH
36.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EFX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 256 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 265.12, above the 50-day MA of 255.32, and below the 200-day MA of 261.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EFX.

Equifax Risk Analysis

Equifax disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Equifax reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Equifax Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$43.29B45.32475.86%0.58%7.20%27.36%
TRTRU
72
Outperform
$16.76B46.018.68%0.54%8.85%
EFEFX
69
Neutral
$33.22B54.6212.83%0.75%7.12%9.05%
66
Neutral
$4.49B12.225.40%3.71%4.17%-11.97%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EFX
Equifax
256.00
15.73
6.55%
VRSK
Verisk Analytics
307.23
39.99
14.96%
TRU
TransUnion
84.89
13.92
19.61%

Equifax Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Equifax Announces Executive Departure and Leadership Change
Neutral
May 30, 2025

On May 30, 2025, Equifax announced the departure of Todd Horvath, Executive Vice President and President of U.S. Information Solutions, effective June 1, 2025. CEO Mark Begor will temporarily lead the USIS business unit while a search for Horvath’s successor is underway. Horvath’s departure includes a separation agreement with a $2.9 million severance and a prorated incentive award for 2025, while his unvested equity awards were forfeited. He will also receive $3.2 million in cash for the unvested portion of his new hire equity award.

The most recent analyst rating on (EFX) stock is a Buy with a $300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equifax stock, see the EFX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Equifax Shareholders Approve Key Decisions at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 9, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Equifax held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where several key decisions were made. Shareholders elected ten directors, approved executive compensation, ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent accounting firm, and eliminated supermajority voting requirements in the company’s Articles of Incorporation.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.