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Equifax (EFX)
NYSE:EFX
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Equifax (EFX) AI Stock Analysis

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EFX

Equifax

(NYSE:EFX)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$271.00
▲(12.81%Upside)
Equifax's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, despite technical weaknesses and high valuation concerns. The robust earnings and strategic growth initiatives contribute positively, while technical indicators suggest caution.
Positive Factors
Capital Management
The stepped-up capital return is appreciated, with EFX conducting $127M in share repurchases during the quarter.
Earnings Performance
EFX’s 2Q results beat Street expectations on the top and bottom line, driven by better-than-expected mortgage performance and new product growth.
Stock Valuation
The business services sector's valuation has improved with an increase in the average EV/EBIT multiple.
Negative Factors
Earnings Outlook
There is a reduction in earnings expectations due to a negative outlook in mortgage volume.
Government Segment Challenges
The third-quarter outlook was below consensus, which is attributed to some modest timing delays in the government business and ongoing labor market headwinds.
Revenue Forecast
Management has reduced its guidance for Workforce Solutions organic revenue growth due to slower than expected revenue in Government.

Equifax (EFX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Equifax Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEquifax Inc. provides information solutions and human resources business process automation outsourcing services for businesses, governments, and consumers. The company operates through three segments: Workforce Solutions, U.S. Information Solutions (USIS), and International. The Workforce Solutions segment offers employment, income, criminal history, and social security number verification services, as well as payroll-based transaction, employment tax management, and identity theft protection products. The USIS segment provides consumer and commercial information services, such as credit information and credit scoring, credit modeling and portfolio analytics, locate, fraud detection and prevention, identity verification, and other consulting; mortgage services; financial marketing services; identity management services; credit monitoring products; and online information, decisioning technology solutions, as well as portfolio management, mortgage reporting, and consumer credit information services. The International segment offers information service products, which include consumer and commercial services, such as credit and financial information, and credit scoring and modeling; and credit and other marketing products and services, as well as offers information, technology, and other services to support debt collections and recovery management. The company serves customers in financial services, mortgage, employers, consumer, commercial, telecommunication, retail, automotive, utility, brokerage, healthcare, and insurance industries, as well as state, federal, and local governments. It operates in the United States, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, India, the United Kingdom, Spain, Portugal, Argentina, Chile, Costa Rica, Ecuador, El Salvador, Honduras, Mexico, Paraguay, Peru, Uruguay, Brazil, the Republic of Ireland, Russia, Cambodia, Malaysia, Singapore, and the United Arab Emirates. The company was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyEquifax makes money primarily through the sale of its credit reporting and related data analytics services. The company's revenue model is largely based on providing credit information and related products to financial institutions, businesses, government agencies, and consumers. Key revenue streams include its U.S. Information Solutions segment, which offers consumer and commercial credit data services, and its International segment, which provides similar services in regions outside the United States. Additionally, Equifax generates revenue from its Workforce Solutions segment, which delivers employment, income verification, and human resource compliance services. Significant partnerships with financial institutions and government entities help expand its reach and effectiveness in data collection and analysis. Factors such as regulatory changes, economic conditions, and advancements in data analytics technology also play crucial roles in its earnings.

Equifax Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Workforce Solutions Revenue Breakdown
Workforce Solutions Revenue Breakdown
Analyzes revenue from workforce solutions, highlighting growth in employment verification and HR services, which can indicate strong demand from employers and a robust labor market.
Chart InsightsVerification Services have shown a robust recovery since 2022, with recent quarters surpassing pre-2022 highs, reflecting strong demand and strategic positioning. However, Employer Services have faced volatility, with recent declines suggesting potential challenges in client acquisition or retention. Despite these mixed trends, Equifax's earnings call highlights strong overall revenue growth and strategic confidence, underscored by a significant dividend increase and share repurchase program. Yet, economic uncertainties and mortgage market challenges could pose risks to sustaining this momentum.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Equifax Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -7.48%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue performance and cloud transformation benefits, alongside challenges in the government sector, a weaker hiring market, and increased litigation costs. While Equifax is maintaining its full-year guidance, the company is exercising caution due to economic uncertainties.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue
Equifax Inc. reported its highest ever quarterly revenue of $1.54 billion, an 8% increase in constant currency and a 7% increase reported.
Strong USIS and AWS Performance
USIS revenue was up 9%, with non-mortgage revenue growing over 4% and a vitality index of 10%. AWS revenue was up 8%, led by double-digit growth in government and consumer lending.
Share Repurchase Program
Equifax repurchased $127 million in shares under a new $3 billion share repurchase program.
Progress in Cloud Transformation
Equifax continues to leverage new cloud capabilities, driving innovation and growth, with international EBITDA margins up about 80 basis points.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was solid at $239 million, up over $100 million from the previous year, with expectations to generate over $900 million in 2025.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Government Vertical
Near-term volatility in government revenue due to changes in federal program structure and state budget constraints.
Weaker Hiring Market
The hiring market continues to be relatively weak, impacting both talent solutions and employer onboarding businesses.
Litigation Costs Impacting Margins
Higher litigation costs are affecting corporate expenses, expected to continue impacting margins in Q3 and Q4.
International Economic Weakness
Broad-based 6% constant currency revenue growth slightly below expectations due to economic weakness in Canada.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Equifax Inc. reported a record revenue of $1.54 billion, marking an 8% increase in constant currency and 7% in reported terms, surpassing the April guidance midpoint by $27 million. This growth was driven by a stronger-than-anticipated performance in the U.S. mortgage market, with mortgage revenue up 20%, and notable gains in non-mortgage sectors, particularly in workforce solutions with a 10% revenue growth. The Adjusted EPS stood at $2.00, exceeding the April guidance midpoint by $0.10, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 32.5%. Despite foreign exchange impacts reducing revenue by $6 million year-over-year, the weaker U.S. dollar since April contributed a $9 million boost to second-quarter revenue. The company maintained its full-year constant currency guidance, reflecting caution amid economic uncertainties, yet raised its reported revenue guidance by $35 million due to favorable FX movements. Equifax also increased its vitality outlook for 2025 from 11% to 12%, attributed to strong new product introductions, including the twin indicator mortgage credit solution.

Equifax Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Equifax shows strong revenue growth, efficient operations, and robust cash flow management with a TTM revenue increase of 9.68% and a strong gross profit margin. Although the balance sheet is stable, there's room for improvement in net margins and leverage reduction.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Equifax has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a TTM revenue increase of 9.68% from the previous year. The gross profit margin for TTM stands at an impressive 66.99%, indicating strong cost management and pricing power. The net profit margin is 12.49%, showing solid profitability, though slightly below industry leaders. The EBIT margin of 18.37% and EBITDA margin of 28.50% highlight robust operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement reflects strong growth and profitability, albeit with room for improvement in net margins.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
Equifax's balance sheet exhibits a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 0.99, indicating moderate leverage, which is manageable but should be monitored to avoid excessive risk. The Return on Equity for TTM is 14.39%, demonstrating effective use of equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio stands at 42.03%, showing a stable capital structure with a reasonable level of shareholder equity in the asset base. While there is stability, the balance sheet could benefit from further deleveraging to enhance financial resilience.
Cash Flow
79
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a strong Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio of 1.13, indicating that the company effectively converts net income into cash. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is 1.81, underscoring healthy cash generation relative to profits. However, the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate shows a slight decline of 0.50% from the previous year, suggesting a need for vigilance in maintaining cash flow growth. Overall, the cash flow performance is robust, with steady cash generation supporting operations and growth.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.68B5.27B5.12B4.92B4.13B
Gross Profit3.16B2.93B2.94B2.94B2.39B
EBITDA1.72B1.58B1.67B1.58B1.22B
Net Income604.10M545.30M696.20M744.20M520.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.76B12.28B11.55B11.04B9.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments169.90M216.80M285.20M224.70M1.68B
Total Debt5.01B5.71B5.79B5.29B4.38B
Total Liabilities6.84B7.59B7.57B7.44B6.40B
Stockholders Equity4.80B4.53B3.96B3.58B3.17B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow813.00M515.50M132.60M865.80M524.90M
Operating Cash Flow1.32B1.12B757.10M1.33B946.20M
Investing Cash Flow-511.50M-878.20M-959.50M-3.40B-492.70M
Financing Cash Flow-846.40M-306.20M273.70M628.90M810.80M

Equifax Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price240.23
Price Trends
50DMA
259.44
Negative
100DMA
252.25
Negative
200DMA
255.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-5.19
Positive
RSI
37.13
Neutral
STOCH
24.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EFX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 240.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 254.40, below the 50-day MA of 259.44, and below the 200-day MA of 255.97, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EFX.

Equifax Risk Analysis

Equifax disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Equifax reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Equifax Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (71)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$19.27B49.779.06%0.46%9.34%
71
Outperform
¥269.60B14.198.47%2.85%6.33%12.37%
70
Outperform
$29.74B46.9813.06%0.70%6.86%9.10%
64
Neutral
$41.13B45.35245.09%0.60%7.60%5.28%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EFX
Equifax
240.23
-42.60
-15.06%
VRSK
Verisk Analytics
278.71
13.59
5.13%
TRU
TransUnion
95.19
10.22
12.03%

Equifax Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Equifax Announces Executive Departure and Leadership Change
Neutral
May 30, 2025

On May 30, 2025, Equifax announced the departure of Todd Horvath, Executive Vice President and President of U.S. Information Solutions, effective June 1, 2025. CEO Mark Begor will temporarily lead the USIS business unit while a search for Horvath’s successor is underway. Horvath’s departure includes a separation agreement with a $2.9 million severance and a prorated incentive award for 2025, while his unvested equity awards were forfeited. He will also receive $3.2 million in cash for the unvested portion of his new hire equity award.

The most recent analyst rating on (EFX) stock is a Buy with a $300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equifax stock, see the EFX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Equifax Shareholders Approve Key Decisions at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 9, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Equifax held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where several key decisions were made. Shareholders elected ten directors, approved executive compensation, ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent accounting firm, and eliminated supermajority voting requirements in the company’s Articles of Incorporation.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 26, 2025