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Cannae Holdings (CNNE)
NYSE:CNNE

Cannae Holdings (CNNE) AI Stock Analysis

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Cannae Holdings

(NYSE:CNNE)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$19.00
▼(-3.99%Downside)
Cannae Holdings' overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, such as declining revenue and net losses, which are partially offset by a stable balance sheet and strategic initiatives highlighted in the earnings call. While the technical analysis and valuation present moderate scores, the optimistic guidance from the earnings call provides some positive momentum.

Cannae Holdings (CNNE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cannae Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCannae Holdings, Inc. is a principal investment firm. The firm primarily invests in restaurants, technology enabled healthcare services, financial services and more. It takes both minority and majority stakes. Cannae Holdings, Inc. is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
How the Company Makes MoneyCannae Holdings makes money by investing in and managing a diverse range of companies and assets across various industries. Its revenue model includes generating income from its ownership stakes in these companies, which can come in the form of dividends, interest, and capital gains from the sale of investments. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and its ability to drive operational improvements and efficiencies within its portfolio companies. By actively managing its investments and seeking out new opportunities, Cannae Holdings aims to achieve long-term growth and profitability.

Cannae Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.94%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment with significant progress in strategic investments and partnerships, particularly with the acquisition of Dun & Bradstreet and expansion with JANA Partners. Despite a decrease in operating revenue and challenges in the Restaurant Group, the overall outlook remains optimistic with ongoing strategic initiatives to enhance shareholder value.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Dun & Bradstreet Acquisition
Cannae's largest public investment, Dun & Bradstreet, announced a definitive agreement to be acquired by Clearlake Capital for $4.1 billion. Cannae will receive $632 million in proceeds, with $460 million planned for share repurchases, dividends, and debt repayment.
Expansion of Partnership with JANA Partners
Cannae has entered into an agreement to acquire an additional 30% stake in JANA Partners for $67.5 million, bringing total ownership to 50%. This broadens the scope of their partnership and enhances Cannae's ability to allocate capital towards proprietary acquisitions.
Progress in Black Knight Football Investments
Black Knight Football club raised $133 million in new capital. AFC Bournemouth made significant progress, opening a new performance center and acquiring Vitality Stadium. FC Lorient was promoted to Ligue 1, and Hibernian FC is in third place in the Scottish Premier League.
Financial Performance of Portfolio Companies
D&B reported revenue of $580 million with 3.6% constant currency organic growth. Alight reported $548 million in revenue with a 2% decrease but increased adjusted EBITDA. Both companies' results were ahead of consensus estimates.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Operating Revenue
Cannae's first quarter total operating revenue was $103 million, a 7% decrease from the prior year, primarily due to lower restaurant revenue.
Challenges in Restaurant Group
The O'Charley's brand experienced a decline, contributing to overall same-store sales drop. The group is undergoing significant changes, including SKU reductions and new management appointments, to address operational challenges.
Company Guidance
During the Cannae Holdings, Inc. First Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, CEO Ryan Caswell provided guidance on several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The call highlighted a definitive agreement for Dun & Bradstreet to be acquired for $4.1 billion, with Cannae set to receive $632 million, from which $460 million is earmarked for share repurchases, dividends, and debt repayment. Additionally, the company plans to acquire an extra 30% stake in JANA Partners for $67.5 million, increasing its ownership to 50%. Significant progress in their venture, Black Knight Football, was also discussed, including capital raising of $133 million and infrastructure improvements at AFC Bournemouth. Caswell emphasized the commitment to rebalance the portfolio and return capital to shareholders.

Cannae Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cannae Holdings faces significant financial challenges, highlighted by declining revenue and consistent net losses. Although the balance sheet is stable with a strong equity position and manageable debt levels, persistent negative cash flows and decreasing assets indicate financial instability and a need for improved revenue generation and cost management.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Cannae Holdings has experienced declining revenue over recent years, with a significant drop from $742.2 million in 2021 to $445 million in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The company struggles with profitability, reflected in negative EBIT and net income margins. The gross profit margin has also decreased significantly, indicating cost pressures. While the EBITDA margin has shown some improvement, overall financial performance remains weak with consistent net losses.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
Cannae Holdings maintains a relatively healthy equity position with a stockholders' equity of $1.72 billion and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 in TTM. The equity ratio is strong, providing a buffer against liabilities. However, decreasing total assets and stockholders' equity over time indicate potential long-term financial challenges. Despite manageable debt levels, the company's declining asset base poses a risk.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
The company's cash flow performance is under stress, with negative free cash flow and operating cash flow in the TTM. Although there was an improvement in free cash flow from the previous period, the overall trend shows persistent cash outflows. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains unfavorable, highlighting challenges in generating cash from operations.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
445.00M452.50M570.00M662.10M742.20M585.70M
Gross Profit
21.80M81.30M43.00M31.20M44.70M-33.40M
EBIT
-101.80M-474.90M-118.90M-144.60M-133.50M-188.50M
EBITDA
-277.60M-224.50M-150.90M-278.70M-374.00M2.24B
Net Income Common Stockholders
-327.70M-304.60M-313.40M-245.70M-359.00M1.79B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
126.20M137.70M121.80M282.60M85.80M759.90M
Total Assets
2.10B2.23B2.69B3.13B3.89B4.61B
Total Debt
318.50M330.10M261.10M271.20M235.80M314.70M
Net Debt
192.30M198.60M154.90M23.50M150.00M-410.00M
Total Liabilities
399.70M413.60M377.50M410.60M548.50M828.20M
Stockholders Equity
1.72B1.84B2.32B2.72B3.34B3.78B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-54.50M-97.10M-97.80M-219.40M-189.80M-136.20M
Operating Cash Flow
-49.30M-90.10M-87.80M-205.10M-176.10M-113.90M
Investing Cash Flow
105.20M298.30M53.10M521.20M-272.40M-74.20M
Financing Cash Flow
-163.90M-182.90M-106.80M-154.20M-190.40M379.10M

Cannae Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.79
Price Trends
50DMA
18.08
Positive
100DMA
18.29
Positive
200DMA
18.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.49
Negative
RSI
65.82
Neutral
STOCH
70.87
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNNE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.79 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.88, above the 50-day MA of 18.08, and above the 200-day MA of 18.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.49 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CNNE.

Cannae Holdings Risk Analysis

Cannae Holdings disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cannae Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cannae Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$899.28M26.917.37%4.57%6.89%
65
Neutral
$1.27B22.1012.90%1.76%2.84%-4.44%
65
Neutral
$1.63B21.10-20.16%3.69%-2.77%4.01%
62
Neutral
$6.86B11.072.77%4.27%2.66%-24.95%
HDHDL
60
Neutral
$1.29B33.5112.11%
58
Neutral
$948.44M87.031.86%14.43%-53.71%
56
Neutral
$1.25B-12.56%2.41%-15.46%3.24%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CNNE
Cannae Holdings
19.79
2.78
16.34%
CBRL
Cracker Barrel
59.03
15.00
34.07%
PZZA
Papa John's International
49.10
2.80
6.05%
FWRG
First Watch Restaurant Group
15.16
-3.16
-17.25%
PTLO
Portillo's
11.47
1.70
17.40%
HDL
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. Sponsored ADR
19.50
3.54
22.18%

Cannae Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cannae Holdings Ends Management Agreement, Appoints New Leadership
Positive
May 12, 2025

On May 12, 2025, Cannae Holdings announced the termination of its Management Services Agreement with Trasimene Capital Management, effective immediately, which included a revised payment schedule for outstanding fees. Additionally, the company appointed William T. Royan and Woodrow Tyler as new independent directors and announced a management transition with William P. Foley stepping down as CEO and Chairman to become Vice Chairman, while Doug Ammerman and Ryan R. Caswell assumed the roles of Chairman and CEO, respectively. Cannae also expanded its strategic relationship with JANA Partners, acquiring an additional 30% stake to enhance capital allocation opportunities. These strategic actions are part of Cannae’s ongoing efforts to rebalance its portfolio, improve operational performance, and create long-term shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNNE) stock is a Buy with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cannae Holdings stock, see the CNNE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.