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Biglari (BH)
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Biglari Holdings (BH) AI Stock Analysis

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BH

Biglari Holdings

(NYSE:BH)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$396.00
▲(7.62% Upside)
Biglari Holdings demonstrates a solid financial foundation with strong cash flow and profitability, which are the most significant factors in its score. Technical indicators show bullish momentum, though caution is advised due to overbought signals. The valuation is less attractive due to a high P/E ratio and no dividend yield, which slightly dampens the overall score.

Biglari Holdings (BH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Biglari Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBiglari Holdings Inc. is a diversified holding company based in San Antonio, Texas. It operates primarily in the restaurant and insurance sectors, with its most notable subsidiaries including the Steak 'n Shake restaurant chain and First Guard Insurance Company. The company focuses on acquiring and managing businesses that have strong cash flow potential and a sustainable competitive advantage, allowing it to leverage operational efficiencies and capitalize on market opportunities.
How the Company Makes MoneyBiglari Holdings generates revenue primarily through its restaurant operations and insurance services. The company earns a significant portion of its revenue from the Steak 'n Shake franchise, which includes both company-owned and franchised locations. Revenue is driven by food and beverage sales, as well as royalties from franchisees. In addition, First Guard Insurance Company contributes to the company's earnings by providing various insurance products, including auto and commercial insurance, which generates premium income. The company also benefits from investment income and capital gains through its investment portfolio, allowing it to diversify its revenue streams. Strategic partnerships and a focus on operational improvements further enhance its financial performance.

Biglari Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Biglari Holdings presents a stable financial profile with strengths in profitability and cash flow generation. The income statement shows decent margins, though revenue growth is limited. The balance sheet is strong, with low leverage and a solid equity base. Cash flow performance is a highlight, with substantial free cash flow growth. While the company is financially sound, focusing on revenue growth and improving ROE could drive further value.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Biglari Holdings shows a moderate performance in its income statement. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 35.41% and a net profit margin of 10.47%, reflecting decent profitability. However, the revenue growth rate is low at 2.58%, suggesting limited top-line expansion. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 15.12% and 26.04%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. Overall, while profitability is stable, growth remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Biglari Holdings is relatively strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21, indicating conservative leverage. The return on equity is modest at 6.86%, showing moderate efficiency in generating returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio stands at 68.24%, suggesting a solid capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity. The company maintains a stable financial position, though improvements in ROE could enhance shareholder value.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Biglari Holdings demonstrates robust cash flow performance. The free cash flow growth rate is exceptionally high at 379.77%, indicating significant improvement in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.69, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.72, reflecting strong cash conversion. This solid cash flow position provides flexibility for reinvestment and debt servicing, enhancing financial stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue377.18M362.11M365.32M368.23M366.11M433.68M
Gross Profit133.56M138.62M116.38M152.78M142.78M136.95M
EBITDA98.23M37.82M109.62M-692.00K79.48M-2.44M
Net Income39.51M-3.76M54.95M-32.02M35.48M-37.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets863.58M866.13M849.42M828.47M894.81M1.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments137.31M133.68M119.94M106.93M125.41M119.36M
Total Debt125.44M150.19M101.24M118.83M121.38M281.27M
Total Liabilities274.29M293.17M250.09M272.91M307.11M453.14M
Stockholders Equity589.29M572.96M599.33M546.97M587.70M564.83M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow62.52M19.07M49.60M98.08M164.22M96.85M
Operating Cash Flow86.69M49.66M73.00M127.83M228.77M117.56M
Investing Cash Flow-94.96M-87.39M-66.08M-136.60M-58.52M-129.49M
Financing Cash Flow13.40M39.48M-16.13M3.86M-156.16M-29.11M

Biglari Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price367.97
Price Trends
50DMA
322.45
Positive
100DMA
305.46
Positive
200DMA
266.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
12.89
Negative
RSI
70.31
Negative
STOCH
84.60
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 367.97 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 343.31, above the 50-day MA of 322.45, and above the 200-day MA of 266.62, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 12.89 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.31 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.60 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BH.

Biglari Holdings Risk Analysis

Biglari Holdings disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Biglari Holdings reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Biglari Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$1.12B29.286.82%4.14%
65
Neutral
$1.73B23.323.48%-1.46%8.10%
63
Neutral
$1.76B9.4199.35%8.46%1.31%-1.46%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$1.12B285.320.69%14.53%-83.26%
57
Neutral
$821.49M17.8010.29%2.71%0.37%12.99%
52
Neutral
$589.45M-48.66%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BH
Biglari Holdings
364.36
193.42
113.15%
CBRL
Cracker Barrel
36.75
-10.67
-22.50%
PZZA
Papa John's International
52.92
4.33
8.91%
WEN
Wendy's
9.02
-9.40
-51.03%
FWRG
First Watch Restaurant Group
18.00
1.47
8.89%
VENU
Venu Holding Corporation
13.34
2.54
23.52%

Biglari Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Biglari Holdings Secures $225 Million Loan for Subsidiary
Neutral
Oct 6, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Steak n Shake Inc., a subsidiary of Biglari Holdings, secured a $225 million loan with a five-year term and an 8.80% fixed interest rate, which will be amortized at 3.0% annually. On the same date, Biglari Holdings terminated a $75 million line of credit, indicating a strategic financial restructuring that could impact its liquidity and financial planning.

The most recent analyst rating on (BH) stock is a Hold with a $305.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Biglari Holdings stock, see the BH Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Biglari Holdings Reports 15% Growth in Q3 Sales
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

In a recent presentation, Steak n Shake Inc., a subsidiary of Biglari Holdings, announced a significant achievement of approximately 15% growth in same-store sales for its U.S. operations during the third fiscal quarter. This growth indicates a positive trend for the company, potentially enhancing its market position and offering promising implications for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (BH) stock is a Hold with a $305.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Biglari Holdings stock, see the BH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025