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Biglari Holdings Inc. (BH)
NYSE:BH

Biglari Holdings (BH) AI Stock Analysis

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BH

Biglari Holdings

(NYSE:BH)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$459.00
▲(6.56% Upside)
The score is driven by solid financial stability and strong cash flow generation, supported by a positive corporate update (potential additional share purchases and strong same-store sales). Offsetting these positives are stretched technical conditions (overbought RSI/Stoch) and a very high P/E multiple, which weigh on risk-adjusted attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
Sustained FCF growth near 30% TTM provides durable internal funding for operations, reinvestment, and opportunistic capital allocation. Over a multi-month horizon this enhances resilience to industry cycles and supports strategic choices without relying on external financing.
Conservative leverage and strong equity base
Low leverage and a majority-equity asset base reduce financial risk and increase capacity to absorb shocks or fund expansions. This structural balance-sheet strength supports long-term stability, preserves credit optionality and lowers refinancing pressure in the coming months.
Operational improvement at Steak 'n Shake
Double-digit same-store sales growth signals durable recovery in the core restaurant business, strengthening revenue visibility and cash conversion. Sustained SSS gains over quarters materially improve segment economics and support long-term turnaround credibility.
Negative Factors
Very low net profitability
A sub-1% net margin indicates limited ability to convert revenue into earnings, leaving operations highly sensitive to cost or commodity swings. Persistently thin margins constrain reinvestment, dividend capacity, and the buffer against future downturns over the medium term.
Minimal return on equity
ROE near zero implies the company generates almost no incremental return on shareholder capital, highlighting weak capital allocation or structural profitability issues. Over several months this limits shareholder value creation even if the balance sheet is stable.
Earnings volatility / collapsing EPS
Severe EPS decline suggests earnings are volatile or impacted by nonrecurring items, reducing forecast reliability and management credibility. This structural volatility impairs planning, weakens ability to fund growth from earnings, and magnifies downside risk over the medium term.

Biglari Holdings (BH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Biglari Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBiglari Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, primarily operates and franchises restaurants in the United States. It owns, operates, and franchises restaurants under the Steak n Shake and Western Sizzlin names. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 199 Steak n Shake company-operated restaurants, 159 franchise partner units, and 178 traditional franchise units, as well as 3 Western Sizzlin company-operated restaurants and 38 franchised units. The company also engages in underwriting commercial trucking insurance; selling physical damage and non-trucking liability insurance to truckers; and providing property and casualty insurance. In addition, it operates oil and natural gas properties in the Gulf of Mexico; and publishes and sells magazines and related publishing products under the MAXIM brand name. Further, it licenses media products and services; and engages in the investment activities. The company was formerly known as The Steak n Shake Company and changed its name to Biglari Holdings Inc. in April 2010. Biglari Holdings Inc. was founded in 1934 and is based in San Antonio, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyBiglari Holdings generates revenue primarily through its restaurant operations, with Steak 'n Shake contributing significantly to its earnings through sales of food and beverages. The company also earns money through its investment portfolio, which includes equity and other financial instruments. Key revenue streams include direct sales from franchised and company-operated restaurants, franchise fees, and investment income derived from its equity stakes in other companies. Significant partnerships, such as those with suppliers and franchisees, also play a crucial role in enhancing profitability and operational efficiency.

Biglari Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are stable with strengths in cash generation and balance sheet health. Free cash flow growth is strong (29.77% TTM) with robust cash conversion (operating cash flow to net income 6.06), and leverage is conservative (debt-to-equity 0.21; equity ratio 53.76%). The main drag is weak profitability (net margin 0.54%) and minimal ROE (0.30%) despite modest revenue growth (2.47% TTM).
Income Statement
65
Positive
Biglari Holdings shows a modest revenue growth rate of 2.47% in the TTM, indicating a positive trend after previous declines. The gross profit margin is stable at 25.51%, but the net profit margin is low at 0.54%, reflecting challenges in converting revenue into profit. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, suggesting operational efficiency but room for improvement in profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.21, indicating a conservative leverage approach. Return on equity is minimal at 0.30%, suggesting limited returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 53.76%, showing a strong equity base relative to assets, which enhances financial stability.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Biglari Holdings has achieved a significant free cash flow growth rate of 29.77% in the TTM, highlighting improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 6.06, indicating strong cash flow relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.72 suggests effective cash management despite low net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue386.51M362.11M365.32M368.23M366.11M433.68M
Gross Profit137.68M138.62M116.38M152.78M142.78M136.95M
EBITDA50.72M37.82M109.62M82.17M66.76M60.59M
Net Income2.09M-3.76M54.95M-32.02M35.48M-37.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.08B866.13M849.42M828.47M894.81M1.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments369.17M133.68M119.94M106.93M125.41M119.36M
Total Debt347.17M150.19M101.24M118.83M121.38M281.27M
Total Liabilities499.22M293.17M250.09M272.91M307.11M453.14M
Stockholders Equity580.28M572.96M599.33M546.97M587.70M564.83M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow81.14M19.07M49.60M98.08M164.22M96.85M
Operating Cash Flow107.18M49.66M73.00M127.83M228.77M117.56M
Investing Cash Flow-88.67M-87.39M-66.08M-136.60M-58.52M-129.49M
Financing Cash Flow223.34M39.48M-16.13M3.86M-156.16M-29.11M

Biglari Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price430.74
Price Trends
50DMA
342.80
Positive
100DMA
338.61
Positive
200DMA
301.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
32.71
Negative
RSI
84.20
Negative
STOCH
98.39
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 430.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 383.33, above the 50-day MA of 342.80, and above the 200-day MA of 301.93, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 32.71 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 84.20 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 98.39 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BH.

Biglari Holdings Risk Analysis

Biglari Holdings disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Biglari Holdings reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Biglari Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$1.63B9.05100.85%8.15%-0.21%0.16%
63
Neutral
$1.43B682.590.35%6.87%-95.91%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
57
Neutral
$1.24B33.434.72%-0.64%-60.71%
54
Neutral
$1.02B211.930.83%17.27%-76.53%
45
Neutral
$819.44M49.353.89%3.54%-1.61%-58.09%
43
Neutral
$378.24M-8.48-40.00%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BH
Biglari Holdings
460.20
241.86
110.77%
CBRL
Cracker Barrel
34.51
-18.96
-35.47%
PZZA
Papa John's International
36.17
1.34
3.85%
WEN
Wendy's
8.32
-5.45
-39.57%
FWRG
First Watch Restaurant Group
16.70
-1.08
-6.07%
VENU
Venu Holding Corporation
9.21
-0.32
-3.36%

Biglari Holdings Corporate Events

Stock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Biglari Holdings Considers Additional Share Purchases
Positive
Nov 21, 2025

Biglari Holdings announced that its affiliates may purchase additional shares of its Class A and/or Class B common stock. As of September 30, 2025, the company’s stock is trading below its book value, with the book value per Class A equivalent share at $2,244.26 and per Class B equivalent share at $448.85. Additionally, its subsidiary, Steak n Shake Inc., reported over 15% growth in same-store sales for its U.S. operations in the fourth quarter to date, indicating strong performance in its restaurant segment.

The most recent analyst rating on (BH) stock is a Hold with a $281.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Biglari Holdings stock, see the BH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026