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Bloomin' Brands (BLMN)
:BLMN
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Bloomin' Brands
(NASDAQ:BLMN)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▲(0.00% Upside)
Positive Factors
Revenue Performance
Bloomin' Brands' revenue, including discontinued international operations, exceeded expectations due to stronger domestic and international revenues.
Negative Factors
Earnings Guidance
The adjusted EPS outlook for Bloomin' Brands was significantly below consensus, indicating potential challenges in earnings performance.
Turnaround Strategy
There is a lack of confidence in the Outback turnaround strategy, which may require more meaningful margin investment.
Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$617.60M
Dividend Yield11.14%
Average Volume (3M)2.71M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.75
Revenue Growth-11.45%
EPS Growth-121.89%
CountryUS
Employees81,000
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength75
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.33
Shares Outstanding85,068,420
10 Day Avg. Volume4,346,704
30 Day Avg. Volume2,708,058
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.05
Price to Book (P/B)7.68
Price to Sales (P/S)0.26
P/FCF Ratio140.68
Enterprise Value/Market Cap4.64
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.69
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.02
Enterprise Value/Ebitda9.88
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$7.64Price Target Upside9.14% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering7
Bloomin' Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionBloomin' Brands, Inc. is a multi-brand restaurant company headquartered in Tampa, Florida. It operates several well-known dining establishments, including Outback Steakhouse, Carrabba's Italian Grill, Bonefish Grill, and Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar. The company focuses on providing high-quality meals in a casual dining environment, catering to a diverse customer base with a range of culinary offerings from steak and seafood to Italian cuisine.
How the Company Makes MoneyBloomin' Brands generates revenue primarily through the operation of its restaurant brands, which include company-owned locations and franchised establishments. The majority of its income comes from food and beverage sales within its restaurants. Additionally, the company benefits from franchise royalties and fees paid by franchisees, contributing to its overall revenue stream. Seasonal promotions, special menu items, and partnerships with delivery services also enhance sales. The company's strong brand recognition and focus on customer experience help drive repeat business and attract new customers, further bolstering its earnings.
Bloomin' Brands Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
| % Change Since: -21.79%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call indicated progress in some operational areas, particularly with the Aussie 3-course offering and Carrabba's performance. However, the company faces challenges with declining U.S. comparable restaurant sales, ongoing market share losses at Outback, and margin pressures from inflation and labor costs. The sentiment is shaped by a balance between strategic initiatives and operational difficulties.Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sequential Improvement in U.S. Traffic
U.S. traffic improved by 190 basis points from Q1 to Q2, showing progress in operational priorities.
Positive Comp Sales Growth at Carrabba's
Carrabba's experienced strong off-premises sales, including catering and experiential wine dinners, contributing to positive comp sales growth.
Successful Aussie 3-Course Offering
The Aussie 3-course offering at Outback contributed significantly to traffic improvement, with 2/3 of guests trading up to higher price levels.
Executive Team Expansion
New leadership additions and promotions in various departments aim to drive strategic growth and operational efficiency.
Negative Updates
Decline in U.S. Comparable Restaurant Sales
U.S. comparable restaurant sales were down 10 basis points, with traffic down 200 basis points, underperforming the casual dining industry.
Adjusted Operating Margins Decline
Q2 adjusted operating margins were 3.5%, down from 6.0% last year, due to higher COGS inflation and labor costs.
Outback Market Share Loss
Despite improvements, Outback is still losing market share as defined by Black Box due to execution challenges.
Bonefish Grill Traffic Challenges
Traffic trends at Bonefish Grill remain challenging, with risks impacting earnings forecasts.
Company Guidance
During the Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance for the fiscal year 2025. They adjusted their full-year adjusted diluted earnings per share guidance to a range of $1.00 to $1.10, citing several factors. These include a tariff impact estimated to be a negative 20 to 40 basis points on restaurant level margins, general liability insurance claim costs resulting in an additional $6 to $8 million expense, investments of approximately $3 million in the Outback turnaround initiatives, and challenges in Bonefish Grill's traffic trends. The company emphasized their commitment to reducing debt leverage to below a 3.0x lease-adjusted net leverage ratio, supported by proceeds from the Brazil transaction. Additionally, they outlined plans to continue their strategic focus on improving Outback's service model, steak quality, and value perception to drive sustainable traffic growth.Bloomin' Brands Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Bloomin' Brands faces challenges with profitability and leverage. While operational cash flow is strong, profitability issues and high debt levels pose risks. The company needs to improve profit margins and manage debt to enhance financial stability.Income Statement
The income statement reveals a mixed performance. Gross profit margins have been stable, but net profit margins are negative in recent periods, indicating challenges in turning revenues into profits. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a notable decline recently. EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, reflecting operational efficiency issues.55
Neutral
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage and potential risk. Return on equity is negative, driven by net losses, which is concerning for shareholders. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting limited financial flexibility.45
Neutral
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis indicates positive operating cash flow, but free cash flow growth has been inconsistent. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting good cash generation relative to net income, but free cash flow remains low compared to net income.60
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.18B | 3.95B | 4.67B | 4.42B | 4.12B | 3.17B |
| Gross Profit | 2.81B | 2.80B | 810.36M | 740.75M | 731.70M | 336.00M |
| EBITDA | 289.97M | 179.37M | 516.32M | 515.40M | 491.49M | 81.77M |
| Net Income | -1.99M | -128.02M | 247.39M | 101.91M | 215.56M | -158.79M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 3.31B | 3.38B | 3.42B | 3.32B | 3.29B | 3.36B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 57.69M | 70.06M | 111.52M | 84.73M | 87.58M | 109.98M |
| Total Debt | 2.19B | 2.27B | 2.09B | 1.98B | 1.97B | 2.25B |
| Total Liabilities | 2.92B | 3.25B | 3.01B | 3.05B | 3.07B | 3.35B |
| Stockholders Equity | 380.60M | 135.51M | 409.12M | 273.91M | 222.85M | 10.96M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 26.18M | 7.39M | 208.17M | 171.23M | 279.63M | 51.01M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 227.81M | 228.13M | 532.42M | 390.92M | 402.45M | 138.85M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -134.37M | -239.03M | -317.11M | -201.14M | -104.75M | -76.64M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -157.84M | -23.51M | -187.13M | -195.50M | -317.42M | -16.77M |
Bloomin' Brands Technical Analysis
Negative
7.00
Price Trends
8.84
Negative
8.26
Negative
9.96
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.67
Positive
37.63
Neutral
32.75
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BLMN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.43, below the 50-day MA of 8.84, and below the 200-day MA of 9.96, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.67 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BLMN.
Bloomin' Brands Risk Analysis
Bloomin' Brands disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bloomin' Brands reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Bloomin' Brands Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | $3.16B | 19.50 | 41.01% | 1.71% | 4.77% | 38.24% | |
71 Outperform | $7.03B | 19.02 | 186.74% | ― | 21.95% | 146.44% | |
68 Neutral | $15.30B | 26.16 | -14.74% | 1.44% | 3.65% | 5.71% | |
64 Neutral | $784.52M | 29.53 | 7.12% | ― | 4.07% | -1.24% | |
63 Neutral | $1.39B | 24.28 | 12.90% | 1.61% | 2.84% | -4.44% | |
61 Neutral | $17.23B | 11.51 | -5.97% | 3.09% | 1.47% | -15.79% | |
50 Neutral | $617.60M | ― | 24.74% | 11.14% | -11.45% | -121.89% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
BLMN
Bloomin' Brands
7.00
-9.78
-58.28%
BJRI
BJ's Restaurants
35.11
4.93
16.34%
EAT
Brinker International
158.16
90.05
132.21%
CBRL
Cracker Barrel
62.19
22.07
55.01%
DPZ
Domino's Pizza
451.26
24.83
5.82%
CAKE
Cheesecake Factory
62.99
25.26
66.95%
Bloomin' Brands Corporate Events
Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Bloomin’ Brands Announces Major Leadership Changes
Positive
Aug 4, 2025
On August 4, 2025, Bloomin’ Brands announced significant leadership changes to support its business turnaround, particularly focusing on the Outback Steakhouse brand. Eric Christel was appointed as Executive Vice President and CFO-Elect, bringing nearly two decades of financial leadership experience from companies like Campbell’s and PepsiCo. Michael Healy will transition to Executive Vice President, Strategy & Transformation, leading strategic initiatives for the company’s turnaround. Other key appointments include Jessica Mitory as Chief Human Resources Officer and Ali Charri as Senior Vice President, Guest Insights and Analytics. The company aims to enhance operational focus and drive sustainable growth through these leadership realignments.
The most recent analyst rating on (BLMN) stock is a Buy with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bloomin’ Brands stock, see the BLMN Stock Forecast page.
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.