Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $608.45M
• Dividend Yield: 9.73%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.34M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.95
• Revenue Growth: -13.07%
• EPS Growth: -1139.12%
• Country: US
• Employees: 81,000
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Restaurants
• EPS (TTM): -0.03
• Shares Outstanding: 85,217,094
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,013,737
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,338,529
• PEG Ratio: 0.05
• Price to Book (P/B): 7.68
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.26
• P/FCF Ratio: 140.68
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 4.54
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.75
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 2.54
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 10.29
• 1Y Price Target: $8.20
• Price Target Upside: 15.66% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 5
• EPS Forecast (FY): 1.11
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $3.96B

• Rating: 52 Neutral
• Price Target: $7.00 ▼(-1.27% Downside)

Bloomin' Brands' overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenue and high leverage. However, the company's strategic turnaround initiatives and strong cash flow provide a basis for cautious optimism. The high dividend yield and neutral technical indicators offer some support, but the negative P/E ratio and recent financial losses remain concerns.

Positive Factors

Turnaround Strategy

The turnaround strategy aims to drive long-term sustainable growth by enhancing operational excellence, brand relevancy, and guest experience, which could improve market position and profitability.

Improved Brand Metrics

Improved brand trust and guest scores can lead to increased customer loyalty and repeat business, supporting revenue growth and competitive advantage.

Positive Cash Flow

Strong cash flow growth enhances financial flexibility, allowing for strategic investments and debt reduction, which supports long-term stability.

Negative Factors

High Debt Levels

Significant leverage can constrain financial health, limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage economic downturns.

Declining Revenue

A declining revenue trend indicates challenges in maintaining market share and customer engagement, which can affect long-term profitability and business sustainability.

Higher Operating Costs

Rising operating costs due to inflation and supply expenses can erode profit margins, impacting the company's ability to invest in growth and maintain competitive pricing.

Bloomin' Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Bloomin' Brands, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates casual, upscale casual, and fine dining restaurants in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, U.S. and International. Its restaurant portfolio has four concepts, including Outback Steakhouse, a casual steakhouse restaurant; Carrabba's Italian Grill, a casual Italian restaurant; Bonefish Grill; and Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar, a contemporary steakhouse. As of December 26, 2021, the company owned and operated 1,013 full-service restaurants and franchised 157 restaurants across 47 states; and 156 full-service restaurants and franchised 172 restaurants across 17 countries and Guam. The company was founded in 1988 and is based in Tampa, Florida.

How the Company Makes Money

Bloomin' Brands generates revenue primarily through its restaurant operations, which include company-owned and franchised locations. The major revenue streams consist of food and beverage sales, as well as take-out and delivery services. The company also benefits from its franchising model, where franchisees pay initial franchise fees and ongoing royalties based on sales. Additionally, Bloomin' Brands engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations to enhance brand visibility and expand its customer base. Seasonal promotions and loyalty programs further contribute to its earnings by driving repeat business and attracting new customers.

Bloomin' Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Bloomin' Brands faces challenges with declining revenue and profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit margins and high leverage. While cash flow shows some improvement, the overall financial health is constrained by high debt levels and operational inefficiencies.

Income Statement

Bloomin' Brands shows a declining revenue trend with a negative revenue growth rate in the TTM period. The gross profit margin is strong at 83.47%, but the net profit margin is negative, indicating profitability issues. EBIT and EBITDA margins are low, suggesting operational challenges.

Balance Sheet

The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.43 in the TTM period, indicating significant leverage. Return on equity is negative, reflecting poor profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is low, suggesting a reliance on debt financing.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow growth is positive at 135.10% in the TTM period, showing improvement. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating potential cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, suggesting some efficiency in cash generation.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.69B	3.95B	4.17B	4.01B	4.12B	3.17B
Gross Profit	1.09B	2.80B	719.17M	674.88M	731.70M	336.00M
EBITDA	268.56M	179.37M	452.04M	330.67M	470.28M	5.18M
Net Income	-4.98M	-128.02M	247.39M	101.91M	215.56M	-158.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	3.31B	3.38B	3.42B	3.32B	3.29B	3.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	50.31M	70.06M	111.52M	84.73M	87.58M	109.98M
Total Debt	2.16B	2.27B	2.03B	2.16B	1.97B	2.45B
Total Liabilities	2.91B	3.25B	3.01B	3.05B	3.07B	3.35B
Stockholders Equity	397.24M	135.51M	409.12M	271.37M	216.46M	4.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	61.54M	7.39M	208.17M	171.23M	279.63M	51.01M
Operating Cash Flow	235.07M	228.13M	532.42M	390.92M	402.45M	138.85M
Investing Cash Flow	-109.01M	-239.03M	-317.11M	-201.14M	-104.75M	-76.64M
Financing Cash Flow	-187.12M	-23.51M	-187.13M	-195.50M	-317.42M	-16.77M

Bloomin' Brands Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 7.09
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BLMN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.73, above the 50-day MA of 7.03, and below the 200-day MA of 7.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BLMN.

Bloomin' Brands Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
BJRI	74 Outperform	$845.39M	29.94	8.44%	―	3.85%	7.57%
PBPB	68 Neutral	―	―	19.65%	―	-1.72%	-70.31%
PTLO	67 Neutral	$356.52M	12.96	5.82%	―	2.40%	-14.90%
CAKE	66 Neutral	$2.44B	14.85	39.14%	2.17%	4.90%	27.14%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
BLMN	52 Neutral	$608.45M	―	10.80%	9.73%	-13.07%	-1139.12%
VENU	41 Neutral	$382.56M	―	-40.00%	―	―	―

Bloomin' Brands Corporate Events

Bloomin’ Brands Secures Interest Rate Swap Agreements

On October 1, 2025, OSI Restaurant Partners, LLC, a subsidiary of Bloomin’ Brands, Inc., entered into eight interest rate swap agreements totaling $300 million to mitigate exposure to variable interest rate fluctuations. These swaps, effective from December 31, 2025, and March 31, 2026, are part of the company’s strategy to stabilize its financial operations by converting variable rate debt to fixed rates, potentially impacting its financial stability and stakeholder confidence.

Bloomin’ Brands EVP Departure Announced for October

Bloomin’ Brands, Inc. announced the departure of W. Michael Healy, Executive Vice President, Strategy & Transformation, effective October 13, 2025. His exit is not due to any disagreements with the company, and he will receive severance benefits as per the company’s existing policy.