Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $850.61M
• Dividend Yield: 7.8%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.36M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.80
• Revenue Growth: -9.58%
• EPS Growth: -103.87%
• Country: US
• Employees: 81,000
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 71
• Industry: Restaurants
• EPS (TTM): 0.58
• Shares Outstanding: 85,061,350
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,999,730
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,359,150
• PEG Ratio: -4.14
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.12
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 30.95
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.35
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.12
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 3.84
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 1.83
• 1Y Price Target: $8.84
• Price Target Upside: -11.60% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 9

• Rating: 60 Neutral
• Price Target: $11.00 ▲(10.00%Upside)

Bloomin' Brands' overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, with profitability and high debt levels being primary concerns. While technical indicators are currently favorable, suggesting potential short-term gains, the company's valuation is affected by net losses. Strategic initiatives to improve efficiency and customer experience are promising but face headwinds from a challenging macroeconomic environment.

Positive Factors

Revenue

Bloomin' Brands' revenue, including discontinued international operations, exceeded expectations due to stronger domestic and international revenues.

Negative Factors

Consumer Trends

Consumer preferences are becoming more selective, and Outback is not benefiting from this trend.

Earnings

BLMN expects 2025 EPS at the low end of the guidance range, and there is further risk due to potential investments, continued consumer deterioration, and tariff impacts.

Financial Strategy

The decision to suspend the dividend and use all available cash to pay off debt indicates financial strain.

Margins

Bloomin' Brands' restaurant-level margins missed expectations, reflecting challenges in managing costs.

Bloomin' Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Bloomin' Brands, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates casual, upscale casual, and fine dining restaurants in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, U.S. and International. Its restaurant portfolio has four concepts, including Outback Steakhouse, a casual steakhouse restaurant; Carrabba's Italian Grill, a casual Italian restaurant; Bonefish Grill; and Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar, a contemporary steakhouse. As of December 26, 2021, the company owned and operated 1,013 full-service restaurants and franchised 157 restaurants across 47 states; and 156 full-service restaurants and franchised 172 restaurants across 17 countries and Guam. The company was founded in 1988 and is based in Tampa, Florida.

How the Company Makes Money

Bloomin' Brands generates revenue primarily through the operation of its restaurant brands, offering a wide variety of menu items from steaks and seafood to Italian cuisine. The company's revenue model is based on dining sales, which include food and beverage purchases made by customers at their numerous restaurant locations. Additionally, Bloomin' Brands earns income through franchising, allowing third-party operators to run their branded restaurants under licensing agreements. Key revenue streams include direct restaurant sales, franchise fees, and royalty payments from franchisees. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with suppliers and marketing initiatives that enhance brand visibility and drive customer traffic to its restaurants.

Bloomin' Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Bloomin' Brands faces profitability challenges with negative net profit margins and high leverage. While operating cash flow is strong, the high debt-to-equity ratio and inconsistent revenue growth remain major concerns.

Income Statement

The income statement reveals a mixed performance. Gross profit margins have been stable, but net profit margins are negative in recent periods, indicating challenges in turning revenues into profits. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a notable decline recently. EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, reflecting operational efficiency issues.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage and potential risk. Return on equity is negative, driven by net losses, which is concerning for shareholders. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting limited financial flexibility.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis indicates positive operating cash flow, but free cash flow growth has been inconsistent. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting good cash generation relative to net income, but free cash flow remains low compared to net income.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.95B	4.67B	4.42B	4.12B	3.17B
Gross Profit	2.80B	810.36M	740.75M	731.70M	336.00M
EBITDA	179.37M	516.32M	515.40M	491.49M	81.77M
Net Income	-128.02M	247.39M	101.91M	215.56M	-158.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	3.38B	3.42B	3.32B	3.29B	3.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	70.06M	111.52M	84.73M	87.58M	109.98M
Total Debt	2.27B	2.09B	1.98B	1.97B	2.25B
Total Liabilities	3.25B	3.01B	3.05B	3.07B	3.35B
Stockholders Equity	135.51M	409.12M	273.91M	222.85M	10.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	7.39M	208.17M	171.23M	279.63M	51.01M
Operating Cash Flow	228.13M	532.42M	390.92M	402.45M	138.85M
Investing Cash Flow	-239.03M	-317.11M	-201.14M	-104.75M	-76.64M
Financing Cash Flow	-23.51M	-187.13M	-195.50M	-317.42M	-16.77M

Bloomin' Brands Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 10.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BLMN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.63, above the 50-day MA of 8.82, and below the 200-day MA of 10.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BLMN.

Bloomin' Brands Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
DPZ	74 Outperform	$16.23B	27.75	-14.74%	1.36%	3.65%	5.71%
CAKE	74 Outperform	$3.39B	21.51	46.60%	1.58%	4.42%	48.23%
CBRL	71 Outperform	$1.49B	27.89	12.90%	1.50%	2.84%	-4.44%
BJRI	66 Neutral	$899.89M	43.33	6.01%	―	2.91%	-4.86%
Sector *	64 Neutral	£1.74B	10.45	6.12%	255.82%	0.55%	-33.64%
EAT	61 Neutral	$6.77B	21.02	314.08%	―	19.80%	117.96%
BLMN	60 Neutral	$850.61M	―	25.87%	7.80%	-9.58%	-103.87%

Bloomin' Brands Corporate Events

Bloomin’ Brands Announces Workforce Reduction in Tampa

On February 20, 2025, Bloomin’ Brands announced a workforce reduction at its Tampa, Florida Restaurant Support Center, affecting approximately 100 employees or 17% of the team. This restructuring follows strategic changes, including the re-franchising of its Brazil operations in December 2024, and aims to align costs with business size and focus on growth. The company anticipates incurring $7.5 million in pre-tax costs due to severance but expects annual savings of $22 million. Executive leadership changes were also announced to support the new operational model.