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Bj's Restaurants (BJRI)
NASDAQ:BJRI
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BJ's Restaurants (BJRI) AI Stock Analysis

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BJRI

BJ's Restaurants

(NASDAQ:BJRI)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$41.00
▲(6.91% Upside)
BJ's Restaurants' overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call outcomes. The technical analysis supports a bullish outlook, though valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield slightly temper the score. The company's strategic initiatives and marketing successes are key strengths, while cost management remains a challenge.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial health and expansion potential.
Cash Flow Improvement
Improved cash flow enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and debt reduction, which are crucial for long-term business sustainability.
Debt Reduction
Reduced debt levels lower financial risk and interest expenses, allowing more resources to be allocated towards growth initiatives and operational improvements.
Negative Factors
Gross Profit Margin Decline
A declining gross profit margin suggests rising costs or pricing pressures, which could impact profitability if not managed effectively over the long term.
Check Compression Issues
Check compression can reduce revenue per customer, potentially impacting overall profitability if not offset by increased customer traffic or cost efficiencies.
Higher Medical Cost Inflation
Rising medical costs can increase operational expenses, squeezing margins and necessitating strategic cost management to maintain profitability.

BJ's Restaurants (BJRI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BJ's Restaurants Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBJ's Restaurants, Inc. owns and operates casual dining restaurants in the United States. The company's restaurants offer pizzas, craft and other beers, appetizers, entrées, pastas, sandwiches, specialty salads, and desserts. As of April 19, 2022, it operated 213 restaurants in 29 states. The company was founded in 1978 and is based in Huntington Beach, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyBJ's Restaurants generates revenue primarily through the sale of food and beverages in its restaurants. The company operates a revenue model based on both dine-in and takeout services, catering to a wide customer base. Key revenue streams include food sales, alcoholic beverages, and non-alcoholic drinks. In addition to in-store dining, BJ's has expanded its delivery and takeout services, which have become increasingly important revenue sources. The company also benefits from beer sales through its BJ's Brewhouse locations, where it produces and sells its own craft beers. Significant partnerships with delivery service providers further enhance its reach and convenience for customers. Seasonal promotions and menu innovations also play a crucial role in driving traffic and sales, contributing to overall earnings.

BJ's Restaurants Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted consistent growth in sales and traffic, improved profit margins, successful marketing strategies, and increased share repurchases. However, there were challenges related to check compression and anticipated increases in medical costs. Despite the lowlights, the achievements and positive trends significantly outweigh the challenges, indicating a strong performance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Consistent Sales and Traffic Growth
The company reported its fifth consecutive quarter of sales and traffic growth, with Q3 same-store sales growth of 0.5% and an average of 1.5% comp growth in the final two months of the quarter.
Improved Profit Margins
Q3 delivered 12.5% restaurant level operating margins and 6.4% EBITDA margins, showing an improvement of 80 and 70 basis points, respectively, year-over-year.
Successful Marketing Strategies
The marketing focus on social media and seasonal promotions resulted in a 300% increase in earned media impressions and a 350% increase in overall engagement.
Increased Share Repurchase Authorization
The company repurchased and retired 996,000 common shares for $33.2 million during Q3, with the Board authorizing an additional $75 million in share repurchases.
Negative Updates
Check Compression Issues
There was a year-over-year compression in average check driven by growth in late-night and Pizookie Meal Deal sales, which carry a lower check, and continued pressure on alcohol beverage sales.
Higher Anticipated Medical Cost Inflation
Labor and benefit expenses were flat year-over-year, largely due to accruals for higher anticipated medical cost inflation related to workers' compensation.
Company Guidance
During BJ's Restaurants' third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a 0.5% increase in same-store sales and a 1.4% rise in total sales, reaching $330 million. BJ's achieved 12.5% restaurant-level operating margins and a 6.4% EBITDA margin, representing year-over-year improvements of 80 and 70 basis points, respectively. The company highlighted strong traffic growth, with a 3.5% year-on-year increase over the last six weeks, supported by successful marketing strategies and product offerings, such as the Pizookie Meal Deal. Additionally, BJ's repurchased 996,000 shares for $33.2 million in the third quarter, updating their annual share repurchase expectations to $65 million to $80 million. Looking ahead, BJ's reiterated its full-year top-line growth guidance of approximately 2% and expressed confidence in continued performance improvement driven by strategic initiatives and new product launches.

BJ's Restaurants Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BJ's Restaurants demonstrates a solid financial performance with strong revenue growth and improved profitability. The significant reduction in debt and enhanced cash flow metrics indicate a positive financial trajectory. However, the decline in gross profit margin suggests potential cost management challenges that need to be addressed to sustain profitability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
BJ's Restaurants has shown a positive trajectory in revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 14.6%. The company has improved its profitability margins over the years, with the TTM net profit margin at 1.99% and EBIT margin at 1.89%. However, the gross profit margin has decreased from 74.17% in 2024 to 45.30% in the TTM period, indicating potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a significant reduction in debt, with the debt-to-equity ratio improving from 1.35 in 2024 to 0.16 in the TTM period. Return on equity has also improved to 7.31% in the TTM period. However, the equity ratio remains stable, indicating a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a strong improvement in free cash flow growth, with a remarkable increase of 341.33% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.66, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio has also improved, reflecting better cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.38B1.36B1.33B1.28B1.09B778.51M
Gross Profit626.82M1.01B177.79M144.76M129.63M56.42M
EBITDA99.93M86.49M86.01M64.97M58.57M-9.75M
Net Income27.51M16.69M19.66M4.08M-3.61M-57.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.03B1.04B1.22B1.21B1.04B1.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.96M26.10M29.07M24.87M38.53M51.66M
Total Debt477.66M500.61M519.50M532.71M525.26M610.48M
Total Liabilities638.67M671.05M856.87M867.84M701.39M765.64M
Stockholders Equity386.56M370.02M365.76M345.51M333.77M293.79M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow53.23M24.57M6.92M-27.48M22.10M-2.78M
Operating Cash Flow125.84M101.47M105.84M51.12M64.28M40.54M
Investing Cash Flow-72.56M-76.89M-98.91M-71.91M-42.17M-35.72M
Financing Cash Flow-43.50M-27.55M-2.73M7.13M-35.25M24.45M

BJ's Restaurants Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price38.35
Price Trends
50DMA
32.95
Positive
100DMA
34.18
Positive
200DMA
36.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.28
Negative
RSI
63.61
Neutral
STOCH
92.57
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BJRI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 38.35 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.91, above the 50-day MA of 32.95, and above the 200-day MA of 36.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.57 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BJRI.

BJ's Restaurants Risk Analysis

BJ's Restaurants disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BJ's Restaurants reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BJ's Restaurants Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$810.52M28.708.44%3.85%7.57%
68
Neutral
19.65%-1.72%-70.31%
67
Neutral
$393.46M14.435.82%2.40%-14.90%
67
Neutral
$2.38B14.4739.14%2.27%4.90%27.14%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
57
Neutral
$595.03M-0.97%18.88%79.28%
52
Neutral
$605.04M10.80%9.72%-13.07%-1139.12%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BJRI
BJ's Restaurants
38.35
1.02
2.73%
CAKE
Cheesecake Factory
47.66
-0.88
-1.81%
BLMN
Bloomin' Brands
7.10
-5.53
-43.78%
PBPB
Potbelly
17.12
6.61
62.89%
KRUS
Kura Sushi USA
49.13
-54.87
-52.76%
PTLO
Portillo's
5.22
-5.87
-52.93%

BJ's Restaurants Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
BJ’s Restaurants Appoints New CFO Todd J. Wilson
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, BJ’s Restaurants announced the appointment of Todd J. Wilson as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective December 15, 2025. Wilson, who previously served as CFO at Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, brings extensive financial leadership experience to BJ’s. His appointment is expected to strengthen BJ’s financial foundation and support its long-term strategic initiatives, enhancing shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (BJRI) stock is a Sell with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BJ’s Restaurants stock, see the BJRI Stock Forecast page.

BJ’s Restaurants’ Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Strategic Initiatives
Nov 1, 2025

BJ’s Restaurants recently held an earnings call that showcased a generally positive sentiment, highlighting consistent growth in sales and traffic, improved profit margins, and successful marketing strategies. Despite challenges such as check compression and anticipated increases in medical costs, the company’s achievements and positive trends significantly outweighed the challenges, indicating a strong performance.

BJ’s Restaurants Reports Improved Q3 2025 Results
Oct 31, 2025

BJ’s Restaurants, Inc. is a national casual dining brand known for its brewhouse roots and diverse menu offerings, including its signature deep-dish pizzas and Pizookie® dessert, operating over 200 locations across 31 states.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
BJ’s Restaurants Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

BJ’s Restaurants, Inc. reported its fiscal third quarter 2025 results, showing a 1.4% increase in total revenues to $330.2 million and a 0.5% rise in comparable restaurant sales. The company achieved a diluted net income per share of $0.02, reversing a previous loss, and enhanced its restaurant level operating profit by 8.8%. BJ’s also repurchased approximately 996,000 shares for $33.2 million, with an additional $75 million authorized for future repurchases. The company continues to focus on strategic initiatives to drive growth and improve operations, with a positive outlook for the remainder of the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (BJRI) stock is a Buy with a $44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BJ’s Restaurants stock, see the BJRI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025