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Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. (CMTG)
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Claros Mortgage Trust (CMTG) AI Stock Analysis

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CMTG

Claros Mortgage Trust

(NYSE:CMTG)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▼(-5.41% Downside)
Claros Mortgage Trust's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by declining revenue, profitability, and cash flow. While technical indicators and valuation metrics provide some positive aspects, the company's financial distress and recent losses weigh heavily on the score. The earnings call offers a mixed outlook, with strategic progress but ongoing financial challenges.
Positive Factors
Liquidity Improvement
The significant increase in liquidity enhances Claros Mortgage Trust's ability to manage debt obligations and invest in new opportunities, supporting long-term financial stability.
Strategic Loan Resolutions
Effective loan resolutions reduce risk exposure and improve asset quality, positioning the company for better financial performance and stability in the long term.
Commercial Real Estate Strategy
The successful execution of real estate strategies, such as condominiumization, demonstrates the company's ability to optimize asset value and enhance revenue streams.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
The decline in revenue and profitability indicates challenges in maintaining growth and financial health, potentially impacting long-term business sustainability.
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk and limits flexibility, potentially constraining the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities or weather economic downturns.
Negative Credit Migration
Negative credit migration reflects deteriorating asset quality, which could lead to higher default risks and increased financial strain over time.

Claros Mortgage Trust (CMTG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Claros Mortgage Trust Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionClaros Mortgage Trust, Inc. is a real estate investment trust that focuses primarily on originating senior and subordinate loans on transitional commercial real estate assets located in principal markets across the United States. The company is qualified as a real estate investment trust (REIT) under the Internal Revenue Code. As a REIT, its net income would be exempt from federal taxation to the extent that it is distributed as dividends to shareholders. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyClaros Mortgage Trust generates revenue primarily through interest income from its mortgage loans and investments in real estate-related assets. The company originates and acquires loans secured by commercial properties, earning interest over the life of the loans. Additionally, CMTG may earn fees associated with loan origination, underwriting, and servicing. Key revenue streams include interest income, asset management fees, and potential profits from the sale of loans or properties. Partnerships with commercial real estate brokers and financial institutions also enhance CMTG's deal flow and investment opportunities, contributing to its overall earnings.

Claros Mortgage Trust Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted substantial progress in loan resolutions and liquidity improvement, with successful execution of strategic priorities. However, this was offset by significant losses and negative credit migration.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Loan Resolutions
Resolved 8 loans totaling $873 million of UPB in the second quarter, including $480 million paid off by borrowers in full and $393 million of watch list loans resolved.
Increased Liquidity
Total liquidity increased to $323 million as of August 5, representing a $221 million increase compared to December 31.
Commercial Condominiumization Success
Completed the commercial condominiumization of a mixed-use building in New York City and sold 5 office floors, generating $29 million in gross proceeds.
Hotel Portfolio Performance
Successfully executed CMBS refinancing of the hotel portfolio with strong underlying asset performance and increased EBITDA by 16% compared to the previous year.
Negative Updates
GAAP Net Loss
Reported a GAAP net loss of $1.30 per share and a distributable loss of $0.77 per share for the second quarter of 2025.
Negative Credit Migration
Four loans were downgraded from a 4 to a 5 risk rating, including a $402 million loan in Southern California and two loans totaling $212 million in Dallas, Texas.
Increased CECL Reserves
Total CECL reserve on loans increased to $333 million or 6.4% of UPB at June 30 from $243 million or 4.1% of UPB at March 31.
Company Guidance
During the Claros Mortgage Trust Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance on its strategic priorities for the year. They focused on resolving watch list loans, enhancing liquidity, and redeploying capital. Significant progress was noted, with $1.9 billion of unpaid principal balance (UPB) resolved in 2025 so far, including $1.5 billion in loan resolutions and $305 million in multifamily property foreclosures. The company’s watch list decreased by $758 million of UPB, now standing at 17 loans and $2.1 billion of UPB. As of August 5, 2025, Claros reported a total liquidity of $323 million, reflecting a $221 million increase since December 31, 2024. The call also highlighted the improvement in the commercial real estate transaction environment, allowing for better outcomes in resolving loans and foreclosures. Additionally, Claros foreclosed on several multifamily assets, aligning with their strategy to reposition under-managed properties to optimize recovery values.

Claros Mortgage Trust Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Claros Mortgage Trust is facing significant financial challenges, with declining revenue, profitability, and cash flow. The high leverage and negative return on equity further exacerbate the situation. Recent performance indicates financial distress and increased risk.
Income Statement
25
Negative
Claros Mortgage Trust has experienced a significant decline in revenue and profitability. The TTM data shows a negative revenue growth rate of -13.13%, and the net profit margin has deteriorated to -5.01%. The company is facing challenges in maintaining profitability, as indicated by negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. Historically, the company had better margins, but recent performance suggests financial distress.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.29 in the TTM period, indicating significant leverage. Return on equity is negative, reflecting poor profitability. The equity ratio has decreased over time, suggesting increased financial risk. Historically, the company maintained a healthier balance sheet, but recent trends are concerning.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Claros Mortgage Trust's cash flow situation is challenging, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth of -43.38% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is very low at 0.009, indicating poor cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively stable, but overall cash flow performance is weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue142.03M170.67M129.83M270.20M248.30M273.07M
Gross Profit-276.00K64.70M80.33M185.84M205.72M226.34M
EBITDA-137.91M10.49M0.00216.24M176.90M202.41M
Net Income-417.25M-221.26M6.03M112.06M170.55M202.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.82B6.97B8.07B8.24B7.46B6.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments209.20M99.08M188.20M306.46M310.19M427.51M
Total Debt4.02B4.89B5.56B5.40B4.57B3.73B
Total Liabilities4.07B4.96B5.77B5.79B4.85B4.47B
Stockholders Equity1.76B2.01B2.30B2.46B2.57B2.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.90M83.17M109.05M108.69M202.09M140.50M
Operating Cash Flow15.87M84.52M111.14M111.03M213.56M140.50M
Investing Cash Flow1.44B779.91M-39.34M-773.30M-373.20M-208.86M
Financing Cash Flow-1.39B-945.82M-205.07M676.30M62.80M161.32M

Claros Mortgage Trust Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3.70
Price Trends
50DMA
3.42
Positive
100DMA
3.11
Positive
200DMA
3.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Positive
RSI
52.85
Neutral
STOCH
27.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMTG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.72, above the 50-day MA of 3.42, and above the 200-day MA of 3.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CMTG.

Claros Mortgage Trust Risk Analysis

Claros Mortgage Trust disclosed 94 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Claros Mortgage Trust reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Claros Mortgage Trust Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
712.03M13.9810.60%-12.51%
63
Neutral
659.29M38.51-4.45%35.74%
61
Neutral
249.70M5.8314.19%25.17%
50
Neutral
482.05M18.5620.36%1.13%
48
Neutral
262.93M-14.1816.74%-27.60%62.75%
48
Neutral
$517.34M-21.24%23.42%-65.30%-318.17%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMTG
Claros Mortgage Trust
3.70
-3.81
-50.73%
ACRE
Ares Commercial
4.78
-1.57
-24.72%
IVR
Invesco Mortgage
7.27
-0.37
-4.84%
ADAM
Adamas Trust
7.30
1.52
26.30%
TRTX
Tpg Re Finance
9.06
1.44
18.90%
NREF
NexPoint Real Estate ate Finance
14.09
0.73
5.46%

Claros Mortgage Trust Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Claros Mortgage Trust Reports Q2 2025 Net Loss
Negative
Aug 6, 2025

Claros Mortgage Trust reported a GAAP net loss of $181.7 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2025, with significant loan resolutions totaling $1.0 billion in unpaid principal balance (UPB). The company also executed a sale of office and retail space for $29 million and refinanced debt with a $235 million non-recourse loan. Despite the losses, CMTG has improved its liquidity position, doubling it since the end of 2024, and is optimistic about continuing progress in the second half of 2025.

Legal ProceedingsFinancial Disclosures
Claros Mortgage Trust Completes Texas Foreclosure
Negative
Jul 8, 2025

On July 1, 2025, Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. completed a mortgage foreclosure on two multifamily properties in Texas, which were previously collateral for a senior loan made to several unaffiliated third-party borrowers. The loan, which was on non-accrual status and risk rated 5, had a net carrying value of $118.1 million as of March 31, 2025, indicating financial challenges for the company and potential implications for its stakeholders.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Claros Mortgage Trust Modifies Repurchase Agreement
Neutral
Jun 18, 2025

On June 16, 2025, Claros Mortgage Trust‘s subsidiary, CMTG WF Finance LLC, modified its repurchase agreement with Wells Fargo Bank, National Association. The modification, effective June 13, 2025, included a reduction of the maximum facility amount to $250 million, impacting the company’s financial arrangements.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Claros Mortgage Trust Amends Repurchase Agreement with JPMorgan
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. and its subsidiary, CMTG JNP Finance LLC, entered into an Amended and Restated Uncommitted Master Repurchase Agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank. This agreement increased the maximum facility amount to $663.7 million, which could impact the company’s financial operations and market positioning.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Claros Mortgage Trust Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 5, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders via live webcast. During the meeting, stockholders elected nine directors to serve until the next annual meeting in 2026, ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, and approved the compensation of the company’s named executive officers.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 23, 2025