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Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. (CMTG)
NYSE:CMTG

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. (CMTG) AI Stock Analysis

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Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc.

(NYSE:CMTG)

Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. faces significant financial and operational challenges, reflected in its negative net income, declining profitability margins, and bearish technical indicators. While the company's debt-free balance sheet and strong cash flow management are strengths, the negative valuation metrics and high-risk corporate events pose considerable risks. The current market sentiment, as reflected in the earnings call and corporate events, suggests a cautious outlook, with plans for liquidity enhancement as potential long-term positives.
Positive Factors
Loan Resolutions
Management expects resolutions of watchlist loans will pick up substantially in the coming quarters, which could improve financial performance.
Stock Valuation
CMTG shares are trading at 0.20x book value compared to a median P/BV of 0.81x for the peer group, suggesting potential undervaluation.
Negative Factors
Dividend Suspension
The board of directors suspended paying a cash dividend, reflecting challenges in asset resolution and potential loan losses.
Financial Performance
Claros reported a third-quarter GAAP loss of $0.40 per share and a distributable loss of $0.17 per share, indicating financial struggles.
Problem Loans
Problem loans have increased, suggesting more realized losses lie ahead.

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. (CMTG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionClaros Mortgage Trust, Inc. is a real estate investment trust that focuses primarily on originating senior and subordinate loans on transitional commercial real estate assets located in principal markets across the United States. The company is qualified as a real estate investment trust (REIT) under the Internal Revenue Code. As a REIT, its net income would be exempt from federal taxation to the extent that it is distributed as dividends to shareholders. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyClaros Mortgage Trust, Inc. makes money primarily through interest income generated from its portfolio of commercial mortgage loans. The company originates and acquires senior mortgage loans, mezzanine loans, and other commercial real estate-related debt investments. Interest income from these loans is the primary revenue stream for CMTG. Additionally, the company may earn fees from loan origination and servicing, as well as potential gains from the sale of loans or securities. CMTG's earnings are influenced by factors such as interest rate fluctuations, credit performance of its borrowers, and general economic conditions impacting the commercial real estate industry.

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 11.99%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mix of positive achievements in liquidity and portfolio management against the backdrop of financial losses and market challenges. The company's strategic adjustments and collaborative lender relations are positives, but financial losses and market uncertainties weigh heavily.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Liquidity and Leverage Outcomes
CMTG fully realized five loans, receiving $607 million in proceeds, improving liquidity, reducing leverage, and resolving watch list loans.
Reduction in Hospitality and Land Exposure
Hospitality exposure reduced by $326 million and land exposure in New York City decreased through strategic transactions.
Progress on Multifamily REO Strategy
Closed a $214 million facility for financing non-performing loans through the REO stage, aligning with the strategy to optimize cash flowing assets.
Constructive Engagement with Repo Counterparties
Extended Wells Fargo and Goldman Sachs repo facilities, demonstrating constructive and collaborative relationships.
Negative Updates
Net Loss in First Quarter
Reported a GAAP net loss of $0.56 per share and a distributable loss of $0.25 per share for the first quarter of 2025.
Challenges in Real Estate Capital Markets
Heightened uncertainty and market volatility could impact real estate capital markets and timing for executing objectives.
Discounted Payoffs Impact Financial Results
Discounted payoff of a $183 million New York land loan at 90% of par impacted first quarter financial results.
Downgrade of Texas Office Loan
A Texas office loan was downgraded to a 5-risk rating, indicating increased risk within the portfolio.
Company Guidance
During the Claros Mortgage Trust First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics and strategic actions were highlighted. The company reported a GAAP net loss of $0.56 per share and a distributable loss of $0.25 per share, with distributable earnings before realized losses at $0.08 per share. The held-for-investment loan portfolio decreased to $5.9 billion from $6.1 billion in the previous quarter. Claros Mortgage Trust has successfully resolved five loans, receiving $607 million in proceeds, and reduced its hospitality exposure by $326 million. The company closed a $214 million facility to finance non-performing loans through the REO stage. During the first quarter, Claros sold a $101 million senior loan collateralized by a San Diego hotel at par, executed a discounted payoff of a $183 million New York land loan at 90% of par, and resolved additional loans totaling $314 million UPB after quarter-end. Liquidity at the end of March was $136 million, and the company is focusing on enhancing liquidity, reducing leverage, and optimizing watch list loans, with various strategies under consideration to navigate market volatility.

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. exhibits strengths in cash flow management and a debt-free balance sheet, which enhances its financial flexibility. However, the recent negative net income and declining profitability margins raise concerns about operational efficiency. The stability in equity ratio and strong cash flow to net income ratios are positive indicators, yet the volatility in revenue and profitability growth needs careful monitoring.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. shows significant fluctuations in revenue growth and profitability over the years. The most recent year reflects a sharp increase in total revenue but a substantial net loss, resulting in a negative net profit margin. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also dropped significantly compared to previous years, indicating potential operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's balance sheet indicates no total debt in the latest year, improving its financial stability. However, the return on equity is negative due to the net loss, and the equity ratio remains stable. The overall financial position is stable, but the negative net income poses risks to equity returns.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. shows a strong operating cash flow relative to net income, highlighting good cash generation capability despite reporting a net loss. Free cash flow remains positive, indicating effective cash management, but the decline in free cash flow growth compared to the previous period suggests potential challenges in maintaining cash flow momentum.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
95.85M97.78M129.83M270.20M248.30M273.07M
Gross Profit
-82.60M97.78M80.33M185.84M205.72M226.34M
EBIT
-91.48M0.00107.53M371.50M170.55M202.41M
EBITDA
-90.54M10.49M0.00216.24M176.90M202.41M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-247.09M-221.26M6.03M112.06M170.55M202.41M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
0.0099.08M187.30M7.80B310.19M427.51M
Total Assets
6.66B6.97B8.07B8.24B7.46B6.95B
Total Debt
1.64B1.70B1.87B1.70B1.25B1.57B
Net Debt
1.51B1.60B1.68B1.39B935.12M1.14B
Total Liabilities
4.72B4.96B5.77B5.79B4.85B4.33B
Stockholders Equity
1.93B2.01B2.30B2.46B2.57B2.59B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-3.33M83.17M109.05M108.69M202.09M140.50M
Operating Cash Flow
-3.16M84.52M111.14M111.03M213.56M140.50M
Investing Cash Flow
493.30M779.91M-39.34M-773.30M-373.20M-208.86M
Financing Cash Flow
-898.24M-945.82M-205.07M676.30M62.80M161.32M

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.99
Price Trends
50DMA
2.58
Positive
100DMA
2.94
Positive
200DMA
4.64
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Negative
RSI
62.74
Neutral
STOCH
79.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMTG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.66, above the 50-day MA of 2.58, and below the 200-day MA of 4.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CMTG.

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. Risk Analysis

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. disclosed 94 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$632.47M11.376.22%12.12%-13.64%
64
Neutral
$618.54M2.63%11.68%33.94%96.99%
61
Neutral
$2.83B10.720.40%6.10%5.80%-21.26%
61
Neutral
$255.79M6.3819.15%13.85%11.78%65.73%
52
Neutral
$417.98M-11.91%13.38%-45.51%-3658.39%
IVIVR
50
Neutral
$507.10M18.476.55%17.68%137.36%
48
Neutral
$270.63M-2.33%12.20%-52.08%10.36%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMTG
Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc.
2.99
-4.81
-61.67%
ACRE
Ares Commercial
4.92
-1.31
-21.03%
IVR
Invesco Mortgage
7.69
-0.08
-1.03%
NYMT
New York Mortgage
6.85
1.55
29.25%
TRTX
Tpg Re Finance
7.92
0.36
4.76%
NREF
NexPoint Real Estate ate Finance
14.44
2.76
23.63%

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Claros Mortgage Trust Faces GAAP Net Loss in Q4 2024
Negative
Feb 21, 2025

In February 2025, Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. disclosed a financial presentation indicating a challenging financial period with a GAAP net loss of $100.7 million for the fourth quarter of 2024. Despite a decrease in their outstanding financings by $244 million during the quarter, the company’s loan portfolio remains substantial at $6.1 billion, with a focus on senior and floating-rate loans. The firm has managed to deleverage its portfolio significantly since 2023, but it faces a high percentage of loans with increased risk ratings, raising concerns for stakeholders.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Claros Mortgage Trust Reports $221M Net Loss in 2024
Negative
Feb 19, 2025

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. reported significant financial changes for the quarter and year ending December 31, 2024, showing a GAAP net loss of $221.3 million for the year. Despite the challenges, the company managed to achieve a total liquidity of $102 million and received $1.3 billion in loan repayment and sale proceeds for the year, reflecting a strong asset management focus. The company successfully reduced outstanding financings by $794 million over the year, with a total deleveraging of $643 million since 2023, and aims to redeploy capital to more accretive uses moving forward.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.