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Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. (CMTG)
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Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. (CMTG) AI Stock Analysis

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CMTG

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc.

(NYSE:CMTG)

Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(0.86% Upside)
Claros Mortgage Trust's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, which poses significant risks. While there are positive technical indicators and a high dividend yield, these are overshadowed by financial distress and credit quality concerns. Strategic progress in loan resolutions and liquidity improvement provides some support, but the overall outlook remains cautious.
Positive Factors
Liquidity
CMTG made further progress on loan resolutions and boosted their liquidity position.
Loan Resolutions
Management expects resolutions of watchlist loans will pick up substantially in the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Credit Pressures
The stock is rated Underweight given their credit pressures.
Earnings
CMTG reported a loss in DEPS, which was below the estimate and consensus.
Loan Performance
Problem loans have increased, suggesting more realized losses lie ahead.

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. (CMTG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionClaros Mortgage Trust (CMTG) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on originating, acquiring, and managing a diversified portfolio of commercial mortgage loans, primarily targeting transitional assets across various sectors, including multifamily, retail, and office properties. CMTG aims to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns for its shareholders by leveraging its extensive market knowledge and relationships within the commercial real estate industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyClaros Mortgage Trust generates revenue primarily through interest income from its mortgage loans and investments in real estate-related assets. The company originates and acquires loans secured by commercial properties, earning interest over the life of the loans. Additionally, CMTG may earn fees associated with loan origination, underwriting, and servicing. Key revenue streams include interest income, asset management fees, and potential profits from the sale of loans or properties. Partnerships with commercial real estate brokers and financial institutions also enhance CMTG's deal flow and investment opportunities, contributing to its overall earnings.

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 21.33%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects significant achievements in loan resolutions, liquidity improvement, and deleveraging, demonstrating strategic progress amidst challenging market conditions. However, financial performance shows a GAAP net loss, and credit quality concerns are highlighted by negative credit migration and increased CECL reserves.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Loan Resolutions
Resolved 8 loans totaling $873 million of UPB during Q2, including 4 loans paid off in full and 4 watch list loans. Total 2025 resolutions to date amount to $1.9 billion of UPB.
Liquidity Improvement
Increased liquidity by $221 million since December 31, 2024, reaching $323 million as of August 5, 2025.
Commercial Condominiumization Success
Completed the commercial condominiumization and sale of 5 office floors in a mixed-use New York City building, generating $29 million in gross proceeds.
Strong Hotel Portfolio Performance
Executed CMBS refinancing of the hotel portfolio, achieving attractive pricing with up to 5 years of duration. The portfolio remains held for sale, generating attractive leverage yield.
Deleveraging Progress
Reduced net debt-to-equity ratio from 2.4 to 2.0x quarter-to-date in Q3, reflecting effective deleveraging efforts.
Negative Updates
GAAP Net Loss
Reported a GAAP net loss of $1.30 per share and a distributable loss of $0.77 per share for Q2 2025.
Negative Credit Migration
Experienced negative credit migration with 4 loans downgraded from a 4 risk rating to a 5 risk rating during the quarter.
CECL Reserve Increase
Total CECL reserve on loans increased to $333 million or 6.4% of UPB, compared to $243 million or 4.1% of UPB at March 31, reflecting a more conservative outlook.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Claros Mortgage Trust (CMTG) made substantial progress in addressing its strategic priorities. The company resolved a total of 8 loans, amounting to $873 million in unpaid principal balance (UPB), including 4 loans paid in full by borrowers and 4 watch list loans. An additional 2 watch list loans secured by multifamily assets, totaling $147 million in UPB, were also resolved. In the third quarter, CMTG continued this momentum by resolving 3 more watch list loans totaling $548 million in UPB. Overall, 2025 resolutions totaled $1.9 billion in UPB, comprising $1.5 billion in loan resolutions and $305 million in multifamily property foreclosures. As a result of these efforts, CMTG reduced its watch list to 17 loans with $2.1 billion in UPB, achieving a net decline of $758 million in UPB and 7 loans from the first quarter, and enhancing its liquidity position to $323 million as of August 5, reflecting a $221 million increase since December 31.

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. exhibits strengths in cash flow management and a debt-free balance sheet, which enhances its financial flexibility. However, the recent negative net income and declining profitability margins raise concerns about operational efficiency. The stability in equity ratio and strong cash flow to net income ratios are positive indicators, yet the volatility in revenue and profitability growth needs careful monitoring.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. shows significant fluctuations in revenue growth and profitability over the years. The most recent year reflects a sharp increase in total revenue but a substantial net loss, resulting in a negative net profit margin. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also dropped significantly compared to previous years, indicating potential operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's balance sheet indicates no total debt in the latest year, improving its financial stability. However, the return on equity is negative due to the net loss, and the equity ratio remains stable. The overall financial position is stable, but the negative net income poses risks to equity returns.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. shows a strong operating cash flow relative to net income, highlighting good cash generation capability despite reporting a net loss. Free cash flow remains positive, indicating effective cash management, but the decline in free cash flow growth compared to the previous period suggests potential challenges in maintaining cash flow momentum.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue83.26M170.67M129.83M270.20M248.30M273.07M
Gross Profit6.52M64.70M80.33M185.84M205.72M226.34M
EBITDA-137.91M10.49M0.00216.24M176.90M202.41M
Net Income-417.25M-221.26M6.03M112.06M170.55M202.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.82B6.97B8.07B8.24B7.46B6.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments209.20M99.08M188.20M306.46M310.19M427.51M
Total Debt4.02B4.89B5.56B5.40B4.57B3.73B
Total Liabilities4.07B4.96B5.77B5.79B4.85B4.47B
Stockholders Equity1.76B2.01B2.30B2.46B2.57B2.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.90M83.17M109.05M108.69M202.09M140.50M
Operating Cash Flow15.87M84.52M111.14M111.03M213.56M140.50M
Investing Cash Flow1.44B779.91M-39.34M-773.30M-373.20M-208.86M
Financing Cash Flow-1.39B-945.82M-205.07M676.30M62.80M161.32M

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.47
Price Trends
50DMA
3.08
Positive
100DMA
2.90
Positive
200DMA
3.77
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Negative
RSI
61.70
Neutral
STOCH
90.64
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMTG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.14, above the 50-day MA of 3.08, and below the 200-day MA of 3.77, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.64 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CMTG.

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. Risk Analysis

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. disclosed 94 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$712.03M14.005.87%10.60%-12.51%
61
Neutral
$256.26M5.8921.74%13.83%25.17%
57
Neutral
$616.84M35.994.42%11.71%35.74%
53
Neutral
$1.24B2.72-2.60%5.66%-2.15%-149.23%
50
Neutral
$510.57M19.555.53%19.22%1.13%
48
Neutral
$248.62M-3.30%17.70%-27.60%62.75%
48
Neutral
$485.18M-21.24%24.50%-65.30%-318.17%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMTG
Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc.
3.47
-4.39
-55.85%
ACRE
Ares Commercial
4.52
-1.42
-23.91%
IVR
Invesco Mortgage
7.70
0.51
7.09%
NYMT
New York Mortgage
6.83
1.20
21.31%
TRTX
Tpg Re Finance
9.06
1.53
20.32%
NREF
NexPoint Real Estate ate Finance
14.46
0.87
6.40%

Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Claros Mortgage Trust Reports Q2 2025 Net Loss
Negative
Aug 6, 2025

Claros Mortgage Trust reported a GAAP net loss of $181.7 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2025, with significant loan resolutions totaling $1.0 billion in unpaid principal balance (UPB). The company also executed a sale of office and retail space for $29 million and refinanced debt with a $235 million non-recourse loan. Despite the losses, CMTG has improved its liquidity position, doubling it since the end of 2024, and is optimistic about continuing progress in the second half of 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMTG) stock is a Hold with a $6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Claros Mortgage Trust stock, see the CMTG Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsFinancial Disclosures
Claros Mortgage Trust Completes Texas Foreclosure
Negative
Jul 8, 2025

On July 1, 2025, Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. completed a mortgage foreclosure on two multifamily properties in Texas, which were previously collateral for a senior loan made to several unaffiliated third-party borrowers. The loan, which was on non-accrual status and risk rated 5, had a net carrying value of $118.1 million as of March 31, 2025, indicating financial challenges for the company and potential implications for its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMTG) stock is a Hold with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Claros Mortgage Trust stock, see the CMTG Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Claros Mortgage Trust Modifies Repurchase Agreement
Neutral
Jun 18, 2025

On June 16, 2025, Claros Mortgage Trust‘s subsidiary, CMTG WF Finance LLC, modified its repurchase agreement with Wells Fargo Bank, National Association. The modification, effective June 13, 2025, included a reduction of the maximum facility amount to $250 million, impacting the company’s financial arrangements.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMTG) stock is a Hold with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Claros Mortgage Trust stock, see the CMTG Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Claros Mortgage Trust Amends Repurchase Agreement with JPMorgan
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. and its subsidiary, CMTG JNP Finance LLC, entered into an Amended and Restated Uncommitted Master Repurchase Agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank. This agreement increased the maximum facility amount to $663.7 million, which could impact the company’s financial operations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMTG) stock is a Hold with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Claros Mortgage Trust stock, see the CMTG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Claros Mortgage Trust Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 5, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders via live webcast. During the meeting, stockholders elected nine directors to serve until the next annual meeting in 2026, ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, and approved the compensation of the company’s named executive officers.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMTG) stock is a Sell with a $2.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Claros Mortgage Trust stock, see the CMTG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Claros Mortgage Trust Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Negative
May 20, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Claros Mortgage Trust released a presentation detailing its financial performance and operations for the first quarter of 2025. The company reported a GAAP net loss of $78.6 million and a distributable loss of $35.7 million, with a book value of $13.60 per share. The loan portfolio, valued at $5.9 billion, is largely composed of floating-rate and senior loans. Despite financial losses, the company managed to secure $437 million in loan repayments and sale proceeds after the quarter ended, indicating active portfolio management. The company’s liquidity increased to $261 million by May 6, 2025, reflecting strategic deleveraging efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMTG) stock is a Hold with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Claros Mortgage Trust stock, see the CMTG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025