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CLP Holdings Ltd (CLPHY)
OTHER OTC:CLPHY

CLP Holdings (CLPHY) AI Stock Analysis

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CLPHY

CLP Holdings

(OTC:CLPHY)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$10.50
▲(15.38% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/21/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial resilience (profitability recovery, manageable leverage, positive operating cash flow) and supportive income/valuation (mid-teens P/E and ~4% yield). The rating is tempered by uneven revenue/margins and mixed earnings-call takeaways, including declining reported earnings and operational headwinds in China and EnergyAustralia, while technicals remain mostly neutral.
Positive Factors
Regulated Hong Kong operations & reliability
CLP's Hong Kong regulated business delivers predictable cashflow and resilience: higher core earnings, completed smart meter rollout, and strong supply reliability reduce operational risk, support regulatory relations and allowed returns, and underpin stable long‑term earnings from the core franchise.
Negative Factors
Mainland curtailment & tariff pressure
Sustained curtailment and weaker market/tariff dynamics in the Mainland reduce utilization and cash returns for renewable and nuclear assets. Structural grid constraints and tariff uncertainty impair revenue predictability and can compress long‑term project economics in that geography.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Regulated Hong Kong operations & reliability
CLP's Hong Kong regulated business delivers predictable cashflow and resilience: higher core earnings, completed smart meter rollout, and strong supply reliability reduce operational risk, support regulatory relations and allowed returns, and underpin stable long‑term earnings from the core franchise.
Read all positive factors

CLP Holdings (CLPHY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CLP Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
CLP Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity in Hong Kong, Mainland China, India, Southeast Asia, Taiwan, and Australia. The company generates electricity through coa...
How the Company Makes Money
CLP Holdings primarily makes money by producing and delivering electricity to customers and by earning returns from regulated utility operations and power generation investments. 1) Regulated electricity supply and network revenue (core): In its ...

CLP Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture: core Hong Kong operations and group cash generation remain strong (stable EBITDAF, higher Hong Kong earnings, completed smart meter rollout, dividend increase, and solid liquidity), and CLP made tangible progress on low‑carbon projects and partnerships. Offsetting these positives were meaningful headwinds in the Chinese Mainland (lower renewables output and curtailment, nuclear tariff pressures, impairments), a weak EnergyAustralia retail performance and one‑off transformation and tax hits, and a reported ~11% decline in total/adjusted earnings. Execution of disciplined capital allocation, successful mechanism tariff wins in China, and partnership financing approaches were emphasized as mitigants.
Positive Updates
Stable Group EBITDAF and Operating Resilience
EBITDAF was stable year‑on‑year at HKD 25.7 billion, and operating earnings before fair value movements declined only marginally (~2%) to ~HKD 10.7 billion, reflecting resilience in core operations despite market headwinds.
Negative Updates
Reported Earnings Decline
Reported total earnings/adjusted total earnings declined ~11% year‑on‑year (management highlighted an ~11% fall in total/adjusted earnings), reflecting weaker market conditions and one‑off comparability items.
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Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Stable Group EBITDAF and Operating Resilience
EBITDAF was stable year‑on‑year at HKD 25.7 billion, and operating earnings before fair value movements declined only marginally (~2%) to ~HKD 10.7 billion, reflecting resilience in core operations despite market headwinds.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided a disciplined, value‑over‑volume approach focused on stable dividends, self‑funded growth and protecting the investment‑grade balance sheet: group EBITDAF was stable at HKD 25.7 billion and operating earnings before fair‑value movements were ~HKD 10.6–10.7 billion (down ~2%) with adjusted total earnings down ~11% (~HKD 10.5–11.5 billion), free cash flow up HKD 1.6 billion to HKD 22.6 billion and available liquidity of ~HKD 29 billion; the Board recommended total dividends of HKD 3.20/share (up 1.6%). Capital discipline was reiterated — capital investment declined ~13% to HKD 16.4 billion (cash capex ~HKD 14.6 billion, of which ~HKD 11.2 billion was Hong Kong SoC and ~HKD 3.4 billion for China renewables/Wooreen) and annual SoC capex targeted around HKD 10–11 billion. Growth targets and timetables were reaffirmed and tightened: China renewables target trimmed from 6 GW to 5 GW by 2030 (0.5 GW added in 2025, ~1 GW secured under mechanism tariffs with 10–12 year tenors and plans for onshore Panda bonds/clean‑energy fund), India’s Apraava is targeting ~1 GW p.a. to reach ~9 GW by 2030 (Jhajjar sale proceeds to be distributed in 2026–27), and EnergyAustralia is prioritizing >1 GW (and up to ~3 GW by 2030) of new flexible capacity (Wooreen on track for 2027) while executing enterprise transformation through 2028 and using partnerships/project finance to meet return hurdles.

CLP Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are solid for a utility: profitability recovered after 2022 and leverage looks manageable with relatively stable equity. Offsets include volatile revenue trends, a 2025 gross margin step-down, and choppy free cash flow history with some unclear recent cash-conversion fields.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue87.87B90.96B87.17B100.66B83.96B
Gross Profit13.31B29.33B28.53B18.86B26.63B
EBITDA23.01B26.76B21.07B12.18B22.13B
Net Income10.65B11.88B6.79B1.06B8.63B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets238.62B233.71B229.05B236.03B239.81B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.93B4.98B5.19B11.56B11.95B
Total Debt65.86B65.30B57.72B59.45B58.43B
Total Liabilities125.08B123.59B116.67B120.33B113.10B
Stockholders Equity107.60B104.06B106.22B109.39B116.92B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.62B6.84B10.39B-2.90B4.50B
Operating Cash Flow24.38B23.14B23.57B12.73B18.08B
Investing Cash Flow-14.33B-16.22B-9.47B-15.38B-11.82B
Financing Cash Flow-11.22B-7.04B-13.14B-987.00M-8.48B

CLP Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.10
Price Trends
50DMA
9.42
Positive
100DMA
9.07
Positive
200DMA
8.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
56.38
Neutral
STOCH
90.64
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CLPHY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.36, below the 50-day MA of 9.42, and above the 200-day MA of 8.64, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.64 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CLPHY.

CLP Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$24.02B16.649.82%4.16%2.41%51.83%
67
Neutral
$29.03B21.958.16%3.13%8.42%32.48%
66
Neutral
$24.08B19.6312.33%3.10%10.96%-0.77%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
64
Neutral
$29.65B25.338.04%3.94%7.64%48.61%
61
Neutral
$30.76B18.2612.16%3.45%19.42%-9.68%
56
Neutral
$26.09B14.7510.71%4.54%13.12%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CLPHY
CLP Holdings
9.51
1.64
20.82%
CMS
CMS Energy
78.58
9.72
14.12%
DTE
DTE Energy
148.04
24.23
19.58%
FE
FirstEnergy
51.31
14.12
37.95%
ES
Eversource Energy
69.47
16.37
30.83%
PPL
PPL
38.64
6.15
18.94%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 21, 2026