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Chagee Holdings Limited Unsponsored ADR (CHA)
NASDAQ:CHA
US Market
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Chagee Holdings Limited Unsponsored ADR (CHA) AI Stock Analysis

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CHA

Chagee Holdings Limited Unsponsored ADR

(NASDAQ:CHA)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▼(-17.81% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/03/26
The score is primarily held back by weakening 2025 fundamentals (revenue decline, margin compression, and lower free cash flow) and a cautious recovery outlook from management. These risks are partially offset by a strengthened balance sheet with low leverage, improving near-term technical setup, and supportive valuation with a low P/E and high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Large store base and expansion
A 7,453-location network and 15.7% annual expansion create durable distribution scale, enabling unit-economy optimization, national brand presence and faster rollout of new formats or franchise revenue-sharing. Scale supports margin recovery and competitive barriers over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Sharp same-store sales decline
A 25.5% Q4 same-store sales drop signals meaningful demand erosion at the unit level, undermining store-level economics and long-term cash generation. Sustained traffic weakness can delay payback on new stores, reduce operating leverage and force trade-offs between price, promotions and margin recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Large store base and expansion
A 7,453-location network and 15.7% annual expansion create durable distribution scale, enabling unit-economy optimization, national brand presence and faster rollout of new formats or franchise revenue-sharing. Scale supports margin recovery and competitive barriers over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Chagee Holdings Limited Unsponsored ADR (CHA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Chagee Holdings Limited Unsponsored ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Chagee Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, owns, operates, and franchises teahouses under the CHAGEE brand name in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company engages in sale of tea drinks and related raw materials, pac...

Chagee Holdings Limited Unsponsored ADR Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Multi-year turnaround remains intact (profitable since 2023 and balance sheet repaired with low leverage), but 2025 weakened: revenue declined (~-5%), margins compressed materially (net margin ~20% to ~9%), and free cash flow fell sharply with reduced confidence in latest cash conversion.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
BreakdownMar 2026Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.56B12.41B4.64B491.65M
Gross Profit5.76B5.68B1.97B133.07M
EBITDA1.31B2.95B1.08B-110.93M
Net Income1.14B2.52B800.90M-90.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.47B6.60B2.94B393.96M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.00B4.85B2.42B200.75M
Total Debt1.28B548.06M108.84M63.45M
Total Liabilities3.89B3.84B2.53B701.31M
Stockholders Equity7.35B2.65B408.81M-307.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.19B2.60B1.90B32.30M
Operating Cash Flow1.64B2.84B1.93B43.03M
Investing Cash Flow-825.02M-229.48M-146.71M-10.98M
Financing Cash Flow2.05B-173.93M344.20M-33.00K

Chagee Holdings Limited Unsponsored ADR Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$3.81B22.4525.43%23.05%36.53%
69
Neutral
$3.19B19.3535.99%1.01%1.21%
66
Neutral
$2.09B11.6030.85%4.09%-34.00%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
$8.67B99.614.66%85.54%-46.89%
46
Neutral
$97.63M-15.19-19.06%4.01%55.00%
42
Neutral
$344.72M-6.59-241.39%8.84%10.68%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CHA
Chagee Holdings Limited Unsponsored ADR
10.96
-22.05
-66.80%
FIZZ
National Beverage
34.11
-9.69
-22.12%
CELH
Celsius Holdings
33.73
-0.16
-0.47%
OTLY
Oatly Group
11.04
0.32
2.99%
ZVIA
Zevia PBC
1.30
-0.79
-37.80%
COCO
Vita Coco Company
66.75
31.94
91.76%

Chagee Holdings Limited Unsponsored ADR Corporate Events

Chagee Posts Lower 2025 Profit as Restructuring and Overseas Expansion Weigh on Margins
Mar 31, 2026
On March 31, 2026, Shanghai-based Chagee reported unaudited results for the fourth quarter and full year ended Dec. 31, 2025, highlighting a teahouse network of 7,453 locations, up 15.7% year over year. Total 2025 GMV rose 7.2% to RMB31.58 billion...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 03, 2026