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Cardlytics Inc (CDLX)
NASDAQ:CDLX

Cardlytics (CDLX) AI Stock Analysis

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CDLX

Cardlytics

(NASDAQ:CDLX)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$0.98
▲(1.44% Upside)
CDLX scores low primarily due to weak financial performance (declining revenue, very large losses, high leverage and negative equity) and bearish technicals (below all major moving averages with negative MACD). The earnings call provides some offset via positive adjusted EBITDA, margin strength and major cost reductions, but near-term fundamentals remain pressured by partner-driven content restrictions and sharp billings/revenue declines.
Positive Factors
High contribution margin
A 57.7% adjusted contribution margin indicates the core platform delivers strong economics per sale, providing a durable profit buffer as the company scales. High contribution margins allow fixed-cost absorption, improving leverage to revenue recovery and supporting sustainable unit economics.
Cost restructuring and positive EBITDA
Achieving positive adjusted EBITDA alongside announced $26M annualized savings from a 30% workforce reduction strengthens cash flow prospects and extends runway. Structural cost discipline can accelerate path to profitability and free up resources for product investment or partner diversification.
Growing platform reach and partnerships
21% MQU growth to 230.3M and new CRP partners expand the addressable audience and advertiser inventory. Greater reach and partner diversification enhance network effects, improving product attractiveness to brands and reducing single-market reliance over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Partner concentration and content restrictions
Reliance on a major FI partner whose content restrictions block roughly one-third of billings is a structural revenue risk. Persistent limitations on offers reduce monetization per user, constrain ACPU, and force prolonged remediation or heavy re‑engineering of go‑to‑market and product strategy.
Declining top-line trends
Material year-over-year declines in billings and revenue signal weakening demand and monetizeability of the platform. Sustained top-line contraction hampers scale benefits, pressures margins and cash flows, and lengthens the timeline to rebuild advertiser confidence and long-term growth.
Weak balance sheet and high leverage
High leverage and negative equity indicate solvency and refinancing risk, limiting strategic flexibility. Elevated debt burdens increase fixed obligations, reduce tolerance for cyclical revenue dips, and can impede investment in product development or sales necessary to restore durable growth.

Cardlytics (CDLX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cardlytics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCardlytics, Inc. operates an advertising platform in the United States and the United Kingdom. It offers Cardlytics platform, a proprietary native bank advertising channel that enables marketers to reach customers through their network of financial institution partners through digital channels, such as online, mobile applications, email, and various real-time notifications; and Bridg platform, a customer data platform which utilizes point-of-sale data and enables marketers to perform analytics and targeted loyalty marketing, as well as measure the impact of their marketing. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyCardlytics generates revenue primarily through its advertising services, which are based on a performance model. The company's key revenue streams include fees from brands and advertisers for placing offers and promotions within its network. Additionally, Cardlytics earns revenue by charging financial institutions for the integration and use of its platform, allowing these institutions to enhance their customer engagement efforts. Strategic partnerships with major banks and financial service providers are crucial to its business model, as they facilitate access to a large pool of consumer transaction data, which in turn enhances the effectiveness of targeted advertising campaigns. The company's ability to analyze this data and deliver measurable results for advertisers is a significant contributor to its revenue growth.

Cardlytics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant growth opportunities through new CRP partnerships and strong performance in the UK market, alongside strategic cost reductions leading to improved adjusted EBITDA. However, challenges with content restrictions and a major decline in billings and revenue present notable headwinds.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Expansion of CRP Partnerships
Cardlytics signed 3 new CRP partners, including OpenTable, which represents a significant growth opportunity by meeting more consumers where they are and unlocking new advertiser verticals.
UK Revenue Growth
The UK business showed a strong performance with a 22% year-over-year revenue growth, driven by higher billings and an increase in supply.
Improved Adjusted EBITDA
Despite top line challenges, Cardlytics achieved a positive adjusted EBITDA of $3.2 million, an increase of $5.0 million compared to the previous year.
High Adjusted Contribution Margin
Adjusted contribution margin reached 57.7%, the highest experienced to date, driven by a favorable partner mix and improved economics with new FI partners.
Strategic Cost Reductions
Cardlytics executed significant cost reductions, including a 30% workforce reduction, resulting in annualized cash savings of $26 million.
Negative Updates
Significant Decrease in Billings
Total billings decreased by 20.3% to $89.2 million due to content restrictions imposed by a major FI partner.
Revenue Decline
Revenue decreased by 22.4% to $52.0 million, primarily driven by a decrease in billings.
Challenges with Largest FI Partner
Content restrictions by the largest FI partner impacted the company's ability to sell larger budgets, with about 1/3 of total billings set to be blocked.
ACPU Decline
ACPU decreased by 31% year-over-year as a result of content restrictions and ramping of new FI partners.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 earnings call, Cardlytics provided guidance indicating several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported a 20.3% decrease in total billings to $89.2 million compared to the previous year, with a revenue decrease of 22.4% to $52.0 million, largely due to content restrictions from its largest financial institution (FI) partner. Despite these challenges, Cardlytics maintained a positive adjusted EBITDA of $3.2 million. The company saw a 21% increase in monthly qualified users (MQUs) to 230.3 million, driven by new FI partners, although the average consumer price unit (ACPU) dropped by 31% to $0.11. Looking ahead to Q4 2025, Cardlytics expects billings between $86 million and $96 million and adjusted EBITDA ranging from $0.9 million to $7.9 million. The company highlighted its focus on diversifying its supply and increasing engagement, with strategic partnerships such as the addition of OpenTable to its Cardlytics Rewards Platform (CRP), and efforts to improve advertiser demand through pilot programs with iconic brands. Additionally, Cardlytics is undertaking cost-saving measures, including a 30% workforce reduction, expected to yield $26 million in annualized savings. The company's outlook for 2026 emphasizes solidifying its foundation and growing its commerce media platform, with an aim to return to growth and profitability by leveraging new and existing partnerships.

Cardlytics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are weak: declining TTM revenue growth (-5.65%), very large losses (net margin -68.87%) and negative EBIT/EBITDA margins. The balance sheet adds significant risk with high leverage (debt-to-equity 3.75) and negative equity, while cash generation is also deteriorating (TTM free cash flow growth -52.11%), despite some relative efficiency versus net income.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Cardlytics has experienced declining revenue growth with a negative rate of -5.65% in the TTM period. The company also faces significant profitability challenges, with a negative net profit margin of -68.87% and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. Despite a relatively stable gross profit margin, the overall income statement reflects financial instability and declining performance.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet shows a concerning debt-to-equity ratio of 3.75, indicating high leverage. The negative stockholders' equity and return on equity of -279.38% highlight significant financial distress. The equity ratio is also negative, suggesting potential solvency issues. Overall, the balance sheet reflects high financial risk and instability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cardlytics' cash flow statement reveals a negative free cash flow growth rate of -52.11% in the TTM period, indicating declining cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively high, suggesting some efficiency in converting net income to free cash flow despite overall negative cash flow figures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue251.18M278.30M309.20M298.54M267.12M186.89M
Gross Profit111.46M120.89M130.38M112.63M103.34M63.27M
EBITDA-73.98M-152.53M-99.00M-420.41M-88.21M-40.78M
Net Income-110.83M-189.30M-134.70M-465.26M-128.56M-55.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets292.81M392.71M574.14M691.24M1.26B422.54M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments43.96M65.59M91.83M121.91M233.47M293.24M
Total Debt221.43M221.65M266.11M235.26M197.23M188.11M
Total Liabilities297.51M322.72M439.35M479.63M573.10M265.35M
Stockholders Equity-4.70M69.99M134.80M211.60M690.70M157.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.64M-28.12M-12.58M-67.39M-51.09M-17.71M
Operating Cash Flow-741.00K-8.82M-185.00K-53.90M-38.52M-7.60M
Investing Cash Flow-17.11M-18.75M-10.06M-15.76M-506.69M-10.12M
Financing Cash Flow-5.31M1.44M-20.03M-39.99M486.00M206.43M

Cardlytics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.97
Price Trends
50DMA
1.17
Negative
100DMA
1.54
Negative
200DMA
1.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Positive
RSI
35.32
Neutral
STOCH
13.56
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CDLX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.97 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.21, below the 50-day MA of 1.17, and below the 200-day MA of 1.61, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.56 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CDLX.

Cardlytics Risk Analysis

Cardlytics disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cardlytics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cardlytics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.01B6.4415.37%0.32%69.78%
69
Neutral
$1.51B15.476.26%5.70%97.88%
66
Neutral
$754.23M73.834.55%43.12%
62
Neutral
$996.95M233.331.21%1.29%11.18%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
41
Neutral
$52.35M-0.46-341.04%-14.41%65.67%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CDLX
Cardlytics
0.97
-1.95
-66.85%
ZD
Ziff Davis
38.22
-14.30
-27.23%
QNST
Quinstreet
13.29
-10.42
-43.95%
CRTO
Criteo SA
19.17
-18.49
-49.10%
EEX
Emerald Expositions Events
5.04
0.57
12.75%

Cardlytics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Cardlytics to Sell Bridg Platform Assets to PAR
Neutral
Jan 26, 2026

On January 23, 2026, Cardlytics, Inc. agreed to sell all assets, properties and rights primarily related to its Bridg platform to DB Sub, LLC, an indirectly wholly owned subsidiary of PAR Technology Corporation, in a transaction structured as an asset sale with certain specified liabilities assumed by the buyer. As consideration, Cardlytics will receive PAR common stock valued at between $27.5 million and up to $30 million, subject to adjustments for new customer contracts and certain revenue-related closing adjustments, with PAR committing to register the resale of those shares and Cardlytics agreeing to five-year non-compete and non-solicitation covenants on the sold business; the deal, already approved by Cardlytics’ board, remains contingent on customary closing conditions, the absence of material adverse effects, and completion by March 24, 2026, unless extended or terminated under the agreement.

The most recent analyst rating on (CDLX) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cardlytics stock, see the CDLX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Cardlytics Reappoints David Evans as Chief Financial Officer
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

On December 18, 2025, Cardlytics announced that company alumnus David Evans will return as Chief Financial Officer, principal financial officer, and principal accounting officer effective January 12, 2026, succeeding outgoing CFO Alexis DeSieno, who will remain in a non-officer advisory role through March 6, 2026 to ensure a smooth transition. Evans, who previously helped steer Cardlytics through its early growth and 2018 IPO and later served as CEO of Passport Labs and an advisor and board member to several technology firms, will oversee finance, accounting and investor relations as the company navigates a self-described critical stage of its turnaround, with a compensation package that includes a $400,000 base salary, a target bonus equal to his salary, a 1,000,000-unit RSU inducement grant with staged vesting, a $200,000 signing bonus subject to clawback if he departs within 12 months, and severance protections that underscore the board’s bid to secure experienced financial leadership and signal continuity and renewed discipline to investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CDLX) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cardlytics stock, see the CDLX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Cardlytics CFO Alexis DeSieno Announces Resignation
Neutral
Dec 5, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Cardlytics announced that its Chief Financial Officer, Alexis DeSieno, plans to resign by March 6, 2026, or upon the appointment of her successor. Her resignation is not due to any disagreements with the company, and she will continue in an advisory role until her departure. The company has expressed gratitude for her contributions, particularly in improving the balance sheet and optimizing the cost structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (CDLX) stock is a Sell with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cardlytics stock, see the CDLX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026