Emerald Expositions Events Inc (EEX)
NYSE:EEX
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Emerald Expositions Events
(NYSE:EEX)
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Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▼(-0.88% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/01/26
The score is primarily supported by strong cash generation and a positive forward outlook from management’s 2026 guidance and contracted revenue visibility. This is tempered by weak/negative GAAP profitability and a leveraged balance sheet, while technical signals are neutral and valuation support is limited due to the negative P/E and modest dividend.
Positive Factors
Cash generation and FCF outlook
Reliable operating and free cash flow growth demonstrates strong cash conversion from events and services. Management's $85–$90M 2026 FCF target implies high incremental flow‑through from EBITDA, enabling durable debt paydown, reinvestment, and disciplined capital allocation over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Rising leverage increases sensitivity to cyclical attendance and exhibitor spending. With net debt/EBITDA near covenant targets, the company is more exposed to earnings volatility and refinancing risk, which can constrain strategic flexibility and lengthen the path to durable deleveraging if margins slip.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation and FCF outlook
Reliable operating and free cash flow growth demonstrates strong cash conversion from events and services. Management's $85–$90M 2026 FCF target implies high incremental flow‑through from EBITDA, enabling durable debt paydown, reinvestment, and disciplined capital allocation over the medium term.
Read all positive factors
Emerald Expositions Events (EEX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$910.38M
Dividend Yield1.29%
Average Volume (3M)107.72K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.65
Revenue Growth11.18%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees697
SectorCommunication Services
Sector Strength97
IndustryAdvertising Agencies
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.13
Shares Outstanding197,908,780
10 Day Avg. Volume229,492
30 Day Avg. Volume107,722
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.23
Price to Book (P/B)2.62
Price to Sales (P/S)1.92
P/FCF Ratio21.46
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.55
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.05
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit5.37
Enterprise Value/Ebitda14.37
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$7.85Price Target Upside72.91% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)0.18
Revenue Forecast (FY)$493.70M
Emerald Expositions Events Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Emerald Holding, Inc. operates business-to-business (B2B) trade shows in the United States. The company operates trade shows in various industry sectors, including retail, design and construction, technology, equipment, and safety and security. It...
How the Company Makes Money
Emerald Expositions Events (EEX) primarily generates revenue by producing B2B trade shows and conferences and monetizing the participation of exhibitors and attendees. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Exhibitor revenue: fees paid by comp...
Emerald Expositions Events Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Emerald Expositions Events Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Mar 13, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a generally positive operational and financial trajectory: strong full-year revenue (+16.2%) and adjusted EBITDA (+25%), clear portfolio repositioning via targeted acquisitions, solid liquidity and leverage below target, affirmative 2026 guidance, and promising automation/AI initiatives. Near-term concerns include a sharp increase in SG&A driven by contingent consideration and integration/transaction costs, lower reported free cash flow affected by acquisition timing and refinancing fees, and a content segment that remains weak. Management provided visibility into 2026 (high percent of revenue contracted) and expects materially higher free cash flow next year, which, together with deleveraging and continued M&A discipline, supports confidence in the outlook.Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Full year 2025 revenue of $463.4M, up 16.2% year-over-year; Q4 2025 revenue $132.7M versus $106.8M in prior year quarter. Reported organic revenue +1.1% for FY2025 and +0.3% in Q4; pro forma organic growth assuming 2025 acquisitions were owned in 2024: +4.8% FY and +5.3% Q4.
Negative Updates
Large SG&A Increase Driven by Contingent Considerations and One-Time Costs
Q4 SG&A rose to $88.7M from $34.6M a ~156% increase; full year SG&A $241.2M versus $170.4M prior year (≈ +41.6%). The increases were primarily due to contingent consideration remeasurement (reflecting strong performance/outlook of acquired businesses), transaction and integration costs.
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Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Revenue Growth
Full year 2025 revenue of $463.4M, up 16.2% year-over-year; Q4 2025 revenue $132.7M versus $106.8M in prior year quarter. Reported organic revenue +1.1% for FY2025 and +0.3% in Q4; pro forma organic growth assuming 2025 acquisitions were owned in 2024: +4.8% FY and +5.3% Q4.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Emerald issued full-year 2026 guidance of $490.0–$495.0 million in revenue and $137.5–$142.5 million in adjusted EBITDA (midpoint implying roughly +6% revenue and +10% adjusted EBITDA year-over-year), and management said it has sold over 70% of the year's revenue; CFO David Doft expects free cash flow of about $85–$90 million (high incremental flow-through from EBITDA, subject to one-time acquisition/integration spend). For context, FY2025 revenue was $463.4 million and adjusted EBITDA was $127.1 million (FY revenue +16.2% and adj. EBITDA +25% year-over-year), reported organic revenue +1.1% (pro forma including Generis, This is Beyond and Insurtech +4.8%), Q4 revenue was $132.7 million with Q4 adjusted EBITDA $36.3 million, and FY free cash flow was $34.3 million (impacted by ~$30.0 million of operating cash that would have been included had 2025 acquisitions been owned all year plus $6.5 million of refinancing fees, a ~$36.6 million headwind to reported FCF). Balance sheet and capital-allocation metrics cited alongside the guidance include $100.9 million of cash, $210.4 million total liquidity (including $110 million revolver), net debt to covenant EBITDA of 2.86x (below the sub-3.0x target), full-year share repurchases of 4,058,604 shares at an average $4.32 (Q4 repurchases 282,386 shares at $4.56), $24.6 million remaining repurchase capacity, and a quarterly dividend of $0.015 per share.Emerald Expositions Events Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Cash Flow
72
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 463.40M | 398.80M | 382.80M | 325.90M | 145.50M |
| Gross Profit | 263.70M | 223.00M | 200.20M | 149.90M | 40.80M |
| EBITDA | 115.70M | 83.60M | 85.40M | 245.40M | -14.20M |
| Net Income | -30.70M | 2.20M | -8.20M | 70.60M | -79.70M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 1.21B | 1.05B | 1.05B | 1.10B | 1.06B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 7.20M | 194.80M | 204.20M | 239.10M | 231.20M |
| Total Debt | 512.30M | 412.20M | 415.80M | 429.20M | 534.60M |
| Total Liabilities | 874.00M | 662.80M | 649.30M | 1.13B | 1.18B |
| Stockholders Equity | 338.80M | 385.90M | 404.60M | -33.10M | -121.00M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 41.40M | 45.50M | 37.70M | 172.90M | 88.50M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 42.60M | 46.80M | 38.30M | 174.70M | 90.00M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -203.20M | -25.00M | -21.00M | -47.90M | -131.90M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 67.10M | -31.20M | -52.20M | -118.90M | -22.20M |
Emerald Expositions Events Technical Analysis
Positive
4.54
Price Trends
4.55
Negative
4.39
Positive
4.63
Negative
Market Momentum
0.02
Negative
52.59
Neutral
34.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EEX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.45, below the 50-day MA of 4.55, and below the 200-day MA of 4.63, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EEX.
Emerald Expositions Events Risk Analysis
Emerald Expositions Events disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Emerald Expositions Events reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Emerald Expositions Events Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
68 Neutral | $1.28B | 11.93 | 13.07% | 5.41% | -0.94% | 47.48% | |
68 Neutral | $703.88M | 4.07 | 24.45% | ― | 43.12% | ― | |
67 Neutral | $946.82M | 5.65 | 13.04% | ― | 0.32% | 69.78% | |
62 Neutral | $1.66B | 37.07 | 4.42% | ― | 6.76% | 1841.46% | |
60 Neutral | $48.67B | 4.58 | -11.27% | 4.14% | 2.83% | -41.78% | |
58 Neutral | $910.38M | -7.32 | -8.24% | 1.29% | 11.18% | ― | |
53 Neutral | $1.19B | -2.59 | 2.74% | ― | -29.67% | 30.13% |
* Communication Services Sector Average
EEX
Emerald Expositions Events
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25.68%
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.