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Nexxen International Ltd. (NEXN)
NASDAQ:NEXN

Nexxen International (NEXN) AI Stock Analysis

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Nexxen International

(NASDAQ:NEXN)

73Outperform
Nexxen International's strong performance in key growth areas such as CTV and improved EBITDA margins drive a positive outlook, despite financial challenges and valuation concerns. The company's strategic initiatives and raised guidance further bolster its stock potential.
Positive Factors
CTV Market Expansion
Nexxen established a strong foothold in the CTV advertising market, which is rapidly growing, through strategic acquisitions and partnerships.
Financial Performance
Nexxen's revamped and undervalued two-sided programmatic platform is driving growth, innovation, and free cash flow.
Sales Execution
Sales execution continues to improve, particularly with independent agencies, as Nexxen added 112 new actively spending first-time advertiser customers in 4Q.
Negative Factors
Integration Challenges
Integration challenges and macro headwinds led to a difficult 2023 for Nexxen.

Nexxen International (NEXN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Nexxen International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTremor International Ltd offers advertising technologies with operations in more than 60 countries. It offers data-focused marketing solutions that drive brand insight in mobile, leveraging video, native, and display to reach the users for every app, service, and brand. The group's business divisions include Tremor Video, Unruly, RhythmOne, and Taptica. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from America and also has a presence in Asia, Europe, Israel, China, and other countries.
How the Company Makes MoneyNexxen International generates revenue through a multifaceted business model. The primary revenue streams include subscription fees from its cloud-based software platforms and licensing fees for its enterprise applications. Additionally, the company earns significant income from consulting services, where it provides digital transformation and cybersecurity expertise to its clients. Strategic partnerships with technology firms and ongoing client contracts also contribute to its financial success. Nexxen's focus on continuous innovation and customer-centric solutions helps maintain a steady flow of revenue and positions it competitively in the technology market.

Nexxen International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nexxen International faces financial challenges with declining revenues and a negative net profit margin, but maintains a strong balance sheet with low leverage. Operational inefficiencies impact profitability, and cash flow management needs improvement for sustaining operations.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Nexxen International's income statement reveals a mixed performance with declining revenue over the past few years. The gross profit margin remains healthy at 81.3% in 2023. However, the company is currently facing profitability challenges, evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -6.5% due to a net loss. The EBIT margin has also turned negative at -5.1%, indicating operational inefficiencies. The significant drop in revenue from 2021 to 2022 highlights growth concerns.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Nexxen International shows a strong equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The equity ratio stands at 60.1%, showcasing a robust capital structure. However, there is a slight decline in stockholders' equity over the years. Despite this, the company's return on equity (ROE) has decreased to -3.95% in 2023, reflecting recent profitability issues.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Nexxen's cash flow statement demonstrates resilience with a positive operating cash flow to net income ratio of -2.83, despite the net loss. The free cash flow has decreased from previous years, showing a contraction in liquidity. The free cash flow to net income ratio is a positive highlight, but the overall cash flow trends indicate a need for better cash management strategies.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
365.48M331.99M335.25M341.94M211.92M
Gross Profit
304.46M269.72M274.50M270.29M152.11M
EBIT
40.82M-16.98M44.75M74.46M-6.03M
EBITDA
106.15M69.50M89.74M115.20M39.61M
Net Income Common Stockholders
35.44M-21.49M22.74M73.22M2.14M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
187.07M234.31M217.50M367.72M97.46M
Total Assets
840.51M904.80M956.16M802.74M535.01M
Total Debt
37.20M136.13M127.88M14.99M21.21M
Net Debt
-149.87M-98.17M-89.62M-352.72M-76.25M
Total Liabilities
309.66M361.25M404.55M230.36M205.99M
Stockholders Equity
530.85M543.55M551.62M572.38M329.01M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
127.31M41.12M67.83M161.74M29.71M
Operating Cash Flow
150.84M60.74M83.01M170.09M35.16M
Investing Cash Flow
-21.21M-16.96M-232.99M-16.49M4.92M
Financing Cash Flow
-174.74M-26.55M3.06M116.86M-22.37M

Nexxen International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.78
Price Trends
50DMA
8.41
Positive
100DMA
9.17
Positive
200DMA
8.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.48
Negative
RSI
73.44
Negative
STOCH
95.42
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NEXN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.01, above the 50-day MA of 8.41, and above the 200-day MA of 8.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.44 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.42 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NEXN.

Nexxen International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$659.90M19.226.60%10.09%
GBWPP
73
Outperform
£6.36B11.7215.82%6.68%-0.70%388.07%
GBITV
67
Neutral
£2.99B7.7122.70%6.25%-3.75%98.08%
GBSAA
66
Neutral
£191.94M12.9933.73%1.02%-12.89%
GBRCH
64
Neutral
£229.75M4.288.15%10.08%-5.28%148.54%
GBYOU
61
Neutral
£351.64M265.930.70%3.00%42.19%-94.16%
59
Neutral
$13.76B7.65-2.18%3.85%2.32%-36.56%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NEXN
Nexxen International
10.34
4.72
83.99%
GB:ITV
ITV plc
80.00
12.66
18.80%
GB:SAA
M&C Saatchi plc
157.00
-38.89
-19.85%
GB:YOU
Yougov plc
300.50
-512.90
-63.06%
GB:WPP
WPP
590.00
-195.18
-24.86%
GB:RCH
Reach plc
72.80
3.38
4.87%

Nexxen International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 05, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 18.33%|
Next Earnings Date:May 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in CTV and data products, enhanced profitability, and strategic improvements in trading structure. However, challenges remain with declines in certain revenue segments and macroeconomic uncertainties. The focus on AI innovation presents long-term growth opportunities despite short-term limitations.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly and Annual Contribution
Nexxen International Ltd. generated record quarterly and annual contribution ex-TAC for programmatic revenues and CTV revenue results, alongside significantly expanded profitability.
Strong Revenue Growth in CTV
CTV revenue grew 86% year-over-year, reaching $37 million, reflecting an all-time quarterly record, and representing 38% of programmatic revenue, up from 23% in Q4 2023.
Increased Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA increased by 38% from Q4 2023 to $44.3 million, marking the second-highest quarterly adjusted EBITDA in the company's history.
Impressive Contribution ex-TAC Growth
Contribution ex-TAC grew by 16% year-over-year, reaching $105.2 million, an all-time quarterly record.
Data Products Growth
Contribution ex-TAC from data products grew by 102% year-over-year, driven by increased licensing and usage of data solutions.
Capital Structure Improvements
Nexxen International Ltd. streamlined its trading structure by moving to a single U.S. ordinary share listing on NASDAQ, enhancing long-term capital appreciation potential.
Negative Updates
Decline in Mobile Video Revenue
Year-over-year decrease in mobile video revenue within travel and education verticals.
Challenges in Macro Environment
Acknowledgment of a fragile macroeconomic environment with potential impacts on business performance.
Limited AI Innovation Short-Term Gains
While generative AI is a focus, there are no low-hanging fruits for short-term AI innovation wins, indicating long-term focus needed for full benefits.
Company Guidance
During Nexxen International Ltd.'s fourth quarter earnings call, the company provided forward-looking guidance for fiscal year 2025, anticipating contribution ex-TAC of approximately $380 million, with programmatic revenue expected to comprise about 90% of the total revenue. The company also forecasted an adjusted EBITDA of around $125 million for the year, with plans to expand both CTV and data licensing revenues compared to 2024. Additionally, sales and marketing expenses, general and administrative costs, and depreciation and amortization are expected to reflect roughly the same percentage of contribution ex-TAC as in 2024, while research and development expenses are projected to increase. Stock-based compensation expenses are expected to rise due to a higher share price. Nexxen's strategic focus for 2025 includes continued investment in AI capabilities to improve platform usability and customer returns, alongside maintaining an emphasis on share repurchases and platform investments, with no major M&A activities planned in the near term.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.