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Deluxe Corp. (DLX)
NYSE:DLX
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Deluxe (DLX) AI Stock Analysis

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DLX

Deluxe

(NYSE:DLX)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(4.71% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/01/26
DLX scores positively on improving profitability and strong free cash flow, supported by constructive guidance for EBITDA/EPS and an attractive P/E plus dividend yield. The score is held back by leverage/integration risk (including Celero and refinancing) and only modest top-line growth, with technicals mildly positive but not strongly confirmed due to missing momentum indicators.
Positive Factors
Payments & Data Mix Shift
Deluxe's shift to Payments and Data constituting a majority of revenue is structural: recurring, higher‑margin processing and data services diversify away from legacy print, improving revenue stability, cross-sell opportunities, and long‑term margin upside as transaction volumes scale.
Negative Factors
Print Revenue Decline
The legacy print business remains a structural headwind: recurring volume declines reduce absolute earnings contribution and constrain overall revenue growth. Even with margin discipline, ongoing print shrinkage forces reliance on other segments to offset lost topline.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Payments & Data Mix Shift
Deluxe's shift to Payments and Data constituting a majority of revenue is structural: recurring, higher‑margin processing and data services diversify away from legacy print, improving revenue stability, cross-sell opportunities, and long‑term margin upside as transaction volumes scale.
Read all positive factors

Deluxe Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Adjusted EBITDA by Segment
Adjusted EBITDA by Segment
Shows each business unit’s operating profitability after removing one-time items, highlighting which lines actually generate cash and margins. For Deluxe, the split reveals whether higher-margin, recurring businesses (like digital services and payments) are driving profits versus lower-margin legacy print and check products. Tracking segment EBITDA trends helps you judge if growth is profitable, how well the company covers debt and reinvestment needs, and where execution or margin risk is concentrated.
Chart InsightsDeluxe’s adjusted EBITDA mix shifted in 2024 toward Print plus newly reported Payments/Data: Print remains the cash‑generating backbone with strong margins, but declining print revenue makes the company dependent on growing payments and data EBITDA. Merchant and B2B show steady mid‑single‑digit improvement while Data’s EBITDA is accelerating (supporting margin expansion and deleveraging). Management’s SG&A cuts and mix shift explain recent margin gains and confident guidance, but sustaining outsized Data growth through tougher H2 2026 comparables is the primary execution risk.
Data provided by:The Fly

Deluxe (DLX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Deluxe Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Deluxe Corporation offers a wide array of technology-driven services tailored for large enterprises, small businesses, and financial institutions across a global footprint that includes the United States, Canada, Australia, South America, and Euro...
How the Company Makes Money
Deluxe makes money primarily by selling services and products that help businesses and financial institutions run operations, accept payments, and acquire/retain customers. Key revenue streams include: (1) Payments and related services: Deluxe gen...

Deluxe Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple notable operational and financial wins: strong adjusted EBITDA and EPS expansion, robust growth in Data and Merchant Services, disciplined SG&A reductions, meaningful free cash flow generation, strategic partnerships, AI-driven efficiency gains and reaching the 3x net leverage target ahead of schedule. These strengths offset continuing declines in the Print segment (revenue down ~5.9%) and modest overall revenue growth (0.3% reported, 2.7% comparable). Management maintained full-year free cash flow guidance and provided updated ranges that reflect the Safeguard divestiture while forecasting moderate top-line growth. On balance, the company presented a clear transformation story with expanding profitability and balance sheet progress despite legacy print headwinds and moderation risk in data growth.
Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA of $117.9M, up 19.7% on a comparable adjusted basis; adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 21.9%, up 310 basis points year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Print Revenue Decline
Print segment revenue of $262.2M declined 5.9% year-over-year on a comparable adjusted basis (legacy Check revenues down 4.4%; the rest of the print segment down 8.4%), driving continued headwinds in the legacy print business.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA of $117.9M, up 19.7% on a comparable adjusted basis; adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 21.9%, up 310 basis points year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management updated full‑year 2026 guidance to revenue of $1.985B–$2.05B (≈ −1% to +2% comparable adjusted growth), adjusted EBITDA of $430M–$455M (≈ +4% to +10% comparable adjusted growth), adjusted EPS of $3.60–$4.00 (≈ +9% to +21% comparable adjusted growth) and unchanged free cash flow of ~ $200M (≈ +14% vs. 2025), with the ranges revised to reflect the March 1 Safeguard divestiture; guidance assumptions include interest expense of ≈ $110M, an adjusted tax rate of 26%, depreciation & amortization of ≈ $135M (including ~$40M of acquisition amortization), an average share count of ≈ 46.5M, and capital expenditures of $90M–$100M, and remains subject to prevailing macroeconomic conditions.

Deluxe Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials reflect a repair/transition story: profitability has improved (net margin ~1.2% in 2023 to ~5.0% TTM; EBIT margin ~9.1% TTM) and free cash flow is a clear strength (FCF ~$178M TTM). The main constraint is balance-sheet risk from historically high leverage (debt-to-equity ~2.3x–3.1x historically), though TTM leverage metrics appear meaningfully improved, signaling progress.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
73
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.13B2.13B2.12B2.19B2.24B2.02B
Gross Profit1.13B1.13B1.13B1.16B1.21B1.14B
EBITDA404.18M379.00M365.32M335.14M351.38M298.12M
Net Income103.91M82.10M52.80M26.12M65.39M62.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.56B2.86B2.83B3.08B3.08B3.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments27.20M310.50M34.40M71.96M40.44M41.23M
Total Debt1.45B1.55B1.56B1.67B1.71B1.75B
Total Liabilities1.86B2.18B2.21B2.48B2.47B2.50B
Stockholders Equity696.80M683.80M620.75M604.09M603.81M574.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow178.30M175.30M99.89M97.62M86.90M101.68M
Operating Cash Flow273.00M270.60M194.28M198.37M191.50M210.82M
Investing Cash Flow-96.00M-131.70M-69.84M-43.30M-80.30M-1.07B
Financing Cash Flow-182.30M-136.80M-267.25M-37.68M-48.60M912.96M

Deluxe Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price26.74
Price Trends
50DMA
24.36
Positive
100DMA
26.07
Negative
200DMA
24.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.59
Negative
RSI
53.44
Neutral
STOCH
36.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DLX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 26.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.58, above the 50-day MA of 24.36, and above the 200-day MA of 24.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.59 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DLX.

Deluxe Risk Analysis

Deluxe disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Deluxe reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Deluxe Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$890.40M13.5323.85%14.75%
69
Neutral
$1.17B9.9610.17%-0.86%-16.21%
68
Neutral
$1.18B11.0115.49%4.49%0.55%82.53%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$521.71M-2.09-40.17%1.81%42.29%
56
Neutral
$2.09B130.402.45%6.17%351.09%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DLX
Deluxe
26.78
11.50
75.24%
STGW
Stagwell
8.70
3.08
54.80%
QNST
Quinstreet
15.61
-1.51
-8.82%
CRTO
Criteo SA
21.37
-1.75
-7.57%
ADV
Advantage Solutions
39.65
5.65
16.62%

Deluxe Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Deluxe Refinances Debt and Completes Celero Commerce Acquisition
Positive
Jul 31, 2026
On July 31, 2026, Deluxe entered into a Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement that refinanced its debt structure, establishing $400 million in senior secured first-lien revolving credit capacity and an $800 million senior secured first-lien...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Deluxe to Acquire Celero Commerce in Cash Deal
Positive
Jun 18, 2026
On June 17, 2026, Deluxe signed an equity purchase and merger agreement to acquire Celero Commerce in an all-cash deal valued at approximately $625 million, plus transaction expenses and adjustments, to be financed through an incremental term loan...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2026