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Townsquare Media (TSQ)
NYSE:TSQ

Townsquare Media (TSQ) AI Stock Analysis

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Townsquare Media

(NYSE:TSQ)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▲( 10.78% Upside)
Townsquare Media's overall stock score of 50 reflects significant financial challenges, including high leverage and declining revenues. However, the digital segment's growth and strategic refinancing efforts provide a counterbalance, offering potential for future improvement. The stock presents a mixed risk-reward profile, with technical indicators suggesting a neutral trend and valuation metrics showing both challenges and opportunities.
Positive Factors
Digital Business Contribution
Digital diversification is supporting profitability with 57% of revenues and 62% of profits coming from digital businesses.
Dividend Yield
Management's confidence in the business trajectory is reflected in the $0.80 annual dividend, offering an 11.2% yield.
Negative Factors
Debt Levels
Leverage is elevated at 4.67x as of quarter end, which could be a concern despite the company's efforts to reduce debt.

Townsquare Media (TSQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Townsquare Media Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTownsquare Media (TSQ) is a leading media and entertainment company that primarily operates in small and mid-sized markets across the United States. The company specializes in local radio broadcasting and digital media, offering a diverse range of content that includes music, news, and entertainment. Townsquare Media owns and operates numerous radio stations and also provides digital marketing services to local businesses through its Townsquare Interactive division. Additionally, it produces live events, enhancing its portfolio with experiential offerings.
How the Company Makes MoneyTownsquare Media generates revenue through a combination of traditional advertising and digital marketing services. Its radio broadcasting segment earns money from selling advertising space to local and national clients. The company also monetizes its digital properties by providing digital marketing and advertising solutions through Townsquare Interactive, which includes services such as website design, search engine optimization, and social media management for local businesses. Live events contribute to the company's earnings by selling tickets, sponsorships, and merchandise. Partnerships with other media and technology companies also play a role in enhancing its content distribution and advertising capabilities.

Townsquare Media Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Townsquare Media faces significant financial challenges, highlighted by declining revenues, volatile profitability, and a heavily leveraged balance sheet. While operating cash flows remain relatively strong, the negative equity position and inconsistent free cash flow generation pose substantial risks. The company needs to address its debt levels and improve profitability to stabilize its financial position.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Townsquare Media's income statement reveals a challenging financial position. The company's revenue has declined over the years, with a notable drop from 2022 to 2023. The net profit margin has been inconsistent, swinging from positive to negative, indicating volatile profitability. Gross profit margin is not directly calculable as gross profit equals total revenue, but net income fluctuations suggest margin pressures. Recent EBIT and EBITDA margins have been weak, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet shows significant leverage, with a negative stockholders' equity in the latest year, highlighting solvency challenges. The debt-to-equity ratio cannot be calculated due to negative equity, underscoring financial risk. The equity ratio is also negative, indicating the company is more debt-financed. Overall, the balance sheet signals financial instability and high leverage risk.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow statements offer some positive aspects, despite the overall financial struggles. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting good cash flow generation relative to reported earnings. However, free cash flow has been inconsistent, with recent declines. Financing activities have consistently been cash outflows, impacting liquidity. The cash flow analysis indicates moderate performance with room for improvement.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
447.95M450.98M454.23M463.08M417.96M371.34M
Gross Profit
103.20M450.98M125.03M138.15M129.66M88.99M
EBIT
55.97M21.69M-19.14M88.83M74.48M40.73M
EBITDA
17.70M41.36M9.01M72.70M101.39M-60.44M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-39.11M0.00-44.96M12.34M16.74M-80.55M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
22.30M32.99M61.05M43.42M50.51M83.23M
Total Assets
0.00580.41M652.05M744.52M726.31M768.50M
Total Debt
0.0053.20M552.00M578.56M587.66M595.80M
Net Debt
22.30M20.21M490.95M535.14M537.15M512.57M
Total Liabilities
0.00608.86M642.14M675.44M676.73M667.75M
Stockholders Equity
208.34M-28.44M6.41M65.52M46.26M97.26M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
32.04M31.31M52.85M29.36M48.72M16.30M
Operating Cash Flow
49.42M48.75M67.83M50.19M61.14M31.49M
Investing Cash Flow
-10.78M-9.93M-3.57M-37.76M-10.64M-14.04M
Financing Cash Flow
-54.81M-67.38M-46.62M-19.51M-83.23M-18.89M

Townsquare Media Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.77
Price Trends
50DMA
7.18
Negative
100DMA
7.87
Negative
200DMA
8.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
43.40
Neutral
STOCH
14.74
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSQ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.77 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.91, below the 50-day MA of 7.18, and below the 200-day MA of 8.72, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.74 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSQ.

Townsquare Media Risk Analysis

Townsquare Media disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Townsquare Media reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Townsquare Media Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$14.12B6.43-3.56%3.69%2.49%-35.43%
56
Neutral
$23.07M-12.15%17.04%-2188.42%
55
Neutral
$73.32M-16.55%-2.67%21.65%
ADADV
54
Neutral
$363.23M-42.89%-13.81%-433.86%
TSTSQ
50
Neutral
$110.70M74.55%11.71%-0.16%57.03%
HHHHS
46
Neutral
$34.98M-147.49%-4.46%-3053.30%
38
Underperform
$32.24M-123.16%-15.07%33.40%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSQ
Townsquare Media
6.77
-3.38
-33.30%
HHS
Harte-Hanks
4.75
-2.66
-35.90%
MCHX
Marchex
1.67
0.23
15.97%
FLNT
Fluent
1.56
-2.45
-61.10%
ADV
Advantage Solutions
1.12
-2.42
-68.36%
SWAG
Stran & Company
1.24
0.11
9.73%

Townsquare Media Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.02%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in digital segments, with digital revenue and profit significantly contributing to overall performance. Despite challenges in traditional broadcast revenue and temporary economic uncertainty, the company showed resilience in its digital-first strategy.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Digital Revenue Growth
Total digital revenue grew by 6% year-over-year in Q1 2025, contributing to 57% of total net revenue, the highest percentage achieved by Townsquare yet.
Digital Segment Profit Increase
Digital segment profit increased by 16% year-over-year with a profit margin of 25%, and digital first quarter contribution grew to be 62% of total segment profit.
Townsquare Ignite Performance
Digital advertising net revenue increased by 8% year-over-year, driven by the digital programmatic business, which makes up approximately 60% of the segment's revenue.
Townsquare Interactive Profit Growth
Townsquare Interactive's segment profit increased by 22% year-over-year, with profit margins expanding to 32% in Q1 2025.
Overall Profit Growth
First quarter adjusted EBITDA increased by 3.5% year-over-year to $18.1 million, above the company's guidance range.
Negative Updates
Broadcast Revenue Decline
Broadcast advertising net revenue declined by 8.3% excluding political and 9.1% in total, year-over-year, indicating a challenging environment for traditional media.
Impact of Tariff and Economic Uncertainty
Significant pause in business across all lines due to tariff and economic uncertainty in April, affecting revenue trends.
Net Loss in Q1
Q1 2025 net loss was $1.5 million or $0.12 per diluted share, compared to net income of $0.06 per diluted share in the prior year period.
Company Guidance
During the Townsquare Media First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reaffirmed its full-year guidance for net revenue to be between $435 million and $455 million, and adjusted EBITDA between $90 million and $98 million. The first quarter results showed net revenue decreasing 1% year-over-year to $98.7 million, with net revenue excluding political being approximately flat. Adjusted EBITDA increased 3.5% year-over-year to $18.1 million, exceeding the guidance range of $17 million to $18 million. The digital segment demonstrated robust growth, with digital revenue comprising 57% of the company's total net revenue and contributing 62% to total segment profit. Ignite, the digital advertising business, saw an 8% revenue increase, while Townsquare Interactive, the subscription-based digital marketing solutions segment, achieved a 4% revenue growth with a 22% increase in segment profit year-over-year. The company also highlighted the impact of macroeconomic uncertainties, such as tariffs, on advertising cycles, yet remained optimistic about future growth due to strong digital performance and strategic market positioning.

Townsquare Media Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Townsquare Media Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Positive
May 6, 2025

On May 1, 2025, Townsquare Media, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key decisions were made. Stockholders approved the election of Gary Ginsberg and Steven Price as directors for three-year terms and ratified BDO USA, P.C. as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025, indicating continued stability and strategic direction for the company.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.