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Townsquare Media (TSQ)
NYSE:TSQ
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Townsquare Media (TSQ) AI Stock Analysis

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TSQ

Townsquare Media

(NYSE:TSQ)

Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▼(-9.34% Downside)
Townsquare Media's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its challenging financial performance and bearish technical indicators. While the earnings call provided some positive insights, such as digital growth and debt reduction, the company's financial instability and weak market momentum weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Digital Business Growth
The continued growth of the pair of digital businesses has diversified the revenue and profit base away from the radio operations and enabled the company to benefit from the shift in spending by its local business clients to digital platforms from traditional.
Financial Stability
The company continues to work towards debt reduction and is able to execute on that, while continuing to grow the dividend, which does help to signal confidence in the business.
Negative Factors
Leverage Concerns
Leverage is elevated at 4.67x as of quarter end, which could be a concern despite the company's efforts to reduce debt.

Townsquare Media (TSQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Townsquare Media Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTownsquare Media, Inc. operates as a digital media and marketing solutions company in small and medium-sized businesses. It operates through three segments: Subscription Digital Marketing Solutions, Digital Advertising, and Broadcast Advertising. The Subscription Digital Marketing Solutions segment offers various digital marketing solutions, including hosting, search engine optimization, online directory optimization, e-commerce solutions, online reputation monitoring, social media management, appointment scheduling, payment and invoice, customer management, email marketing, and website retargeting services, as well as traditional and mobile-enabled website design, creation, and development services. The Digital Advertising segment provides digital advertising on its owned and operated digital properties, and digital programmatic advertising platforms, as well as data analytics and management platform. The Broadcast Advertising segment engages in the sale of local radio stations to local, regional, and national spot advertisers, and national network advertisers. As of December 31, 2021, this segment owned and operated 322 radio stations and approximately 330 local websites in 67 local markets. It also owns and operates approximately 200 live events, including concerts, expositions, and other experiential events; and operates local media under the WYRK.com, WJON.com, and NJ101.5.com brands, as well as national music under the XXLmag.com, TasteofCountry.com, UltimateClassicRock.com, and Loudwire.com brands. The company was formerly known as Regent Communications, Inc. and changed its name to Townsquare Media, Inc. in May 2010. Townsquare Media, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Purchase, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyTownsquare Media generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from advertising sales across its radio stations and digital platforms. The company offers local and national advertisers opportunities to reach targeted audiences through traditional radio ads, digital display advertising, and sponsored content. Additionally, Townsquare Media monetizes its digital assets through programmatic advertising and partnerships with various advertisers. The company also generates income from live events, including concerts and festivals, which attract sponsorships and ticket sales. Significant partnerships with brands and advertisers enhance its revenue potential, and the company's focus on local content and community engagement drives advertiser interest and loyalty.

Townsquare Media Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.61%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive outcomes and challenges. Key highlights include exceeding adjusted EBITDA guidance and strong digital revenue growth, particularly in Townsquare Interactive's profitability. However, these were balanced by significant challenges such as a decline in broadcast advertising revenue and the impact of search engine traffic decline. Additionally, government advertising cuts posed further revenue challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeded Adjusted EBITDA Guidance
Second quarter adjusted EBITDA increased with and without political to $26.4 million, above the guidance range of $25 million to $26 million. This represented year-over-year adjusted EBITDA growth of 0.7% and 3.8%, excluding political.
Digital Revenue Growth
Total digital revenue grew 4% year-over-year in the first half of 2025, expanding to 55% of total net revenue. Digital segment profit increased 9% year-over-year with a profit margin of 27%.
Townsquare Interactive Profit Growth
In the first 6 months of 2025, Townsquare Interactive segment profit increased by 19% year-over-year, with profit margins expanding to 33%, up from the customary 28%.
Debt Reduction and Strong Cash Flow
The company repaid $10 million of debt in Q2, with total debt repayments of $13 million since February. Net leverage ticked down to 4.58x.
Negative Updates
Decline in Broadcast Advertising Revenue
Broadcast advertising net revenue declined by 8% excluding political year-over-year, consistent with the company's view of broadcast as a mature cash cow business.
Impact of Search Engine Traffic Decline
Declining search engine traffic negatively impacted digital inventory, which affected indirect remnant sales and muted overall digital advertising growth.
Challenges from Government Advertising Cuts
DOGE cuts led to significant reductions in government-related advertising, impacting both broadcast and digital revenue.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Townsquare Media met or exceeded its financial guidance for total net revenue and adjusted EBITDA. The company successfully navigated revenue pressures, achieving a total net revenue decline of approximately 2% year-over-year, which was within their guidance range of negative 2% to negative 4%. Adjusted EBITDA was better than expected, increasing by 1% year-over-year and surpassing the guidance range of negative 1% to negative 5%, with a 4% increase excluding political revenue. The company highlighted its digital-first local media strategy, reporting that digital revenue accounted for 55% of total net revenue in the first half of 2025, with digital advertising revenue growing by 2% year-over-year in Q2. Townsquare Interactive, their subscription-based SaaS business, saw a 19% year-over-year increase in segment profit in the first half of 2025, with a profit margin expansion to 33%. Broadcast advertising revenue, however, declined by 8% excluding political, aligning with their expectations. Overall, Townsquare continues to focus on digital growth, with plans to invest in digital platforms and maintain strong cash flow for debt reduction and shareholder returns.

Townsquare Media Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Townsquare Media faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, volatile profitability, and a heavily leveraged balance sheet. Despite strong operating cash flows, the negative equity position and inconsistent free cash flow generation pose substantial risks.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Townsquare Media's income statement reveals a challenging financial position. The company's revenue has declined over the years, with a notable drop from 2022 to 2023. The net profit margin has been inconsistent, swinging from positive to negative, indicating volatile profitability. Gross profit margin is not directly calculable as gross profit equals total revenue, but net income fluctuations suggest margin pressures. Recent EBIT and EBITDA margins have been weak, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet shows significant leverage, with a negative stockholders' equity in the latest year, highlighting solvency challenges. The debt-to-equity ratio cannot be calculated due to negative equity, underscoring financial risk. The equity ratio is also negative, indicating the company is more debt-financed. Overall, the balance sheet signals financial instability and high leverage risk.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow statements offer some positive aspects, despite the overall financial struggles. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting good cash flow generation relative to reported earnings. However, free cash flow has been inconsistent, with recent declines. Financing activities have consistently been cash outflows, impacting liquidity. The cash flow analysis indicates moderate performance with room for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue329.43M450.98M454.23M463.08M417.96M371.34M
Gross Profit87.00M450.98M125.03M138.15M129.66M88.99M
EBITDA82.58M41.36M9.01M72.70M101.39M-60.44M
Net Income34.99M-12.70M-44.96M12.34M16.74M-80.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets545.73M580.41M652.05M744.52M726.31M768.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.18M32.99M61.05M43.42M50.51M83.23M
Total Debt490.08M53.20M552.00M578.56M587.66M595.80M
Total Liabilities572.82M608.86M642.14M675.44M676.73M667.75M
Stockholders Equity-30.12M-31.86M6.41M65.52M46.26M97.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow31.17M31.31M52.85M29.36M48.72M16.30M
Operating Cash Flow48.19M48.75M67.83M50.19M61.14M31.49M
Investing Cash Flow-7.84M-9.93M-3.57M-37.76M-10.64M-14.04M
Financing Cash Flow-65.86M-67.38M-46.62M-19.51M-83.23M-18.89M

Townsquare Media Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price7.17
Price Trends
50DMA
7.32
Negative
100DMA
7.12
Positive
200DMA
7.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Negative
RSI
50.44
Neutral
STOCH
77.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSQ, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 7.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.05, below the 50-day MA of 7.32, and below the 200-day MA of 7.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSQ.

Townsquare Media Risk Analysis

Townsquare Media disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Townsquare Media reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Townsquare Media Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$44.03B1.92-11.93%4.00%2.46%-39.70%
56
Neutral
$28.48M-7.18%38.49%-558.25%
52
Neutral
$593.22M-36.12%-10.21%-81.84%
48
Neutral
$117.91M3.5574.55%11.39%-0.11%
48
Neutral
$79.46M-13.93%-2.64%6.48%
45
Neutral
$26.47M-14.09%-6.49%89.87%
44
Neutral
$49.61M-123.16%-15.07%33.40%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSQ
Townsquare Media
7.17
-2.43
-25.31%
HHS
Harte-Hanks
3.56
-3.80
-51.63%
MCHX
Marchex
1.81
-0.24
-11.71%
FLNT
Fluent
2.32
-0.68
-22.67%
ADV
Advantage Solutions
1.80
-1.79
-49.86%
SWAG
Stran & Company
1.54
0.33
27.27%

Townsquare Media Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Townsquare Media Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Positive
May 6, 2025

On May 1, 2025, Townsquare Media, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key decisions were made. Stockholders approved the election of Gary Ginsberg and Steven Price as directors for three-year terms and ratified BDO USA, P.C. as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025, indicating continued stability and strategic direction for the company.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025