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Townsquare Media (TSQ)
NYSE:TSQ

Townsquare Media (TSQ) AI Stock Analysis

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TS

Townsquare Media

(NYSE:TSQ)

50Neutral
Townsquare Media's overall stock score reflects its financial struggles, with declining revenues and high leverage being significant concerns. While the technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, the company's strategic focus on digital growth and recent refinancing efforts offer some optimism. The high dividend yield presents a potential opportunity for investors, but sustainability remains uncertain. Overall, the stock presents a balanced risk-reward profile with notable challenges and strategic opportunities.
Positive Factors
Digital Revenue Growth
More than 50% of revenues and roughly 60% of profits in the quarter came from the company’s digital businesses.
Dividend Confidence
Management’s confidence in the trajectory of the business underlies the $0.79 annual dividend, which provides a 7.9% yield.
Negative Factors
Leverage Concerns
While leverage is elevated at 4.88x, management’s confidence in the trajectory of the business underlies the dividend.

Townsquare Media (TSQ) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Townsquare Media Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTownsquare Media, Inc. operates as a digital media and marketing solutions company in small and medium-sized businesses. It operates through three segments: Subscription Digital Marketing Solutions, Digital Advertising, and Broadcast Advertising. The Subscription Digital Marketing Solutions segment offers various digital marketing solutions, including hosting, search engine optimization, online directory optimization, e-commerce solutions, online reputation monitoring, social media management, appointment scheduling, payment and invoice, customer management, email marketing, and website retargeting services, as well as traditional and mobile-enabled website design, creation, and development services. The Digital Advertising segment provides digital advertising on its owned and operated digital properties, and digital programmatic advertising platforms, as well as data analytics and management platform. The Broadcast Advertising segment engages in the sale of local radio stations to local, regional, and national spot advertisers, and national network advertisers. As of December 31, 2021, this segment owned and operated 322 radio stations and approximately 330 local websites in 67 local markets. It also owns and operates approximately 200 live events, including concerts, expositions, and other experiential events; and operates local media under the WYRK.com, WJON.com, and NJ101.5.com brands, as well as national music under the XXLmag.com, TasteofCountry.com, UltimateClassicRock.com, and Loudwire.com brands. The company was formerly known as Regent Communications, Inc. and changed its name to Townsquare Media, Inc. in May 2010. Townsquare Media, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Purchase, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyTownsquare Media generates revenue through a combination of traditional advertising and digital marketing services. Its radio broadcasting segment earns money from selling advertising space to local and national clients. The company also monetizes its digital properties by providing digital marketing and advertising solutions through Townsquare Interactive, which includes services such as website design, search engine optimization, and social media management for local businesses. Live events contribute to the company's earnings by selling tickets, sponsorships, and merchandise. Partnerships with other media and technology companies also play a role in enhancing its content distribution and advertising capabilities.

Townsquare Media Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Townsquare Media faces significant financial challenges, highlighted by declining revenues, volatile profitability, and a heavily leveraged balance sheet. While operating cash flows remain relatively strong, the negative equity position and inconsistent free cash flow generation pose substantial risks. The company needs to address its debt levels and improve profitability to stabilize its financial position.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Townsquare Media's income statement reveals a challenging financial position. The company's revenue has declined over the years, with a notable drop from 2022 to 2023. The net profit margin has been inconsistent, swinging from positive to negative, indicating volatile profitability. Gross profit margin is not directly calculable as gross profit equals total revenue, but net income fluctuations suggest margin pressures. Recent EBIT and EBITDA margins have been weak, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet shows significant leverage, with a negative stockholders' equity in the latest year, highlighting solvency challenges. The debt-to-equity ratio cannot be calculated due to negative equity, underscoring financial risk. The equity ratio is also negative, indicating the company is more debt-financed. Overall, the balance sheet signals financial instability and high leverage risk.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow statements offer some positive aspects, despite the overall financial struggles. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting good cash flow generation relative to reported earnings. However, free cash flow has been inconsistent, with recent declines. Financing activities have consistently been cash outflows, impacting liquidity. The cash flow analysis indicates moderate performance with room for improvement.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
450.98M454.23M463.08M417.96M371.34M
Gross Profit
450.98M125.03M138.15M129.66M88.99M
EBIT
21.69M-19.14M88.83M74.48M40.73M
EBITDA
41.36M9.01M72.70M101.39M-60.44M
Net Income Common Stockholders
0.00-44.96M12.34M16.74M-80.55M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
32.99M61.05M43.42M50.51M83.23M
Total Assets
580.41M652.05M744.52M726.31M768.50M
Total Debt
53.20M552.00M578.56M587.66M595.80M
Net Debt
20.21M490.95M535.14M537.15M512.57M
Total Liabilities
608.86M642.14M675.44M676.73M667.75M
Stockholders Equity
-28.44M6.41M65.52M46.26M97.26M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
31.31M52.85M29.36M48.72M16.30M
Operating Cash Flow
48.75M67.83M50.19M61.14M31.49M
Investing Cash Flow
-9.93M-3.57M-37.76M-10.64M-14.04M
Financing Cash Flow
-67.38M-46.62M-19.51M-83.23M-18.89M

Townsquare Media Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price7.03
Price Trends
50DMA
7.48
Negative
100DMA
8.23
Negative
200DMA
9.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Negative
RSI
49.05
Neutral
STOCH
50.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSQ, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 7.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.84, below the 50-day MA of 7.48, and below the 200-day MA of 9.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSQ.

Townsquare Media Risk Analysis

Townsquare Media disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Townsquare Media reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Townsquare Media Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$19.58M-12.29%8.76%-969.71%
59
Neutral
$13.76B7.65-2.18%3.85%2.32%-36.56%
TSTSQ
50
Neutral
$113.32M74.55%11.78%-0.72%67.36%
HHHHS
47
Neutral
$36.85M-145.85%-3.26%-1829.89%
ADADV
45
Neutral
$446.25M-40.41%-15.17%-567.89%
42
Neutral
$45.42M-98.64%-14.67%59.39%
38
Underperform
$65.41M-14.44%-3.58%50.73%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSQ
Townsquare Media
7.03
-4.72
-40.17%
HHS
Harte-Hanks
5.00
-2.07
-29.28%
MCHX
Marchex
1.49
0.11
7.97%
FLNT
Fluent
2.43
-1.06
-30.37%
ADV
Advantage Solutions
1.38
-3.14
-69.47%
SWAG
Stran & Company
1.05
-0.18
-14.63%

Townsquare Media Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 17, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -7.26%|
Next Earnings Date:May 08, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook for Townsquare Media with significant achievements in digital revenue growth, a successful refinancing effort, and an increased dividend. However, challenges remain in the declining broadcast revenue and increased interest expenses due to refinancing. The company is optimistic about its digital strategy and cash flow generation capabilities.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Digital Revenue Growth
Digital revenue contributed 52% of total net revenue and 50% of total segment profit in 2024. Digital Advertising net revenue increased by 5.5% year-over-year to $159 million, growing to 35% of total company net revenue.
Townsquare Interactive Turnaround
Townsquare Interactive returned to year-over-year revenue growth in Q4 2024 and is expected to see segment profit growth in Q1 2025 for the first time in two years, with a projected increase of $2 million to $3 million for the full year.
Successful Refinancing
Completed a refinancing of debt to extend maturities until 2030, which is expected to manage the company's leverage more effectively despite an increase in annual interest expense.
Increased Dividend
Board approved an increase to the dividend by 1.3% year-over-year, now $0.80 per share on an annualized basis, representing a yield of approximately 10%.
Cash Flow Generation
Generated $49 million of cash flow from operations in 2024 and ended the year with $33 million in cash. Repurchased approximately $24 million worth of shares.
Negative Updates
Broadcast Revenue Decline
Broadcast Advertising net revenue declined by 1% year-over-year in 2024, with expectations that it will continue to decline as businesses shift from traditional to digital advertising.
Interest Expense Increase
Annual interest expense increased by approximately $9 million due to refinancing, although this delta is expected to decline with future debt paydown.
Company Guidance
During Townsquare Media's Fourth Quarter 2024 Conference Call, the company provided a detailed financial update, highlighting that their results met previously issued guidance. Townsquare ended 2024 with $33 million in cash and generated $49 million in cash flow from operations. Their Digital Advertising revenue increased by 5.5% year-over-year to $159 million, accounting for 35% of the company's total net revenue, while Digital revenue overall contributed 52% of the total net revenue and 50% of the total segment profit. The Digital Programmatic business was emphasized as a major growth driver, particularly with new third-party media partnerships. Townsquare Interactive, their Subscription-based Digital Marketing Solutions SaaS business, returned to revenue growth in Q4 with a 2% increase year-over-year and expects a further increase in Q1 2025. The company successfully refinanced its debt, extending maturities to 2030, and increased its dividend by 1.3% year-over-year. Guidance for 2025 anticipates net revenue of $435 million to $455 million, with adjusted EBITDA between $90 million and $98 million.

Townsquare Media Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Townsquare Media Secures $490 Million Credit Agreement
Positive
Feb 24, 2025

On February 19, 2025, Townsquare Media, Inc. entered into a $490 million credit agreement with Bank of America, N.A., which includes a $470 million senior secured term loan facility and a $20 million revolving credit facility. The company used approximately $453 million of the net proceeds to redeem all outstanding 6.875% senior secured notes due 2026, thereby restructuring its debt and potentially improving its financial flexibility.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.