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Marchex (MCHX)
NASDAQ:MCHX
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Marchex (MCHX) AI Stock Analysis

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MCHX

Marchex

(NASDAQ:MCHX)

Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(0.00% Upside)
Marchex's overall score is primarily influenced by its financial performance and valuation concerns. While strong cost management is a positive, declining revenues, negative profitability, and liquidity issues weigh heavily. Technical indicators suggest neutral to bearish momentum, and the negative P/E ratio highlights valuation challenges.
Positive Factors
Operational Leverage
The OneStack initiative aims to enhance customer acquisition and expand margins, potentially improving operational leverage over time.
Product Development
Marchex anticipates new product rollouts to lead to a return to growth, with better growth dependent on the success of go-to-market strategies.
Negative Factors
Financial Guidance
4Q guidance was slightly below projections, impacting short-term expectations.
Revenue Diversification
The timeline for the impact of the OneStack initiative remains uncertain, affecting revenue diversification into new verticals.

Marchex (MCHX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Marchex Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMarchex, Inc. operates as an analytics and solutions company that helps businesses connect, drive, measure, and convert callers into customers in the United States and Canada. Its products include Marchex Call Analytics, an analytics platform for enterprises, which depend on inbound phone calls to drive sales, appointments, and reservations; Marchex Call Analytics, Conversation Edition that enable actionable insights for enterprise, mid-sized, and small businesses; Text Analytics and Communications, a solution for intelligent mobile messaging, which enables sales, marketing, and operations teams in businesses to engage in two-way communications with field staff, prospects, and customers through text/SMS messages; Call Monitoring for call recording; and Marchex Marketing Edge, an analytics solution for marketers in enterprise, mid-sized and small businesses that depend on inbound phone calls to drive sales, appointments and reservations. The company's Marchex Sales Engagement products comprise Marchex Engage, which combines Marchex artificial intelligence and machine learning with call monitoring and scoring services; Marchex Spotlight, a product for corporate and regional managers; Marchex Engage for Automotive; and Marchex Platform Services that allows businesses to add Marchex conversation intelligence to their existing workflows and enabling them to decode what happens in their conversations with customers. Marchex, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyMarchex generates revenue through its suite of call analytics and advertising solutions. The primary revenue model is based on a subscription and usage-based pricing structure for its analytics services, where clients pay for access to detailed reports and insights on customer calls. Additionally, Marchex earns revenue from its digital advertising services, where it partners with businesses to optimize their ad placements and performance based on call data. Significant partnerships with major advertising platforms and agencies enhance its market reach and contribute to its earnings, as they leverage Marchex's technology to improve the effectiveness of their campaigns.

Marchex Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive developments and challenges. While there was notable progress with new product launches, partnerships, and financial efficiency, there were significant challenges related to customer migration and external economic factors. The anticipation of a revenue decline in the fourth quarter also adds to the uncertainty.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Launch of Marchex Engage Platform
Marchex launched the innovative Marchex Engage platform as part of their OneStack initiative, offering an easy-to-use interface with AI-driven solutions, enabling services like click-to-purchase and conversation intelligence.
New Partnerships and Channel Expansion
The company signed new partnerships with Fortune 500 companies and launched its first channel partnerships, expanding its market opportunity.
Financial Performance and Efficiency
Revenue for Q2 2025 was $11.7 million, up from $11.4 million in Q1 2025. The company reported positive net income of approximately $100,000, with cash reserves rising to $10.5 million.
Sequential Increase in Bookings
The company reported an increase in sequential bookings (ACV) in Q2 2025.
Negative Updates
Challenges with Customer Migration
The migration from legacy platforms to the new Marchex Engage platform caused temporary revenue offsets and short-term impacts on revenue.
Macroeconomic and Regulatory Challenges
New federal tariffs on imports and the macroeconomic environment have begun adversely impacting industries like automotive and auto services, adding uncertainty to customer impacts and financial predictions.
Anticipated Revenue Decline in Q4 2025
The company anticipates sequential revenue and adjusted EBITDA to be lower in Q4 2025 compared to Q3 2025 due to customer migration issues, seasonality, and macroeconomic challenges.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Marchex provided guidance indicating a sequential increase in both revenue and adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter, with the latter potentially rising by more than 50% over second-quarter levels. However, they anticipate a sequential decrease in both metrics for the fourth quarter due to customer migration issues, seasonal factors, and macroeconomic pressures such as new federal tariffs affecting industries like automotive and auto services. The second quarter saw revenue rise to $11.7 million from $11.4 million in the first quarter, alongside a positive net income of approximately $100,000. Cash reserves increased to $10.5 million from $10 million during the same period. Despite these mixed indicators, Marchex expressed optimism about their strategic initiatives, including the new Marchex Engage platform, which they expect to drive future growth and operational leverage by capitalizing on customer conversations and leveraging AI insights.

Marchex Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Marchex displays a mixed financial position with strong cost management evident in gross margins, but persistent challenges in revenue growth and profitability. The low debt levels provide some stability; however, recurring losses and negative cash flows pose risks, requiring strategic improvements to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows declining revenues, with a revenue decrease of 4.3% from 2023 to the TTM period. Gross Profit Margin stands at 64.0% in TTM, indicating strong cost management. However, the company faces challenges with profitability as both EBIT and Net Profit Margins are negative, at -10.4% and -11.4% respectively, reflecting continued operational losses.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a stable equity position with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.03, indicating low financial leverage. However, the continuous decline in equity and total assets over the years could be a concern. The Equity Ratio for TTM is 77.2%, showing a strong equity base, but the negative net income impacts Return on Equity, which remains negative.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating and free cash flows, indicating potential liquidity issues. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.23 for TTM, suggesting efficiency challenges in converting income into cash. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is -0.31, further highlighting cash generation difficulties relative to net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue47.95M48.12M49.91M52.17M53.48M51.22M
Gross Profit30.70M30.95M29.33M31.71M31.78M30.33M
EBITDA-3.20M-1.80M-5.76M-4.03M-5.68M-36.66M
Net Income-5.48M-4.95M-9.91M-8.24M-4.39M-38.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets40.63M43.20M47.48M56.79M65.83M77.73M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.02M12.77M14.61M20.47M27.09M33.85M
Total Debt1.10M1.22M2.10M1.64M3.26M10.09M
Total Liabilities9.26M10.57M11.61M12.68M14.32M25.05M
Stockholders Equity31.37M32.63M35.87M44.11M51.50M52.69M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.67M-1.53M-5.77M-5.16M-7.69M-4.73M
Operating Cash Flow-1.25M-1.10M-4.39M-2.29M-6.34M-3.37M
Investing Cash Flow-714.00K-429.00K-1.31M-2.87M-951.00K981.00K
Financing Cash Flow-50.00K-307.00K-160.00K-1.46M528.00K-5.49M

Marchex Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2.02
Negative
100DMA
1.82
Positive
200DMA
1.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
50.65
Neutral
STOCH
27.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MCHX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.97, below the 50-day MA of 2.02, and above the 200-day MA of 1.86, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MCHX.

Marchex Risk Analysis

Marchex disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Marchex reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Marchex Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$46.28B4.13-13.12%4.13%1.85%-42.71%
60
Neutral
$36.24M7.278.21%-8.74%
45
Neutral
$89.68M-13.93%-2.64%6.48%
45
Neutral
$27.62M-14.09%-6.49%89.87%
45
Neutral
$54.85M-115.36%-12.84%63.95%
44
Neutral
$49.04M-36.41%21.45%41.21%
38
Underperform
$53.77M-136.44%-12.84%5.09%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MCHX
Marchex
2.00
0.25
14.29%
HHS
Harte-Hanks
3.67
-3.66
-49.93%
INUV
Inuvo
3.36
0.78
30.23%
FLNT
Fluent
2.19
-0.57
-20.65%
CDLX
Cardlytics
0.93
-2.50
-72.89%
WIMI
WiMi Hologram Cloud
3.69
-3.92
-51.51%

Marchex Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Marchex Launches New Share Repurchase Program
Neutral
May 13, 2025

Marchex announced a new share repurchase program to buy back up to 3 million shares of its Class B common stock, replacing previous programs. The company reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, showing a slight decrease in revenue and an increased net loss compared to the previous year. Despite these results, Marchex is optimistic about future growth, highlighting strategic milestones in its transformation into an AI-powered prescriptive analytics leader. The company is expanding its product platform and increasing investments in sales and marketing to support growth, while leveraging its first-party data for enhanced customer insights. Marchex also sold a domain asset for $0.8 million and expanded its auto vertical OEM sales channel, expecting these initiatives to improve financial performance and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (MCHX) stock is a Buy with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marchex stock, see the MCHX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 30, 2025