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Marchex (MCHX)
NASDAQ:MCHX

Marchex (MCHX) AI Stock Analysis

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Marchex

(NASDAQ:MCHX)

Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼( -10.18% Downside)
Marchex faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues and profitability, reflected in a moderate overall score. The company benefits from strong cost management and low debt, providing some stability. Positive earnings call guidance and strategic initiatives offer potential growth opportunities, though current valuation metrics suggest caution. Technical indicators show moderate upward momentum but indicate potential overbuying risks.
Positive Factors
Operational Leverage
The OneStack initiative aims to enhance customer acquisition and expand margins, potentially improving operational leverage over time.
Product Development
Marchex anticipates new product rollouts to lead to a return to growth, with better growth dependent on the success of go-to-market strategies.
Negative Factors
Financial Guidance
4Q guidance was slightly below projections, impacting short-term expectations.
Revenue Diversification
The timeline for the impact of the OneStack initiative remains uncertain, affecting revenue diversification into new verticals.

Marchex (MCHX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Marchex Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMarchex, Inc. is a call analytics company that provides solutions to businesses seeking to connect, engage, and support customers over the phone. The company operates primarily in the digital marketing and advertising sectors, offering a suite of products designed to optimize the way businesses understand and interact with their customers through voice communication. Its core services include call tracking, call analytics, and conversational intelligence, which help businesses improve their customer experience and evaluate the effectiveness of their marketing efforts.
How the Company Makes MoneyMarchex makes money by offering subscription-based services and software solutions to businesses. The company's primary revenue streams include fees from its call analytics and tracking services, which help businesses gain insights into phone call interactions with customers. These services allow businesses to measure the effectiveness of their advertising campaigns by tracking which marketing channels drive phone calls. Marchex also generates revenue through its conversational intelligence products, which analyze call data to provide actionable insights for improving customer engagement and sales strategies. Partnerships with marketing agencies and resellers also play a role in expanding its reach and customer base, contributing to its overall earnings.

Marchex Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Marchex shows strong cost management with a gross margin of 64.0% but struggles with declining revenues and negative net profit margins. The balance sheet is stable with low debt but impacted by negative net income. Cash flow issues are apparent with negative operating and free cash flows, posing a risk.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows declining revenues, with a revenue decrease of 4.3% from 2023 to the TTM period. Gross Profit Margin stands at 64.0% in TTM, indicating strong cost management. However, the company faces challenges with profitability as both EBIT and Net Profit Margins are negative, at -10.4% and -11.4% respectively, reflecting continued operational losses.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a stable equity position with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.03, indicating low financial leverage. However, the continuous decline in equity and total assets over the years could be a concern. The Equity Ratio for TTM is 77.2%, showing a strong equity base, but the negative net income impacts Return on Equity, which remains negative.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating and free cash flows, indicating potential liquidity issues. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.23 for TTM, suggesting efficiency challenges in converting income into cash. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is -0.31, further highlighting cash generation difficulties relative to net losses.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
47.95M48.12M49.91M52.17M53.48M51.22M
Gross Profit
30.70M30.95M29.33M31.71M31.78M30.33M
EBIT
-5.00M-4.45M-9.64M-8.07M-11.65M-25.45M
EBITDA
-3.20M-1.80M-5.76M-4.03M2.22M-36.18M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-5.48M-4.95M-9.91M-8.24M-4.39M-42.99M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
10.02M12.77M14.61M20.47M27.09M33.85M
Total Assets
40.63M43.20M47.48M56.79M65.83M77.73M
Total Debt
1.10M1.22M2.10M1.64M3.26M9.91M
Net Debt
-8.92M-11.55M-12.51M-18.84M-23.83M-23.94M
Total Liabilities
9.26M10.57M11.61M12.68M14.32M25.05M
Stockholders Equity
31.37M32.63M35.87M44.11M51.50M52.69M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-1.67M-1.53M-5.77M-5.16M-7.69M-4.73M
Operating Cash Flow
-1.25M-1.10M-4.39M-2.29M-6.34M-3.37M
Investing Cash Flow
-714.00K-429.00K-1.31M-2.87M-951.00K981.00K
Financing Cash Flow
-50.00K-307.00K-160.00K-1.46M528.00K-5.49M

Marchex Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.67
Price Trends
50DMA
1.55
Positive
100DMA
1.76
Negative
200DMA
1.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
57.95
Neutral
STOCH
73.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MCHX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.52, above the 50-day MA of 1.55, and below the 200-day MA of 1.81, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MCHX.

Marchex Risk Analysis

Marchex disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Marchex reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Marchex Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$14.12B6.43-3.57%3.69%2.49%-35.43%
58
Neutral
$62.74M-34.39%18.20%50.14%
55
Neutral
$73.32M-16.55%-2.67%21.65%
53
Neutral
$32.21M6.468.21%-8.74%
HHHHS
46
Neutral
$34.98M-147.49%-4.46%-3053.30%
45
Neutral
$96.60M-135.48%-12.77%19.71%
38
Underperform
$32.24M-123.16%-15.07%33.40%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MCHX
Marchex
1.67
0.23
15.97%
HHS
Harte-Hanks
4.75
-2.66
-35.90%
INUV
Inuvo
0.43
0.13
43.33%
FLNT
Fluent
1.56
-2.45
-61.10%
CDLX
Cardlytics
1.84
-7.96
-81.22%
WIMI
WiMi Hologram Cloud
3.28
-5.51
-62.68%

Marchex Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 15.17%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights Marchex's successful strategic transformation and technological advancements, along with promising new product launches and strong future financial guidance. However, there are concerns about the current revenue impacts due to seasonal factors and broader economic uncertainties.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Transformation into SaaS-Based Prescriptive Analytics Provider
Marchex has completed its two-year strategic transformation into a SaaS-based prescriptive analytics provider powered by AI and proprietary first-party conversational data.
OneStack Platform Unification
The unification of Marchex's technology stack into the OneStack platform has centralized data and improved gross margins by approximately 8% compared to Q1 2023.
Launch of AI-Driven Products
New AI-powered products like 'Engage for Sales' and 'Engage for Service' have been launched, targeting new multimillion-dollar opportunities in the auto industry.
Expansion into Microsoft Marketplace
Marchex has expanded its reach by launching its first product in the Microsoft Marketplace, allowing global access via Azure.
Financial Guidance for 2025
The company anticipates achieving over $12.5 million in quarterly revenue by the end of 2025, with an annualized revenue run rate of $50 million or better.
New Share Repurchase Program
Marchex announced a new share repurchase program, reflecting confidence in its financial position and future growth.
Negative Updates
Seasonal and Timing Impacts on Revenue
First quarter revenue was affected by seasonal call traffic and the timing of new sales, impacting the current financial performance.
Macro-Economic Uncertainty
The company acknowledges potential risks due to macro-economic factors that could impact customer behavior and financial performance variability.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter 2025 earnings call, Marchex provided optimistic guidance for the fiscal year, anticipating a significant increase in revenue and profitability. The company reported first-quarter revenue of $11.4 million and projected an annualized revenue run rate of over $50 million by the end of 2025. Marchex expects quarterly revenue to exceed $12.5 million, with quarterly adjusted EBITDA surpassing $1.5 million, leading to an annualized adjusted EBITDA of $6 million. The company's strategic transformation, marked by the consolidation of its technology stack into the OneStack platform, has already contributed to an 8% increase in gross margin compared to the first quarter of 2023. Despite potential macroeconomic uncertainties, Marchex is poised for growth through the introduction of AI-driven solutions, expanded sales channels, and deeper penetration into high-value verticals such as Auto, Auto Services, Home Services, and Healthcare. The company also highlighted the adoption of a new share repurchase program and the sale of an unused domain as part of its financial strategy.

Marchex Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Marchex Launches New Share Repurchase Program
Neutral
May 13, 2025

Marchex announced a new share repurchase program to buy back up to 3 million shares of its Class B common stock, replacing previous programs. The company reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, showing a slight decrease in revenue and an increased net loss compared to the previous year. Despite these results, Marchex is optimistic about future growth, highlighting strategic milestones in its transformation into an AI-powered prescriptive analytics leader. The company is expanding its product platform and increasing investments in sales and marketing to support growth, while leveraging its first-party data for enhanced customer insights. Marchex also sold a domain asset for $0.8 million and expanded its auto vertical OEM sales channel, expecting these initiatives to improve financial performance and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (MCHX) stock is a Buy with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marchex stock, see the MCHX Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Marchex Reports Strong Q2 2023 Financial Results
Positive
Mar 21, 2025

Marchex has announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2023, highlighting a revenue increase driven by strong demand for its call analytics solutions. The company reported a net income improvement compared to the previous year, reflecting effective cost management and operational efficiencies. This financial performance underscores Marchex’s competitive positioning in the call analytics industry and suggests positive implications for its stakeholders.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.