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Advantage Solutions (ADV)
NASDAQ:ADV
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Advantage Solutions (ADV) AI Stock Analysis

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ADV

Advantage Solutions

(NASDAQ:ADV)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(33.33% Upside)
Advantage Solutions' overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including persistent losses and high leverage, which weigh heavily on its financial performance. The technical analysis provides mixed signals, with some short-term volatility. The valuation is unattractive due to negative earnings and no dividend yield. However, the earnings call highlights potential improvements in operational efficiency and labor management, offering some optimism for future performance.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency Improvements
Efforts to enhance operational efficiency and labor management can lead to cost savings and improved service delivery, strengthening long-term competitiveness.
Experiential Services Growth
Growth in experiential services indicates strong demand and successful execution, contributing to revenue stability and potential market expansion.
Cash Flow and Liquidity Position
A solid cash position and expected stronger cash generation enhance financial flexibility, supporting strategic investments and debt management.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and weather economic downturns.
Decline in Branded Services Revenue
Declining revenue in branded services reflects challenges in maintaining client relationships and adapting to market conditions, impacting overall growth.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flow indicates difficulties in sustaining operations and funding growth, potentially leading to liquidity issues and reliance on external financing.

Advantage Solutions (ADV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Advantage Solutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAdvantage Solutions (ADV) is a leading provider of outsourced sales and marketing solutions, primarily serving the consumer goods industry. The company operates across various sectors, including retail, grocery, and foodservice, offering services such as merchandising, sales force management, digital marketing, and promotional execution. Advantage Solutions focuses on enhancing brand visibility and driving sales through innovative strategies and comprehensive market insights.
How the Company Makes MoneyAdvantage Solutions generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily by charging clients for its sales, marketing, and promotional services. The company works on a fee-for-service basis, where clients pay for the execution of marketing campaigns and sales initiatives. Additionally, Advantage Solutions earns income through performance-based incentives tied to sales growth and market penetration. The company also benefits from long-term contracts with major retailers and manufacturers, which provide a steady income stream. Strategic partnerships with brands and distribution networks further enhance its revenue potential by expanding its service offerings and market reach.

Advantage Solutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed performance with notable growth in experiential and retailer services, as well as a strong cash position and successful private brand advisory. However, significant challenges remain in branded services, with declining revenues and the impact of transformation investments on profitability. The company's initiatives to improve operational efficiency and labor management are positive indicators for future performance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Experiential Services Growth
Experiential services generated $249 million in revenue and $26 million in adjusted EBITDA, up 6% and 14% year-over-year, respectively. The recovery in staffing levels enabled more events to be executed in the quarter.
Retailer Services Performance
Retailer Services reported an 8% growth in adjusted EBITDA to $26 million. Improved staffing levels and increased merchandising activity contributed to growth.
Cash Flow and Liquidity Position
The company ended the quarter with $103 million of cash on hand and expects stronger cash generation in the second half of the year. They maintain ample liquidity with approximately $400 million available on the untapped revolving credit facility.
Private Brand Advisory Success
Daymon, the company's private brand advisory, has won over 30 awards this year for best-in-class work, indicating strong market recognition and capability.
Centralized Labor Management System
A new centralized labor management model is set to be operational by early 2026, expected to yield a 30% lift in available hours for teammates, improving retention and productivity.
Negative Updates
Decline in Branded Services Revenue
Branded services generated $257 million in revenue and $34 million in adjusted EBITDA, down 10% and 21% year-over-year, respectively, primarily due to client losses and a difficult macroeconomic backdrop.
Overall Revenue and EBITDA Decline
Second quarter revenues were $736 million and adjusted EBITDA was $86 million, down 2% and 4% from the prior year, respectively, reflecting challenges in certain business segments.
Ongoing Transformation Investment Impact
Continued investment in transformation initiatives weighed on profitability during the quarter, impacting overall financial performance.
Challenges in Brokerage and Omnicommerce Marketing
Branded services, particularly brokerage and omnicommerce marketing, faced challenges due to client-specific reductions and a pullback in sales and marketing investments.
Company Guidance
During the Advantage Solutions Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance indicating a challenging yet optimistic outlook for the remainder of the year. The firm reported second-quarter revenues of $736 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $86 million, reflecting year-over-year declines of 2% and 4%, respectively. Despite these declines, Advantage Solutions is confident about sequential improvements in the second half of the year, driven by operational enhancements and staffing recoveries. The company anticipates revenue and adjusted EBITDA to be flat to down low single digits compared to the previous year. They expect stronger cash generation in the second half, with adjusted unlevered free cash flow conversion aiming to exceed 50% of adjusted EBITDA. The guidance is supported by favorable demand signals for experiential and retail merchandising services and a reduction in shared service costs. The leadership remains focused on transformation investments, aimed at achieving a 30% lift in labor utilization and improving service efficiency. The company is also advancing its AI-enabled Pulse system to enhance decision-making and operational efficiency, positioning Advantage Solutions to navigate market challenges while aiming for a return to a net free cash flow conversion rate of at least 25% of adjusted EBITDA in the coming years.

Advantage Solutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Advantage Solutions faces significant financial challenges, with persistent losses and high leverage. While there is slight revenue growth, profitability and cash flow generation are major concerns. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and manage its debt levels to improve financial health and stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Advantage Solutions has shown a slight revenue growth of 1% in the TTM period, but profitability remains a concern with negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin is stable at around 14%, but the company struggles with negative EBIT and net profit margins, indicating operational inefficiencies and high costs relative to revenue.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.42, indicating significant leverage, which poses a risk in terms of financial stability. The return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses and challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the high leverage suggests a lower proportion of equity in the capital structure.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow metrics are concerning, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM period. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, but this is due to the negative net income. The company faces challenges in generating positive cash flows, which could impact its ability to fund operations and growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.53B3.57B3.90B3.65B3.60B3.16B
Gross Profit501.50M507.27M485.08M472.85M638.17M604.19M
EBITDA26.32M-89.85M255.73M328.98M508.53M277.84M
Net Income-307.23M-326.96M-63.26M-1.38B54.49M-175.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.03B3.11B3.78B4.26B5.85B5.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments120.20M205.23M120.84M120.72M164.62M204.30M
Total Debt1.67B1.74B1.92B2.11B2.10B2.16B
Total Liabilities2.34B2.36B2.68B3.03B3.27B3.26B
Stockholders Equity690.92M748.74M1.11B1.12B2.48B2.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-59.02M37.76M192.72M80.80M94.82M314.78M
Operating Cash Flow-5.06M93.09M239.00M121.26M125.99M345.73M
Investing Cash Flow82.23M206.45M-50.52M-108.55M-75.84M-99.00M
Financing Cash Flow-121.01M-211.42M-178.40M-46.64M-86.30M-230.15M

Advantage Solutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1.70
Negative
100DMA
1.55
Negative
200DMA
1.84
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
31.52
Neutral
STOCH
3.46
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.75, below the 50-day MA of 1.70, and below the 200-day MA of 1.84, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.46 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ADV.

Advantage Solutions Risk Analysis

Advantage Solutions disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Advantage Solutions reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Advantage Solutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$609.95M0.850.38%11.31%5084.80%
71
Outperform
$874.81M15.0810.51%6.16%-1.92%49.63%
61
Neutral
$974.03M127.572.03%1.22%9.96%
52
Neutral
$417.98M-20.38-5.42%2.02%13.34%-107.92%
48
Neutral
$501.96M-36.12%-10.21%-81.84%
31
Underperform
$120.94M-13.27-569.80%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADV
Advantage Solutions
1.50
-1.63
-52.08%
DLX
Deluxe
19.42
1.91
10.91%
NCMI
National Cinemedia
4.46
-2.09
-31.91%
XNET
Xunlei
9.75
7.62
357.75%
EEX
Emerald Expositions Events
4.92
0.66
15.49%
VSME
VS Media Holdings Limited Class A
2.44
1.64
205.00%

Advantage Solutions Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Advantage Solutions Announces Executive Transition Agreement
Neutral
Aug 22, 2025

On August 18, 2025, Andrea Young, a former executive officer at Advantage Solutions Inc., entered into a transition agreement with a company subsidiary. The agreement outlines a reduction in her salary and her continued service in a non-executive role until August 15, 2026, with severance benefits including cash payments, health insurance, and continued vesting of equity awards. This transition reflects a strategic personnel adjustment within the company, potentially impacting its operational dynamics and stakeholder relations.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Advantage Solutions Appoints New COO for Branded Services
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Advantage Solutions announced the appointment of Jeffrey Harsh as the new Chief Operating Officer for its Branded Services segment, effective August 25, 2025. Harsh, who brings extensive experience from The Hershey Company, will succeed Dean General, who transitions to a new role as Chief Industry Development Officer. This leadership change aims to enhance the company’s ability to deliver value and support clients’ evolving needs, with Harsh focusing on operational excellence and client engagement strategies.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Advantage Solutions Announces Leadership Transition in June 2025
Neutral
Jun 11, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Advantage Solutions Inc. announced a transition in its leadership team, specifically within its Experiential Services division. Andrea Young will step down as Chief Operating Officer, Experiential Services, effective June 30, 2025, to focus on personal health and other business opportunities, including potential board service. Michael Taylor will assume the role of Chief Operating Officer, Retailer and Experiential Services, on the same date. This transition may impact the company’s operations and strategic direction within the industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 20, 2025