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Advantage Solutions (ADV)
NASDAQ:ADV
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Advantage Solutions (ADV) AI Stock Analysis

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ADV

Advantage Solutions

(NASDAQ:ADV)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$38.00
▲(4.28% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/01/26
Overall score reflects strong technical trend and solid cash flow/deleveraging progress, partially offset by persistently weak profitability (negative earnings driving a low valuation score) and a cautious earnings outlook with segment/margin headwinds.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Consistent, improving free cash flow despite accounting losses provides durable financial flexibility. Strong cash generation funds capex, technology rollouts, and debt paydown without relying on equity markets, supporting execution of multi-year efficiency programs and buy-in for strategic investments.
Negative Factors
Persistent Weak Profitability
Ongoing net losses and volatile operating results constrain returns on equity and limit retained earnings accumulation. Sustained negative profitability hampers reinvestment capacity, investor confidence, and the ability to demonstrably convert revenue growth into durable shareholder value.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash Generation
Consistent, improving free cash flow despite accounting losses provides durable financial flexibility. Strong cash generation funds capex, technology rollouts, and debt paydown without relying on equity markets, supporting execution of multi-year efficiency programs and buy-in for strategic investments.
Read all positive factors

Advantage Solutions (ADV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Advantage Solutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Advantage Solutions Inc. (ADV) offers specialized outsourced services to consumer product manufacturers and retailers, operating throughout North America and internationally. The company's operations are structured into two main divisions: Sales a...
How the Company Makes Money
Advantage Solutions makes money primarily by providing outsourced sales, merchandising, and marketing services to CPG manufacturers and retailers under service contracts. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Merchandising and in-store execut...

Advantage Solutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed but stable picture: strong operational and financial momentum in Experiential Services, improved Retailer Services performance, robust cash generation and meaningful progress on technology, centralized labor and AI initiatives. However, significant weakness persists in Branded Services (double-digit revenue and EBITDA declines), margin mix pressures from growth concentrated in lower-margin businesses, near-term elevated DSOs related to system implementations, and ongoing macro headwinds. Management reiterated cautious full-year guidance and emphasized a timeline for realizing technology-driven efficiencies in 2027.
Positive Updates
Total Company Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Total company net revenues of $723 million, up 4% year-over-year and up 4.7% on a pro forma basis (excluding divestitures). Adjusted EBITDA of $68 million, up >16% year-over-year and up 22% on a pro forma basis, driven by strong incremental margins in Experiential Services and improved Retailer Services profitability.
Negative Updates
Branded Services Revenue and EBITDA Decline
Branded Services generated $226 million of revenue, down 12% year-over-year, and $21 million of adjusted EBITDA, down 25% year-over-year. On a pro forma basis (excluding recent divestitures), revenue was down 10% and EBITDA down 17%. Segment under pressure from macro weakness, select client losses and unfavorable mix shift.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Total Company Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Total company net revenues of $723 million, up 4% year-over-year and up 4.7% on a pro forma basis (excluding divestitures). Adjusted EBITDA of $68 million, up >16% year-over-year and up 22% on a pro forma basis, driven by strong incremental margins in Experiential Services and improved Retailer Services profitability.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated 2026 guidance of flat to low-single-digit revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA flat to down mid-single-digits, with adjusted unlevered free cash flow expected to be $250–$275 million and net free cash flow conversion of ~25% of adjusted EBITDA (excluding incremental debt‑extension costs); they said Q1 results included $723 million of net revenues (+4% YoY, +4.7% pro forma), $68 million of adjusted EBITDA (+>16%, +22% pro forma), $74 million of adjusted unlevered free cash flow (110% conversion in Q1), $144 million of cash on hand, roughly $130 million of debt paid down in the quarter, net leverage of 4.2x adjusted EBITDA (down from 4.4x) with a long‑term target of ~3.5x or below, and that first‑half adjusted EBITDA should represent the low‑40% range of full year; they also said capex is on pace with full‑year expectations, DSOs will be elevated near term due to system implementations but should improve later in the year, and full‑year restructuring costs should be about half last year’s level.

Advantage Solutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: revenue is roughly flat and profitability is weak with negative operating profit and a sizable net loss (low income-statement quality), but the balance sheet shows reduced leverage and cash flow is a clear strength with solid, improving free cash flow despite accounting losses.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.59B3.54B3.57B3.90B3.65B3.60B
Gross Profit350.57M494.35M507.27M485.08M472.85M638.17M
EBITDA78.02M75.88M-89.85M255.73M-1.26B469.13M
Net Income-243.44M-227.74M-326.96M-63.32M-1.38B54.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.56B2.79B3.11B3.78B4.26B5.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments143.87M240.85M205.23M120.84M120.72M164.62M
Total Debt1.55B13.25M1.74B1.91B2.11B2.10B
Total Liabilities2.09B2.24B2.36B2.68B3.03B3.27B
Stockholders Equity478.03M553.96M748.74M1.11B1.12B2.48B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow61.98M55.05M37.76M186.93M71.69M94.82M
Operating Cash Flow111.19M61.53M93.09M228.49M104.70M125.99M
Investing Cash Flow49.79M3.84M206.45M-50.52M-106.10M-75.84M
Financing Cash Flow-147.02M-36.21M-211.42M-178.40M-31.38M-86.30M

Advantage Solutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price36.44
Price Trends
50DMA
39.19
Positive
100DMA
33.62
Positive
200DMA
28.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.80
Positive
RSI
44.95
Neutral
STOCH
19.18
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.98, below the 50-day MA of 39.19, and above the 200-day MA of 28.72, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.80 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.18 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ADV.

Advantage Solutions Risk Analysis

Advantage Solutions disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Advantage Solutions reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Advantage Solutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$1.25B11.5915.49%4.49%0.55%82.53%
64
Neutral
$328.73M0.0767.00%42.03%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
$574.62M-2.17-40.17%1.81%42.29%
60
Neutral
$377.93M-42.63-2.31%3.18%1.72%52.08%
31
Underperform
$3.37M-2.93-43.19%-8.74%88.46%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADV
Advantage Solutions
40.59
8.09
24.89%
DLX
Deluxe
25.98
11.02
73.71%
NCMI
National Cinemedia
4.00
-0.52
-11.47%
XNET
Xunlei
5.66
1.25
28.34%
VSME
VS Media Holdings Limited Class A
1.30
-25.50
-95.15%

Advantage Solutions Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Advantage Solutions Shareholders Back Board, Pay and Auditor
Positive
May 28, 2026
On May 27, 2026, Advantage Solutions Inc. held its 2026 annual stockholders meeting, where shareholders elected directors Tiffany Han, Adam Levyn, David Peacock and David J. West to the board, with approximately 88.7% of Class A common stock repre...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 01, 2026