Advantage Solutions (ADV)
NASDAQ:ADV
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Advantage Solutions (ADV) AI Stock Analysis

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ADV

Advantage Solutions

(NASDAQ:ADV)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-13.04% Downside)
Advantage Solutions' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, characterized by declining revenues and negative profitability margins. Technical analysis further indicates bearish trends, with the stock trading below key moving averages. Valuation metrics are unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield. The earnings call provided some positive insights, such as strong cash flow generation, but overall challenges persist, leading to a cautious outlook.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation indicates effective working capital management, providing the company with financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic downturns.
Experiential Segment Growth
Growth in the Experiential segment reflects increasing demand and improved operational efficiency, which can drive future revenue and margin expansion.
Successful SAP Implementation
The successful ERP implementation enhances operational efficiency and data integration, leading to better decision-making and cost management.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenues indicate potential challenges in maintaining market share and competitive positioning, which could impact long-term growth prospects.
Negative Profitability Margins
Negative profitability margins suggest operational inefficiencies and competitive pressures, which may hinder the company's ability to achieve sustainable profitability.
Increasing Leverage
Higher leverage increases financial risk and limits the company's ability to invest in growth initiatives, potentially affecting long-term stability.

Advantage Solutions (ADV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Advantage Solutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAdvantage Solutions (ADV) is a leading provider of outsourced sales and marketing solutions, primarily serving the consumer goods industry. The company operates across various sectors, including retail, grocery, and foodservice, offering services such as merchandising, sales force management, digital marketing, and promotional execution. Advantage Solutions focuses on enhancing brand visibility and driving sales through innovative strategies and comprehensive market insights.
How the Company Makes MoneyAdvantage Solutions generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily by charging clients for its sales, marketing, and promotional services. The company works on a fee-for-service basis, where clients pay for the execution of marketing campaigns and sales initiatives. Additionally, Advantage Solutions earns income through performance-based incentives tied to sales growth and market penetration. The company also benefits from long-term contracts with major retailers and manufacturers, which provide a steady income stream. Strategic partnerships with brands and distribution networks further enhance its revenue potential by expanding its service offerings and market reach.

Advantage Solutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive and negative aspects. While the company showed strong cash flow generation, successful ERP implementation, and growth in the Experiential segment, it faced challenges with revenue declines in Branded and Retailer Services, and a generally tough macroeconomic environment. The sentiment is balanced, with cautious optimism for future performance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Flow Generation
The company generated strong cash flow driven by improvements in working capital, resulting in adjusted unlevered free cash flow of $98 million, nearly 100% of EBITDA.
Experiential Segment Growth
Experiential Services generated $274 million in revenues and $35 million in adjusted EBITDA, up 8% and 52% year-over-year, respectively. Demand for events continued to rise, and staffing levels improved, resulting in higher revenues and incremental margins.
Successful SAP Implementation
The company successfully implemented its new ERP and enterprise data infrastructure, improving efficiency gains and cash flow, and enhancing data integration and performance visibility.
Partnership with Instacart
Expanded collaboration with Instacart to enhance retail execution through live in-store audit capabilities, building an alert-based retail model to quickly identify and correct on-shelf availability, pricing, and display issues in real time.
Increased Cash Position
Ended the quarter with over $200 million in cash, including proceeds from the sale of a 7.5% equity stake in Acxion Foodservice.
Negative Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Decline in Branded Services
Branded Services generated $258 million in revenues and $42 million in adjusted EBITDA, down 9% and 15% year-over-year, respectively, due to uncertain market conditions, tariffs, and a softening growth environment.
Retailer Services Revenue Decline
Retailer Services generated $249 million in revenues and $23 million in adjusted EBITDA, down 6% and 22% year-over-year, respectively, due to a difficult comparison and timing shifts in project activity.
Overall Revenue Decline
Total revenues were $781 million, down 2.6% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA at $99.6 million, a decline of 1.4% versus the prior year.
Challenging Macro Environment
Inflationary pressures and a cautious consumer continue to curb demand, affecting retailer and branded services, and contributing to a challenging macro environment.
Company Guidance
Advantage Solutions' third-quarter 2025 earnings call provided detailed guidance on several key metrics and the company's broader strategic direction. Revenues for the quarter were reported at $781 million, marking a 2.6% decline year-over-year, while adjusted EBITDA stood at $99.6 million, down by 1.4% from the previous year. The company generated strong cash flow, with adjusted unlevered free cash flow reaching $98 million, nearly equating to 100% of EBITDA. Advantage Solutions ended the quarter with over $200 million in cash, bolstered by the sale of its 7.5% equity stake in Acxion Foodservice. Despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, particularly affecting the Branded Services segment, the company maintained its revenue growth guidance of flat to down low single digits for the year and adjusted its EBITDA guidance to reflect the divestiture and current market conditions, anticipating a mid-single-digit decline. The call highlighted robust demand in the Experiential Services segment, with a 7% increase in demo event volume and a 91% execution rate, as well as optimism for improved revenue and EBITDA in Retailer Services in the fourth quarter. The company's strategic focus remains on enhancing technology platforms, improving labor utilization, and leveraging partnerships, such as its expanded collaboration with Instacart, to drive efficiency and effectiveness in its operations.

Advantage Solutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Advantage Solutions faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, negative profitability margins, and increasing leverage. The company's cash flow situation is concerning, with negative growth and low coverage ratios. Overall, the financial health of the company is weak, and it faces substantial risks in improving its financial performance.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Advantage Solutions has experienced declining revenue growth, with a significant drop in the TTM period. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable but low, while the net profit margin is negative, indicating ongoing losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased, indicating higher leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is negative, showing that the company is not generating profits from its equity base. The equity ratio is declining, suggesting a weakening financial position.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Free cash flow has significantly decreased in the TTM period, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, but overall cash flow performance is weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.50B3.57B3.90B3.65B3.60B3.16B
Gross Profit495.78M507.27M485.08M472.85M638.17M604.19M
EBITDA68.69M-89.85M255.73M-1.26B469.13M292.24M
Net Income-243.89M-326.96M-63.32M-1.38B54.49M-175.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.99B3.11B3.78B4.26B5.85B5.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments201.14M205.23M120.84M120.72M164.62M204.30M
Total Debt13.25M1.74B1.91B2.11B2.10B2.16B
Total Liabilities2.29B2.36B2.68B3.03B3.27B3.26B
Stockholders Equity708.50M748.74M1.11B1.12B2.48B2.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.09M37.76M186.93M71.69M94.82M314.78M
Operating Cash Flow24.55M93.09M228.49M104.70M125.99M345.73M
Investing Cash Flow-11.35M206.45M-50.52M-106.10M-75.84M-99.00M
Financing Cash Flow-9.84M-211.42M-178.40M-31.38M-86.30M-230.15M

Advantage Solutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.15
Price Trends
50DMA
1.52
Negative
100DMA
1.56
Negative
200DMA
1.62
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
34.99
Neutral
STOCH
35.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.32, below the 50-day MA of 1.52, and below the 200-day MA of 1.62, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ADV.

Advantage Solutions Risk Analysis

Advantage Solutions disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Advantage Solutions reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Advantage Solutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$909.60M11.0812.96%6.60%-0.94%47.48%
66
Neutral
$460.27M0.37131.32%26.91%8746.89%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
53
Neutral
$791.23M185.191.21%1.50%11.18%
50
Neutral
$403.47M-26.20-4.10%3.01%-3.67%34.36%
44
Neutral
$400.91M-1.19-29.47%-7.12%-7.75%
31
Underperform
$25.55M-6.87-194.72%-11.51%74.52%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADV
Advantage Solutions
1.15
-2.07
-64.29%
DLX
Deluxe
20.21
-1.76
-8.01%
NCMI
National Cinemedia
3.99
-2.62
-39.64%
XNET
Xunlei
7.33
5.49
298.37%
EEX
Emerald Expositions Events
4.00
-0.68
-14.53%
VSME
VS Media Holdings Limited Class A
0.17
-1.00
-85.47%

Advantage Solutions Corporate Events

Advantage Solutions Earnings Call: Balancing Growth and Challenges
Nov 8, 2025

Advantage Solutions Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a balanced sentiment with both positive and negative aspects. The company demonstrated strong cash flow generation and growth in its Experiential segment, alongside a successful ERP implementation. However, it faced challenges with revenue declines in Branded and Retailer Services amid a tough macroeconomic environment. The overall sentiment was one of cautious optimism for future performance.

Advantage Solutions Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 7, 2025

Advantage Solutions Inc. is a leading business solutions provider in North America, specializing in omnichannel retail services for consumer goods manufacturers and retailers. The company leverages data and technology to optimize retail experiences and drive demand across various channels.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Advantage Solutions Announces Executive Transition Agreement
Neutral
Aug 22, 2025

On August 18, 2025, Andrea Young, a former executive officer at Advantage Solutions Inc., entered into a transition agreement with a company subsidiary. The agreement outlines a reduction in her salary and her continued service in a non-executive role until August 15, 2026, with severance benefits including cash payments, health insurance, and continued vesting of equity awards. This transition reflects a strategic personnel adjustment within the company, potentially impacting its operational dynamics and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADV) stock is a Buy with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Advantage Solutions stock, see the ADV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2025