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Advantage Solutions (ADV)
NASDAQ:ADV

Advantage Solutions (ADV) AI Stock Analysis

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Advantage Solutions

(NASDAQ:ADV)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-4.46%Downside)
Advantage Solutions faces significant challenges with declining financial performance and unfavorable valuation metrics. Despite some positive technical indicators and strategic management initiatives, the overall outlook is hindered by macroeconomic pressures and operational inefficiencies.
Positive Factors
Efficiency Gains
Efficiency gains should also be achievable on the IT infrastructure side of the business, with implementation of an enterprise-wide ERP platform.
Operational Optimization
ADV is optimizing its operating model for better margins, despite a tough macro quarter in CPG and grocery retail.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressures
The stock's potential upside is significantly offset by competitive pressures and the inability to pass through costs.
Labor Market
Staffing shortages have accelerated due to a historically tight labor market, creating additional challenges for ADV.
Macro Pressures
Macro pressures, labor headwinds, and declining sentiment have negatively impacted ADV's recent financial results.

Advantage Solutions (ADV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Advantage Solutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAdvantage Solutions Inc. provides outsourced solutions to consumer goods companies and retailers in North America and internationally. It operates in two segments, Sales and Marketing. The Sales segment offers brand-centric services, such as headquarter relationship management; analytics, insights, and intelligence; administration; and brand-centric merchandising services. This segment also provides retailer-centric services comprising retailer-centric merchandising, in-store media, and digital commerce. The Marketing segment offers brand-centric services, including shopper and consumer marketing, and brand experiential services; and retailer-centric services, such as retail experiential, private label, digital marketing, and digital media and advertising. The company was formerly known as Karman Holding Corp. and changed its name to Advantage Solutions Inc. in March 2016. Advantage Solutions Inc. was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyAdvantage Solutions generates revenue through a variety of service offerings aimed at helping their clients increase sales and market presence. The company primarily earns money by providing outsourced sales services, which involve acting as the sales force for consumer goods manufacturers, helping them to place products in retail locations and increase product visibility. Another significant revenue stream comes from retail merchandising services, where Advantage Solutions assists retailers with in-store product placement, promotional displays, and inventory management. Additionally, the company offers marketing services that include digital marketing, consumer engagement, and analytics to help clients optimize their marketing strategies and achieve higher returns on their marketing investments. Advantage Solutions' earnings are also supported by strategic partnerships with major retailers and consumer goods companies, which enable them to leverage a wide network and drive efficiencies in their service delivery.

Advantage Solutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.80%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed outlook for Advantage Solutions. While there are notable achievements in technology infrastructure progress and strong demand in Experiential Services, the company faces challenges with declining revenues, staffing issues, and a softened growth environment. The proactive measures to improve labor utilization and debt reduction are positive, but significant hurdles remain due to macroeconomic factors.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Tech Infrastructure Progress
Advantage Solutions is making significant progress on modernizing its tech infrastructure, with Phase 2 of the ERP implementation rolled out internationally without notable disruption. The complete implementation of the data platform is on track for the second half of 2025.
Improved Labor Utilization Initiatives
New processes in talent acquisition have started to yield benefits, with better hiring rates and improved staffing and execution rates in Q2. The centralized labor model initiative is expected to cover the majority of part-time labor hours in the near to medium term.
Solid Demand in Experiential Services
Despite staffing challenges, demand for Experiential Services remains strong with a 3% year-over-year growth in events per day and execution rates of approximately 93%.
Debt Reduction and Cash Management
Advantage Solutions voluntarily repurchased $20 million of debt and $1 million of shares, ending the quarter with $121 million of cash and an untapped revolving credit facility of nearly $400 million.
Negative Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Decline
First quarter revenues of $696 million and adjusted EBITDA of $58 million were down 5% and 18%, respectively, from the prior year.
Consumer Spending Pullbacks
Decreased consumer confidence and tariff concerns led to lower-than-expected consumer purchases, resulting in some clients reevaluating their spending levels, impacting sales negatively.
Challenges in Staffing and Execution
Difficulties in staffing across Experiential and Retailer Services segments led to execution shortfalls, exacerbated by intentional turnover and attrition designed to upskill talent acquisition teams.
Lowered Revenue and EBITDA Outlook
The company has lowered its revenue and adjusted EBITDA outlook to flat to down low single digits due to a softer growth environment and macroeconomic challenges.
Company Guidance
During the Advantage Solutions First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported a 5% decrease in revenues to $696 million and an 18% decline in adjusted EBITDA to $58 million compared to the previous year. The decline was attributed to intentional client exits, anticipated transformation-related investments, and a challenging macroeconomic environment marked by reduced consumer confidence and increased uncertainty due to tariff concerns. These factors led to lower-than-expected consumer purchases and a reduction in retailer inventories. The company also faced labor market challenges, impacting their Experiential and Retailer Services segments. Despite these hurdles, Advantage Solutions remains optimistic about future opportunities, notably in private label and supply chain services, and maintains a robust new business pipeline. Consequently, they adjusted their revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance to flat to down low single digits for the year. The company also reiterated its adjusted unlevered cash flow guidance, projecting it to exceed 50% of adjusted EBITDA, while continuing to invest in tech infrastructure and talent acquisition to drive long-term performance.

Advantage Solutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Advantage Solutions shows a mixed financial picture with declining revenues and profitability challenges as evidenced by negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. The balance sheet is more stable with improved leverage, though ongoing net losses persist. Cash flow generation is inconsistent, reflecting financial uncertainty.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company shows a declining trend in revenue with a negative revenue growth rate. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) reports a gross profit margin of 12.63% and a net profit margin of -11.08%. Furthermore, both EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, indicating operational inefficiencies and losses.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio has improved in the TTM, showing a decrease in total debt. However, the return on equity remains negative, reflecting ongoing net losses. The equity ratio is at 23.07%, demonstrating a moderate level of financial stability.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The free cash flow has significantly decreased in recent years, showing volatility. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some level of cash flow generation despite net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is weak due to minimal free cash flow.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.53B3.57B3.90B4.05B3.60B3.16B
Gross Profit
496.74M507.27M564.38M556.56M638.17M604.19M
EBIT
-279.65M-294.98M76.19M-1.49B230.05M67.01M
EBITDA
23.00M-82.75M301.17M400.96M466.36M277.84M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-377.62M-326.96M-63.26M-1.38B54.49M-175.81M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
121.15M205.23M120.84M120.72M164.62M204.30M
Total Assets
3.01B3.11B3.78B4.26B5.85B5.78B
Total Debt
1.68B1.74B1.92B2.11B2.10B2.16B
Net Debt
1.56B1.53B1.79B1.99B1.94B1.96B
Total Liabilities
2.32B2.36B2.68B3.03B3.27B3.26B
Stockholders Equity
695.58M748.74M1.11B1.12B2.48B2.42B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
577.00K37.76M192.72M80.80M94.82M314.78M
Operating Cash Flow
54.87M93.09M239.00M121.26M125.99M345.73M
Investing Cash Flow
120.31M206.45M-50.52M-113.54M-75.84M-99.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-166.60M-211.42M-178.40M-41.64M-86.30M-230.15M

Advantage Solutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.57
Price Trends
50DMA
1.29
Positive
100DMA
1.74
Negative
200DMA
2.51
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
59.81
Neutral
STOCH
59.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.33, above the 50-day MA of 1.29, and below the 200-day MA of 2.51, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ADV.

Advantage Solutions Risk Analysis

Advantage Solutions disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Advantage Solutions reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Advantage Solutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DLDLX
72
Outperform
$672.89M12.079.10%7.98%-2.69%61.73%
61
Neutral
$14.74B5.97-3.99%6.57%2.79%-32.84%
ADADV
53
Neutral
$502.68M-42.89%-13.81%-433.86%
BOBOC
50
Neutral
$440.98M490.460.16%11.58%
50
Neutral
$504.53M-4.73%1.12%42.01%-100.56%
CCCCO
48
Neutral
$571.22M4.92%-17.54%66.05%
31
Underperform
$9.87M-157.27%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADV
Advantage Solutions
1.57
-1.17
-42.70%
CCO
Clear Channel Outdoor
1.10
-0.28
-20.29%
DLX
Deluxe
14.80
-5.46
-26.95%
NCMI
National Cinemedia
5.21
0.91
21.16%
BOC
Boston Omaha
13.88
-0.03
-0.22%
VSME
VS Media Holdings Limited Class A
1.02
-0.54
-34.62%

Advantage Solutions Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Advantage Solutions Announces Leadership Transition in June 2025
Neutral
Jun 11, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Advantage Solutions Inc. announced a transition in its leadership team, specifically within its Experiential Services division. Andrea Young will step down as Chief Operating Officer, Experiential Services, effective June 30, 2025, to focus on personal health and other business opportunities, including potential board service. Michael Taylor will assume the role of Chief Operating Officer, Retailer and Experiential Services, on the same date. This transition may impact the company’s operations and strategic direction within the industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADV) stock is a Buy with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Advantage Solutions stock, see the ADV Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Advantage Solutions Approves Key Proposals at Meeting
Neutral
May 29, 2025

On May 28, 2025, Advantage Solutions Inc. held its annual stockholders meeting where three key proposals were voted on by Class A stockholders. The meeting saw a high participation rate, with approximately 88.6% of shares represented. All proposals, including the election of directors, ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor, and approval of executive compensation, were passed with the required majority votes.

The most recent analyst rating on (ADV) stock is a Buy with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Advantage Solutions stock, see the ADV Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Advantage Solutions Appoints New Chief Accounting Officer
Positive
Mar 21, 2025

Advantage Solutions Inc. has appointed Daniel Gore as its new Chief Accounting Officer and principal accounting officer, effective March 24, 2025. Mr. Gore brings extensive financial leadership experience from his previous roles at 8th Avenue Food & Provisions and Benson Hill. His appointment replaces Christopher Growe, who will continue as the Chief Financial Officer. The move is expected to strengthen the company’s financial management capabilities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.