tiprankstipranks
The Cato Corporation (CATO)
NYSE:CATO

The Cato (CATO) AI Stock Analysis

216 Followers

Top Page

CATO

The Cato

(NYSE:CATO)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-28.37% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/29/26
The score is primarily pressured by weakening financial performance (declining revenue, ongoing losses, and negative free cash flow). Technicals add further downside risk with a clear downtrend (price below key moving averages and negative MACD). Valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no dividend yield data to provide support.
Positive Factors
Moderate leverage on the balance sheet
Debt just under 1.0x equity is a durable strength versus highly leveraged peers. With moderate leverage the company retains some financing flexibility to support working capital or restructure operations during a turnaround, reducing immediate solvency risk while it executes recovery plans.
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue decline
Sustained revenue decline is a structural headwind: lost scale reduces buying power, retail footprint profitability, and the ability to invest in marketing or logistics. If demand or market share does not stabilize, the company faces an extended turnaround requiring strategic repositioning or painful cost and store rationalization.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Moderate leverage on the balance sheet
Debt just under 1.0x equity is a durable strength versus highly leveraged peers. With moderate leverage the company retains some financing flexibility to support working capital or restructure operations during a turnaround, reducing immediate solvency risk while it executes recovery plans.
Read all positive factors

The Cato (CATO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

The Cato Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
The Cato Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty retailer of fashion apparel and accessories primarily in the southeastern United States. It operates through two segments, Retail and Credit. The company's stores and e-...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

The Cato Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials indicate a deteriorating profile: multi-year revenue declines, losses in 2024–2026, and negative operating/free cash flow across 2023–2026. The balance sheet leverage is moderate, but shrinking equity and negative returns reduce resilience, making this a turnaround-risk situation.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
29
Negative
BreakdownJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue653.81M649.81M708.06M759.26M769.27M
Gross Profit212.28M203.55M233.88M238.52M303.85M
EBITDA-4.20M-6.24M-3.90M12.94M51.39M
Net Income-5.91M-18.61M-22.59M41.00K34.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets421.42M452.36M486.82M553.14M633.77M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments76.32M77.70M102.95M128.66M165.76M
Total Debt150.45M145.90M153.12M174.77M184.33M
Total Liabilities264.11M290.06M294.50M326.55M379.57M
Stockholders Equity157.31M162.30M192.32M226.59M254.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.22M-27.62M-12.05M-6.06M55.68M
Operating Cash Flow-1.46M-19.75M477.00K13.37M59.79M
Investing Cash Flow-1.30M28.96M19.78M16.02M-25.33M
Financing Cash Flow-851.00K-14.05M-16.13M-29.28M-31.80M

The Cato Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.49
Price Trends
50DMA
3.01
Negative
100DMA
3.17
Negative
200DMA
3.40
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
41.28
Neutral
STOCH
32.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CATO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.90, above the 50-day MA of 3.01, and above the 200-day MA of 3.40, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CATO.

The Cato Risk Analysis

The Cato disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. The Cato reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

The Cato Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
56
Neutral
$134.08M-2.54-21.26%-8.31%36.10%
53
Neutral
$117.64M-5.06-9.82%-6.40%11.65%
46
Neutral
$29.71M-28,714.66-326.53%-12.10%-44.14%
45
Neutral
$171.63M0.05-6.46%2.91%94.12%
43
Neutral
$29.82M-1.03-5.46%-8.83%-186.80%
42
Neutral
$56.06M-9.84-3.88%-1.01%65.04%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CATO
The Cato
2.84
0.28
10.94%
TLYS
Tilly's
4.40
2.52
134.04%
DXLG
Destination XL
0.54
-0.72
-56.83%
DLTH
Duluth Holdings
3.20
1.46
83.91%
RENT
Rent the Runway
5.14
1.20
30.46%
LVLU
Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings
10.40
4.78
85.05%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 29, 2026