tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Butler National Corporation (BUKS)
OTHER OTC:BUKS
US Market

Butler National (BUKS) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
73 Followers

Top Page

BUKS

Butler National

(OTC:BUKS)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$4.50
▲(89.08% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/13/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins, improved leverage, strong ROE) and a favorable earnings update with major aerospace-driven profit gains and a sizable backlog. Valuation is supportive due to a low P/E, while technicals indicate an established uptrend without extreme momentum. The key watch item is declining free cash flow and weakness in the gaming segment.
Positive Factors
Aerospace revenue growth & backlog
A 20% aerospace revenue jump and a $46.3M backlog provide multi-quarter revenue visibility and durable demand. Combined with investments in fabrication and new CNC equipment, this supports higher-margin product expansion and steadier cash conversion over the next 2–6 months.
Strong and improving margins
Sustained high gross and operating margins, plus a move to a 38% operating margin, signal durable cost discipline and a shift toward higher-margin aerospace work. This structural margin improvement enhances earnings resilience and cash generation beyond short-term revenue swings.
Improved leverage and cash conversion
Lower leverage and strong ROE combined with near‑unit operating cash coverage and ~72% FCF conversion indicate financial flexibility. This improves the company's ability to fund capex, reinvest in operations, and pursue buybacks without over-relying on external financing.
Negative Factors
Declining free cash flow
An 8.53% decline in free cash flow is a durable concern: if the trend persists it can constrain reinvestment, limit capacity to fund expansion or buybacks, and force reliance on debt or asset sales, reducing funding flexibility over coming quarters.
Gaming segment weakness and local sensitivity
A 5% decline in gaming revenue and sensitivity to local agricultural economics weaken the firm's diversification. Persistent softness in gaming undermines revenue stability and could pressure overall margins if aerospace gains do not sustainably offset gaming volatility.
Exposure to government project disruptions
Reliance on FAA and other government-linked projects creates execution and timing risk: shutdowns can delay deliverables and cash flow. This structural exposure can introduce revenue variability and disrupt aerospace project schedules across multiple quarters.

Butler National (BUKS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Butler National Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionButler National Corporation (BUKS) is a diversified company that operates primarily in the aerospace and gaming sectors. The company is engaged in the manufacturing of aircraft parts and provides maintenance, repair, and overhaul services for various aircraft. Additionally, Butler National operates in the gaming industry, providing electronic gaming machines and related services to casinos and other gaming establishments. The company aims to leverage its expertise in both sectors to drive growth and enhance shareholder value.
How the Company Makes MoneyButler National generates revenue through multiple key streams. In the aerospace segment, the company earns money by manufacturing aircraft components and providing maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services, catering to both private and commercial aviation sectors. The gaming division contributes to revenue through the sale and lease of electronic gaming machines, as well as by offering gaming software and related services to casinos. Strategic partnerships with aircraft manufacturers and gaming operators enhance Butler National's market presence and revenue opportunities. The combination of these diverse revenue sources allows the company to maintain a balanced income stream and capitalize on growth opportunities in both industries.

Butler National Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 11, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in operating and net income, driven by strong performance in the Aerospace segment and improved operational efficiency. However, the Gaming segment faced challenges due to economic factors, leading to a decline in revenue. Overall, the positive aspects of growth and efficiency improvements outweigh the challenges faced in the Gaming segment.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Operating and Net Income Growth
The company reported a 46% increase in operating income and a 67% increase in net income, driven by a 9% increase in revenue.
Aerospace Segment Revenue Surge
Aerospace segment revenue increased by 20%, primarily due to a $1.2 million increase in aircraft modifications and a $1.1 million increase in special mission electronics.
Strong Backlog and Demand
The company has a robust backlog of $46.3 million, reflecting strong continuing demand for its products.
Operational Efficiency Improvements
Operating margin improved to 38% in the current quarter from 21% in the prior fiscal Q2 due to decreased costs and expenses.
Successful Cost Management
The company has focused on higher-margin businesses, shut down non-core operations, and reduced personnel costs to improve efficiency.
Negative Updates
Gaming Segment Revenue Decline
Professional Services Gaming segment revenue decreased by 5%, impacted by economic challenges in the local market due to the cattle and agricultural industries.
Impact of Government Shutdown
The government shutdown affected some business operations, particularly impacting FAA-related projects like the fire extinguisher project and the Avcon King Air expanded door.
Decreased Casino Gaming Revenue
Casino gaming revenue was negatively impacted by economic factors, including low cattle prices and a distressed agricultural economy.
Company Guidance
During the Butler National Corporation conference call on December 12, 2025, significant financial metrics and strategic guidance were discussed. The company reported a 9% increase in total revenue for the quarter, reaching $23.3 million compared to $21.3 million in the same quarter the previous year. The Aerospace segment saw a substantial 20% revenue increase to $14 million, driven by a $1.2 million rise in aircraft modifications and a $1.1 million increase in special mission electronics. The company's net income rose to $6 million, up from $3.6 million, and included a $1.5 million gain from the sale of a casino administrative building. Earnings per share for the quarter were $0.09, contributing to a $0.15 EPS for the first half of the fiscal year. The operating margin significantly improved to 38% from 21% in the prior fiscal Q2. The company emphasized its strategic focus on aerospace product expansion, with a robust backlog of $46.3 million and ongoing investments in fabrication facilities and new CNC equipment. The gaming segment showed a 5% revenue decrease due to economic challenges, but sports wagering positively contributed. The call also highlighted capital allocation priorities, including reinvestment in operations and stock repurchases. The management shared its commitment to maintaining a strong financial foundation and pursuing growth opportunities responsibly, while also addressing questions about potential uplisting to NASDAQ and strategic priorities for long-term shareholder value creation.

Butler National Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and efficiency (gross margin 46.53%, net margin 16.60%, EBITDA margin 28.49%) support a high score. Balance sheet leverage is improved (debt-to-equity 0.58) with strong ROE (22.23%). The main offset is cash flow quality, with free cash flow down 8.53% despite solid conversion.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Butler National has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 2.24% and consistent improvement in gross profit margins, reaching 46.53%. The net profit margin has also improved to 16.60%, indicating enhanced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 22.52% and 28.49%, respectively, showcasing effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.58, reflecting a healthier leverage position compared to previous periods. Return on equity is strong at 22.23%, indicating effective use of shareholder funds. However, the equity ratio stands at 54.76%, suggesting a balanced but slightly leveraged capital structure.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong, with a coverage ratio of 0.92, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow has declined by 8.53%, which could be a concern if the trend continues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 71.76%, suggesting efficient cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMApr 2025Apr 2024Jul 2023Apr 2022Apr 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue86.16M83.97M78.38M75.18M73.47M61.48M
Gross Profit41.20M38.05M33.90M33.88M29.85M17.86M
EBITDA27.87M25.64M25.27M14.55M21.41M11.76M
Net Income16.39M12.55M12.51M4.52M10.37M2.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets128.18M123.30M113.97M113.91M100.81M101.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.64M25.23M17.79M22.00M12.49M22.02M
Total Debt36.39M39.18M41.51M46.88M51.58M48.65M
Total Liabilities57.97M58.18M59.53M67.13M59.98M60.54M
Stockholders Equity70.21M65.11M54.44M46.78M40.83M35.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow19.79M10.14M-1.20M14.43M1.45M6.47M
Operating Cash Flow26.73M18.40M7.54M20.94M11.03M13.46M
Investing Cash Flow-3.86M-5.42M-1.13M-5.94M-9.50M-6.99M
Financing Cash Flow-9.40M-5.55M-10.62M-5.49M-11.06M-1.24M

Butler National Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.38
Price Trends
50DMA
3.12
Positive
100DMA
2.81
Positive
200DMA
2.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Positive
RSI
54.35
Neutral
STOCH
37.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BUKS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.30, below the 50-day MA of 3.12, and above the 200-day MA of 2.25, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BUKS.

Butler National Risk Analysis

Butler National disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Butler National reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Butler National Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$264.19M6.4624.93%4.08%34.29%
78
Outperform
$532.82M20.6431.11%78.60%121.71%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
$1.94B-41.88-5.01%3.16%-213.56%
57
Neutral
$236.92M22.47-11.01%-279.70%
49
Neutral
$1.03B-6.63-202.27%-33.69%
45
Neutral
$396.08M1730.37%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BUKS
Butler National
3.30
1.83
124.63%
DCO
Ducommun
129.21
69.92
117.93%
ISSC
Innovative Solutions And Support
29.97
23.55
366.82%
POWW
AMMO
2.02
0.61
43.26%
EVTL
Vertical Aerospace
4.02
0.63
18.58%
EVEX
Eve Holding
2.97
-0.31
-9.45%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 13, 2026