bpost SA (BPOSY)
OTHER OTC:BPOSY
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bpost SA
(OTC:BPOSY)
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Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-3.38% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is held down primarily by weakened financial performance (net losses, margin compression, and higher leverage) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). The earnings call provides partial support via maintained guidance and active cost/cash initiatives, but strike-related impacts and top-line pressure keep the outlook cautious, while valuation is difficult to assess given negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Stable cash generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow provides durable liquidity to fund operations, capex (lockers, fleet) and deleveraging without immediate reliance on capital markets. If maintained, this cash conversion cushions the business through cyclical parcel volatility and supports strategic investments.
Negative Factors
Profitability erosion
A multi‑year slide into net losses and sharply compressed gross and net margins indicate structural profit pressure. This reduces retained earnings, limits reinvestment capacity, and heightens reliance on operational fixes; sustained margin recovery is required for long‑term financial health and capital allocation flexibility.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Stable cash generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow provides durable liquidity to fund operations, capex (lockers, fleet) and deleveraging without immediate reliance on capital markets. If maintained, this cash conversion cushions the business through cyclical parcel volatility and supports strategic investments.
Read all positive factors
bpost SA (BPOSY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$409.29M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)0.00
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.77
Revenue Growth7.07%
EPS Growth85.10%
CountryUS
Employees36,527
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryIntegrated Freight & Logistics
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.17
Shares Outstanding200,001,000
10 Day Avg. Volume0
30 Day Avg. Volume0
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.13
Price to Book (P/B)0.57
Price to Sales (P/S)0.09
P/FCF Ratio1.39
Enterprise Value/Market Cap4.95
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.46
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit22.53
Enterprise Value/Ebitda3.85
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
bpost SA Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
bpost SA is a leading postal and logistics company based in Belgium, providing a wide range of services including mail delivery, parcel services, and logistics solutions. As a key player in the postal sector, bpost operates both domestic and inter...
How the Company Makes Money
bpost makes money primarily by charging fees for the collection, processing, transport, and delivery of mail and parcels, plus logistics services provided to businesses. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Domestic and international parcel ...
bpost SA Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture: clear operational progress (locker expansion, reorganization, cash generation, Paxon EBIT resilience and Landmark volume growth) and active cost discipline are offset by meaningful top-line pressure (group revenue down 5%), sharp mail volume declines, contract terminations (Radial/679), and a material operational and financial hit from the five-week April strike in Belgium (estimated EUR 15 million direct EBIT impact and substantial backlog/volume losses). Management maintained 2026 adjusted EBIT guidance but signaled increased exposure to the lower end of the range and highlighted ongoing mitigation actions.Positive Updates
Operational cash generation and financial items
Net cash inflow for Q1 of EUR 110 million (vs EUR 91 million last year). Adjusted net profit benefited from a EUR 12 million improvement in financial results driven by favorable noncash FX effects and higher net income from treasury investments (partially offset by higher interest expense).
Negative Updates
Group revenue and adjusted EBIT decline
Group operating income for Q1 was EUR 1.063 billion, down EUR 56 million or -5% YoY. Group adjusted EBIT fell to EUR 33 million, down EUR 8 million YoY.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Operational cash generation and financial items
Net cash inflow for Q1 of EUR 110 million (vs EUR 91 million last year). Adjusted net profit benefited from a EUR 12 million improvement in financial results driven by favorable noncash FX effects and higher net income from treasury investments (partially offset by higher interest expense).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reconfirmed FY‑2026 adjusted EBIT guidance of EUR 165–195m, saying Q1 results (group operating income EUR 1.063bn, down EUR 56m or 5% YoY; adjusted EBIT EUR 33m, down EUR 8m YoY) are broadly in line with plan but that the company is now more exposed to the lower end after a 5‑week April strike estimated to cause ~EUR 15m direct EBIT loss (to be booked in Q2), create a backlog of >16m letters and 0.7m parcels, and drive an estimated loss/diversion of ~3.2m parcels (~3–4%) with April parcel volumes down ~25%; fuel is not currently seen as a material risk but indirect geopolitical impacts are unmodeled. Management noted an additional automatic wage indexation of 2% arrived one month earlier than modeled and pointed to offsetting levers — bpost targets ~1,150 FTE reductions this year (≈40 reorganizations done in Q1; ~1,260 FTEs already removed, ~5% reduction), Paxon OpEx (incl. D&A) fell 10.4% YoY (‑EUR 44m) and Paxon posted adjusted EBIT of EUR 11m (+EUR 4m), APM network aims to grow +35% by year‑end with >2,700 lockers installed (vs ~1,250 end‑24 and ~2,550 end‑25; 155 installs in Q1, 200+ secured locations), and Q1 cash metrics showed net cash inflow EUR 110m (vs EUR 91m LY), cash from ops before WC EUR 114m (‑EUR 17m YoY), working capital contribution EUR 74m (EUR 29m positive variance YoY), net investing outflow EUR 21m and net financing outflow EUR 57m — giving management confidence it can still achieve the guidance, albeit leaning to the low end.bpost SA Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Cash Flow
62
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.42B | 4.29B | 4.33B | 4.26B | 4.37B | 4.28B |
| Gross Profit | 90.01M | 94.90M | 220.00M | 688.30M | 550.90M | 570.00M |
| EBITDA | 526.54M | 516.67M | 551.30M | 475.20M | 608.30M | 622.50M |
| Net Income | -34.52M | -38.61M | -205.10M | 65.70M | 232.50M | 250.90M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 5.47B | 5.49B | 5.35B | 4.12B | 4.36B | 4.14B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.35B | 1.26B | 747.40M | 870.60M | 1.05B | 907.50M |
| Total Debt | 3.03B | 3.03B | 2.55B | 1.29B | 1.49B | 1.38B |
| Total Liabilities | 4.75B | 4.78B | 4.49B | 3.09B | 3.29B | 3.26B |
| Stockholders Equity | 726.66M | 708.80M | 859.50M | 1.03B | 1.07B | 884.80M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 359.69M | 290.85M | 388.30M | 221.50M | 258.00M | 226.10M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 484.14M | 410.92M | 534.90M | 376.20M | 422.40M | 398.20M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -137.07M | -137.07M | -1.42B | -152.40M | -19.20M | -145.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 280.49M | 247.43M | 758.60M | -428.70M | -262.10M | -309.10M |
bpost SA Technical Analysis
Neutral
2.07
Price Trends
2.11
Negative
2.32
Negative
2.39
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.06
Negative
47.74
Neutral
69.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BPOSY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.05, below the 50-day MA of 2.11, and below the 200-day MA of 2.39, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BPOSY.
bpost SA Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | $24.79B | 35.63 | 17.30% | 0.89% | 0.58% | 17.20% | |
70 Outperform | $6.42B | 33.75 | 14.64% | 2.56% | -0.79% | -28.21% | |
68 Neutral | $2.49B | 18.11 | 6.30% | 1.14% | -5.79% | -1.57% | |
65 Neutral | $2.07B | 7.49 | -23.14% | 2.82% | -18.48% | 288.14% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
57 Neutral | $24.74B | 56.34 | 19.04% | ― | 3.63% | -11.81% | |
45 Neutral | $409.29M | -209.59 | -32.13% | ― | 7.07% | 85.10% |
* Industrials Sector Average
BPOSY
bpost SA
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1.19%
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.