bpost SA (BPOSY) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $549.92M
• Dividend Yield: 3.27%
• Average Volume (3M): 0.00
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 4.7
• Beta (1Y): 0.46
• Revenue Growth: 9.85%
• EPS Growth: -684.15%
• Country: US
• Employees: 36,527
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics
• EPS (TTM): <0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 200,001,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 0
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 0
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 4.74
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.57
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 13.22
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 4.67
• 1Y Price Target: $2.50
• Price Target Upside: -9.42% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 51 Neutral
• Price Target: $2.50 ▼(-9.42% Downside)

bpost SA's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, particularly in profitability and leverage, which are partially offset by positive cash flow management. Technical indicators show moderate strength, but valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings. The earnings call suggests cautious optimism, but external challenges persist.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

The significant year-over-year increase in operating income indicates strong revenue growth, which can enhance market position and support future investments.

Parcel Revenue Growth

Growth in parcel revenue, driven by volume increases, highlights the company's ability to capitalize on e-commerce trends, bolstering its logistics segment.

Improved Outlook

A positive outlook with higher EBIT targets suggests effective strategic initiatives and cost control, which can improve long-term profitability.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

High leverage indicates significant reliance on debt, which can limit financial flexibility and increase risk during economic downturns.

Declining Mail Volume

A substantial decline in mail volume suggests challenges in traditional revenue streams, necessitating adaptation to digital communication trends.

Profitability Challenges

Negative profit margins highlight operational difficulties, which can hinder reinvestment and growth if not addressed through efficiency improvements.

bpost SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

bpost NV/SA, together with its subsidiaries, provides mail and parcel services to consumers, businesses, and government in Belgium, rest of Europe, the United States, and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Mail & Retail; PaLo N. Am.; and PaLo Eurasia. Its mail and parcels services include collection, transport, sorting, and distribution of addressed and non-addressed mail, printed documents, newspapers, and parcels, as well as banking and financial products, e-commerce logistics, express delivery, proximity and convenience, document management, and related services. The company also offers transactional mails, advertising mails, press, domestic and international parcels, logistic solutions, and cross-border products, as well as value-added services. bpost NV/SA was incorporated in 1830 and is headquartered in Brussels, Belgium.

How the Company Makes Money

bpost generates revenue primarily through its mail and parcel delivery services. The company earns income from the distribution of letters, direct mail, and parcels, with a significant emphasis on e-commerce logistics, which has seen growth due to the rise in online shopping. Key revenue streams include domestic and international mail services, parcel delivery fees, and logistics solutions for businesses. Additionally, bpost has established partnerships with various e-commerce platforms and retailers, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its customer base. The company also generates revenue through its financial services, which include payment and banking solutions, further diversifying its income sources.

bpost SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

bpost SA faces significant financial challenges with declining profitability and high leverage. The income statement shows pressure on margins and profitability, while the balance sheet indicates high debt levels and financial instability. Cash flow management is a relative bright spot, with improvements in free cash flow.

Income Statement

The income statement reflects a challenging period for bpost SA, with declining profitability and margins. The TTM data shows a negative net profit margin of -6.22% and an EBIT margin of -2.45%, indicating operational difficulties. Revenue growth is modest at 2.29%, but the company has struggled to maintain gross profit margins, which have decreased over time. These factors suggest pressure on profitability and operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals high leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.08 in the TTM period, indicating significant reliance on debt financing. Return on equity is negative, reflecting losses and reduced shareholder value. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting limited financial stability. These metrics highlight potential risks associated with high debt levels and financial vulnerability.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows some positive aspects, with a 25.02% growth in free cash flow in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.32, indicating decent cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.70 suggests that while cash flow is improving, it is not yet sufficient to cover net losses fully. Overall, cash flow management appears to be a relative strength amidst financial challenges.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	4.55B	4.33B	4.26B	4.37B	4.28B	4.12B
Gross Profit	197.20M	220.00M	688.30M	550.90M	570.00M	430.40M
EBITDA	557.80M	551.30M	475.20M	608.30M	622.50M	523.80M
Net Income	-283.40M	-205.10M	65.70M	232.50M	250.90M	-19.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	5.49B	5.35B	4.12B	4.36B	4.14B	3.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.25B	747.40M	870.60M	1.05B	907.50M	948.10M
Total Debt	3.04B	2.55B	1.29B	1.49B	1.38B	1.44B
Total Liabilities	4.75B	4.49B	3.09B	3.29B	3.26B	3.29B
Stockholders Equity	746.90M	859.50M	1.03B	1.07B	884.80M	582.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	330.80M	388.30M	221.50M	258.00M	226.10M	423.60M
Operating Cash Flow	494.90M	534.90M	376.20M	422.40M	398.20M	571.30M
Investing Cash Flow	-1.44B	-1.42B	-152.40M	-19.20M	-145.00M	-127.60M
Financing Cash Flow	1.32B	758.60M	-428.70M	-262.10M	-309.10M	-138.80M

bpost SA Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 2.76
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BPOSY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.58, above the 50-day MA of 2.58, and above the 200-day MA of 2.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BPOSY.

bpost SA Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
FDX	73 Outperform	$53.99B	13.60	14.68%	2.47%	0.27%	-2.64%
EXPD	72 Outperform	$16.74B	20.13	39.01%	1.21%	23.70%	31.33%
HUBG	70 Outperform	$2.30B	22.72	6.03%	1.39%	-5.37%	-11.26%
JBHT	64 Neutral	$13.69B	25.71	14.33%	1.27%	-2.24%	-5.43%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.84B	15.52	7.44%	2.00%	2.86%	-14.57%
PBI	52 Neutral	$1.97B	20.33	35.20%	2.28%	-39.89%	―
BPOSY	51 Neutral	$549.92M	4.73	-29.59%	3.27%	9.85%	-684.15%