bpost SA (BPOSY) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $413.27M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 0.00
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.61
• Revenue Growth: 10.14%
• EPS Growth: -458.90%
• Country: US
• Employees: 36,527
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics
• EPS (TTM): -0.20
• Shares Outstanding: 200,001,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 0
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 0
• PEG Ratio: <0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.44
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.09
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.98
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 6.46
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.59
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 13.53
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 4.78
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 43 Neutral
• Price Target: $2.00 ▼(-20.32% Downside)

bpost SA's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, with declining profitability and high leverage being the most impactful factors. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and valuation metrics are unattractive due to negative earnings. The earnings call provides some positive outlook with stable income and transformation progress, but these are outweighed by the broader financial and operational difficulties.

bpost SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

bpost SA is the designated postal operator in Belgium, providing a wide range of postal and logistics services. The company operates in various sectors, including mail delivery, parcel services, and e-commerce logistics. bpost also offers financial services and digital communications solutions, catering to both individual and business customers. Its core products encompass traditional mail services, parcel delivery, and innovative logistics solutions designed to meet the evolving needs of the market.

How the Company Makes Money

bpost generates revenue primarily through its mail and parcel delivery services. The company earns income from the distribution of letters, direct mail, and parcels, with a significant emphasis on e-commerce logistics, which has seen growth due to the rise in online shopping. Key revenue streams include domestic and international mail services, parcel delivery fees, and logistics solutions for businesses. Additionally, bpost has established partnerships with various e-commerce platforms and retailers, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its customer base. The company also generates revenue through its financial services, which include payment and banking solutions, further diversifying its income sources.

bpost SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

bpost SA faces significant financial challenges, with declining profitability and high leverage. The income statement shows pressure on margins and profitability, while the balance sheet indicates high debt levels and financial instability. Cash flow management is a relative bright spot, with improvements in free cash flow. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and reduce leverage to improve its financial health.

Income Statement

The income statement reflects a challenging period for bpost SA, with declining profitability and margins. The TTM data shows a negative net profit margin of -6.22% and an EBIT margin of -2.45%, indicating operational difficulties. Revenue growth is modest at 2.29%, but the company has struggled to maintain gross profit margins, which have decreased over time. These factors suggest pressure on profitability and operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals high leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.08 in the TTM period, indicating significant reliance on debt financing. Return on equity is negative, reflecting losses and reduced shareholder value. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting limited financial stability. These metrics highlight potential risks associated with high debt levels and financial vulnerability.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows some positive aspects, with a 25.02% growth in free cash flow in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.32, indicating decent cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.70 suggests that while cash flow is improving, it is not yet sufficient to cover net losses fully. Overall, cash flow management appears to be a relative strength amidst financial challenges.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	4.55B	4.33B	4.26B	4.37B	4.28B	4.12B
Gross Profit	197.20M	220.00M	688.30M	550.90M	570.00M	430.40M
EBITDA	557.80M	551.30M	475.20M	608.30M	622.50M	307.90M
Net Income	-283.40M	-205.10M	65.70M	232.50M	250.90M	-19.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	5.49B	5.35B	4.12B	4.36B	4.14B	3.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.25B	747.40M	870.60M	1.05B	907.50M	948.10M
Total Debt	3.04B	2.55B	1.29B	1.49B	1.38B	1.44B
Total Liabilities	4.75B	4.49B	3.09B	3.29B	3.26B	3.29B
Stockholders Equity	746.90M	859.50M	1.03B	1.07B	884.80M	582.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	330.80M	388.30M	221.50M	258.00M	226.10M	423.60M
Operating Cash Flow	494.90M	534.90M	376.20M	422.40M	398.20M	571.30M
Investing Cash Flow	-1.44B	-1.42B	-152.40M	-19.20M	-145.00M	-127.60M
Financing Cash Flow	1.32B	758.60M	-428.70M	-262.10M	-309.10M	-138.80M

bpost SA Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 2.51
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BPOSY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.34, below the 50-day MA of 2.55, and above the 200-day MA of 2.21, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.48 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BPOSY.

bpost SA Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
XPO	73 Outperform	$16.49B	48.69	19.26%	―	-0.30%	-11.02%
LSTR	70 Outperform	$4.48B	33.31	14.41%	2.83%	-0.74%	-32.79%
HUBG	69 Neutral	$2.20B	20.69	6.31%	1.40%	-5.79%	-1.57%
JBHT	65 Neutral	$16.12B	29.29	15.13%	1.08%	-1.60%	4.87%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
PBI	45 Neutral	$1.54B	22.28	―	3.24%	-35.52%	―
BPOSY	43 Neutral	$413.27M	―	-32.13%	―	10.14%	-458.90%

bpost SA Corporate Events

Bpost Sa OTC’s Earnings Call: Income Up, Challenges Ahead

Bpost Sa OTC’s recent earnings call painted a mixed picture, with a notable increase in group operating income and an improved EBIT outlook. Despite these positive developments, the company faces challenges such as declining mail volumes and reduced revenue in North American 3PL operations. The call highlighted stable margins in Radial U.S. and successful client onboarding in 3PL Europe, though concerns remain over decreased operating income at constant perimeter and high financial expenses.