Education
About Us
Working with TipRanks
Follow Us
bpost SA (BPOSY)
OTHER OTC:BPOSY
Top Page
bpost SA
(OTC:BPOSY)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▲(20.77% Upside)
BPOSY's overall score reflects significant financial challenges, particularly in profitability and leverage, which weigh heavily on the stock's attractiveness. While technical indicators show some positive momentum, valuation concerns and mixed earnings call outcomes limit the upside potential. Strategic improvements in cost management and debt reduction are crucial for enhancing financial health.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Growth in parcel revenue indicates strong demand in e-commerce logistics, supporting long-term revenue expansion and market position.
Transformation Initiatives
Ongoing transformation initiatives enhance bpost's capabilities in logistics, positioning it for future growth in a competitive market.
Cross-Border Revenue Growth
Strong cross-border revenue growth reflects successful international expansion, diversifying income sources and reducing reliance on domestic markets.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage indicates financial risk, limiting flexibility and potentially impacting long-term financial stability and investment capacity.
Decline in Domestic Mail Volumes
Significant decline in domestic mail volumes suggests structural challenges in traditional postal services, impacting core revenue streams.
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues reflect operational inefficiencies, potentially hindering reinvestment and growth opportunities in the long term.
bpost SA (BPOSY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$505.99M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)0.00
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.70
Revenue Growth10.14%
EPS Growth-458.90%
CountryUS
Employees36,527
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryIntegrated Freight & Logistics
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.20
Shares Outstanding200,001,000
10 Day Avg. Volume0
30 Day Avg. Volume0
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio<0.01
Price to Book (P/B)0.44
Price to Sales (P/S)0.09
P/FCF Ratio0.98
Enterprise Value/Market Cap4.42
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.49
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit11.89
Enterprise Value/Ebitda3.94
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
bpost SA Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Descriptionbpost SA is a leading postal and logistics company based in Belgium, providing a wide range of services including mail delivery, parcel services, and logistics solutions. As a key player in the postal sector, bpost operates both domestic and international mail services, catering to businesses and consumers. The company also offers value-added services such as e-commerce logistics, financial services, and direct mail solutions, positioning itself as a comprehensive provider in the evolving logistics and communication landscape.
How the Company Makes Moneybpost SA generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns money from its mail and parcel delivery services, which include traditional postal services and e-commerce logistics solutions. Additionally, bpost offers logistics services for businesses, which include warehousing and supply chain management, contributing significantly to its revenue. Financial services, such as payment solutions and banking services, also play a role in its earnings. The company has established partnerships with various e-commerce platforms and retailers, enhancing its parcel delivery capabilities and expanding its customer base. Furthermore, bpost benefits from government contracts for mail delivery and other postal services, which provide a stable revenue source amid evolving market conditions.
bpost SA Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Despite stable operating income and growth in certain segments, the company's performance was challenged by significant declines in mail volumes, Radial U.S. revenue shortfalls, and net profit declines. However, the confirmation of the EBIT outlook and progress in transformation initiatives provide a positive outlook.Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Stable Group Operating Income
Group operating income for Q3 2025 remained broadly stable year-on-year at EUR 1.030 billion, despite seasonal softness and contract terminations.
Growth in Asian Cross-Border Activities
Asian cross-border activities saw good volume growth, contributing positively to the company's performance.
Parcel Revenue Increase
Parcel revenue increased by EUR 4 million or 3.2% year-on-year, reflecting a volume growth of 2.8%.
Cross-Border Europe Revenue Growth
Cross-border Europe revenue increased by EUR 11 million or 14% year-over-year, driven by strong volume increases from Asia.
Confirmation of Full-Year EBIT Outlook
The company reconfirmed its full-year EBIT outlook at around EUR 180 million for 2025, reflecting confidence in Q4 performance.
Significant Progress in Transformation Initiatives
The company continued to accelerate its transformation, shifting towards becoming an international logistics and parcel operator, with new service launches and network expansions.
Negative Updates
Decline in Domestic Mail Volumes
Domestic mail volumes in Belgium declined significantly, with mail volume contracting by 9.4% in the quarter.
Radial U.S. Revenue Challenges
Radial U.S. experienced a revenue shortfall due to anticipated churn and seasonal softness, leading to a significant EBIT decline.
3PL North America Revenue Decrease
3PL North America saw a revenue decrease of EUR 58 million, with a 24% decline at constant exchange rates, primarily due to contract churn.
Net Profit Decline
Net profit declined by EUR 14 million year-on-year, mirroring the decline in EBIT.
Company Guidance
In the bpost Group's third-quarter 2025 analyst conference call, CFO Philippe Dartienne provided guidance on various metrics and the company's future outlook. The group reported an operating income of EUR 1.030 billion, stable year-on-year, with significant contributions from Parcels, which grew by 3.2% in revenue. However, domestic mail volumes declined, impacting revenue negatively by around EUR 20 million, despite a partial offset from price/mix effects. The group's adjusted EBIT was at minus EUR 3 million, a decrease of EUR 16.3 million year-on-year, largely due to challenges at Radial U.S., including anticipated revenue churn and seasonal softness. The overall EBIT outlook for 2025 was reaffirmed at around EUR 180 million. Cross-border revenue saw a rise, with Europe experiencing a 14% increase. The company also revised its CapEx guidance downwards to EUR 140 million, emphasizing a disciplined spending approach. Dartienne highlighted the ongoing transformation initiatives, particularly in developing logistics capabilities and expanding parcel locker networks, as part of their Reshape2029 strategy.bpost SA Financial Statement Overview
Summary
The company shows mixed financial performance with positive revenue growth and cash flow generation, but struggles with profitability and high leverage. Negative net profit and EBIT margins, along with a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicate financial challenges.Income Statement
The income statement shows a mixed performance. While there is a positive revenue growth rate of 3.95% in the TTM, the company is struggling with profitability, as indicated by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin is low at 9.24%, reflecting challenges in cost management. The EBITDA margin is relatively healthier at 13.17%, suggesting some operational efficiency, but overall profitability remains a concern.45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.29 in the TTM, indicating significant reliance on debt financing. The return on equity is negative, reflecting losses and poor shareholder returns. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the high debt levels suggest a low equity buffer, posing financial stability risks.40
Negative
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows some positive trends, with a 13.30% growth in free cash flow in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.26, indicating that cash generation is somewhat aligned with earnings, despite the net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.74 suggests that the company is generating cash even in the face of accounting losses, which is a positive sign for liquidity.55
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.56B | 4.33B | 4.26B | 4.37B | 4.28B | 4.12B |
| Gross Profit | 188.20M | 220.00M | 688.30M | 550.90M | 570.00M | 430.40M |
| EBITDA | 567.67M | 551.30M | 475.20M | 608.30M | 622.50M | 307.90M |
| Net Income | -296.20M | -205.10M | 65.70M | 232.50M | 250.90M | -19.20M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 5.43B | 5.35B | 4.12B | 4.36B | 4.14B | 3.87B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.23B | 747.40M | 870.60M | 1.05B | 907.50M | 948.10M |
| Total Debt | 3.04B | 2.55B | 1.29B | 1.49B | 1.38B | 1.44B |
| Total Liabilities | 4.72B | 4.49B | 3.09B | 3.29B | 3.26B | 3.29B |
| Stockholders Equity | 709.77M | 859.50M | 1.03B | 1.07B | 884.80M | 582.50M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 364.04M | 388.30M | 221.50M | 258.00M | 226.10M | 423.60M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 510.06M | 534.90M | 376.20M | 422.40M | 398.20M | 571.30M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -125.40M | -1.42B | -152.40M | -19.20M | -145.00M | -127.60M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 309.20M | 758.60M | -428.70M | -262.10M | -309.10M | -138.80M |
bpost SA Technical Analysis
Positive
2.07
Price Trends
2.31
Positive
2.43
Positive
2.34
Positive
Market Momentum
0.05
Positive
59.41
Neutral
56.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BPOSY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.47, below the 50-day MA of 2.31, and below the 200-day MA of 2.34, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BPOSY.
bpost SA Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | $17.47B | 53.48 | 19.26% | ― | -0.30% | -11.02% | |
69 Neutral | $19.53B | 33.76 | 15.79% | 0.89% | -1.60% | 4.87% | |
68 Neutral | $2.91B | 27.29 | 6.31% | 1.14% | -5.79% | -1.57% | |
67 Neutral | $5.27B | 39.31 | 14.41% | 2.56% | -0.74% | -32.79% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
51 Neutral | $1.66B | 23.77 | ― | 2.82% | -35.52% | ― | |
49 Neutral | $505.99M | -1.58 | -32.13% | ― | 10.14% | -458.90% |
* Industrials Sector Average
BPOSY
bpost SA
2.53
0.54
27.15%
XPO
XPO
148.79
8.69
6.20%
HUBG
Hub Group
47.56
2.77
6.18%
JBHT
JB Hunt
205.11
34.44
20.18%
LSTR
Landstar System
153.31
-18.36
-10.70%
PBI
Pitney Bowes
10.29
1.67
19.40%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.