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bpost SA (BPOSY)
OTHER OTC:BPOSY
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bpost SA
(OTC:BPOSY)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▲(0.00%Upside)
bpost SA (BPOSY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$502.00M
Dividend Yield3.27%
Average Volume (3M)0.00
Price to Earnings (P/E)4.7
Beta (1Y)0.37
Revenue Growth4.97%
EPS Growth-512.20%
CountryUS
Employees36,527
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength88
IndustryIntegrated Freight & Logistics
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.03
Shares Outstanding200,001,000
10 Day Avg. Volume0
30 Day Avg. Volume0
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG RatioN/A
Price to Book (P/B)0.00
Price to Sales (P/S)0.00
P/FCF Ratio0.00
Enterprise Value/Market Cap4.45
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.50
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit11.28
Enterprise Value/Ebitda4.22
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$2.50Price Target Upside0.00%
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering0
bpost SA Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Descriptionbpost NV/SA, together with its subsidiaries, provides mail and parcel services to consumers, businesses, and government in Belgium, rest of Europe, the United States, and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Mail & Retail; PaLo N. Am.; and PaLo Eurasia. Its mail and parcels services include collection, transport, sorting, and distribution of addressed and non-addressed mail, printed documents, newspapers, and parcels, as well as banking and financial products, e-commerce logistics, express delivery, proximity and convenience, document management, and related services. The company also offers transactional mails, advertising mails, press, domestic and international parcels, logistic solutions, and cross-border products, as well as value-added services. bpost NV/SA was incorporated in 1830 and is headquartered in Brussels, Belgium.
How the Company Makes Moneybpost SA generates revenue through a multi-faceted business model centered on its core postal and logistics services. The Mail & Retail Solutions segment is a primary revenue stream, focusing on traditional mail services, direct marketing, and retail offerings, including financial and insurance products through post offices. The Parcels & Logistics Europe & Asia and Parcels & Logistics North America segments drive revenue by providing parcel delivery and logistics solutions, capitalizing on the growth in e-commerce. The company benefits from strategic partnerships with e-commerce platforms and retailers to enhance its logistics capabilities. Additionally, bpost leverages its infrastructure to offer fulfilment and supply chain services, increasing its value proposition to business clients. The integration of digital platforms and technology also supports cost efficiency and enhances customer experience, contributing to its earnings.
bpost SA Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 09, 2025
(Q4-2024)
| % Change Since: 62.34%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 08, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted strong performances from Staci and growth in Domestic Parcel volumes, but these were overshadowed by significant challenges including revenue declines, a €300 million impairment at Radial U.S., and a substantial reported net loss. The strategic focus on transformation and operational efficiencies offers some positive outlook, yet the immediate financial pressures and market challenges suggest a cautious sentiment.Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Staci's Strong Performance
Staci delivered approximately €340 million in revenues and €41 million in EBIT, corresponding to an EBIT margin of 12%, ranking among the highest in the logistics industry. This solid performance aligns with expectations despite a seasonally softer start.
Domestic Parcel Volume Growth
Domestic Parcel volume continued to grow, delivering a solid performance in 2024 with an increase of more than €30 million in revenue, marking a strong uptick compared to the previous year.
Operational Efficiency at Radial U.S.
Radial U.S. achieved a record-high peak period variable contribution margin rate, with efficiency gains delivering an impact of approximately $18 million compared to last year.
3PL Europe Growth
Constant perimeter Radial and Active Ants sales were up 14.6% year-over-year, driven by customer onboarding and upselling activities targeting existing customers.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline Excluding Staci
Excluding Staci’s strategic contribution, revenues declined approximately €270 million, driven by a reduction of €50 million in Press revenues and a decline of more than €210 million in Radial U.S. revenues.
Significant Impairment at Radial U.S.
An impairment of €300 million was recognized on Radial U.S., bringing the book value from €912 million to €612 million, due to customer departures and a challenging market environment.
Reported Group Net Loss
The reported Group net result stands at minus €209 million, leading the Board of Directors to recommend not distributing a dividend this year.
Impact of Press Revenue Decline
Press revenues declined by €50 million following new contracts, directly impacting EBIT, and contributing to a €45 million decrease in Belgium's EBIT.
Challenges in North America
Topline pressure at Radial and Landmark in North America was partly offset by productivity gains, but the departure of several significant customers impacted future growth projections.
Company Guidance
In the bpost Group's fourth-quarter 2024 analyst call, the company reported a total operating income exceeding €4.3 billion for the year, with an adjusted EBIT of €224.9 million, aligning with the upper end of the guidance range of €205 million to €230 million. The EBIT margin was reported at 5.2%. The logistics company Staci contributed significantly, delivering €340 million in revenues and €41 million in EBIT, with a 12% margin. However, excluding Staci, bpost's revenues declined by approximately €270 million, with €50 million lost from Press revenues and over €210 million from Radial U.S. revenues. Domestic Parcel volume grew, adding over €30 million in revenue, but overall EBIT declined by around €65 million year-over-year. Belgium's EBIT dropped by €45 million, and Radial faced an impairment of €300 million, reducing its book value from €912 million to €612 million. Consequently, the Group's reported net result was minus €209 million, leading to the Board's recommendation not to distribute a dividend. The company also outlined strategic shifts focusing on SMEs and new market segments, aiming to become a digital expert in parcel-size logistics across North America and Europe.bpost SA Financial Statement Overview
Summary
bpost SA faces significant financial challenges with negative profitability metrics and high leverage. However, the company's positive operating cash flow provides some operational cushion. The financial performance score reflects the need for strategic initiatives to improve profitability and financial health.Income Statement
The income statement reveals a challenging financial period for bpost SA, with declining revenue growth and negative profitability metrics. The TTM revenue shows modest growth of 2.86% compared to the previous year, but the gross profit margin decreased significantly. EBIT and net profit margins are in negative territory, indicating operational losses. This is a concern for the company's profitability outlook.45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a moderately leveraged position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.13 in the TTM period. The equity ratio stands at a lower 15.78%, suggesting a reliance on debt financing. Return on equity is negative due to net losses, raising concerns about shareholder value creation. However, the company's asset base has grown, providing some stability.55
Neutral
Cash Flow
bpost SA's cash flow statement shows a decrease in free cash flow from the previous period, with a free cash flow to net income ratio at -1.05 due to negative net income. However, the operating cash flow remains positive and provides some cushion for operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at -1.68, which indicates efficient cash generation relative to net income losses.60
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.45B | 4.33B | 4.26B | 4.37B | 4.28B | 4.12B |
| Gross Profit | 198.20M | 220.00M | 688.30M | 550.90M | 570.00M | 430.40M |
| EBITDA | 530.00M | 551.30M | 475.20M | 608.30M | 622.50M | 523.80M |
| Net Income | -252.80M | -205.10M | 65.70M | 232.50M | 250.90M | -19.20M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 5.19B | 5.35B | 4.12B | 4.36B | 4.14B | 3.87B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 781.40M | 747.40M | 870.60M | 1.05B | 907.50M | 948.10M |
| Total Debt | 2.56B | 2.55B | 1.29B | 1.49B | 1.38B | 1.44B |
| Total Liabilities | 4.37B | 4.49B | 3.09B | 3.29B | 3.26B | 3.29B |
| Stockholders Equity | 818.20M | 859.50M | 1.03B | 1.07B | 884.80M | 582.50M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 264.60M | 388.30M | 221.50M | 258.00M | 226.10M | 423.60M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 423.30M | 534.90M | 376.20M | 422.40M | 398.20M | 571.30M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.43B | -1.42B | -152.40M | -19.20M | -145.00M | -127.60M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 733.50M | 758.60M | -428.70M | -262.10M | -309.10M | -138.80M |
bpost SA Technical Analysis
Neutral
2.50
Price Trends
2.41
Positive
2.01
Positive
2.07
Positive
Market Momentum
0.07
Positive
51.06
Neutral
45.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BPOSY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.56, above the 50-day MA of 2.41, and above the 200-day MA of 2.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BPOSY.
bpost SA Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | $51.21B | 12.91 | 14.68% | 2.57% | 0.27% | -2.64% | |
72 Outperform | $15.70B | 19.04 | 37.70% | 1.31% | 24.07% | 27.40% | |
64 Neutral | $10.64B | 16.52 | 6.24% | 2.15% | 3.01% | -28.89% | |
64 Neutral | $13.51B | 25.36 | 14.33% | 1.25% | -2.24% | -5.43% | |
61 Neutral | $2.06B | 20.34 | 6.03% | 1.49% | -5.37% | -11.26% | |
56 Neutral | $1.94B | 20.01 | 35.20% | 2.04% | -39.89% | ― | |
54 Neutral | $502.00M | 4.73 | -26.39% | 3.27% | 4.97% | -512.20% |
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
BPOSY
bpost SA
2.50
-0.33
-11.66%
EXPD
Expeditors International
114.65
-5.09
-4.25%
FDX
FedEx
217.10
-59.91
-21.63%
HUBG
Hub Group
33.60
-8.29
-19.79%
JBHT
JB Hunt
139.56
-20.12
-12.60%
PBI
Pitney Bowes
11.25
5.59
98.76%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.