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Beachbody Company Inc (BODI)
:BODI
US Market

Beachbody Company (BODI) AI Stock Analysis

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Beachbody Company

(NYSE:BODI)

Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
$3.50
▼( -4.11% Downside)
Beachbody Company faces substantial financial and operational challenges, with declining revenues and high leverage posing significant risks. The stock shows bearish technical indicators, and the valuation suggests potential overvaluation. While there are some positive aspects, such as debt reduction and future strategic plans, the recent NYSE non-compliance notice further exacerbates concerns. Overall, the stock's score reflects a cautious outlook given the current financial and operational conditions.
Positive Factors
Business Model
The Beachbody Company's switch from a direct-selling MLM model to a single-level affiliate marketing model is expected to reduce selling-related expenses significantly.
Earnings
BODI reported 1Q results ahead of guidance with sales down -39.7% YOY to $72.4M, beating Street estimate of $60.9M/$63.3M and guidance of $60M to $70M.
Innovation
BODI showcases innovation with expansion into women's health.
Negative Factors
Sales Deleverage
Initial expectations are for gross margins to deleverage due to sales deleverage as MLM sellers leave the BODI platform and move to a different MLM model.
Subscription Decline
Nutrition subscriptions were down -46.7% YOY or -11.1% QoQ to 80k subscribers, as the Nutrition business historically has been more reliant on MLM-related sales.

Beachbody Company (BODI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Beachbody Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBeachbody Company (BODI) is a leading health and wellness platform that offers a comprehensive range of fitness, nutrition, and lifestyle solutions. The company operates in the digital streaming sector with its BODI interactive platform, providing on-demand and live workout programs. Core products include home fitness programs, nutritional supplements, and fitness accessories, all designed to support an active and healthy lifestyle.
How the Company Makes MoneyBeachbody Company generates revenue primarily through its subscription-based digital platform, where users pay for access to a wide array of fitness programs and live classes. The company also earns income from the sale of nutritional supplements and fitness equipment. Additionally, Beachbody benefits from a network of independent coaches who promote and sell its products, earning commissions that help drive sales. Strategic partnerships and brand collaborations further enhance its market reach and contribute to revenue growth.

Beachbody Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Beachbody Company faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and ongoing net losses impacting profitability. The balance sheet shows reduced leverage but remains burdened by liabilities. Cash flow generation is insufficient to support operations and investments, posing sustainability risks.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
The company has experienced a significant decline in revenue over recent years, with a revenue decrease of 20.54% from 2023 to 2024. Gross profit margins remain relatively stable at 68.6% in 2024. However, the net profit margin is negative due to consistent net losses, indicating ongoing profitability challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio improved to 0.45 in 2024, reflecting lower leverage compared to previous years. However, the return on equity remains negative due to net losses. The equity ratio stands at 16.1%, indicating a high level of liabilities relative to assets, suggesting potential financial instability.
Cash Flow
38
Negative
Cash flow from operations turned positive in 2024, but free cash flow remains negative, indicating insufficient cash generation to cover capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive due to net losses, but the free cash flow to net income ratio remains negative, highlighting cash flow challenges.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
451.43M418.80M527.11M692.20M873.64M863.58M
Gross Profit
297.12M287.34M323.09M369.57M544.98M613.88M
EBIT
-86.95M-38.36M-140.99M-203.16M-297.32M-6.30M
EBITDA
-47.94M-38.36M-80.40M-94.75M-168.92M46.08M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-102.12M-71.64M-152.64M-194.19M-228.38M-21.43M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
41.56M20.19M40.10M80.09M104.05M56.83M
Total Assets
291.11M174.56M276.84M443.39M637.61M356.25M
Total Debt
39.05M12.81M32.82M46.45M7.13M41.62M
Net Debt
-2.51M-7.38M-490.00K-33.64M-96.92M-15.20M
Total Liabilities
203.71M146.39M194.08M231.85M252.23M257.00M
Stockholders Equity
87.40M28.17M82.76M211.54M385.38M99.26M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-3.71M-1.98M-29.11M-73.67M-293.16M23.50M
Operating Cash Flow
1.34M2.56M-22.54M-47.17M-215.25M61.43M
Investing Cash Flow
549.00K1.06M-10.83M-26.49M-125.19M-46.69M
Financing Cash Flow
-7.80M-15.87M-13.72M47.56M390.65M165.00K

Beachbody Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.65
Price Trends
50DMA
5.29
Negative
100DMA
6.17
Negative
200DMA
6.31
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.35
Positive
RSI
37.07
Neutral
STOCH
8.72
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BODI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.65 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.30, below the 50-day MA of 5.29, and below the 200-day MA of 6.31, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.72 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BODI.

Beachbody Company Risk Analysis

Beachbody Company disclosed 76 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Beachbody Company reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
The price of shares of our Class A common stock may experience volatility. Q4, 2023
2.
You may experience future dilution as a result of future equity offerings or other equity issuances. Q4, 2023
3.
The number of shares of our Class A common stock available for future issuance or resale could adversely affect the market price of our Class A common stock. Q4, 2023

Beachbody Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$14.12B6.43-3.56%3.69%2.49%-35.43%
60
Neutral
$110.82M-6.03%12.18%5.88%
LVLVO
58
Neutral
$73.47M154.70%11.43%26.78%
MNMNY
56
Neutral
$31.54M-60.26%345.36%-650.95%
49
Neutral
$73.97M-28.67%-36.56%72.58%
46
Neutral
$12.06M-98.74%0.31%27.47%
40
Underperform
$25.57M-130.56%-26.11%57.68%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BODI
Beachbody Company
3.65
-4.99
-57.75%
GAIA
Gaia
4.42
-0.10
-2.21%
LVO
LiveOne
0.76
-0.94
-55.29%
DLPN
Dolphin Entertainment
1.08
-1.16
-51.79%
MNY
MoneyHero Limited
0.73
-1.28
-63.68%
BZFD
BuzzFeed
1.92
-1.08
-36.00%

Beachbody Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -22.51%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture. The company achieved positive adjusted EBITDA for the sixth consecutive quarter and made significant debt reductions, alongside plans for retail expansion and a transition to a new business model. However, there were notable challenges, including a significant revenue decline, subscriber decreases, and continued net losses. The transition away from MLM is causing short-term financial impacts, but management remains optimistic about long-term growth prospects.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Adjusted EBITDA
The company reported positive adjusted EBITDA for the sixth consecutive quarter, delivering $3.7 million in Q1 2025, exceeding guidance and bringing the cumulative total to $34.8 million.
Debt Reduction
The company has successfully reduced its debt by more than 50% from $50 million to $18 million.
New Lending Agreement
BODi entered into a new $25 million loan facility with Tiger Finance, retiring existing debt and providing approximately $5 million of additional capital.
Gross Margin Improvement
Consolidated gross margins were 71.2%, an increase from previous levels and exceeding the long-term target of 65% to 70%.
Retail Expansion Plans
The company plans to roll out major retail distribution strategies, launching Shakeology and other products into retail channels starting late Q4 2025.
Affiliate Model Transition
Transitioned from MLM to a direct-to-consumer and affiliate model, which is expected to improve profitability and broaden the customer base.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Q1 2025 revenue was $72.4 million, declining 16.2% sequentially and 39.7% year-over-year due to the transition away from MLM.
Digital Subscriber Decrease
Digital subscribers decreased by 5.1% sequentially to 1.02 million and declined 16.6% year-over-year.
Nutrition Revenue and Subscription Decline
Nutrition revenue decreased 48.4% year-over-year, with nutrition subscriptions declining 47.7%.
Net Loss
The company reported a net loss of $5.7 million for Q1 2025, although this was an improvement from the previous year.
Connected Fitness Revenue Decline
Connected fitness revenue fell 74% year-over-year, with a strategic shift away from producing new equipment.
Temporary Revenue Reduction
The company anticipates a temporary reduction in revenue in 2025 due to the dismantling of the MLM model.
Company Guidance
In the earnings call for BODi's first quarter of fiscal year 2025, numerous metrics were highlighted to illustrate the company's financial turnaround and future strategies. The company reported a positive adjusted EBITDA of $3.7 million, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA and bringing the cumulative total for these quarters to $34.8 million. The debt was reduced by more than 50% to $18 million, and the cash breakeven level lowered significantly from over $900 million in 2022 to just under $225 million in 2025. Revenue for Q1 was $72.4 million, exceeding the guidance range of $60 million to $70 million, while consolidated gross margins were at 71.2%. Digital revenue saw a decline with a subscriber base of 1.02 million, and nutrition subscriptions fell to 80,000. The company anticipates a temporary revenue reduction due to the dismantling of the MLM model but expects growth through new retail distribution strategies and a revamped affiliate model. BODi also secured a new $25 million loan facility with Tiger Finance, adding approximately $5 million to the balance sheet after retiring previous debt.

Beachbody Company Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Beachbody Faces NYSE Non-Compliance Notice
Negative
Apr 11, 2025

On April 10, 2025, The Beachbody Company, Inc. received a notice from the New York Stock Exchange indicating non-compliance with the requirement to maintain an average market capitalization and stockholders’ equity of at least $50 million over a consecutive 30 trading-day period. The company is required to submit a business plan within 45 days to demonstrate how it will return to compliance within 18 months. This notice does not currently affect the listing of the company’s securities, as long as other listing requirements are met, and the company plans to submit a compliance plan as required.

Executive/Board Changes
Beachbody Company Announces COO Kathy Vrabeck’s Retirement
Neutral
Apr 4, 2025

On February 14, 2025, The Beachbody Company, Inc. announced the retirement of Kathy Vrabeck from her role as Chief Operating Officer, effective April 1, 2025. As part of her departure, Ms. Vrabeck received 12 months of accelerated vesting for her equity awards, and her options’ exercise period was extended to 180 days, reflecting the company’s commitment to honoring executive agreements.

Executive/Board Changes
Beachbody Company Announces CFO Severance Agreement
Neutral
Feb 28, 2025

On February 24, 2025, Beachbody Company announced an additional severance letter agreement for Brad Ramberg, Interim Chief Financial Officer, recognizing his increased role and 18-year tenure. The agreement outlines severance payments and benefits if his employment is terminated without cause or due to resignation for good reason, impacting company operations and potentially influencing stakeholder perceptions.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.