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Upexi, Inc. (UPXI)
:UPXI
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Upexi (UPXI) AI Stock Analysis

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UPXI

Upexi

(NASDAQ:UPXI)

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Underperform 38 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:
$5.00
▼(-7.41% Downside)
Upexi's overall stock score is heavily impacted by its poor financial performance, with significant losses and cash flow issues. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, further weighing on the score. The negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield highlight valuation concerns. The absence of earnings call insights and corporate events leaves these areas unaddressed.

Upexi (UPXI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Upexi Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUpexi (UPXI) is a diversified technology company that operates primarily in the e-commerce and digital marketing sectors. The company focuses on providing innovative solutions through its portfolio of proprietary software and services designed to enhance online business performance. Upexi also engages in product development and supply chain management, catering to various consumer goods and lifestyle products, aiming to streamline the purchasing experience for customers and boost sales for its partners.
How the Company Makes MoneyUpexi generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by offering subscription-based software services that aid businesses in optimizing their online marketing efforts and operational efficiencies. Additionally, the company earns revenue from e-commerce sales of its proprietary products, leveraging its digital marketing expertise to drive traffic and conversion. Key partnerships with e-commerce platforms and logistics providers further enhance its revenue potential by expanding market reach and improving service delivery. The company also explores opportunities in affiliate marketing and strategic collaborations, contributing to its overall earnings.

Upexi Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 16, 2025
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted significant operational improvements, particularly in gross margins and brand product sales, along with strategic investments in high-margin areas. However, these positives were overshadowed by a notable decline in overall revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and a net loss from continued operations, indicating financial challenges.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Gross Profit Margins
Gross profit margins increased to 38% in the fiscal second quarter from 31.8% in the prior fiscal first quarter.
Growth in Brand Product Sales
Brand Product sales increased 16.7% sequentially to $7.7 million, with Brand Product sales as a percentage of total revenue rising to 35.1% from 24% in the previous quarter.
Cost Reduction and Operational Efficiency
Consolidation of manufacturing facilities is expected to reduce G&A expenses by approximately $2 million annually, contributing to cost savings of $450,000 to $550,000 per quarter.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenue for the fiscal second quarter 2024 decreased to $21.8 million from $26.7 million in the same period the previous year and $27.3 million in the fiscal first quarter 2024.
Decrease in Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA dropped significantly to approximately $29,000 from $557,000 in the same period the previous year and $750,000 in the fiscal first quarter 2024.
Net Loss from Continued Operations
The company reported a net loss from continued operations of $2.4 million for the fiscal second quarter 2024, compared to net income of $2.7 million in the same period the previous year.
Company Guidance
During Upexi, Inc.'s fiscal second quarter 2024 earnings call, CEO Allan Marshall highlighted strategic efforts to enhance profitability despite a sequential decrease in revenue to $21.8 million from $27.3 million in the prior quarter. The company's focus on high-margin Brand Products contributed to an increase in gross profit margins to 38% from 31.8% in the previous quarter. Brand Product sales rose by 16.7% to $7.7 million, comprising 35.1% of total revenue. The company recorded positive adjusted EBITDA despite a net loss of $2.4 million, driven by strategic investments in subscription revenue and cost management, including expected annual savings of $2 million from consolidating manufacturing operations. Upexi aims to bolster growth through continued emphasis on its high-margin brand business, targeting improved gross margins and cash flow.

Upexi Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Upexi faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and persistent losses impacting its income statement. The balance sheet shows some stability with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio, but the negative return on equity and cash flow issues highlight ongoing profitability and liquidity concerns.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Upexi's income statement reveals significant challenges with profitability. The company has experienced declining revenue growth, with a notable decrease of 171.66% in the latest year. Gross profit margins have been relatively strong at 68.74%, but net profit margins are deeply negative at -86.55%, indicating substantial losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -15.19%, indicating that the company is not generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 72.77%, which is a positive sign of financial stability, but overall performance is hindered by poor profitability.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates a challenging situation with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow. The free cash flow growth rate is positive at 58.20%, but this is from a negative base. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow issues relative to reported losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.0, suggesting that cash flow aligns with net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.81M15.81M26.00M36.44M23.07M24.10M
Gross Profit10.87M10.87M12.82M21.02M25.19M11.90M
EBITDA-12.50M-12.50M-9.72M-5.05M-4.93M3.56M
Net Income-10.76M-13.68M-23.66M-16.93M-2.10M2.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets123.81M123.81M23.51M63.80M48.49M27.25M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.98M2.98M661.41K4.49M7.15M14.53M
Total Debt26.07M26.07M13.45M26.34M15.19M864.06K
Total Liabilities1.15M1.15M17.00M35.96M19.70M6.04M
Stockholders Equity90.10M90.10M6.52M28.34M28.73M21.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.42M-8.42M-1.03M-734.89K-5.63M1.52M
Operating Cash Flow-8.42M-8.42M-101.38K202.68K521.87K2.94M
Investing Cash Flow-99.29M-99.29M-3.38M-2.57M-11.61M-1.28M
Financing Cash Flow110.03M110.03M-353.79K-285.33K3.70M11.99M

Upexi Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.40
Price Trends
50DMA
5.72
Negative
100DMA
5.87
Negative
200DMA
6.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.73
Positive
RSI
28.69
Positive
STOCH
9.29
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UPXI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.77, below the 50-day MA of 5.72, and below the 200-day MA of 6.11, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.73 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.69 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.29 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UPXI.

Upexi Risk Analysis

Upexi disclosed 6 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Upexi reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Upexi Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
53
Neutral
$352.77M17.933.27%-22.16%
52
Neutral
$79.15M-8.78105.31%95.66%
46
Neutral
$244.45M1.87-22.89%
45
Neutral
$122.46M-51.54%-16.83%-485.31%
43
Neutral
$32.51M-0.54-133.94%-31.96%56.06%
38
Underperform
$216.42M
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UPXI
Upexi
3.30
-1.81
-35.42%
AREN
The Arena Group
4.74
4.12
664.52%
SEAT
Vivid Seats
10.55
-60.95
-85.24%
CCG
Cheche Group
0.92
0.02
2.44%
BODI
Beachbody Company
5.00
-1.56
-23.78%
ZH
Zhihu
4.15
0.80
23.88%

Upexi Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Upexi Engages in September 2025 Investor Conferences
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

Upexi, Inc. announced its participation in several investor conferences in September 2025, including the 5th Annual Needham Virtual Crypto Conference, the H.C. Wainwright 27th Annual Global Investment Conference, and the FT Partners FinTech Conference 2025. This involvement highlights Upexi’s active engagement with the investment community, potentially enhancing its visibility and investor relations within the financial sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (UPXI) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Upexi stock, see the UPXI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Upexi Invests in Alpha Exchange for Revenue Share
Positive
Aug 27, 2025

On August 22, 2025, Upexi, Inc. executed an agreement with Alpha Exchange, a cryptocurrency trading platform, investing $750,000 for a 14.9% royalty on future gross revenue. The deal includes additional investments contingent on user growth, potentially increasing Upexi’s royalty to 19.9% or allowing a conversion to a 9.99% equity stake, impacting Upexi’s financial interests and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (UPXI) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Upexi stock, see the UPXI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Upexi Amends Securities Purchase Agreement
Neutral
Aug 26, 2025

On August 25, 2025, Upexi, Inc. reached an agreement with Purchasers to amend their Securities Purchase Agreement originally dated July 11, 2025. The amendments include a waiver from compliance with certain provisions, a redefinition of ‘Exempt Issuance’, and the issuance of a greenshoe instrument allowing Purchasers to buy additional shares. These changes could impact Upexi’s financial operations and stakeholder interests by potentially affecting share distribution and compliance requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (UPXI) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Upexi stock, see the UPXI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
Upexi Approves Share Increase and New Agreement
Neutral
Aug 20, 2025

On August 19, 2025, Upexi, Inc. held a Special Meeting of Stockholders where significant decisions were made regarding its shares. The stockholders approved an amendment to increase the shares issuable under the Incentive Plan from 10,000,000 to 25,000,000 shares. Additionally, they approved the issuance of shares of common stock under a $500 million securities purchase agreement with Alliance Global Partners, which could exceed 20% of shares outstanding at the time of the agreement’s execution.

The most recent analyst rating on (UPXI) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Upexi stock, see the UPXI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2025