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Upexi, Inc. (UPXI)
NASDAQ:UPXI
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Upexi (UPXI) AI Stock Analysis

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UPXI

Upexi

(NASDAQ:UPXI)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$0.92
▼(-37.12% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/17/26
The score is weighed down primarily by weak financial quality—large losses, negative free cash flow, and a recently weakened balance sheet with negative equity and higher debt. Technicals also point to a persistent downtrend. Offsetting factors are limited and mainly come from the earnings call’s cost-reduction/debt actions and a stated path toward cash-neutral staking economics, but large mark-to-market treasury losses and near-term financing pressure remain major constraints.
Positive Factors
Recurring staking/treasury revenue
The company’s staking and treasury activities now produce recurring yield income (native staking ~6%–7%) and material reported revenue. As a structural revenue stream, staking can meaningfully offset operating costs and diversify cash flows away from pure product sales if yields and token holdings are maintained.
Negative Factors
Negative shareholders' equity and higher leverage
The transition to negative equity and materially higher debt increases refinancing, covenant and dilution risk. A weakened capital structure limits strategic flexibility, raises borrowing costs, and heightens the probability that management must raise capital or restructure obligations under unfavorable terms.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring staking/treasury revenue
The company’s staking and treasury activities now produce recurring yield income (native staking ~6%–7%) and material reported revenue. As a structural revenue stream, staking can meaningfully offset operating costs and diversify cash flows away from pure product sales if yields and token holdings are maintained.
Read all positive factors

Upexi Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Upexi (UPXI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Upexi Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Upexi, Inc. is engaged in the development and sale of a variety of branded products. These offerings span diverse consumer categories including health, wellness, pet care, beauty, and several other sectors. The company adopted its current name, Up...
How the Company Makes Money
Upexi primarily makes money by selling consumer products under the brands it owns or manages, generating revenue when those products are purchased through e-commerce marketplaces (e.g., third-party online platforms) and other direct or wholesale d...

Upexi Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The call presented a mixed picture: clear operational progress and active capital-management steps (token accumulation, buybacks, issuances, expense reductions and a path toward cash-neutral staking revenue) were balanced against large mark-to-market losses, a substantial quarterly net loss driven by unrealized digital asset markdowns, a material intra-quarter NAV/price decline for Solana, modest cash on hand, and meaningful short-term interest expense. While management articulated credible actions to improve yield, reduce costs and position the company for recovery if token prices and valuations normalize, the magnitude of unrealized losses and the current market headwinds represent meaningful near-term risks.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth Year-over-Year and Quarter
Fiscal Q3 revenue was $4.6M versus $3.2M in the prior-year quarter, a ~44% increase. For the 9 months ended March 31, 2026, total revenue was $21.8M versus $11.5M prior year, an ~90% increase, reflecting the addition and growth of the digital asset treasury business.
Negative Updates
Large Unrealized Losses on Digital Assets
For the 9 months ended March 31, 2026, the treasury reported an unrealized loss on digital assets of approximately $178.8M. For the fiscal quarter the company recorded an unrealized loss of ~$92.3M, which was the primary driver of the reported net loss for the quarter.
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Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth Year-over-Year and Quarter
Fiscal Q3 revenue was $4.6M versus $3.2M in the prior-year quarter, a ~44% increase. For the 9 months ended March 31, 2026, total revenue was $21.8M versus $11.5M prior year, an ~90% increase, reflecting the addition and growth of the digital asset treasury business.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that, assuming a continued native staking yield of about 6%–7% (currently just under 7%), ongoing cash expenses for operations and interest should be lower than treasury staking revenue by July 1; Q3 staking generated ~35,000 SOL (~$3.5M) and 9‑month digital asset revenue was ~$14.7M (~100,000 tokens), while Q3 total revenue was $4.6M (9‑month revenue $21.8M). To reach that milestone they’re cutting costs (outsourcing brand fulfillment, reducing G&A, headcount down to 10), refinancing or otherwise addressing ~$500k+/month of short‑term treasury interest and having already reduced short‑term debt by ~$7.6M (including ~$5.4M of treasury debt); direct treasury expenses were ~$8.6M for the 9 months. Capital actions include repurchasing ~2.5M common shares for ~$2M (~$0.80/sh), issuing a $36M in‑kind convertible note and ~ $7M equity + warrants; balance sheet as of March 31 included ~ $3.5M cash and ~2.5M SOL (≈1M locked), an unrealized treasury loss of ~$178.8M (SOL at $83.11 liquid / $71.47 locked) and a Q3 net loss of ~ $109M ($1.67/sh, ~$92.3M unrealized this quarter). They also plan to pilot ~$25M–$50M into higher‑yield, low‑risk strategies if returns exceed the staking/locked yields.

Upexi Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite sharp TTM revenue growth and exceptionally high gross margin, the financial profile is dominated by large losses, materially negative operating/EBITDA performance, and ongoing cash burn. The latest balance sheet deterioration (negative equity alongside sharply higher debt) materially increases solvency/refinancing risk.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
9
Very Negative
Cash Flow
16
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Sep 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue26.14M15.81M26.00M36.44M23.07M24.10M
Gross Profit22.49M10.87M12.82M21.02M14.87M11.90M
EBITDA-217.69M-12.12M-9.72M-5.05M-3.45M3.26M
Net Income-228.45M-13.68M-23.66M-16.93M-2.10M2.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets200.37M123.81M23.51M63.80M48.49M27.25M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments118.43M2.98M661.41K4.49M7.15M14.53M
Total Debt242.80M27.78M13.45M26.34M15.45M864.06K
Total Liabilities252.29M33.71M17.00M35.96M19.70M6.04M
Stockholders Equity-51.92M90.10M6.52M28.34M28.73M21.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-21.73M-8.81M-1.03M-734.89K-5.63M1.52M
Operating Cash Flow-21.52M-8.42M-101.38K202.68K521.87K2.94M
Investing Cash Flow-134.00M-99.29M-3.38M-2.57M-11.61M-1.28M
Financing Cash Flow158.78M110.03M-353.79K-285.33K3.70M11.99M

Upexi Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.46
Price Trends
50DMA
1.23
Negative
100DMA
1.14
Negative
200DMA
2.55
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Positive
RSI
38.12
Neutral
STOCH
30.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UPXI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.06, above the 50-day MA of 1.23, and below the 200-day MA of 2.55, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UPXI.

Upexi Risk Analysis

Upexi disclosed 6 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Upexi reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Upexi Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
59
Neutral
$208.04M-8.52-4.79%-19.42%-2894.74%
58
Neutral
$63.44M12.0418.73%-37.04%
53
Neutral
$49.98M0.42-1182.92%-4.16%4344.39%
47
Neutral
$82.41M-0.19-567.03%-28.88%-15473.93%
46
Neutral
$32.88M-6.12-10.32%
43
Neutral
$63.77M-0.26-306.96%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UPXI
Upexi
0.91
-8.34
-90.19%
AREN
The Arena Group
1.05
-5.21
-83.23%
SEAT
Vivid Seats
7.50
-30.70
-80.37%
CCG
Cheche Group
0.40
-0.36
-47.89%
BODI
Beachbody Company
8.76
5.05
136.12%
ZH
Zhihu
3.12
-0.46
-12.85%

Upexi Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Upexi Shareholders Reelect Board and Ratify Auditor
Positive
Jun 16, 2026
On June 15, 2026, Upexi, Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, at which stockholders voted on the election of directors and the appointment of the company’s independent auditor. All board nominees, including Allan Marshall, Andr...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 17, 2026