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Upexi, Inc. (UPXI)
:UPXI

Upexi (UPXI) AI Stock Analysis

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Upexi

(NASDAQ:UPXI)

Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-13.49%Downside)
Upexi's overall stock score reflects severe financial distress, with declining revenue, high leverage, and negative cash flow. Technical indicators reinforce bearish sentiment, while valuation metrics highlight significant risks. These factors collectively underscore substantial challenges and caution for potential investors.

Upexi (UPXI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Upexi Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUpexi, Inc. (UPXI) is a diversified holding company that operates across several sectors, with a primary focus on consumer goods, digital media, and technology. The company is involved in the development, acquisition, and operation of businesses that provide innovative products and services, aiming to capture value in high-growth markets. Upexi leverages its expertise in e-commerce, direct-to-consumer marketing, and data analytics to drive growth and enhance shareholder value.
How the Company Makes MoneyUpexi generates revenue through a combination of direct-to-consumer sales, digital marketing services, and strategic acquisitions. The company operates multiple e-commerce platforms, where it sells its proprietary consumer products ranging from health and wellness to lifestyle goods. Additionally, Upexi offers digital marketing solutions that help brands optimize their online presence and drive sales. The company also seeks to expand its revenue through strategic partnerships and acquisitions, which allow it to enter new markets and diversify its product offerings. Key factors contributing to its earnings include its robust online sales channels, expertise in digital marketing, and successful integration of acquired businesses.

Upexi Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 16, 2025
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: -69.83%|
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted significant operational improvements, particularly in gross margins and brand product sales, along with strategic investments in high-margin areas. However, these positives were overshadowed by a notable decline in overall revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and a net loss from continued operations, indicating financial challenges.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Gross Profit Margins
Gross profit margins increased to 38% in the fiscal second quarter from 31.8% in the prior fiscal first quarter.
Growth in Brand Product Sales
Brand Product sales increased 16.7% sequentially to $7.7 million, with Brand Product sales as a percentage of total revenue rising to 35.1% from 24% in the previous quarter.
Cost Reduction and Operational Efficiency
Consolidation of manufacturing facilities is expected to reduce G&A expenses by approximately $2 million annually, contributing to cost savings of $450,000 to $550,000 per quarter.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenue for the fiscal second quarter 2024 decreased to $21.8 million from $26.7 million in the same period the previous year and $27.3 million in the fiscal first quarter 2024.
Decrease in Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA dropped significantly to approximately $29,000 from $557,000 in the same period the previous year and $750,000 in the fiscal first quarter 2024.
Net Loss from Continued Operations
The company reported a net loss from continued operations of $2.4 million for the fiscal second quarter 2024, compared to net income of $2.7 million in the same period the previous year.
Company Guidance
During Upexi, Inc.'s fiscal second quarter 2024 earnings call, CEO Allan Marshall highlighted strategic efforts to enhance profitability despite a sequential decrease in revenue to $21.8 million from $27.3 million in the prior quarter. The company's focus on high-margin Brand Products contributed to an increase in gross profit margins to 38% from 31.8% in the previous quarter. Brand Product sales rose by 16.7% to $7.7 million, comprising 35.1% of total revenue. The company recorded positive adjusted EBITDA despite a net loss of $2.4 million, driven by strategic investments in subscription revenue and cost management, including expected annual savings of $2 million from consolidating manufacturing operations. Upexi aims to bolster growth through continued emphasis on its high-margin brand business, targeting improved gross margins and cash flow.

Upexi Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Upexi faces substantial financial challenges with negative revenue growth, declining profitability, high leverage, and liquidity issues. These factors indicate significant financial instability and risks to future growth.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Upexi's income statement reveals significant challenges, with negative revenue growth in the TTM compared to prior periods. The gross profit margin has decreased notably, and net profit margins have been consistently negative, indicating persistent losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies. The company's financial trajectory shows declining revenue and profitability, posing substantial risks.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Upexi's balance sheet highlights financial instability, with a high debt-to-equity ratio indicating significant leverage. The return on equity is negative due to ongoing losses. The equity ratio has been declining, suggesting weakening financial stability. The company's financial position is constrained, with liabilities outweighing equity, increasing financial risk.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
The cash flow statement shows negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, reflecting cash burn and liquidity issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating that cash flow generation is insufficient to cover losses. Operating cash flow has not been sufficient to support the company's operations, highlighting potential liquidity challenges.
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue-22.06M26.00M36.44M44.58M24.10M7.41M
Gross Profit425.63K12.82M21.02M25.19M11.90M2.57M
EBITDA-29.86M-9.72M-5.05M-4.36M3.56M-4.23M
Net Income-22.50M-23.66M-16.93M-2.05M2.98M-5.93M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.07M23.51M63.80M48.49M27.25M6.40M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments230.39K661.41K4.49M7.15M14.53M887.52K
Total Debt6.38M13.45M26.34M15.27M864.06K2.85M
Total Liabilities2.42M17.00M35.96M19.70M6.04M4.22M
Stockholders Equity1.85M6.52M28.34M28.73M21.22M225.58K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.32M-1.03M-734.89K-5.63M1.52M-6.09M
Operating Cash Flow-6.00M-101.38K202.68K521.87K2.94M-4.16M
Investing Cash Flow2.78M-3.38M-2.57M-11.61M-1.28M-1.46M
Financing Cash Flow-1.85M-353.79K-285.33K3.70M11.99M2.82M

Upexi Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.89
Price Trends
50DMA
9.92
Negative
100DMA
6.47
Negative
200DMA
5.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.09
Positive
RSI
31.64
Neutral
STOCH
5.87
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UPXI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.89 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.85, below the 50-day MA of 9.92, and below the 200-day MA of 5.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.87 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UPXI.

Upexi Risk Analysis

Upexi disclosed 6 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Upexi reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Upexi Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
¥372.81B13.632.32%2.51%5.41%-17.67%
48
Neutral
$10.84M
SLSLE
48
Neutral
$4.48M-1222.32%-43.42%81.31%
45
Neutral
$26.06M-4.89%0.38%19.52%
40
Underperform
$5.18M-44.44%65.97%70.28%
38
Underperform
$121.14M-475.54%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UPXI
Upexi
3.20
-4.60
-58.97%
FENG
Phoenix New Media
2.17
-0.57
-20.80%
SLE
Super League Enterprise
5.06
-35.34
-87.48%
KRKR
36Kr Holdings Inc
5.31
-0.64
-10.76%
ONFO
Onfolio Holdings, Inc.
1.01
-0.09
-8.18%

Upexi Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Upexi Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

On June 16, 2025, Upexi, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of stockholders where several key decisions were made. Stockholders elected the company’s nominees for director, approved the re-domiciling of the company as a Delaware Corporation, increased the number of shares in the Stock Option Plan to 10,000,000, approved executive compensation, set the frequency of advisory votes on executive compensation to every three years, and ratified GBQ Partners LLC as the independent registered public accountant for the fiscal year 2025.

Executive/Board Changes
Upexi Announces New Executive Employment Agreements
Neutral
Apr 25, 2025

On April 24, 2025, Upexi, Inc. announced new employment agreements for its top executives, Allan Marshall as Chief Executive Officer and Andrew J. Norstrud as Chief Financial Officer. These agreements outline their compensation packages, including base salaries, stock grants, and performance bonuses, with terms set for three years and automatic renewals. The agreements also specify conditions for termination payments, ensuring financial security for the executives under certain conditions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 05, 2025