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Backblaze (BLZE)
NASDAQ:BLZE
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Backblaze (BLZE) AI Stock Analysis

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Backblaze

(NASDAQ:BLZE)

Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▲(4.17%Upside)
Backblaze's overall stock score reflects strong revenue growth and positive earnings call sentiment. However, ongoing profitability challenges and a negative valuation score weigh heavily. The technical analysis suggests stability but does not provide a strong bullish signal. Continued improvement in profitability and strategic execution will be critical for enhancing the stock's attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Backblaze reported solid first-quarter results above the Street while providing second-quarter guidance roughly in line with consensus.
Growth Strategy
Improved productivity and win-rates are seen as early signs of success that should prime Backblaze for reaccelerating 30%+ growth exiting 2025.
Revenue and Market Expansion
B2 is now 51%+ of total revenue, with strong up-market expansion and multiple customers above $1M in ARR.
Negative Factors
Accounting Concerns
The analyst disagrees with the allegations of accounting malpractice at Backblaze and sees the share pullback as a buying opportunity.
Stock Dilution
The recent secondary offering added 7.2M shares to the share count, leading to a lower $11 price target due to dilution.

Backblaze (BLZE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Backblaze Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBackblaze, Inc. (BLZE) is a cloud storage and data backup company headquartered in San Mateo, California. Founded in 2007, the company operates primarily within the technology and cloud computing sectors. Backblaze offers a variety of services, including personal and business backup solutions, cloud storage services, and data management tools. Its core products include Backblaze Personal Backup, Backblaze Business Backup, and B2 Cloud Storage, which cater to individuals, businesses, and developers seeking reliable, cost-effective data storage and backup solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyBackblaze generates revenue through a subscription-based model, primarily from its cloud storage and backup services. The company's key revenue streams include Personal Backup, Business Backup, and B2 Cloud Storage. Personal and Business Backup services are offered on a subscription basis, allowing users to pay monthly or yearly for unlimited data backup. B2 Cloud Storage provides scalable, on-demand storage solutions priced based on usage, with fees based on the amount of data stored and the bandwidth consumed. Additionally, Backblaze partners with various software and technology companies to integrate its storage solutions, thereby expanding its customer base and driving revenue growth. Factors such as competitive pricing, ease of use, and high reliability contribute to Backblaze's ability to attract and retain customers, supporting its revenue model.

Backblaze Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 16.81%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, successful product launches, and significant achievements in AI and customer retention. Despite concerns over market manipulation and elongated customer decision-making, the overall sentiment remains positive due to robust performance metrics and strategic advancements.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue for Q1 2025 reached $34.6 million, representing a 15% increase over the prior year.
B2 Cloud Storage Momentum
B2 Cloud Storage achieved 23% growth, marking the second consecutive quarter of increased organic growth.
Enhanced Profitability
Adjusted EBITDA margin tripled over the same period last year to 18%.
AI Customer Base Expansion
AI customer base grew by 66%, and their data with Backblaze grew by 25x.
Successful Go-To-Market Transformation
Sales bookings more than doubled year-over-year, driven by strong sales execution and growing existing accounts.
Launch of B2 Overdrive
Introduced Backblaze B2 Cloud Storage Overdrive, optimized for large data sets and high-performance throughput.
Record TCV Deal
Signed the largest Total Contract Value (TCV) deal ever, a multimillion-dollar contract over a multiyear period.
Improved Customer Retention
Gross customer retention remained consistently strong at approximately 90% across both B2 and Computer Backup segments.
Negative Updates
Market Manipulation Concerns
Discussed a misleading report based on false claims by former employees, alleged to be part of a market manipulation scheme.
Elongated Decision-Making
Some customers are taking more time to make decisions due to the current business environment.
Tariff Impact Concerns
Potential 10% tariff on U.S. imports could increase cost of sales by approximately 1.5% over six years.
Company Guidance
During the Backblaze First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported a 15% increase in total revenue, reaching $34.6 million, with B2 Cloud Storage revenue accelerating to 23% growth year-over-year. The adjusted EBITDA margin tripled to 18%, a substantial improvement from the previous year, and the adjusted free cash flow margin improved to negative 6% from negative 13% in the previous quarter. Backblaze is on track to achieve at least 30% B2 growth and adjusted free cash flow positive by Q4 2025. The company highlighted a record TCV deal and significant growth driven by AI use cases, and it introduced the B2 Cloud Storage Overdrive offering. The company also addressed market manipulation concerns and reassured investors of its financial integrity. Looking ahead, Backblaze is focusing on upskilling, partnerships, and sales plays as part of its go-to-market transformation, with continued confidence in achieving its growth targets despite some customers taking longer to make decisions.

Backblaze Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Backblaze exhibits strong revenue growth and improved cash flow generation. However, persistent net losses and negative profit margins suggest challenges in achieving profitability. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage but highlights the need for improved equity financing. Continued focus on cost management and profitability will be crucial for long-term sustainability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Backblaze has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a notable increase from $85.16 million in 2022 to $132.27 million TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). However, the company remains unprofitable, with a negative net profit margin of -35.4% TTM. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating operational challenges. The gross profit margin is strong at 55%, showing efficient cost management in revenue generation.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62, suggesting a balanced use of debt. However, the company has a low equity ratio of 45.7%, indicating a significant portion of assets is financed through liabilities. The return on equity remains negative due to ongoing losses, posing concerns for the company's ability to generate shareholder value.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow is positive at $14.03 million TTM, and free cash flow has improved to $6.35 million, highlighting better cash management. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is not meaningful due to persistent net losses. The company shows potential to generate cash despite profitability issues.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue127.63M102.02M85.16M67.48M53.78M
Gross Profit69.34M49.86M43.86M34.34M27.98M
EBITDA-16.54M-31.02M-24.54M-1.61M9.22M
Net Income-48.53M-59.71M-51.70M-21.70M-6.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets168.56M131.69M150.91M163.58M54.47M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments54.91M29.30M65.42M104.84M6.08M
Total Debt46.34M46.85M44.87M33.25M31.48M
Total Liabilities90.94M86.75M82.36M68.09M61.31M
Stockholders Equity77.62M44.94M68.56M95.49M-6.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.79M-27.58M-29.76M-7.69M7.84M
Operating Cash Flow12.51M-7.35M-13.78M3.52M12.82M
Investing Cash Flow-6.13M21.66M-73.85M-11.19M-4.97M
Financing Cash Flow22.77M-8.84M-6.21M106.61M-8.75M

Backblaze Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.28
Price Trends
50DMA
5.41
Negative
100DMA
5.24
Positive
200DMA
5.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
48.13
Neutral
STOCH
38.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BLZE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.34, below the 50-day MA of 5.41, and below the 200-day MA of 5.98, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BLZE.

Backblaze Risk Analysis

Backblaze disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Backblaze reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Backblaze Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$4.04B-12.09%11.79%35.35%
65
Neutral
$3.98B-8.39%21.70%-67.95%
DBDBX
64
Neutral
$7.62B17.78-60.11%0.79%0.59%
63
Neutral
$34.60B5.43-11.64%2.14%5.30%-18.55%
59
Neutral
$289.60M-74.75%21.81%28.80%
46
Neutral
$40.02M86.76%9.71%-1.97%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BLZE
Backblaze
5.28
-1.21
-18.64%
DBX
Dropbox
27.06
3.89
16.79%
TENB
Tenable Holdings
33.04
-11.01
-24.99%
KPLT
Katapult Holdings
9.38
-9.83
-51.17%
AVPT
AvePoint
18.78
8.09
75.68%

Backblaze Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Backblaze Secures $20 Million Credit Facility
Neutral
Jun 5, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Backblaze, Inc. entered into a credit agreement with Citizens Bank, N.A., securing a $20 million senior secured revolving credit facility. This agreement, which includes various financial covenants and pledges, is intended to support the company’s working capital and general corporate purposes, potentially impacting its operational flexibility and financial strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (BLZE) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Backblaze stock, see the BLZE Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Backblaze Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Backblaze, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders via webcast, where stockholders voted on two proposals. The first proposal involved the election of Class I directors, Barbara Nelson and Earl E. Fry, who were elected to serve until the 2028 annual meeting. The second proposal ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and financial oversight strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (BLZE) stock is a Buy with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Backblaze stock, see the BLZE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 11, 2025