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Backblaze (BLZE)
NASDAQ:BLZE
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Backblaze (BLZE) AI Stock Analysis

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BLZE

Backblaze

(NASDAQ:BLZE)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▲(3.45% Upside)
Backblaze's overall stock score reflects its strong revenue growth and improved financial discipline, as highlighted in the earnings call. However, significant challenges remain, including ongoing profitability issues, bearish technical indicators, and a negative P/E ratio. These factors weigh heavily on the stock's attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial health.
Strategic Partnerships
Partnerships with AI startups enhance Backblaze's market position and expand its customer base, driving future growth.
Improved Financial Performance
Improved EBITDA margins reflect better cost management and financial discipline, enhancing profitability prospects.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues could limit reinvestment capabilities and affect long-term business sustainability.
Customer Variability
High customer variability poses risks to revenue stability and predictability, potentially impacting financial forecasts.
Flat Growth in Key Segment
Stagnant growth in a core segment may indicate market saturation or competitive pressures, affecting overall growth potential.

Backblaze (BLZE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Backblaze Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBackblaze, Inc. is a cloud storage and data backup company based in California, specializing in providing affordable and reliable solutions for individuals and businesses. Founded in 2007, Backblaze offers products such as personal cloud backup, business cloud storage, and the Backblaze B2 Cloud Storage service, catering to the needs of users seeking secure data management and protection. The company's innovative approach to data storage utilizes a cost-effective model that appeals to a broad range of customers, from casual users to enterprises.
How the Company Makes MoneyBackblaze generates revenue primarily through its subscription-based services. The company offers various plans for its personal backup solution, which provides unlimited backup for a flat fee, appealing to individual users. For businesses, Backblaze offers its B2 Cloud Storage service, which charges customers based on the amount of data stored and the bandwidth used for data retrieval. This pay-as-you-go model allows businesses to scale their storage needs effectively. Additionally, Backblaze has formed strategic partnerships with other technology companies to enhance its service offerings, further contributing to its revenue streams by expanding its customer base and providing integrated solutions.

Backblaze Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and industry recognition, particularly in the AI sector. However, B2 growth fell short of the ambitious targets, and there were challenges with customer variability and flat growth in the Computer Backup segment. The financial performance showed significant year-over-year improvements, but the company faces some hurdles in maintaining its growth momentum.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Growth Exceed Expectations
Total revenue for Q3 2025 came in at $37.2 million, surpassing the high end of guidance ($37.1 million), representing 14% year-over-year growth. B2 Cloud Storage grew 28% year-over-year.
Industry Recognition for Technology Innovation
Backblaze received industry recognition in cloud security and technology innovation, including an award for B2 Overdrive.
Success with AI Customers
Backblaze signed multiple six-figure and seven-figure deals with AI startups, including a new six-figure deal with an AI startup focused on vision language models and a seven-figure deal with a surveillance company.
Increasing Gross Margins
Gross margin improved to 62% from 55% a year ago, with adjusted gross margin at 79%, up from 78% last year.
Improved Financial Performance
Adjusted EBITDA margin reached 23%, almost double from a year ago. Non-GAAP net income was $1.9 million compared to a loss of $4.1 million last year.
Strong Customer Base
Backblaze continues to attract a diversified customer base, including AI startups, with 100,000 customers using the platform.
Negative Updates
B2 Growth Below Target
While B2 grew 28% year-over-year, it fell short of the 30% growth target set at the beginning of the year.
Challenges with Large Customer Variability
Revenue variability was impacted by a large AI customer trimming more than expected, affecting B2 growth expectations.
Flat Growth in Computer Backup
Revenue from Computer Backup was flat year-over-year, reflecting the final roll-off of the price increase implemented in 2023.
Net Revenue Retention Decline
Overall trailing 4-quarter company NRR for Q3 was 106%, down from 109% in the second quarter.
Company Guidance
During the Backblaze Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the upcoming quarter. Backblaze reported a 14% year-over-year growth in overall company revenue, with B2 Cloud Storage experiencing a significant 28% growth. The revenue for Q3 surpassed expectations at $37.2 million, compared to the high end of guidance at $37.1 million. The adjusted EBITDA margin reached 23%, almost double the previous year, signifying improved financial discipline. The company is on track to achieve positive adjusted free cash flow in Q4 2025, with anticipated revenue between $37.3 million and $37.9 million. B2 growth for the fourth quarter is expected to range between 25% and 28% year-over-year. The company's net revenue retention (NRR) for Q3 was 106%, slightly down from 109% in the previous quarter, but B2's in-quarter NRR improved to 116% from 109% in Q2. Operating expenses were reduced to 71% of revenue, reflecting improvements in cost management. Backblaze remains focused on its Phase 2 go-to-market strategy to boost growth, aiming to enhance both self-serve and direct sales motions while maintaining stable sales and marketing expenses as a percentage of revenue.

Backblaze Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Backblaze shows consistent revenue growth and improvements in cash flow generation, but struggles with profitability, as indicated by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved, but negative returns on equity highlight ongoing profitability issues.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Backblaze shows a consistent revenue growth trend, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 3.79%. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as indicated by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins over the periods. The gross profit margin has improved slightly in the TTM, but the net profit margin remains negative, reflecting ongoing challenges in managing costs relative to revenue.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved slightly in the TTM, indicating better leverage management compared to previous years. However, the return on equity remains negative, highlighting ongoing profitability issues. The equity ratio is relatively stable, but the negative ROE suggests that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholder investments.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Backblaze has shown improvement in free cash flow growth in the TTM, with a notable increase of 32.26%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some efficiency in converting earnings to cash flow. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests that the company is still facing challenges in translating net income into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue137.29M127.63M102.02M85.16M67.48M53.78M
Gross Profit78.60M69.34M49.86M43.86M34.34M27.98M
EBITDA-20.63M-16.54M-31.02M-24.54M-1.61M9.22M
Net Income-43.55M-48.53M-59.71M-51.70M-21.70M-6.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets186.04M168.56M131.69M150.91M163.58M54.47M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments50.54M54.91M29.30M65.42M104.84M6.08M
Total Debt61.60M46.34M46.85M44.87M33.25M31.48M
Total Liabilities106.40M90.94M86.75M82.36M68.09M61.31M
Stockholders Equity79.64M77.62M44.94M68.56M95.49M-6.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.40M10.79M-27.58M-29.76M-7.69M7.84M
Operating Cash Flow15.35M12.51M-7.35M-13.78M3.52M12.82M
Investing Cash Flow-15.88M-6.13M21.66M-73.85M-11.19M-4.97M
Financing Cash Flow18.76M22.77M-8.84M-6.21M106.61M-8.75M

Backblaze Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.80
Price Trends
50DMA
9.49
Negative
100DMA
7.79
Negative
200DMA
6.67
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Positive
RSI
21.87
Positive
STOCH
2.35
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BLZE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.46, below the 50-day MA of 9.49, and below the 200-day MA of 6.67, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 21.87 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.35 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BLZE.

Backblaze Risk Analysis

Backblaze disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Backblaze reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Backblaze Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$4.31B20.0814.20%204.86%
65
Neutral
$7.50B17.47-0.44%2.47%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$3.03B-2.60%24.41%40.20%
57
Neutral
$39.02M-9.11%18.99%77.96%
47
Neutral
$349.17M-55.03%15.73%40.14%
41
Neutral
$498.74M-4.92-70.04%111.83%73.52%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BLZE
Backblaze
5.80
-1.22
-17.38%
DBX
Dropbox
30.87
2.70
9.58%
JG
Aurora Mobile
6.18
0.82
15.30%
AVPT
AvePoint
12.08
-3.62
-23.06%
BKKT
Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A
23.66
11.21
90.04%
DOCN
DigitalOcean Holdings
49.48
10.09
25.62%

Backblaze Corporate Events

Backblaze Reports Strong Q3 2025 Revenue Growth
Nov 7, 2025

Backblaze, Inc. is a high-performance cloud storage platform specializing in AI-driven data management solutions, offering services that support over 500,000 customers globally. In its third-quarter 2025 earnings report, Backblaze announced a 14% year-over-year revenue growth, with significant contributions from its B2 Cloud Storage segment, which saw a 28% increase. The company reported a gross profit margin expansion to 62% and a reduction in net loss to $3.8 million from $12.8 million in the previous year. Key financial highlights include a revenue of $37.2 million, a net loss per share of $0.07, and an adjusted EBITDA of $8.4 million. The company’s annual recurring revenue reached $147.2 million, with B2 Cloud Storage accounting for $81.8 million. Looking ahead, Backblaze remains optimistic about achieving free-cash-flow positivity in the fourth quarter and continues to focus on enhancing its cloud storage offerings to meet the growing demands of AI and data-intensive workflows.

Backblaze, Inc. Q3 Earnings Call Insights
Nov 7, 2025

Backblaze, Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a mixed sentiment. The company celebrated strong revenue growth and industry accolades, particularly in the AI sector. However, it faced challenges with B2 growth not meeting ambitious targets, customer variability, and stagnant growth in the Computer Backup segment. Despite these hurdles, the financial performance showed notable year-over-year improvements, but the company must address these challenges to sustain its growth momentum.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Backblaze Initiates Restructuring Plan to Boost Efficiency
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

In November 2025, Backblaze initiated a restructuring plan to improve efficiency and enhance its sales and marketing performance, expecting to incur charges of $4.4 million to $6.0 million. For the third quarter of 2025, Backblaze reported a 28% revenue growth in B2 Cloud Storage and a 14% overall revenue growth, with a gross margin expansion to 62%. The company achieved record non-GAAP net income and adjusted EBITDA margin, marking significant milestones towards free cash flow generation.

The most recent analyst rating on (BLZE) stock is a Hold with a $9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Backblaze stock, see the BLZE Stock Forecast page.

Backblaze Earnings Call: Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 13, 2025

Backblaze, Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a generally positive sentiment with strong financial performance and growth, particularly in the B2 Cloud Storage segment and the AI market. The successful launch of B2 Overdrive and go-to-market transformation efforts were highlighted as notable achievements, despite some challenges such as the decline in Computer Backup revenue and net revenue retention (NRR). Overall, the positives significantly outweighed the negatives, painting an optimistic picture for the company’s future.

Navigating the AI Minefield: Backblaze, Inc.’s Struggle with Operational and Legal Risks
Aug 8, 2025

Backblaze, Inc. faces significant risks associated with its use of artificial intelligence technologies to boost internal productivity and efficiency. The implementation of AI introduces operational, legal, reputational, and competitive challenges, as AI models can produce flawed outputs that may impact decision-making and customer trust. Reliance on third-party providers for AI tools further exposes the company to data security risks and potential noncompliance with privacy laws. Additionally, the evolving landscape of AI regulation and intellectual property issues could impose further compliance burdens and impact Backblaze’s operations adversely.

Backblaze Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Performance
Aug 8, 2025

Backblaze, Inc., a cloud storage innovator, offers high-performance and secure cloud object storage solutions for various applications, including AI workflows and data protection, distinguishing itself as a modern alternative to traditional cloud providers. In its second quarter of 2025, Backblaze reported a 16% year-over-year revenue growth, reaching $36.3 million, with its B2 Cloud Storage segment experiencing a remarkable 29% increase. The company also reduced its net loss to $7.1 million from $10.3 million in the previous year, showcasing improved financial health.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Backblaze Announces $10 Million Stock Repurchase Program
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Backblaze announced a stock repurchase program, allowing the company to buy back up to $10 million of its Class A common stock over the next 12 months, enhancing financial flexibility. In its second quarter of 2025, Backblaze reported a 16% overall revenue growth, with a notable 29% increase in B2 Cloud Storage revenue, and introduced new cybersecurity features and AI-powered solutions, positioning itself as a leading independent cloud storage provider.

The most recent analyst rating on (BLZE) stock is a Buy with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Backblaze stock, see the BLZE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025