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Backblaze (BLZE)
NASDAQ:BLZE
US Market

Backblaze (BLZE) AI Stock Analysis

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Backblaze

(NASDAQ:BLZE)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▲(14.44%Upside)
Backblaze's strong revenue growth and positive sentiment from the latest earnings call are significant strengths, contributing to a positive outlook. However, ongoing profitability issues and valuation concerns due to negative earnings weigh down the score. Technical indicators suggest current bullish momentum, but overbought conditions may pose short-term risks.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Backblaze reported solid first-quarter results above the Street while providing second-quarter guidance roughly in line with consensus.
Revenue Growth
ARR grew 15% year-over-year, driven by continued progress across Backblaze’s recent go-to-market enhancements, sustained B2 Cloud momentum, and NRR of 113%.
Strategic Partnerships
Focus on more strategic partnerships and tailwinds from GenAI should drive sustainable growth and profitability.
Negative Factors
Accounting Allegations
The analyst disagrees with the allegations of accounting malpractice at Backblaze and sees the share pullback as a buying opportunity.
Stock Dilution
The recent secondary offering added 7.2M shares to the share count, leading to a lower $11 price target due to dilution.

Backblaze (BLZE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Backblaze Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBackblaze, Inc. (BLZE) is a cloud storage and data backup company headquartered in San Mateo, California. Founded in 2007, the company operates primarily within the technology and cloud computing sectors. Backblaze offers a variety of services, including personal and business backup solutions, cloud storage services, and data management tools. Its core products include Backblaze Personal Backup, Backblaze Business Backup, and B2 Cloud Storage, which cater to individuals, businesses, and developers seeking reliable, cost-effective data storage and backup solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyBackblaze generates revenue through a subscription-based model, primarily from its cloud storage and backup services. The company's key revenue streams include Personal Backup, Business Backup, and B2 Cloud Storage. Personal and Business Backup services are offered on a subscription basis, allowing users to pay monthly or yearly for unlimited data backup. B2 Cloud Storage provides scalable, on-demand storage solutions priced based on usage, with fees based on the amount of data stored and the bandwidth consumed. Additionally, Backblaze partners with various software and technology companies to integrate its storage solutions, thereby expanding its customer base and driving revenue growth. Factors such as competitive pricing, ease of use, and high reliability contribute to Backblaze's ability to attract and retain customers, supporting its revenue model.

Backblaze Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 25.66%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, successful product launches, and significant achievements in AI and customer retention. Despite concerns over market manipulation and elongated customer decision-making, the overall sentiment remains positive due to robust performance metrics and strategic advancements.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue for Q1 2025 reached $34.6 million, representing a 15% increase over the prior year.
B2 Cloud Storage Momentum
B2 Cloud Storage achieved 23% growth, marking the second consecutive quarter of increased organic growth.
Enhanced Profitability
Adjusted EBITDA margin tripled over the same period last year to 18%.
AI Customer Base Expansion
AI customer base grew by 66%, and their data with Backblaze grew by 25x.
Successful Go-To-Market Transformation
Sales bookings more than doubled year-over-year, driven by strong sales execution and growing existing accounts.
Launch of B2 Overdrive
Introduced Backblaze B2 Cloud Storage Overdrive, optimized for large data sets and high-performance throughput.
Record TCV Deal
Signed the largest Total Contract Value (TCV) deal ever, a multimillion-dollar contract over a multiyear period.
Improved Customer Retention
Gross customer retention remained consistently strong at approximately 90% across both B2 and Computer Backup segments.
Negative Updates
Market Manipulation Concerns
Discussed a misleading report based on false claims by former employees, alleged to be part of a market manipulation scheme.
Elongated Decision-Making
Some customers are taking more time to make decisions due to the current business environment.
Tariff Impact Concerns
Potential 10% tariff on U.S. imports could increase cost of sales by approximately 1.5% over six years.
Company Guidance
During the Backblaze First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported a 15% increase in total revenue, reaching $34.6 million, with B2 Cloud Storage revenue accelerating to 23% growth year-over-year. The adjusted EBITDA margin tripled to 18%, a substantial improvement from the previous year, and the adjusted free cash flow margin improved to negative 6% from negative 13% in the previous quarter. Backblaze is on track to achieve at least 30% B2 growth and adjusted free cash flow positive by Q4 2025. The company highlighted a record TCV deal and significant growth driven by AI use cases, and it introduced the B2 Cloud Storage Overdrive offering. The company also addressed market manipulation concerns and reassured investors of its financial integrity. Looking ahead, Backblaze is focusing on upskilling, partnerships, and sales plays as part of its go-to-market transformation, with continued confidence in achieving its growth targets despite some customers taking longer to make decisions.

Backblaze Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Backblaze demonstrates strong revenue growth and improving cash flow, yet faces profitability challenges. Enhancing cost management and reducing dependency on debt could improve financial health. The company shows potential but must manage operational inefficiencies to achieve sustainable profitability.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Backblaze's revenue has shown a strong growth trend, with a 25.1% increase in TTM. However, profitability metrics like net and EBIT margins remain negative, indicating operational challenges. The gross profit margin has improved to 54.3%, which is a positive sign. Continuing to grow revenue while addressing cost efficiency could enhance future profitability.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.60, indicating moderate leverage. Stockholders' equity has significantly improved, but the equity ratio at 46.0% suggests potential reliance on debt financing. Improving profitability could enhance financial stability, but current liabilities remain substantial.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow has turned positive in the TTM, a positive development from previous years. Free cash flow is positive, but the growth rate remains a concern. Cash flow ratios like operating cash flow to net income are favorable due to negative net income, but improving net income remains crucial.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
127.63M102.02M85.16M67.48M53.78M
Gross Profit
69.34M49.86M43.86M34.34M27.98M
EBIT
-46.29M-57.91M-48.41M-18.79M-3.73M
EBITDA
-16.54M-31.02M-24.54M-1.61M9.22M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-48.53M-59.71M-51.70M-21.70M-6.62M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
45.78M29.30M65.42M104.84M6.08M
Total Assets
168.56M131.69M150.91M163.58M54.47M
Total Debt
46.34M46.85M44.87M33.25M31.48M
Net Debt
563.00K34.35M38.18M-71.59M25.40M
Total Liabilities
90.94M86.75M82.36M68.09M61.31M
Stockholders Equity
77.62M44.94M68.56M95.49M-6.84M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
10.79M-27.58M-29.76M-7.69M7.84M
Operating Cash Flow
12.51M-7.35M-13.78M3.52M12.82M
Investing Cash Flow
-6.13M21.66M-73.85M-11.19M-4.97M
Financing Cash Flow
22.77M-8.84M-6.21M106.61M-8.75M

Backblaze Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.68
Price Trends
50DMA
5.01
Positive
100DMA
5.61
Positive
200DMA
6.09
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Positive
RSI
56.31
Neutral
STOCH
44.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BLZE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.68 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.59, above the 50-day MA of 5.01, and below the 200-day MA of 6.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BLZE.

Backblaze Risk Analysis

Backblaze disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Backblaze reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
We are an emerging growth company, which provides, among other things, reduced disclosure requirements, and any decision on our part to comply only with reduced reporting and disclosure requirements applicable to such companies could make our Common Stock less attractive to investors. Q4, 2024

Backblaze Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DBDBX
75
Outperform
$8.30B19.36-60.11%0.79%0.59%
66
Neutral
$318.42M-74.75%21.81%28.80%
66
Neutral
$4.02B-12.09%11.79%35.35%
65
Neutral
$3.98B-8.39%21.70%-67.95%
62
Neutral
$11.80B10.37-7.29%2.91%7.39%-7.96%
47
Neutral
$42.65M86.76%9.71%-1.97%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BLZE
Backblaze
5.68
-0.38
-6.27%
DBX
Dropbox
29.47
8.14
38.16%
TENB
Tenable Holdings
32.87
-8.23
-20.02%
KPLT
Katapult Holdings
9.40
-7.29
-43.68%
AVPT
AvePoint
19.56
10.46
114.95%

Backblaze Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Backblaze Secures $20 Million Credit Facility
Neutral
Jun 5, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Backblaze, Inc. entered into a credit agreement with Citizens Bank, N.A., securing a $20 million senior secured revolving credit facility. This agreement, which includes various financial covenants and pledges, is intended to support the company’s working capital and general corporate purposes, potentially impacting its operational flexibility and financial strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (BLZE) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Backblaze stock, see the BLZE Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Backblaze Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Backblaze, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders via webcast, where stockholders voted on two proposals. The first proposal involved the election of Class I directors, Barbara Nelson and Earl E. Fry, who were elected to serve until the 2028 annual meeting. The second proposal ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and financial oversight strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (BLZE) stock is a Buy with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Backblaze stock, see the BLZE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.