Katapult Holdings (KPLT)
NASDAQ:KPLT
US Market
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Katapult Holdings (KPLT) AI Stock Analysis

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KPLT

Katapult Holdings

(NASDAQ:KPLT)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▼(-2.11% Downside)
Katapult Holdings' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial instability and bearish technical indicators. While the earnings call provided some positive insights into growth and capital investment, the company's financial leverage and negative valuation metrics weigh heavily on the score. The technical analysis further supports a cautious outlook, with bearish momentum and oversold conditions.

Katapult Holdings (KPLT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Katapult Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKatapult Holdings, Inc. is a leading provider of e-commerce and point-of-sale financing solutions, specializing in offering flexible payment options for consumers. The company operates primarily in the fintech sector, focusing on the underserved credit market by providing lease-to-own and other financing solutions that enable consumers to purchase goods without traditional credit. Katapult partners with a variety of retailers, enhancing their ability to offer financing options at the point of sale, thus improving customer acquisition and sales conversion rates.
How the Company Makes MoneyKatapult generates revenue primarily through its lease-to-own financing model, where it earns money from the fees charged to consumers for financing options. These fees can include transaction fees, late payment fees, and interest charges, depending on the specific terms of the lease agreements. Additionally, Katapult earns revenue from its retail partners through partnership agreements that often include a percentage of the financing fees generated from customer transactions. The company also benefits from increased sales volume for its retail partners, creating a symbiotic relationship that enhances both parties' earnings. Significant partnerships with various e-commerce platforms and brick-and-mortar retailers further bolster Katapult's revenue streams, as these collaborations expand its reach to a broader customer base.

Katapult Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Katapult Holdings demonstrated robust growth in applications, customers, revenue, and EBITDA, supported by a significant capital investment and expanded KPay originations. However, challenges in application quality, specific market categories, and macroeconomic uncertainties present headwinds, leading to a conservative Q4 outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Capital Investment
Katapult Holdings received a $65 million investment from Hawthorn Horizon Credit Fund, which allowed the company to pay off its term loan, reduce its revolving line of credit, and invest in growth opportunities.
Strong Application and Customer Growth
Applications grew by 76% in the first three quarters of 2025, leading to a 35% increase in unique new customers and a 30% growth in the total customer base during the third quarter.
Revenue and Gross Originations Growth
The company experienced a 22.8% revenue growth and a 25.3% increase in gross originations in Q3 2025, marking ten consecutive quarters of revenue growth.
Positive Adjusted EBITDA
Katapult delivered $4.4 million in positive adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025, exceeding the $3 million to $3.5 million range.
Expansion of KPay Originations
KPay originations grew 66% year-over-year in Q3, representing 41% of total gross originations.
Negative Updates
Decline in Application Quality
The company observed a slight downward trend in the credit quality of applications received, prompting tightened underwriting decisions.
Challenges in Home Furnishings and Mattress Category
Excluding the home furnishings and mattress category, gross originations grew 50%; however, this category presented challenges impacting overall growth.
Macroeconomic Uncertainties
The company faces uncertainties from macroeconomic factors such as inflation, potential government shutdowns, and non-prime consumer financial challenges.
Conservative Q4 Outlook
The company provided a conservative Q4 outlook with expected gross originations growth in the 15% to 20% range, considering macroeconomic challenges.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Katapult Holdings provided detailed financial guidance and performance metrics during their earnings call. The company reported a $65 million capital investment from Hawthorn Horizon Credit Fund, which enabled them to pay off their term loan and invest in growth opportunities. Katapult saw a 76% increase in applications through the first three quarters of 2025, leading to a 35% growth in unique new customers year-over-year, with a 47% increase in the third quarter alone. Their total customer base grew by over 30%, and monthly active users rose by nearly 49% compared to the same period in 2024. The company's gross originations increased by 25.3%, with total app originations growing by 44% to $39.3 million. Katapult's revenue for Q3 grew by 22.8%, and they achieved $4.4 million in positive adjusted EBITDA, surpassing their forecasted range. Their Net Promoter Score (NPS) rose to 64, and 55.3% of gross originations came from repeat customers, whose lifetime value increased by about 5%. Looking forward, Katapult expects gross originations to grow between 15% and 20% in Q4 2025, with revenue growth projected at 21% to 23% and approximately $2 million in adjusted EBITDA. For the full year 2025, they anticipate gross originations to grow 20% to 23%, revenue to increase 18% to 20%, and adjusted EBITDA to be between $8 million and $9 million, representing significant year-over-year growth.

Katapult Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Katapult Holdings is facing significant financial challenges, with profitability and leverage being major concerns. Despite some revenue growth and improvement in free cash flow, the negative equity and high leverage pose substantial risks. The company needs to focus on improving its cost structure and financial stability to enhance its overall financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Katapult Holdings has shown some revenue growth, with a 5.13% increase in the TTM period. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin is relatively low at 19.49%, indicating challenges in cost management. The EBITDA margin is healthier at 22.99%, suggesting some operational efficiency, but overall profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage, with a negative debt-to-equity ratio due to negative stockholders' equity. This indicates potential financial instability. The return on equity is positive at 66.35%, but this is skewed by the negative equity base. The equity ratio is negative, reflecting a precarious financial position.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows a negative operating cash flow, indicating challenges in generating cash from operations. However, free cash flow has improved by 17.94% in the TTM period, which is a positive sign. The free cash flow to net income ratio is above 1, suggesting that the company is generating more cash than its reported net income, which is a positive aspect.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue267.10M247.19M221.59M209.50M303.11M247.20M
Gross Profit52.05M45.77M41.71M37.41M88.99M79.79M
EBITDA100.79M161.48M137.12M95.94M182.22M148.05M
Net Income-31.98M-25.91M-36.67M-40.47M21.21M22.53M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets90.58M93.17M100.86M130.05M166.16M139.83M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.66M3.46M21.41M65.43M92.49M65.62M
Total Debt112.92M113.25M86.76M106.52M101.90M110.73M
Total Liabilities144.65M139.97M128.85M132.12M125.36M140.78M
Stockholders Equity-54.06M-46.79M-27.99M7.13M40.80M-949.00K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-38.11M-32.62M-18.39M-22.35M730.00K-2.58M
Operating Cash Flow-37.12M-32.57M-17.41M-20.85M2.17M-2.14M
Investing Cash Flow-1.63M-1.30M-974.00K-1.50M-1.44M-402.00K
Financing Cash Flow9.36M21.61M-22.64M-4.24M26.10M59.90M

Katapult Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.64
Price Trends
50DMA
14.61
Negative
100DMA
13.21
Negative
200DMA
11.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.73
Positive
RSI
23.60
Positive
STOCH
4.80
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KPLT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.64 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.83, below the 50-day MA of 14.61, and below the 200-day MA of 11.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.73 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.60 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.80 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KPLT.

Katapult Holdings Risk Analysis

Katapult Holdings disclosed 114 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Katapult Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Katapult Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$38.93M-9.11%18.99%77.96%
50
Neutral
$50.15M-77.89-3.89%134.43%95.39%
46
Neutral
$63.64M-21.44%0.07%58.47%
45
Neutral
$52.55M-1.6413.23%-1.78%
40
Neutral
$69.10M
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KPLT
Katapult Holdings
6.30
-0.86
-12.01%
SNCR
Synchronoss Technologies
5.35
-4.45
-45.41%
SOS
SOS
1.52
-12.43
-89.10%
JG
Aurora Mobile
6.66
0.94
16.43%
XBP
XBP Europe Holdings
0.62
-0.66
-51.56%
UBXG
U-BX Technology Ltd.
2.31
-2.53
-52.27%

Katapult Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Katapult Holdings Raises $65M Through Convertible Stock
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, Katapult Holdings, Inc. entered into agreements for the issuance of Series A and Series B Convertible Preferred Stock, raising $65 million in total. The proceeds were used to repay loans and for corporate purposes. The transactions allow the purchaser, HHCF Series 21 Sub, LLC, to potentially own 54.5% of the common stock upon conversion, subject to stockholder approval to remove ownership limitations. Additionally, the company amended its loan agreement, waiving defaults and adjusting financial covenants, which could stabilize its financial position.

The most recent analyst rating on (KPLT) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Katapult Holdings stock, see the KPLT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Katapult Holdings Enters Sixth Limited Waiver Agreement
Negative
Oct 29, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Katapult Holdings, Inc. entered into a Sixth Limited Waiver to their Loan and Security Agreement due to failing to maintain required minimum originations for August and September 2025. This waiver temporarily addresses the default until October 31, 2025, but allows Class B Lenders to convert outstanding loan amounts into common stock based on the 20-day VWAP, which was approximately $12.85 as of October 28, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (KPLT) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Katapult Holdings stock, see the KPLT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Katapult Holdings Enters Fifth Limited Waiver Agreement
Negative
Oct 27, 2025

On October 27, 2025, Katapult Holdings, Inc. entered into a Fifth Limited Waiver to their Amended and Restated Loan and Security Agreement. This action was taken in response to the company’s failure to meet the Minimum Trailing Three-Month Originations for August and September 2025. The waiver temporarily addresses the Existing Default until October 29, 2025, allowing Class B Lenders the right to convert outstanding term loan amounts into common stock based on the 20-day VWAP, which was approximately $13.04 as of October 24, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (KPLT) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Katapult Holdings stock, see the KPLT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Katapult Holdings Secures Fourth Limited Waiver Agreement
Negative
Oct 20, 2025

On October 20, 2025, Katapult Holdings entered into a Fourth Limited Waiver to their Amended and Restated Loan and Security Agreement due to failing to maintain Minimum Trailing Three-Month Originations for August and September 2025. This waiver temporarily addresses the existing default until October 27, 2025, allowing Class B Lenders to convert outstanding term loan amounts into common stock based on the 20-day volume weighted average price, which was approximately $14.49 as of October 17, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (KPLT) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Katapult Holdings stock, see the KPLT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Katapult Holdings Secures Waiver Amid Loan Agreement Default
Negative
Oct 14, 2025

On October 13, 2025, Katapult Holdings entered into a Third Limited Waiver to their Loan and Security Agreement due to failing to maintain required minimum originations for August and September 2025. This waiver temporarily addresses the default until October 20, 2025, allowing Class B Lenders the right to convert outstanding loan amounts into company stock, potentially impacting the company’s financial structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (KPLT) stock is a Hold with a $14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Katapult Holdings stock, see the KPLT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Katapult Holdings Secures Second Limited Waiver Agreement
Neutral
Sep 29, 2025

Katapult Holdings, Inc. entered into a Second Limited Waiver on September 29, 2025, to address their failure to maintain Minimum Trailing Three-Month Originations as required by their Loan Agreement. This waiver extends the temporary waiver of the existing default until October 13, 2025, allowing Class B Lenders the right to convert the outstanding term loan into common stock based on the 20-day VWAP, which was approximately $19.52 as of September 26, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (KPLT) stock is a Hold with a $20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Katapult Holdings stock, see the KPLT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Katapult Holdings Secures Limited Waiver for Loan Default
Negative
Sep 16, 2025

On September 15, 2025, Katapult Holdings, Inc. entered into a Limited Waiver agreement to address a failure to maintain Minimum Trailing Three-Month Origination as required by their Loan Agreement. This waiver temporarily resolves the existing default until September 29, 2025, impacting the company’s financial obligations and stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (KPLT) stock is a Hold with a $19.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Katapult Holdings stock, see the KPLT Stock Forecast page.

Katapult Holdings Reports Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

The latest earnings call from Katapult Holdings, Inc. painted a picture of robust growth and strategic financial maneuvers, tempered by some challenges in specific areas. The company reported impressive increases in gross originations, revenue, and consumer engagement, alongside positive adjusted EBITDA and successful debt refinancing efforts. However, concerns were raised regarding lease depreciation impacts on profit margins, challenges in certain product categories, and an uptick in charge-off rates.

Katapult Holdings Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 14, 2025

Katapult Holdings, Inc. is a financial technology company specializing in e-commerce, offering lease-to-own solutions for non-prime consumers in the United States. The company integrates with retailers and e-commerce platforms to facilitate purchases of durable goods.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2025