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BayCom Corp (BCML)
NASDAQ:BCML
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BayCom (BCML) AI Stock Analysis

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BCML

BayCom

(NASDAQ:BCML)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(4.94% Upside)
BayCom's overall stock score reflects its strong financial health and reasonable valuation. The robust balance sheet and attractive dividend yield are significant strengths. However, technical indicators suggest potential overbought conditions, and declining gross profit margins and cash flow growth pose risks. Investors should monitor cost efficiency and cash flow generation closely.
Positive Factors
Strong Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with low leverage provides financial stability and flexibility, enabling BayCom to navigate economic fluctuations and invest in growth opportunities.
Stable Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates a reliable customer base and effective business strategy, supporting long-term business sustainability and shareholder value.
Proactive Financial Management
Proactive financial management enhances long-term earnings potential and risk management, positioning BayCom for sustained growth despite short-term costs.
Negative Factors
Declining Gross Profit Margins
Declining gross profit margins suggest potential cost management issues, which could impact profitability if not addressed, affecting long-term financial performance.
Negative Free Cash Flow Growth
Negative free cash flow growth may limit BayCom's ability to reinvest in the business and meet financial obligations, posing a risk to future liquidity and expansion.
Low Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio
Low operating cash flow relative to net income indicates potential inefficiencies in converting earnings into cash, which could affect operational flexibility and financial health.

BayCom (BCML) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BayCom Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBayCom Corp (BCML) is a bank holding company headquartered in Walnut Creek, California, primarily engaged in providing a range of financial services through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Bay Bank. The company operates in the banking sector, focusing on commercial banking, real estate lending, and personal banking services. Its core products include various types of loans, deposit accounts, and investment services, catering to both individual and business clients in the local community and surrounding areas.
How the Company Makes MoneyBayCom generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from interest income on loans and fees associated with banking services. The company's loan portfolio includes commercial loans, real estate loans, and consumer loans, which provide a significant source of interest income. Additionally, BayCom earns money through service fees from deposit accounts, transaction services, and wealth management offerings. The company may also engage in investment activities, although the primary focus remains on traditional banking services. Strategic partnerships with local businesses and community organizations contribute to its customer base, enhancing its earning potential by fostering loyalty and increasing cross-selling opportunities.

BayCom Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BayCom demonstrates strong financial health with stable revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is particularly strong, with low leverage and a solid equity base. However, declining gross profit margins and negative free cash flow growth pose potential risks. The company should focus on improving cost efficiency and cash flow generation to maintain its financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
BayCom's income statement shows a stable revenue growth trend with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.08%, indicating consistent performance. The gross profit margin has decreased over time, from 77.07% in 2023 to 52.21% in TTM, suggesting potential cost management issues. However, the net profit margin remains healthy at 16.79% TTM, reflecting strong profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, indicating efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
BayCom's balance sheet is robust, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.069 in TTM, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity is moderate at 7.04% TTM, showing decent profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio is strong, reflecting a solid capital structure and low financial risk.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a decline in free cash flow growth at -9.78% TTM, which could be a concern for future liquidity. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, indicating that the company effectively converts its net income into free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting potential challenges in cash generation from operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue140.73M137.71M132.91M111.25M92.79M95.62M
Gross Profit95.16M95.87M102.43M96.45M83.52M76.40M
EBITDA35.25M35.39M41.12M36.46M32.34M21.93M
Net Income23.19M23.61M27.43M23.73M20.69M13.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.60B2.66B2.55B2.51B2.35B2.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.79M25.38M25.48M183.22M180.42M152.99M
Total Debt23.20M86.76M87.20M89.33M84.60M89.02M
Total Liabilities2.27B2.34B2.24B2.20B2.09B1.94B
Stockholders Equity334.27M324.37M312.87M317.15M262.61M252.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.91M28.66M28.68M38.77M9.12M6.78M
Operating Cash Flow30.98M30.36M30.80M39.61M10.43M10.00M
Investing Cash Flow-120.80M-62.19M80.40M53.94M-60.36M-73.66M
Financing Cash Flow16.98M88.32M19.52M-296.42M130.29M67.61M

BayCom Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price29.54
Price Trends
50DMA
28.21
Positive
100DMA
28.31
Positive
200DMA
27.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.28
Negative
RSI
64.88
Neutral
STOCH
84.20
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BCML, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 29.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.98, above the 50-day MA of 28.21, and above the 200-day MA of 27.19, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.20 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BCML.

BayCom Risk Analysis

BayCom disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BayCom reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BayCom Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$332.12M15.906.79%28.90%31.84%
72
Outperform
$296.39M10.689.63%2.71%6.92%26.93%
70
Outperform
$298.76M13.037.07%2.96%1.25%-0.07%
70
Outperform
$359.42M11.549.42%5.55%5.76%21.85%
69
Neutral
$341.62M13.485.11%3.19%-0.70%-19.65%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$331.01M10.5710.19%2.65%-14.00%73.85%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BCML
BayCom
29.54
1.32
4.68%
CZNC
Citizens & Northern
20.19
0.86
4.45%
CBAN
Colony Bankcorp
17.00
-0.13
-0.76%
RBB
Rbb Bancorp
20.04
-2.99
-12.98%
MVBF
MVB Financial
27.00
5.95
28.27%
PBFS
Pioneer Bancorp
13.39
1.61
13.67%

BayCom Corporate Events

BayCom Corp Reports Q3 Earnings Amid Challenges
Oct 24, 2025

BayCom Corp, the holding company for United Business Bank, operates in the financial sector providing a range of banking services, including loans and deposit products across several states in the U.S. In its latest earnings report, BayCom Corp announced a net income of $5.0 million for the third quarter of 2025, a decrease from the previous quarter and the same quarter last year. This decline was primarily attributed to increased provisions for credit losses and higher noninterest expenses, despite a rise in net interest income and noninterest income. Key financial metrics revealed a stable asset base with total assets remaining steady at $2.6 billion, while loans increased to $2.0 billion. The company also reported a decrease in nonperforming loans and an increase in the allowance for credit losses. Looking ahead, BayCom’s management remains cautiously optimistic, expecting stable credit quality and improved earnings performance, with a continued focus on strategic share repurchases and cash dividends to enhance shareholder value.

Dividends
BayCom Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Aug 21, 2025

On August 21, 2025, BayCom Corp announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.25 per share on its common stock. The dividend is payable on October 9, 2025, to shareholders recorded by September 11, 2025, reflecting the company’s commitment to returning value to its investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCML) stock is a Hold with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BayCom stock, see the BCML Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
BayCom Announces Redemption of Subordinated Notes
Neutral
Aug 15, 2025

On August 15, 2025, BayCom Corp announced its plan to redeem all outstanding 5.25% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Subordinated Notes due 2030, totaling $64.7 million, on September 15, 2025. The redemption will be executed at 100% of the principal amount plus accrued interest, using the company’s cash reserves, potentially impacting its financial liquidity and signaling a strategic financial maneuver.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCML) stock is a Buy with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BayCom stock, see the BCML Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025