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BayCom Corp (BCML)
NASDAQ:BCML

BayCom (BCML) AI Stock Analysis

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BCML

BayCom

(NASDAQ:BCML)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$33.00
▲(13.09% Upside)
BayCom's overall stock score is driven by strong financial health and positive technical momentum. The robust balance sheet and recent dividend increase further enhance its attractiveness. However, challenges in cost efficiency and cash flow generation, along with a fair valuation, moderate the score.
Positive Factors
Dividend Increase
The dividend increase reflects BayCom's strong financial position and commitment to shareholder value, enhancing its attractiveness in the financial market.
Balance Sheet Strength
A strong balance sheet with low leverage indicates financial stability and flexibility, supporting long-term growth and risk management.
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth demonstrates the company's ability to maintain and expand its market position, contributing to long-term sustainability.
Negative Factors
Declining Gross Profit Margin
A declining gross profit margin suggests potential cost management issues, which could impact profitability and require strategic adjustments.
Negative Free Cash Flow Growth
Negative free cash flow growth can strain liquidity and limit the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities, affecting long-term financial health.
Earnings Miss
Missing earnings expectations may indicate operational challenges and could affect investor confidence, necessitating improved performance management.

BayCom (BCML) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BayCom Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBayCom Corp operates as the bank holding company for United Business Bank that provides various financial services to small and mid-sized businesses, service professionals, and individuals. The company offers demand, savings, money market, and time deposit accounts. It also provides commercial and multifamily real estate loans, including owner-occupied and investor real estate loans; commercial and industrial loans, such as equipment loans and working capital lines of credit; small business administration loans; construction and land loans; agriculture-related loans; and consumer loans comprising installment loans, unsecured and secured personal lines of credit, and overdraft protection. In addition, the company offers online and mobile banking, automated teller machine, remote deposit capture, night depository, courier, direct deposit, treasury management, wire transfer, automated clearing house services, debit cards, cashier's and travelers checks, letters of credit, lockbox, positive pay, reverse positive pay, and account reconciliation services, as well as zero balance accounts and sweep accounts, including loan sweep. As of December 31, 2021, it operated through a network of 33 full-service banking branches in Northern and Southern California; Denver, Colorado; Custer, Delta, and Grand counties, Colorado; and Seattle, Washington and Central New Mexico. The company was formerly known as Bay Commercial Bank and changed its name to BayCom Corp in January 2017. BayCom Corp was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Walnut Creek, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyBayCom generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from interest income on loans and fees associated with banking services. The company's loan portfolio includes commercial loans, real estate loans, and consumer loans, which provide a significant source of interest income. Additionally, BayCom earns money through service fees from deposit accounts, transaction services, and wealth management offerings. The company may also engage in investment activities, although the primary focus remains on traditional banking services. Strategic partnerships with local businesses and community organizations contribute to its customer base, enhancing its earning potential by fostering loyalty and increasing cross-selling opportunities.

BayCom Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BayCom demonstrates strong financial health with stable revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage and a solid equity base. However, declining gross profit margins and negative free cash flow growth pose potential risks. The company should focus on improving cost efficiency and cash flow generation to maintain its financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
BayCom's income statement shows a stable revenue growth trend with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.08%, indicating consistent performance. The gross profit margin has decreased over time, from 77.07% in 2023 to 52.21% in TTM, suggesting potential cost management issues. However, the net profit margin remains healthy at 16.79% TTM, reflecting strong profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, indicating efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
BayCom's balance sheet is robust, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.069 in TTM, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity is moderate at 7.04% TTM, showing decent profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio is strong, reflecting a solid capital structure and low financial risk.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a decline in free cash flow growth at -9.78% TTM, which could be a concern for future liquidity. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, indicating that the company effectively converts its net income into free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting potential challenges in cash generation from operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue140.73M137.71M132.91M111.25M92.79M95.62M
Gross Profit95.16M95.87M102.43M96.45M83.52M76.40M
EBITDA35.25M35.39M41.12M36.46M32.34M21.93M
Net Income23.19M23.61M27.43M23.73M20.69M13.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.60B2.66B2.55B2.51B2.35B2.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.79M25.38M25.48M183.22M180.42M152.99M
Total Debt36.72M86.76M87.20M89.33M84.60M89.02M
Total Liabilities2.27B2.34B2.24B2.20B2.09B1.94B
Stockholders Equity334.27M324.37M312.87M317.15M262.61M252.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.91M28.66M28.68M38.77M9.12M6.78M
Operating Cash Flow30.98M30.36M30.80M39.61M10.43M10.00M
Investing Cash Flow-120.80M-62.19M80.40M53.94M-60.36M-73.66M
Financing Cash Flow16.98M88.32M19.52M-296.42M130.29M67.61M

BayCom Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price29.18
Price Trends
50DMA
29.57
Negative
100DMA
28.84
Positive
200DMA
27.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Negative
RSI
48.84
Neutral
STOCH
29.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BCML, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 29.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.98, below the 50-day MA of 29.57, and above the 200-day MA of 27.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BCML.

BayCom Risk Analysis

BayCom disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BayCom reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BayCom Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$318.00M13.407.07%2.91%1.25%-0.07%
74
Outperform
$405.17M15.629.42%5.43%5.76%21.85%
74
Outperform
$414.00M12.259.63%2.55%6.92%26.93%
73
Outperform
$355.38M11.5010.19%2.61%-14.00%73.85%
71
Outperform
$353.55M11.365.11%2.98%-0.70%-19.65%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$354.89M17.176.79%28.90%31.84%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BCML
BayCom
29.18
2.59
9.73%
CZNC
Citizens & Northern
22.76
2.65
13.18%
CBAN
Colony Bankcorp
19.46
3.25
20.05%
RBB
Rbb Bancorp
20.74
2.85
15.92%
MVBF
MVB Financial
28.24
9.49
50.61%
PBFS
Pioneer Bancorp
14.15
2.82
24.89%

BayCom Corporate Events

Dividends
BayCom Announces 20% Increase in Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

On November 20, 2025, BayCom Corp announced a 20% increase in its quarterly cash dividend to $0.30 per share, payable on January 9, 2026, to shareholders of record as of December 11, 2025. This increase reflects BayCom’s strong financial position and commitment to providing value to its shareholders, potentially enhancing its attractiveness in the financial market.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCML) stock is a Buy with a $31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BayCom stock, see the BCML Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025