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BayCom Corp (BCML)
NASDAQ:BCML
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BayCom (BCML) AI Stock Analysis

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BCML

BayCom

(NASDAQ:BCML)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(13.72% Upside)
BayCom's overall stock score is driven primarily by its solid financial performance and reasonable valuation. The company shows strong revenue growth and maintains healthy profit margins, although there are concerns about declining profitability and cash flow trends. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, which slightly offsets the positive financial and valuation aspects. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.

BayCom (BCML) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BayCom Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBayCom Corp operates as the bank holding company for United Business Bank that provides various financial services to small and mid-sized businesses, service professionals, and individuals. The company offers demand, savings, money market, and time deposit accounts. It also provides commercial and multifamily real estate loans, including owner-occupied and investor real estate loans; commercial and industrial loans, such as equipment loans and working capital lines of credit; small business administration loans; construction and land loans; agriculture-related loans; and consumer loans comprising installment loans, unsecured and secured personal lines of credit, and overdraft protection. In addition, the company offers online and mobile banking, automated teller machine, remote deposit capture, night depository, courier, direct deposit, treasury management, wire transfer, automated clearing house services, debit cards, cashier's and travelers checks, letters of credit, lockbox, positive pay, reverse positive pay, and account reconciliation services, as well as zero balance accounts and sweep accounts, including loan sweep. As of December 31, 2021, it operated through a network of 33 full-service banking branches in Northern and Southern California; Denver, Colorado; Custer, Delta, and Grand counties, Colorado; and Seattle, Washington and Central New Mexico. The company was formerly known as Bay Commercial Bank and changed its name to BayCom Corp in January 2017. BayCom Corp was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Walnut Creek, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyBayCom generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and a variety of fees associated with its banking services. The main revenue streams include interest earned from commercial, real estate, and consumer loans, as well as service fees from deposit accounts, transaction services, and wealth management solutions. Additionally, the company may benefit from partnerships with local businesses and community organizations, enhancing its customer base and increasing deposits. Other factors contributing to its earnings include interest rate spreads, effective cost management, and strategic growth initiatives, such as expanding its branch network and digital banking services.

BayCom Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BayCom exhibits strong revenue growth and maintains healthy profit margins, although there is a slight decline in profitability. The balance sheet is stable with a conservative leverage position, but the declining ROE could be a concern. Cash flow management shows mixed results, with strong free cash flow conversion but declining growth. Overall, the company is in a solid financial position but should monitor profitability and cash flow trends closely.
Income Statement
75
Positive
BayCom has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue growth rate of 88.8%, indicating a robust expansion. The gross profit margin remains healthy at 69.2%, and the net profit margin is solid at 17.4%. However, there has been a slight decline in profitability margins compared to previous years, which could be a concern if the trend continues.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a stable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.26, reflecting prudent financial leverage. Return on equity is moderate at 7.4%, suggesting efficient use of equity. The equity ratio stands at a healthy level, indicating a strong capital base. However, the slight decline in ROE compared to past performance may warrant attention.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
BayCom's cash flow performance shows a decline in free cash flow growth, with a negative growth rate of -5.3% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating potential challenges in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong at 96.4%, suggesting effective cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue139.23M137.71M132.91M111.25M92.79M95.62M
Gross Profit96.37M95.87M102.43M96.45M83.52M76.40M
EBITDA35.90M35.39M41.12M36.46M32.34M21.93M
Net Income24.20M23.61M27.43M23.73M20.69M13.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.62B2.66B2.55B2.51B2.35B2.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments206.45M25.38M25.48M183.22M180.42M152.99M
Total Debt86.63M86.76M87.20M89.33M84.60M89.02M
Total Liabilities2.29B2.34B2.24B2.20B2.09B1.94B
Stockholders Equity330.56M324.37M312.87M317.15M262.61M252.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow32.05M28.66M28.68M38.77M9.12M6.78M
Operating Cash Flow33.25M30.36M30.80M39.61M10.43M10.00M
Investing Cash Flow-135.43M-62.19M80.40M53.94M-60.36M-73.66M
Financing Cash Flow2.59M88.32M19.52M-296.42M130.29M67.61M

BayCom Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price27.26
Price Trends
50DMA
28.87
Negative
100DMA
28.17
Negative
200DMA
27.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.38
Positive
RSI
39.87
Neutral
STOCH
20.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BCML, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 27.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.79, below the 50-day MA of 28.87, and above the 200-day MA of 27.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BCML.

BayCom Risk Analysis

BayCom disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BayCom reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BayCom Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$332.37M15.706.98%31.28%23.21%
$279.21M10.049.63%2.81%6.92%26.93%
$344.37M11.089.44%5.75%5.76%21.85%
$321.38M12.545.11%3.44%-0.70%-19.65%
$297.78M12.997.07%3.13%1.25%-0.07%
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
$325.67M10.4010.19%2.59%-10.30%-16.98%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BCML
BayCom
27.26
3.49
14.68%
CZNC
Citizens & Northern
19.36
1.40
7.80%
CBAN
Colony Bankcorp
15.99
1.39
9.52%
RBB
Rbb Bancorp
18.63
-2.70
-12.66%
MVBF
MVB Financial
25.58
7.10
38.42%
PBFS
Pioneer Bancorp
13.14
1.98
17.74%

BayCom Corporate Events

BayCom Corp Reports Q3 Earnings Amid Challenges
Oct 24, 2025

BayCom Corp, the holding company for United Business Bank, operates in the financial sector providing a range of banking services, including loans and deposit products across several states in the U.S. In its latest earnings report, BayCom Corp announced a net income of $5.0 million for the third quarter of 2025, a decrease from the previous quarter and the same quarter last year. This decline was primarily attributed to increased provisions for credit losses and higher noninterest expenses, despite a rise in net interest income and noninterest income. Key financial metrics revealed a stable asset base with total assets remaining steady at $2.6 billion, while loans increased to $2.0 billion. The company also reported a decrease in nonperforming loans and an increase in the allowance for credit losses. Looking ahead, BayCom’s management remains cautiously optimistic, expecting stable credit quality and improved earnings performance, with a continued focus on strategic share repurchases and cash dividends to enhance shareholder value.

Dividends
BayCom Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Aug 21, 2025

On August 21, 2025, BayCom Corp announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.25 per share on its common stock. The dividend is payable on October 9, 2025, to shareholders recorded by September 11, 2025, reflecting the company’s commitment to returning value to its investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCML) stock is a Hold with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BayCom stock, see the BCML Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
BayCom Announces Redemption of Subordinated Notes
Neutral
Aug 15, 2025

On August 15, 2025, BayCom Corp announced its plan to redeem all outstanding 5.25% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Subordinated Notes due 2030, totaling $64.7 million, on September 15, 2025. The redemption will be executed at 100% of the principal amount plus accrued interest, using the company’s cash reserves, potentially impacting its financial liquidity and signaling a strategic financial maneuver.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCML) stock is a Buy with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BayCom stock, see the BCML Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 25, 2025