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Beta Bionics, Inc. (BBNX)
NASDAQ:BBNX
US Market

Beta Bionics, Inc. (BBNX) AI Stock Analysis

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BBNX

Beta Bionics, Inc.

(NASDAQ:BBNX)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$14.50
▲(14.81% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/31/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial quality (ongoing losses and negative free cash flow) and bearish technicals (price below major moving averages with negative MACD). Positives from the earnings call—rapid revenue growth, margin improvement, and raised revenue guidance—provide support, but are tempered by sharply higher operating expenses and added regulatory risk from the FDA warning letter.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained 60%+ YoY revenue growth indicates accelerating commercial adoption of the iLet platform and successful patient acquisition. Durable top-line momentum expands recurring consumable sales, improves unit economics with scale, and underpins a credible path to long-term margin expansion.
Improving Gross Margins
A mid-50s gross margin demonstrates a high-margin product mix driven by recurring consumables and services. Sustained gross margin strength increases room to invest in sales and R&D while moving toward operating leverage, improving the company's long-term profitability prospects as revenue scales.
Pharmacy/Reimbursement Coverage
Broad PBM formulary coverage materially improves commercial access and reduces friction for ongoing reimbursement. Structural payor coverage supports recurring pharmacy-channel demand, higher retention, and more predictable revenue, enhancing the durability of the company’s commercial model.
Negative Factors
Ongoing Unprofitability and Negative Free Cash Flow
Persistent operating losses and negative free cash flow create reliance on external financing. Continued cash burn can shorten runway, force dilution, or necessitate cost cuts that constrain growth. This structural cash-flow weakness is a core risk to sustainable execution.
Rapid Operating Expense Growth
A 62% jump in operating expenses outpacing revenue growth elevates the break-even threshold and delays durable profitability. If SG&A and R&D scaling do not convert to sustainable customer economics, elevated OPEX will erode cash reserves and limit strategic flexibility.
Regulatory / Quality Compliance Risk
A Form 483 tied to complaint-handling and higher reportable complaints signals structural quality and compliance gaps. Remediation can be costly and time-consuming, potentially slowing approvals, constraining market expansion, and increasing long-term operating and reputational risk.

Beta Bionics, Inc. (BBNX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Beta Bionics, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBeta Bionics, Inc., a commercial-stage medical device company, engages in the design, development, and commercialization of solutions to enhance the health and quality of life of insulin-requiring people with diabetes. It offers iLet Bionic Pancreas, an insulin delivery device for the treatment of type 1 diabetes in adults and children six years of age and older. The company is also developing Patch Pump, an insulin pump that is designed to adhere directly to the skin and administer insulin without the need for tubing; Bihormonal iLet, which combines automated delivery of insulin and glucagon; and iLet to treat people with insulin-dependent type-2 diabetes. It has collaboration and license agreement with Xeris Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Xeris) to develop and commercialize a pump-compatible glucagon formulation; and development and commercialization agreement with Abbott Diabetes Care Inc. to develop and commercialize an automated insulin delivery system. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Irvine, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyBeta Bionics generates revenue primarily through the sales of its flagship product, the iLet Bionic Pancreas, which is expected to be marketed to hospitals, healthcare providers, and directly to consumers. The company may also explore partnerships with healthcare organizations and insurance companies to facilitate reimbursement models for their products. Additionally, Beta Bionics may pursue grants and funding from research institutions or government initiatives targeted at diabetes management solutions, contributing to their overall revenue streams.

Beta Bionics, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 17, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strong operational and commercial performance in 2025 — marked by substantial revenue growth (+54% YoY), accelerating user adoption (≈20,000 new users), improving gross margins (Q4 59%) and meaningful pipeline progress (Mint and bihormonal milestones). The company is well-capitalized ($265M) and has broadened PBM/pharmacy coverage. Key negatives include a recent FDA warning letter tied to quality systems and MDR timing (remediation in progress), materially higher operating expenses (+42% YoY in Q4), and short-term margin and seasonality headwinds related to pharmacy mix and Q1 cadence. Management reiterated confidence in remediation timelines and in their 2026 guidance, while opting for a deliberate sales force ramp and slightly reduced public granularity on new patient starts.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Full year 2025 net sales of $100.3M, up 54% year-over-year; Q4 2025 net sales $32.1M, up 57% year-over-year.
Significant User Adoption and Installed Base Expansion
Close to 20,000 new users adopted iLet in 2025, more than doubling the installed base entering the year; total installed base ≈35,000 users since launch.
Robust New Patient Starts
Q4 new patient starts of 5,592, up 37% year-over-year and +5% sequentially; FY 2025 new starts mix included a high share from pharmacy.
Improving Gross Margin and Scale Benefits
FY 2025 gross margin 55.4% (expanded slightly YoY); Q4 gross margin 59%, up 179 basis points YoY, driven by scale, manufacturing leverage and growing high-margin pharmacy recurring revenue.
Pharmacy Channel Expansion and PBM Coverage
Percentage of new patient starts through pharmacy rose to the high 20s% for FY2025 (from high single-digits prior year); Q4 had a low-30s% pharmacy mix for new starts. Company has formulary agreements with all major PBMs and ~80% of lives covered.
Recurring Revenue and Retention
Pharmacy-installed base generates high-margin recurring revenue (management cited ~ $450/month ARR per pharmacy user) and strong patient retention in both DME and pharmacy channels.
Healthy Balance Sheet
Cash, cash equivalents and short/long-term investments of approximately $265M as of Dec 31, 2025; company states it is sufficiently capitalized to fund initiatives and expects to generate free cash flow ahead of peers.
Progress on Pipeline and Product Roadmap
Mint patch-pump program tracking toward unconstrained commercial launch by end of 2027; completed first-in-human feasibility trial of bihormonal system (no safety signals for glucagon); completed PK/PD trial for glucagon asset; planning further Phase IIa then Phase IIb leading to pivotal trials.
Negative Updates
FDA Warning Letter and Quality System Observations
Received a warning letter in late January related to a June 2025 inspection: issues cited include complaint handling/reportability definitions, late MDR filings, tracking/trending, CAPA effectiveness, and corrections/removals reporting for certain software updates. Remediation underway; company expects remediation of old filings by end of Q2 and states timelines are not impacted.
Rising Operating Expenses
Q4 total operating expenses of $35.1M, up 42% YoY (from $24.7M in Q4 2024). Increases driven by sales & marketing (sales force expansion), R&D (Mint and bihormonal), and G&A (public company costs). OpEx and CapEx expected to increase as a percentage of revenue in 2026.
Near-Term Gross Margin Headwind from Pharmacy Mix
Higher-than-expected pharmacy conversion can create short-term revenue dilution and a margin drag because the iLet is provided free in pharmacy with economics captured in recurring supplies revenue; management guided FY2026 gross margin of 55.5%–57.5% and noted Q1 margin pressure.
Q1 Seasonality / Revenue Cadence Weakness
Management expects Q1 2026 revenue to decline sequentially from Q4 2025 (seasonal deductible resets); they expect the Q4→Q1 step-down to be more pronounced than the prior year.
Disclosure Change — New Patient Starts Granularity Reduced
Company will no longer provide exact quarterly new patient starts figures going forward (will continue to provide revenue by product/channel and pharmacy mix), which reduces a previously provided level of exact quarterly operational detail.
Remediation-Related Elevated MDR Rate
As older complaints were reclassified under new reportability definitions, some MDRs were filed late; company expects an elevated MDR rate to persist through remediation efforts into Q2.
Conservative Sales Force Expansion Pace
Company exited Q4 with 63 territories and plans to add at least 20 territories in 2026 (first-half weighted). Management framed expansion as deliberate rather than aggressive, which may moderate near-term market coverage growth.
Company Guidance
Beta Bionics guided to $130–$135 million of revenue for full‑year 2026, with 36%–38% of new patient starts expected to be reimbursed through the pharmacy channel and gross margin projected at 55.5%–57.5%; management plans to add at least 20 sales territories (up from 63 territories exiting Q4), expects Q1 revenue to decline sequentially from Q4 2025 (with Q1 gross margin down vs. H2 2025) and then sequential gross‑margin improvement each quarter, and anticipates a modestly higher revenue weighting in H1 versus 2025. They said OpEx and CapEx will rise as a percentage of revenue (with S&M and R&D accelerating, G&A up slightly and CapEx increasing mainly for Mint), flagged a low single‑digit price increase for pharmacy supplies and stable DME pricing, noted pharmacy mix and sales‑force expansion are key variables that could materially affect near‑term results, confirmed ~$265 million in cash and investments at 12/31/25 to fund initiatives, and will stop disclosing exact quarterly new patient starts while continuing to report revenue by product/channel, pharmacy mix, and trend commentary.

Beta Bionics, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth is offset by ongoing unprofitability (negative EBIT/EBITDA and net margins) and unfavorable cash generation (negative free cash flow). The balance sheet is relatively stable with low leverage, but persistent losses and cash burn remain key risks.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Beta Bionics, Inc. shows strong revenue growth with a significant increase from previous years. However, the company is currently unprofitable, with negative EBIT, EBITDA, and net profit margins, indicating challenges in achieving operational efficiency and cost control.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's balance sheet reflects moderate leverage with a low debt-to-equity ratio and a healthy equity ratio, showcasing financial stability. However, the negative net income impacts the return on equity, which remains a concern for investors seeking profitability.
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
Beta Bionics, Inc. faces challenges with negative free cash flow, indicative of high operational costs. Although there is a positive financing cash flow, indicating external funding, the operating cash flow to net income and free cash flow ratios are unfavorable, highlighting cash management issues.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue100.25M65.12M11.99M179.00K
Gross Profit55.54M35.89M6.31M179.00K
EBITDA-73.20M-44.10M-34.62M-63.40M
Net Income-73.20M-54.76M-44.10M-64.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets328.74M149.65M110.04M35.53M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments219.22M103.58M96.75M27.68M
Total Debt12.67M7.25M4.22M4.13M
Total Liabilities41.13M73.63M51.43M22.53M
Stockholders Equity287.61M76.01M58.61M13.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-51.67M-32.85M-60.98M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-48.27M-32.45M-60.21M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-3.48M-69.69M-769.00K
Financing Cash Flow0.0055.62M101.03M56.78M

Beta Bionics, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.63
Price Trends
50DMA
23.34
Positive
100DMA
19.39
Positive
200DMA
Market Momentum
MACD
1.55
Negative
RSI
55.71
Neutral
STOCH
64.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BBNX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.82, below the 50-day MA of 23.34, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BBNX.

Beta Bionics, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$23.80B27.4510.51%1.14%8.28%97.24%
61
Neutral
$4.79B106.261.56%4.73%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$1.12B-4.34-96.11%31.16%
48
Neutral
$1.00B-0.98-98.13%-0.54%-259.57%
47
Neutral
$560.55M-40.26%67.01%-39.19%
45
Neutral
$1.73B-8.24-97.88%17.87%-57.03%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BBNX
Beta Bionics, Inc.
12.63
-8.34
-39.77%
LH
Labcorp Holdings
289.12
40.75
16.41%
TNDM
Tandem Diabetes Care
25.30
3.16
14.27%
NVST
Envista Holdings
29.21
9.23
46.20%
SANA
Sana Biotechnology
4.21
1.60
61.30%
FTRE
Fortrea Holdings Inc.
10.72
-3.13
-22.60%

Beta Bionics, Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Beta Bionics Receives FDA Warning Letter, Begins Remediation
Negative
Jan 30, 2026

On January 29, 2026, Beta Bionics, Inc. disclosed that it received an FDA warning letter following a June 9–26, 2025 inspection of its Irvine, California facility, in which regulators cited deficiencies in the company’s responses to a prior Form 483 and highlighted non-conformities in its quality management system, medical device reporting, and correction and removals processes. While the warning letter does not currently limit the company’s ability to manufacture, market, distribute existing products or seek 510(k) clearance for new devices, the company is implementing corrective actions and engaging with the FDA, acknowledging that unresolved issues could lead to additional regulatory action, though it does not expect a material impact on its previously stated goal to launch Mint by the end of 2027.

The most recent analyst rating on (BBNX) stock is a Hold with a $14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Beta Bionics, Inc. stock, see the BBNX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 31, 2026