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Beta Bionics, Inc. (BBNX)
NASDAQ:BBNX
US Market

Beta Bionics, Inc. (BBNX) AI Stock Analysis

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BBNX

Beta Bionics, Inc.

(NASDAQ:BBNX)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$14.50
▲(0.28% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial quality (ongoing losses and negative free cash flow) and bearish technicals (price below major moving averages with negative MACD). Positives from the earnings call—rapid revenue growth, margin improvement, and raised revenue guidance—provide support, but are tempered by sharply higher operating expenses and added regulatory risk from the FDA warning letter.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained 60%+ YoY revenue growth indicates accelerating commercial adoption of the iLet platform and successful patient acquisition. Durable top-line momentum expands recurring consumable sales, improves unit economics with scale, and underpins a credible path to long-term margin expansion.
Improving Gross Margins
A mid-50s gross margin demonstrates a high-margin product mix driven by recurring consumables and services. Sustained gross margin strength increases room to invest in sales and R&D while moving toward operating leverage, improving the company's long-term profitability prospects as revenue scales.
Pharmacy/Reimbursement Coverage
Broad PBM formulary coverage materially improves commercial access and reduces friction for ongoing reimbursement. Structural payor coverage supports recurring pharmacy-channel demand, higher retention, and more predictable revenue, enhancing the durability of the company’s commercial model.
Negative Factors
Ongoing Unprofitability and Negative Free Cash Flow
Persistent operating losses and negative free cash flow create reliance on external financing. Continued cash burn can shorten runway, force dilution, or necessitate cost cuts that constrain growth. This structural cash-flow weakness is a core risk to sustainable execution.
Rapid Operating Expense Growth
A 62% jump in operating expenses outpacing revenue growth elevates the break-even threshold and delays durable profitability. If SG&A and R&D scaling do not convert to sustainable customer economics, elevated OPEX will erode cash reserves and limit strategic flexibility.
Regulatory / Quality Compliance Risk
A Form 483 tied to complaint-handling and higher reportable complaints signals structural quality and compliance gaps. Remediation can be costly and time-consuming, potentially slowing approvals, constraining market expansion, and increasing long-term operating and reputational risk.

Beta Bionics, Inc. (BBNX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Beta Bionics, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBeta Bionics, Inc., a commercial-stage medical device company, engages in the design, development, and commercialization of solutions to enhance the health and quality of life of insulin-requiring people with diabetes. It offers iLet Bionic Pancreas, an insulin delivery device for the treatment of type 1 diabetes in adults and children six years of age and older. The company is also developing Patch Pump, an insulin pump that is designed to adhere directly to the skin and administer insulin without the need for tubing; Bihormonal iLet, which combines automated delivery of insulin and glucagon; and iLet to treat people with insulin-dependent type-2 diabetes. It has collaboration and license agreement with Xeris Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Xeris) to develop and commercialize a pump-compatible glucagon formulation; and development and commercialization agreement with Abbott Diabetes Care Inc. to develop and commercialize an automated insulin delivery system. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Irvine, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyBeta Bionics generates revenue primarily through the sales of its flagship product, the iLet Bionic Pancreas, which is expected to be marketed to hospitals, healthcare providers, and directly to consumers. The company may also explore partnerships with healthcare organizations and insurance companies to facilitate reimbursement models for their products. Additionally, Beta Bionics may pursue grants and funding from research institutions or government initiatives targeted at diabetes management solutions, contributing to their overall revenue streams.

Beta Bionics, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented several positive developments, including strong revenue growth, an increase in new patient starts, and an expanded presence in the pharmacy channel. However, there were concerns about increased operating expenses, a notable churn rate, and potential uncertainties from CMS proposals. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the negative, reflecting a strong quarter and optimistic future guidance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue Growth
Beta Bionics reported $23.2 million in net sales for Q2 2025, indicating a 54% year-over-year growth.
Increase in New Patient Starts
The company saw 4,934 new patients adopt the iLet, a 57% increase compared to the previous year.
Expansion in Pharmacy Channel
A high 20s percentage of new patient starts were reimbursed through the pharmacy channel, up from a mid-single-digit percentage in Q2 2024.
Improvement in Gross Margin
Gross margin for Q2 was 53.8%, slightly up from 53.7% in Q2 2024.
Increased Full Year Guidance
The company raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $88 million to $93 million, up from $82 million to $87 million.
Positive Feedback on Bionic Portal
The updated Bionic portal, which allows providers access to real-time clinical outcomes, received overwhelmingly positive feedback from prescribers.
Successful Investor and Analyst Day
The company highlighted the iLet's superior clinical outcomes and adaptability, setting a new standard for the industry.
Negative Updates
Operating Expenses Increase
Total operating expenses increased by 63% to $32.4 million compared to $19.9 million in Q2 2024.
Churn Rate Concerns
The reported churn rate was approximately 5% for the quarter, which some analysts noted as a concern.
CMS Proposal Uncertainty
The proposed CMS rule for a competitive bidding program and a shift to a pay-as-you-go rental model introduces uncertainty regarding the potential impact on Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries.
Company Guidance
During the Beta Bionics Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided an optimistic outlook for the fiscal year. They reported $23.2 million in net sales for the second quarter, marking a 54% year-over-year increase, and 4,934 new patient starts, growing 57% from the previous year. The company saw high 20s percentage of new patient starts reimbursed through the pharmacy channel, a significant increase from the mid-single-digit percentage in the same quarter last year. Gross margin slightly improved to 53.8% from 53.7% the previous year, reflecting the company's cost discipline and manufacturing efficiency. Operating expenses for the quarter were $32.4 million, representing a 63% increase due to sales force expansion and R&D investments. Beta Bionics raised its full-year 2025 guidance, projecting net sales between $88 million and $93 million, with 25% to 28% of new patient starts expected through the pharmacy channel. The guidance reflects confidence in their growing pharmacy presence and operational efficiencies.

Beta Bionics, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth is offset by ongoing unprofitability (negative EBIT/EBITDA and net margins) and unfavorable cash generation (negative free cash flow). The balance sheet is relatively stable with low leverage, but persistent losses and cash burn remain key risks.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Beta Bionics, Inc. shows strong revenue growth with a significant increase from previous years. However, the company is currently unprofitable, with negative EBIT, EBITDA, and net profit margins, indicating challenges in achieving operational efficiency and cost control.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's balance sheet reflects moderate leverage with a low debt-to-equity ratio and a healthy equity ratio, showcasing financial stability. However, the negative net income impacts the return on equity, which remains a concern for investors seeking profitability.
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
Beta Bionics, Inc. faces challenges with negative free cash flow, indicative of high operational costs. Although there is a positive financing cash flow, indicating external funding, the operating cash flow to net income and free cash flow ratios are unfavorable, highlighting cash management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue88.57M65.12M11.99M179.00K
Gross Profit48.28M35.89M6.31M179.00K
EBITDA-65.36M-44.10M-34.62M-63.40M
Net Income-77.84M-54.76M-44.10M-64.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets330.05M149.65M110.04M35.53M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments228.69M103.58M96.75M27.68M
Total Debt7.69M7.25M4.22M4.13M
Total Liabilities35.29M73.63M51.43M22.53M
Stockholders Equity294.76M76.01M58.61M13.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-60.53M-51.67M-32.85M-60.98M
Operating Cash Flow-56.58M-48.27M-32.45M-60.21M
Investing Cash Flow-193.13M-3.48M-69.69M-769.00K
Financing Cash Flow270.71M55.62M101.03M56.78M

Beta Bionics, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.46
Price Trends
50DMA
23.34
Positive
100DMA
19.39
Positive
200DMA
Market Momentum
MACD
1.55
Negative
RSI
55.71
Neutral
STOCH
64.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BBNX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.82, below the 50-day MA of 23.34, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BBNX.

Beta Bionics, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$22.41B26.5410.14%1.14%8.28%97.24%
69
Neutral
$3.82B274.040.50%4.73%
61
Neutral
$1.36B-6.38-109.73%17.87%-57.03%
56
Neutral
$1.56B-1.44-98.13%-0.54%-259.57%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$1.22B-4.54-96.11%31.16%
47
Neutral
$603.14M-8.07-47.52%67.01%-39.19%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BBNX
Beta Bionics, Inc.
14.46
-8.54
-37.13%
LH
Labcorp Holdings
272.20
28.24
11.57%
TNDM
Tandem Diabetes Care
19.44
-16.55
-45.98%
NVST
Envista Holdings
22.91
2.78
13.81%
SANA
Sana Biotechnology
4.41
1.24
39.12%
FTRE
Fortrea Holdings Inc.
16.25
0.45
2.85%

Beta Bionics, Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Beta Bionics Receives FDA Warning Letter, Begins Remediation
Negative
Jan 30, 2026

On January 29, 2026, Beta Bionics, Inc. disclosed that it received an FDA warning letter following a June 9–26, 2025 inspection of its Irvine, California facility, in which regulators cited deficiencies in the company’s responses to a prior Form 483 and highlighted non-conformities in its quality management system, medical device reporting, and correction and removals processes. While the warning letter does not currently limit the company’s ability to manufacture, market, distribute existing products or seek 510(k) clearance for new devices, the company is implementing corrective actions and engaging with the FDA, acknowledging that unresolved issues could lead to additional regulatory action, though it does not expect a material impact on its previously stated goal to launch Mint by the end of 2027.

The most recent analyst rating on (BBNX) stock is a Hold with a $14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Beta Bionics, Inc. stock, see the BBNX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 31, 2026