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Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation (AUB)
NYSE:AUB
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Atlantic Union Bankshares (AUB) AI Stock Analysis

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AUB

Atlantic Union Bankshares

(NYSE:AUB)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$36.00
▲(7.78% Upside)
Atlantic Union Bankshares' strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are significant strengths, supporting a solid overall score. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation metrics indicate moderate attractiveness. The company's ability to manage merger-related costs and competition will be crucial for future performance.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates effective business strategies and market demand, supporting long-term financial stability and expansion.
Improved Leverage Management
Improved leverage management enhances financial flexibility and reduces risk, positioning the company for sustainable growth and investment opportunities.
Successful Integration of Sandy Spring
Successful integration of acquisitions can lead to cost synergies and expanded market presence, strengthening the company's competitive position.
Negative Factors
Declining Profit Margins
Declining profit margins can indicate rising costs or pricing pressures, potentially impacting long-term profitability and financial health.
Increased Competition in Loan Markets
Heightened competition may limit market share expansion and pressure interest margins, challenging the company's growth and profitability.
Merger-Related Costs
Ongoing merger-related costs can strain resources and delay the realization of anticipated synergies, impacting short to medium-term financial performance.

Atlantic Union Bankshares (AUB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Atlantic Union Bankshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAtlantic Union Bankshares Corporation operates as the holding company for Atlantic Union Bank that provides banking and related financial services to consumers and businesses. The company accepts various deposit products, including checking, savings, NOW, time deposit, and money market accounts; certificates of deposit; and other depository services. It also provides loans for commercial, industrial, residential mortgage, and consumer purposes. In addition, the company offers credit cards, automated teller machine (ATM) services, mobile and internet banking services, and online bill payment services, as well as financial planning, trust, and wealth management services. Further, it provides securities, brokerage, and investment advisory products and services; and originates and sells residential loan products in the secondary market. As of February 25, 2022, it operated 130 branches and approximately 150 ATMs in Virginia, Maryland, and North Carolina. The company was formerly known as Union Bankshares Corporation and changed its name to Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation in May 2019. Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyAtlantic Union Bankshares generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and investments. The bank's loan portfolio includes commercial loans, residential mortgages, and consumer loans, which contribute significantly to its earnings as borrowers pay interest over time. Additionally, the bank earns non-interest income through fees associated with various banking services, including account maintenance fees, transaction fees, and service charges. Wealth management services also provide a steady income stream as clients pay for investment advisory and financial planning services. The company may engage in partnerships with other financial institutions or technology firms to enhance its service offerings, further diversifying its revenue sources. Overall, the combination of interest income and fee-based services forms the backbone of Atlantic Union Bankshares' revenue model.

Atlantic Union Bankshares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call conveyed a generally positive sentiment with a successful integration of Sandy Spring, strong fee income, and improved credit quality. However, challenges such as merger-related costs, increased charge-offs, and competition in lending markets were also noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Sandy Spring Integration
The integration of Sandy Spring is progressing smoothly with the core systems conversion completed and the closure of 5 overlapping branches. The bank is now unified under the Atlantic Union Bank brand.
Loan and Deposit Growth
Quarterly loan growth was approximately 0.5% annualized, with average loan growth quarter-over-quarter at 4.3% annualized. Noninterest-bearing deposits grew at approximately 4% annualized in the third quarter.
Improvement in Credit Quality
Credit quality improved with third quarter nonperforming assets at 0.49% of loans, and criticized asset levels decreased by over $250 million or 16%.
Steady Net Interest Margin
The reported FTE net interest margin remained steady at 3.83%, with an improvement excluding accretion income impacts.
Strong Fee Income
Fee income was strong, with approximately $1 million of swap income attributed to the former Sandy Spring Bank, and increased wealth management opportunities.
Negative Updates
Merger-Related Costs Impact
Merger-related costs continued to affect the quarter, creating noise in the financial results.
Increase in Charge-Offs
Net charge-offs increased due to two commercial and industrial loans, one involving a borrowing base misrepresentation.
Competition in Loan Markets
Increased competition in lending markets has been noted, affecting loan growth potential.
Potential Government Shutdown Impact
Concerns about the potential impact of a prolonged government shutdown on consumer customers and commercial activity, particularly in the Greater Washington, D.C. region.
Company Guidance
During the Atlantic Union Bankshares Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, management provided guidance regarding several financial metrics. The company reported a steady net interest margin of 3.83% despite a decrease in accretion income, with expectations for the margin to improve in the fourth quarter. Loan growth was modest at approximately 0.5% annualized for the quarter, but average loan growth was stronger at 4.3% annualized. The company expects year-end loan balances to be between $27.7 billion and $28 billion. Deposits decreased by approximately $306.9 million, but noninterest-bearing deposits grew by about 4% annualized. The adjusted operating return on tangible common equity was 20.1%, and the adjusted operating return on assets was 1.3%. The company reaffirmed its full-year net charge-off ratio guidance of 15 to 20 basis points and noted improvements in credit quality metrics, including a decrease in nonperforming assets to 0.49% of loans held for investment. Looking ahead, the company expects to achieve its cost savings targets from the Sandy Spring acquisition and maintain a strong financial performance into 2026.

Atlantic Union Bankshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Atlantic Union Bankshares demonstrates a solid financial standing with consistent revenue and strong cash flow management. While profitability metrics are stable, there are areas of concern in terms of return on equity. Overall, the company maintains a balanced approach to growth and stability, with moderate leverage and efficient cash flows.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement shows a steady revenue stream with a slight decline in the TTM compared to the previous year. Gross profit margin remains healthy, indicating strong core operations. Net profit margin is stable, though slightly lower in the recent period. The company shows good control over its costs, with improving EBIT and EBITDA margins.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting manageable leverage. The equity ratio is robust, indicating solid asset backing. However, the return on equity has been decreasing, reflecting potential inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals strong operating cash flow, supporting a healthy cash generation capability. Free cash flow growth is consistent, and both operating and free cash flow ratios to net income indicate efficient cash utilization. This reflects effective cash management strategies.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.64B1.35B1.05B778.96M711.16M784.94M
Gross Profit908.54M767.33M670.27M683.76M730.95M599.64M
EBITDA281.22M295.11M280.86M325.39M369.49M229.40M
Net Income203.81M209.13M201.82M234.51M263.92M158.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets37.29B24.59B21.17B20.46B20.06B19.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.69B2.79B2.60B3.06B4.28B3.03B
Total Debt892.77M534.62M1.31B1.71B506.59M840.72M
Total Liabilities32.46B21.44B18.61B18.09B17.35B16.92B
Stockholders Equity4.83B3.14B2.56B2.37B2.71B2.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.13B301.06M272.94M416.82M328.39M202.35M
Operating Cash Flow2.13B308.46M278.05M419.67M337.79M231.92M
Investing Cash Flow173.92M-295.69M-603.28M-1.28B-345.44M-1.92B
Financing Cash Flow-1.16B-36.83M383.42M375.18M316.86M1.74B

Atlantic Union Bankshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price33.40
Price Trends
50DMA
35.07
Negative
100DMA
33.51
Negative
200DMA
32.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.45
Positive
RSI
43.25
Neutral
STOCH
39.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AUB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 33.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.64, below the 50-day MA of 35.07, and above the 200-day MA of 32.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.45 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AUB.

Atlantic Union Bankshares Risk Analysis

Atlantic Union Bankshares disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Atlantic Union Bankshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Atlantic Union Bankshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$5.01B12.6410.34%1.10%5.95%25.95%
$4.56B10.8117.42%9.00%-2.90%
$4.76B17.905.42%4.03%43.53%-21.74%
$5.17B11.988.25%4.05%8.85%15.56%
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
$4.82B10.1811.12%3.14%-0.59%
$4.48B18.5713.89%2.36%12.90%16.92%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AUB
Atlantic Union Bankshares
33.40
-3.46
-9.39%
ABCB
Ameris Bancorp
73.01
10.78
17.32%
AX
Axos Financial
80.65
14.16
21.30%
FFIN
First Financial Bankshares
31.34
-4.59
-12.77%
HWC
Hancock Whitney
56.88
5.34
10.36%
UBSI
United Bankshares
36.52
-0.22
-0.60%

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Atlantic Union Bankshares Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 23, 2025

Atlantic Union Bankshares reported a net income of $89.2 million for the third quarter of 2025, with adjusted operating earnings of $119.7 million. The company experienced a decrease in net interest income due to lower interest income on loans held for sale, influenced by the sale of $2.0 billion in commercial real estate loans. Despite these challenges, Atlantic Union is committed to achieving expectations related to its acquisition of Sandy Spring Bancorp, Inc. The bank’s asset quality improved with a decrease in nonperforming assets, although net charge-offs increased due to specific loan charge-offs.

The most recent analyst rating on (AUB) stock is a Buy with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atlantic Union Bankshares stock, see the AUB Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Atlantic Union Bankshares to Release Q3 2025 Results
Neutral
Oct 1, 2025

On October 1, 2025, Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation announced it will release its third quarter 2025 financial results on October 23, 2025, before the market opens. The company will also host a conference call and webcast for investors on the same day to discuss these results and recent activities, providing stakeholders with insights into its financial performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AUB) stock is a Hold with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atlantic Union Bankshares stock, see the AUB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Atlantic Union Bankshares Acquires Sandy Spring Bancorp
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation has issued a handout for investor meetings during the third quarter of 2025, detailing its recent acquisition of Sandy Spring Bancorp, Inc. The release discusses the anticipated benefits of the acquisition, including cost savings and strategic gains, while also addressing potential risks and uncertainties that could impact future performance. The company is focused on expanding its market share, particularly in North Carolina and Maryland, and is navigating various economic and regulatory challenges.

The most recent analyst rating on (AUB) stock is a Buy with a $46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atlantic Union Bankshares stock, see the AUB Stock Forecast page.

Atlantic Union Bankshares: Positive Earnings Call Highlights
Jul 29, 2025

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation recently held its earnings call, revealing a generally positive sentiment despite some challenges. The successful integration of the Sandy Spring acquisition, strong loan growth, improved net interest margin, and solid credit quality were highlighted as significant achievements. However, the company faced challenges with merger accounting noise, seasonally slow deposit growth, and an elevated non-performing assets (NPA) percentage.

Dividends
Atlantic Union Bankshares Announces Increased Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.34 per share of common stock, reflecting a 6% increase from the previous year. Additionally, a quarterly dividend on the company’s 6.875% Perpetual Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series A, was declared, with a payment of $171.88 per share, equivalent to $0.43 per depositary share, scheduled for September 2, 2025. These announcements indicate the company’s stable financial performance and commitment to returning value to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AUB) stock is a Hold with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atlantic Union Bankshares stock, see the AUB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Atlantic Union Bankshares Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

Atlantic Union Bankshares reported its second-quarter financial results for 2025, highlighting a net income of $16.8 million and adjusted operating earnings of $135.1 million. The quarter was marked by the completion of the Sandy Spring Bancorp acquisition on April 1, 2025, which significantly increased the company’s assets and liabilities. The acquisition led to various financial adjustments, including merger-related costs and provisions for credit losses. The company also completed the sale of $2.0 billion in commercial real estate loans, generating a $15.7 million pre-tax gain. These activities reflect Atlantic Union’s strategic focus on sustainable growth and profitability, despite the initial costs associated with the merger.

The most recent analyst rating on (AUB) stock is a Hold with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atlantic Union Bankshares stock, see the AUB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 24, 2025