tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Axos Financial (AX)
NYSE:AX
Advertisement

Axos Financial (AX) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
712 Followers

Top Page

AX

Axos Financial

(NYSE:AX)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$89.00
▲(8.62% Upside)
Axos Financial's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings performance and valuation, despite technical indicators suggesting a bearish trend. The company's robust financial health and strategic acquisitions support a positive outlook, although recent revenue contraction and net interest margin decline pose risks.
Positive Factors
Strong Loan Growth
The significant loan growth, bolstered by strategic acquisitions, enhances Axos's lending capabilities and market presence, supporting long-term revenue expansion.
Improved Credit Metrics
Improved credit metrics indicate effective risk management, which strengthens financial stability and supports sustainable profitability.
Noninterest Income Growth
Growth in noninterest income diversifies revenue streams, reducing reliance on interest income and enhancing financial resilience.
Negative Factors
Net Interest Margin Decline
A declining net interest margin can pressure profitability, as it reduces the spread between interest income and interest expenses.
Increased Noninterest Expenses
Rising noninterest expenses can erode profit margins, necessitating careful cost management to maintain financial health.
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue growth can indicate challenges in market expansion or product adoption, potentially impacting long-term financial performance.

Axos Financial (AX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Axos Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAxos Financial, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides consumer and business banking products in the United States. It operates through Banking Business and Securities Business segments. The company offers deposits products, including consumer and business checking, demand, savings, time deposit, money market, zero balance, and insured cash sweep accounts. It also provides single family, multifamily, and commercial mortgage loans; commercial real estate secured loans; commercial and industrial non-real estate, asset-backed, lines of credit, and term loans; automobile loans; fixed rate term unsecured loans; and other loans, such as structure settlements, small business administration consumer loans, and securities-backed loans. In addition, the company offers ACH origination, wire transfer, commercial check printing, business bill pay and account transfer; remote deposit capture, mobile deposit, lockbox, merchant, and online payment portal; concierge banking; mobile and text messaging banking; and payment services, as well as debit and credit cards, and digital wallets. Further, it provides disclosed clearing services; back-office services, such as record keeping, trade reporting, accounting, general back-office support, securities and margin lending, reorganization assistance, and custody of securities; and financing to brokerage customers. The company was formerly known as BofI Holding, Inc. and changed its name to Axos Financial, Inc. in September 2018. Axos Financial, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAxos Financial generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns interest income from loans, including personal loans, mortgages, and commercial lending. Additionally, Axos Bank generates non-interest income through various fees associated with banking services, such as account maintenance fees, transaction fees, and service charges. The company's digital platform allows it to operate with lower overhead costs compared to traditional banks, enhancing its profitability. Furthermore, Axos Financial engages in partnerships with fintech companies and other institutions to expand its product offerings and customer base, which contributes positively to its earnings. Overall, the combination of interest income and non-interest income forms the backbone of Axos Financial's revenue model.

Axos Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong overall performance with significant loan and revenue growth, improved credit metrics, and successful strategic acquisitions. While there were some challenges with net interest margin and expenses, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the negatives.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Loan Growth
Axos Financial reported $1.6 billion net loan growth, including $1 billion from the Verdant acquisition, with a 17% year-over-year increase in book value per share.
Improved Credit Metrics
Reduction in net charge-offs by 5 basis points and nonaccrual loans to total loans improved from 79 to 74 basis points linked quarter.
Revenue Growth
Net interest income increased by $11 million linked quarter, or 15.6% annualized, reaching $291 million.
Increased Noninterest Income
Noninterest income grew by approximately 13% year-over-year due to higher banking service fees and mortgage banking income.
Successful Acquisition
The Verdant acquisition expected to add $150-200 million in net new loans and operating leases per quarter at attractive spreads.
Negative Updates
Net Interest Margin Decline
Net interest margin fell to 4.75% from 4.84% in the previous quarter, partially due to excess liquidity and new subordinated debt.
Increased Noninterest Expenses
Noninterest expenses rose by $5.6 million linked quarter, with $1.3 million related to the Verdant acquisition.
Company Guidance
During the Axos Financial's First Quarter 2026 earnings call, the company reported strong financial and operational results. They achieved $1.6 billion in net loan growth, with $1 billion from the Verdant acquisition, and a 17% year-over-year increase in book value per share. Axos maintained a 16% return on average common equity and a 1.8% return on average assets for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. Net interest income rose to $291 million, up by $11 million linked quarter, while net interest margin slightly decreased to 4.75% from the previous quarter. Noninterest income grew by 13% year-over-year, driven by higher banking service fees and mortgage banking income. The company's deposit base increased by 6.9% year-over-year to $22.3 billion. Axos also reported net income of $112.4 million and a diluted EPS of $1.94, with adjusted net income and EPS at $119 million and $2.06 per share, respectively. The Verdant acquisition is expected to contribute $150 million to $200 million in net new loans and operating leases per quarter, enhancing Axos's commercial lending capabilities. Despite a slight increase in noninterest expenses due to the acquisition, Axos remains focused on achieving loan growth in the low to mid-teens range annually for fiscal year 2026.

Axos Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Axos Financial demonstrates strong profitability and financial stability, with healthy margins and a solid balance sheet. While recent revenue contraction poses a risk, the company’s cash flow generation remains robust, supporting its financial health. Continued focus on revenue growth and cash flow management will be crucial for sustaining performance.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Axos Financial shows strong gross and net profit margins, indicating efficient operations and profitability. However, the recent revenue decline of 5.3% is a concern, contrasting with previous growth trends. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, suggesting stable core earnings capacity.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting prudent financial leverage. Return on equity is solid, indicating effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is robust, suggesting a strong capital base relative to assets, enhancing financial stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Free cash flow growth is impressive at 41.7%, supporting future investments and debt reduction. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, which may indicate potential cash flow management issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, reflecting good cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.89B1.93B1.77B1.26B757.91M711.97M
Gross Profit883.68M1.19B1.04B865.93M681.59M609.10M
EBITDA604.98M642.41M662.57M455.13M364.56M336.19M
Net Income432.92M432.91M450.01M307.17M240.72M215.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets27.43B24.78B22.86B20.35B17.46B14.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.62B2.00B2.12B2.47B1.47B902.96M
Total Debt1.56B372.67M415.68M451.78M562.74M574.86M
Total Liabilities24.64B22.10B20.56B18.43B15.81B12.86B
Stockholders Equity2.79B2.68B2.29B1.92B1.64B1.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow492.38M436.12M269.52M166.49M195.12M402.14M
Operating Cash Flow537.98M490.33M305.48M196.71M216.62M412.58M
Investing Cash Flow-2.83B-1.84B-2.59B-2.40B-2.78B-866.77M
Financing Cash Flow2.37B1.34B2.09B3.01B3.10B-458.56M

Axos Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price81.94
Price Trends
50DMA
84.42
Negative
100DMA
84.47
Negative
200DMA
75.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.87
Negative
RSI
52.41
Neutral
STOCH
85.13
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 81.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 79.67, below the 50-day MA of 84.42, and above the 200-day MA of 75.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.87 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.13 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AX.

Axos Financial Risk Analysis

Axos Financial disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Axos Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Axos Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$5.05B12.7510.34%1.08%2.20%20.88%
74
Outperform
$4.59B10.9616.65%1.66%-9.31%
72
Outperform
$4.91B10.5311.11%3.14%-0.78%25.39%
72
Outperform
$4.67B17.555.42%4.18%43.53%-21.74%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$4.49B18.5313.89%2.39%12.90%16.92%
49
Neutral
$4.52B-4.72%0.36%-18.33%92.89%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AX
Axos Financial
81.94
-1.65
-1.97%
ABCB
Ameris Bancorp
73.85
4.21
6.05%
FFIN
First Financial Bankshares
31.25
-10.39
-24.95%
HWC
Hancock Whitney
58.78
0.48
0.82%
FLG
Flagstar Financial
10.96
-0.28
-2.49%
AUB
Atlantic Union Bankshares
32.66
-8.74
-21.11%

Axos Financial Corporate Events

Axos Financial Reports Strong Loan Growth in Q1 2026
Oct 31, 2025

Axos Financial, Inc. is a diversified financial services company that operates through its subsidiaries, including Axos Bank, Axos Clearing LLC, and Axos Invest, Inc., providing banking and investment services nationwide. The company is listed on the NYSE under the symbol ‘AX’ and is part of the Russell 2000 and S&P SmallCap 600 indices.

M&A Transactions
Axos Financial to Acquire Verdant Commercial Capital
Positive
Sep 22, 2025

On September 19, 2025, Axos Bank, a subsidiary of Axos Financial, Inc., signed an agreement to acquire Verdant Commercial Capital, LLC for $43.5 million, with the transaction expected to close on September 30, 2025. This acquisition is expected to enhance Axos Bank’s equipment leasing business, offering opportunities for cross-selling and is projected to be accretive to earnings per share by 2%-3% in fiscal 2026 and 5%-6% in fiscal 2027.

The most recent analyst rating on (AX) stock is a Hold with a $94.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Axos Financial stock, see the AX Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Axos Financial Completes $200 Million Subordinated Notes Sale
Neutral
Sep 19, 2025

On September 19, 2025, Axos Financial, Inc. completed the sale of $200 million in subordinated notes, which will mature in 2035. These notes, initially offering a fixed interest rate of 7.00% until 2030, will transition to a floating rate tied to the Three-Month Term SOFR plus 379 basis points. The transaction, facilitated by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc., reflects Axos Financial’s strategic financial maneuvering, potentially impacting its capital structure and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AX) stock is a Hold with a $94.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Axos Financial stock, see the AX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Axos Financial Announces $200M Public Offering Pricing
Positive
Sep 17, 2025

On September 16, 2025, Axos Financial, Inc. announced the pricing of a public offering of $200 million in aggregate principal amount of 7.00% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Subordinated Notes due 2035. The net proceeds from this offering, estimated at $197.2 million, will be used to repay existing indebtedness, including the redemption of $160.5 million in principal amount of the 2030 Notes, and to support growth initiatives at the Company’s subsidiaries and for general corporate purposes. This strategic move is expected to strengthen Axos Financial’s financial position by addressing its debt obligations while providing capital for future expansion, potentially enhancing its market competitiveness and operational capacity.

The most recent analyst rating on (AX) stock is a Buy with a $106.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Axos Financial stock, see the AX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Axos Financial Highlights Growth in Investor Presentation
Positive
Sep 10, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Axos Financial, Inc. presented its fixed income investor presentation, highlighting its financial prospects and strategic initiatives. The company emphasized its diverse mix of assets and deposits, which reduce risk and provide growth opportunities. Axos’ digital strategy and technology synergies offer a structural cost advantage over traditional banks, positioning the company for incremental growth through new business initiatives and differentiated services.

The most recent analyst rating on (AX) stock is a Buy with a $106.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Axos Financial stock, see the AX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Axos Financial Highlights Strong Performance in Presentation
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

On August 12, 2025, Axos Financial, Inc. announced its investor presentation, highlighting its strong performance metrics compared to peers, with a high return on equity and efficient cost management. The company reported significant growth in deposits and loans, emphasizing its diversified sources of income and robust credit risk management framework. Axos continues to expand its net interest margin and maintain a national reach with a well-distributed customer base, positioning itself as a top performer in the banking sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AX) stock is a Buy with a $88.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Axos Financial stock, see the AX Stock Forecast page.

Axos Financial’s Earnings Call: Strong Growth and Positive Outlook
Aug 1, 2025

Axos Financial’s recent earnings call exuded a generally positive sentiment, underscored by robust loan growth, an expanded net interest margin, and enhanced credit quality. Despite facing challenges such as increased noninterest expenses and pricing pressure on loan yields, the positive developments significantly overshadowed the negatives, painting an optimistic picture for the company’s financial health.

Axos Financial Reports Solid Fiscal Year 2025 Results
Jul 31, 2025

Looking ahead, Axos Financial remains optimistic about its future prospects. The company anticipates a reduction in its effective tax rate due to changes in California tax calculation methodology, which is expected to positively impact its financial performance. With a solid capital position and a strategic focus on diversifying its lending and deposit franchises, Axos is well-positioned to continue its growth trajectory in the coming years.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025