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Axos Financial (AX)
NYSE:AX
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Axos Financial (AX) AI Stock Analysis

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AX

Axos Financial

(NYSE:AX)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$99.00
▲(12.42% Upside)
Axos Financial's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary contributors to its robust stock score. The technical analysis supports continued bullish momentum, although caution is warranted due to near overbought RSI levels. The valuation is reasonable, enhancing the stock's attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Digital Banking
AX is seen as a long-term winner in the digital banking space, with expected impressive loan growth due to creative structuring and quick decision-making.
Earnings
AX closed out FY25 on a strong foot, beating Street estimates on the top and bottom line due to a combination of NIM upside and stronger fee income.
Loan Growth
The loan pipeline update was encouraging, with management noting that AX is well-positioned to organically grow loans towards the high end of targeted growth range.
Negative Factors
Taxation
The budget changes the taxation on financial institutions, moving California state tax on financial institutions to a single-factor apportionment based on revenue/income generated within the State.

Axos Financial (AX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Axos Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAxos Financial, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides consumer and business banking products in the United States. It operates through Banking Business and Securities Business segments. The company offers deposits products, including consumer and business checking, demand, savings, time deposit, money market, zero balance, and insured cash sweep accounts. It also provides single family, multifamily, and commercial mortgage loans; commercial real estate secured loans; commercial and industrial non-real estate, asset-backed, lines of credit, and term loans; automobile loans; fixed rate term unsecured loans; and other loans, such as structure settlements, small business administration consumer loans, and securities-backed loans. In addition, the company offers ACH origination, wire transfer, commercial check printing, business bill pay and account transfer; remote deposit capture, mobile deposit, lockbox, merchant, and online payment portal; concierge banking; mobile and text messaging banking; and payment services, as well as debit and credit cards, and digital wallets. Further, it provides disclosed clearing services; back-office services, such as record keeping, trade reporting, accounting, general back-office support, securities and margin lending, reorganization assistance, and custody of securities; and financing to brokerage customers. The company was formerly known as BofI Holding, Inc. and changed its name to Axos Financial, Inc. in September 2018. Axos Financial, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAxos Financial makes money through various revenue streams primarily centered around its banking operations. The company earns interest income from loans provided to consumers and businesses, which is a major component of its revenue. Additionally, Axos generates non-interest income from service fees, mortgage banking activities, and wealth management services. By maintaining a focus on digital banking, Axos reduces operational costs and enhances profitability. Strategic partnerships and technological innovations also play a vital role in expanding its customer base and increasing revenue, although specific partnership details are not disclosed.

Axos Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.25%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a generally positive sentiment with Axos Financial demonstrating strong loan growth, improved net interest margin, and better credit quality. While there are some challenges, such as increased noninterest expenses and pricing pressure on loan yields, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the negatives.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Loan Growth
Axos Financial achieved $856 million of net loan growth linked quarter, representing an increase of 4.2% linked quarter or 16% annualized.
Net Interest Margin Expansion
Net interest margin expanded by 6 basis points to 4.84% for the quarter ended June 30, 2025.
Year-over-Year Increase in Book Value
Book value per share increased by 18% year-over-year.
High Return on Equity and Assets
Axos Financial reported a 17% return on average common equity and a 1.9% return on assets for the quarter.
Net Interest Income Growth
Net interest income was $280 million for the quarter, up 7.7% from the prior year period.
Improved Credit Quality
Total nonaccrual loans declined by $15 million linked quarter, improving the nonaccrual loans to total loans ratio by 89 basis points.
Tax Rate Reduction
The change in the income tax calculation methodology for California is expected to reduce Axos Financial's income tax rate by 3 percentage points starting in the September 2025 quarter.
Assets Under Custody Growth
Total assets under custody increased from $37.1 billion to $39.4 billion, with a net new asset increase of $215 million for the June quarter.
Stock Repurchase
Axos Financial repurchased approximately $31 million of common stock at an average price of $59 per share during the quarter.
Negative Updates
Nonrecurring Items Impact Income
Net income and EPS were impacted by a $12 million pretax gain from the sale of multifamily loans and a $5.5 million noncash deferred tax impairment.
Increased Noninterest Expenses
Total noninterest expenses increased by 3% from the prior quarter, with professional services expenses rising to $10.4 million.
Loan Yield Pressure
New loan yields are slightly lower, reflecting pricing pressure in certain lending categories.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, Axos Financial provided comprehensive guidance for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, ending June 30, 2025. Key metrics highlighted include a net loan growth of $856 million, a 6 basis points increase in net interest margin to 4.84%, and an 18% year-over-year increase in book value per share. The company reported a 17% return on average common equity and a 1.9% return on assets, with net interest income rising to $280 million, an increase of 7.7% from the previous year. Additionally, total deposits rose by 7.6% year-over-year, reaching $21 million. Noninterest expenses increased by 3% from the prior quarter, while nonaccrual loans improved by 89 basis points. The company also experienced a $12 million pretax gain from the sale of multifamily loans, despite a $5.5 million noncash deferred tax impairment. Adjusted net income and earnings per share, excluding nonrecurring items, stood at $107.7 million and $1.87, respectively. Looking forward, Axos expects organic loan growth to be in the mid- to high end of the single-digit to low teens range for fiscal 2026 and anticipates a 3 percentage point reduction in their income tax rate due to a change in California's tax calculation methodology.

Axos Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Axos Financial demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue and profit growth, low leverage, and efficient cash flow generation. Improvements in net profit margin and significant revenue growth highlight operational efficiency, though there's room for enhancement in the equity ratio.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Axos Financial shows a strong income statement with consistent revenue growth and improving profitability metrics. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is 60.35%, and the net profit margin is 22.12%, both indicating robust operational efficiency. Revenue has grown significantly over the years, with a 52.69% increase from 2022 to TTM, highlighting a strong growth trajectory. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also solid at 31.19% and 32.67%, respectively, reflecting effective cost management.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of Axos Financial demonstrates a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17, suggesting low financial leverage. The company's return on equity (ROE) is impressive at 16.4%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is somewhat lower at 10.86%, which could imply a higher reliance on liabilities to finance assets. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a healthy financial structure with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Axos Financial's cash flow statement exhibits strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.82 for TTM, showing good conversion of income to cash. The free cash flow has grown by 26.31% from 2024 to TTM, indicating robust cash flow growth. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.8, demonstrating efficient cash flow management. Overall, the cash flow position is strong and supports the company's growth initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.93B1.77B1.26B757.91M711.97M717.62M
Gross Profit1.16B1.04B865.93M681.59M609.10M530.19M
EBITDA630.81M662.57M455.13M364.56M336.19M297.62M
Net Income427.11M450.01M307.17M240.72M215.71M183.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets23.98B22.86B20.35B17.46B14.27B13.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.08B2.12B2.47B1.47B902.96M1.94B
Total Debt437.43M415.68M451.78M562.74M574.86M478.29M
Total Liabilities21.38B20.56B18.43B15.81B12.86B12.62B
Stockholders Equity2.60B2.29B1.92B1.64B1.40B1.23B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow307.84M269.52M166.49M195.12M402.14M271.79M
Operating Cash Flow350.75M305.48M196.71M216.62M412.58M284.12M
Investing Cash Flow-1.43B-2.59B-2.40B-2.78B-866.77M-1.35B
Financing Cash Flow987.27M2.09B3.01B3.10B-458.56M2.16B

Axos Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price88.06
Price Trends
50DMA
80.89
Positive
100DMA
73.21
Positive
200DMA
72.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.81
Negative
RSI
62.37
Neutral
STOCH
88.24
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 88.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 85.87, above the 50-day MA of 80.89, and above the 200-day MA of 72.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.81 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.24 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AX.

Axos Financial Risk Analysis

Axos Financial disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Axos Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Axos Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$4.96B11.8117.42%9.00%-2.90%
79
Outperform
$4.89B12.5710.46%1.07%5.16%25.95%
71
Outperform
$4.79B16.345.18%4.05%37.25%-8.67%
68
Neutral
$4.22B33.523.07%3.66%-1.23%-34.14%
68
Neutral
$4.16B18.0314.43%1.49%9.63%15.57%
68
Neutral
$17.53B11.7810.42%3.83%9.94%1.31%
66
Neutral
$3.70B45.114.30%8.67%5.76%2.70%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AX
Axos Financial
88.06
23.54
36.48%
ABCB
Ameris Bancorp
69.97
11.95
20.60%
ASB
Associated Banc-Corp
24.85
3.88
18.50%
BANF
BancFirst
123.09
21.98
21.74%
TFSL
TFS Financial
13.04
0.82
6.71%
AUB
Atlantic Union Bankshares
33.60
-2.83
-7.77%

Axos Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Axos Financial Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings Growth
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

Axos Financial reported its fiscal year 2025 results, highlighting a net income of $110.7 million and a diluted EPS of $1.92 for the quarter ended June 30, 2025, compared to $104.9 million and $1.80 in the same quarter of 2024. The company achieved a net loan growth of $856 million in the June quarter, with significant increases in both net interest and non-interest income. Despite a decrease in annual net income due to a one-time gain in 2024, adjusted earnings and EPS showed substantial growth, reflecting strong operational performance and strategic loan growth across various sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AX) stock is a Buy with a $90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Axos Financial stock, see the AX Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Axos Financial Faces $4M Tax Asset Impairment
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

On June 30, 2025, the State of California enacted a new fiscal year 2026 budget that altered the apportionment of multi-state income for financial institutions, prompting Axos Financial to remeasure its deferred tax assets and liabilities. This resulted in a one-time non-cash impairment of approximately $4 million, which will be recognized in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025. The change is expected to reduce the company’s effective tax rate by about 3% for fiscal years ending June 30, 2026, and beyond, potentially benefiting Axos Financial’s future financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AX) stock is a Buy with a $90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Axos Financial stock, see the AX Stock Forecast page.

Stock Buyback
Axos Financial Expands Stock Repurchase Program by $100M
Neutral
May 12, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Axos Financial, Inc. announced a $100 million increase to its common stock repurchase program, adding to the $48 million remaining from a previous increase. The repurchase program allows the company to buy back shares at its discretion, with no set timeline, potentially impacting its capital allocation and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AX) stock is a Buy with a $76.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Axos Financial stock, see the AX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Axos Financial to Present New Investor Strategy
Positive
May 5, 2025

Axos Financial announced that it will use a new investor presentation at meetings starting May 6, 2025. The company highlights its strong performance metrics, including high return on equity and efficiency ratio, compared to peers. Axos is focused on sustained growth through diversified lending and deposit strategies, technology synergies, and new business initiatives. The company has demonstrated strong credit performance with low charge-off ratios and continues to expand its deposit base significantly, transforming its deposit mix over the years.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025