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Axos Financial (AX)
NYSE:AX

Axos Financial (AX) AI Stock Analysis

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AX

Axos Financial

(NYSE:AX)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$97.00
▲(9.73% Upside)
Axos Financial's strong financial performance, positive technical indicators, and strategic corporate actions contribute to a robust overall stock score. The company's effective management and growth initiatives are key strengths, while monitoring revenue trends and debt levels remains important.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisitions
The Verdant acquisition enhances Axos's commercial lending capabilities, contributing to sustainable growth and competitive advantage.
Revenue Diversification
Growth in noninterest income from banking service fees and mortgage banking indicates a diversified revenue stream, reducing reliance on interest income.
Operational Efficiency
High return on equity and efficient operations demonstrate strong management and operational efficiency, supporting long-term profitability.
Negative Factors
Net Interest Margin Decline
A declining net interest margin can pressure profitability, impacting the company's ability to generate income from its core banking operations.
Increased Noninterest Expenses
Rising noninterest expenses, partly due to acquisitions, could strain profitability if not managed effectively, affecting long-term financial health.
Debt Levels
Rising debt levels can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.

Axos Financial (AX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Axos Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAxos Financial, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides consumer and business banking products in the United States. It operates through Banking Business and Securities Business segments. The company offers deposits products, including consumer and business checking, demand, savings, time deposit, money market, zero balance, and insured cash sweep accounts. It also provides single family, multifamily, and commercial mortgage loans; commercial real estate secured loans; commercial and industrial non-real estate, asset-backed, lines of credit, and term loans; automobile loans; fixed rate term unsecured loans; and other loans, such as structure settlements, small business administration consumer loans, and securities-backed loans. In addition, the company offers ACH origination, wire transfer, commercial check printing, business bill pay and account transfer; remote deposit capture, mobile deposit, lockbox, merchant, and online payment portal; concierge banking; mobile and text messaging banking; and payment services, as well as debit and credit cards, and digital wallets. Further, it provides disclosed clearing services; back-office services, such as record keeping, trade reporting, accounting, general back-office support, securities and margin lending, reorganization assistance, and custody of securities; and financing to brokerage customers. The company was formerly known as BofI Holding, Inc. and changed its name to Axos Financial, Inc. in September 2018. Axos Financial, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAxos Financial generates revenue through multiple channels. The primary source of income comes from net interest income, which is earned from the difference between interest earned on loans and interest paid on deposits. Additionally, the company earns non-interest income from various fees associated with banking services, including account maintenance fees, transaction fees, and service charges. Mortgage origination and servicing also contribute significantly to revenue, as Axos provides home loans and earns fees for originating and servicing these loans. Furthermore, the company engages in investment activities, which include managing investment portfolios and providing wealth management services. Strategic partnerships with fintech companies and other financial institutions enhance its distribution capabilities and customer acquisition efforts, further contributing to Axos's overall earnings.

Axos Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong overall performance with significant loan and revenue growth, improved credit metrics, and successful strategic acquisitions. While there were some challenges with net interest margin and expenses, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the negatives.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Loan Growth
Axos Financial reported $1.6 billion net loan growth, including $1 billion from the Verdant acquisition, with a 17% year-over-year increase in book value per share.
Improved Credit Metrics
Reduction in net charge-offs by 5 basis points and nonaccrual loans to total loans improved from 79 to 74 basis points linked quarter.
Revenue Growth
Net interest income increased by $11 million linked quarter, or 15.6% annualized, reaching $291 million.
Increased Noninterest Income
Noninterest income grew by approximately 13% year-over-year due to higher banking service fees and mortgage banking income.
Successful Acquisition
The Verdant acquisition expected to add $150-200 million in net new loans and operating leases per quarter at attractive spreads.
Negative Updates
Net Interest Margin Decline
Net interest margin fell to 4.75% from 4.84% in the previous quarter, partially due to excess liquidity and new subordinated debt.
Increased Noninterest Expenses
Noninterest expenses rose by $5.6 million linked quarter, with $1.3 million related to the Verdant acquisition.
Company Guidance
During the Axos Financial's First Quarter 2026 earnings call, the company reported strong financial and operational results. They achieved $1.6 billion in net loan growth, with $1 billion from the Verdant acquisition, and a 17% year-over-year increase in book value per share. Axos maintained a 16% return on average common equity and a 1.8% return on average assets for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. Net interest income rose to $291 million, up by $11 million linked quarter, while net interest margin slightly decreased to 4.75% from the previous quarter. Noninterest income grew by 13% year-over-year, driven by higher banking service fees and mortgage banking income. The company's deposit base increased by 6.9% year-over-year to $22.3 billion. Axos also reported net income of $112.4 million and a diluted EPS of $1.94, with adjusted net income and EPS at $119 million and $2.06 per share, respectively. The Verdant acquisition is expected to contribute $150 million to $200 million in net new loans and operating leases per quarter, enhancing Axos's commercial lending capabilities. Despite a slight increase in noninterest expenses due to the acquisition, Axos remains focused on achieving loan growth in the low to mid-teens range annually for fiscal year 2026.

Axos Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Axos Financial maintains a solid financial position with strong profitability and cash flow metrics. Despite a recent decline in revenue growth, the company benefits from efficient operations and effective equity utilization. Monitoring debt levels and revenue trends will be crucial for sustaining financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Axos Financial shows a strong gross profit margin and consistent net profit margin, indicating stable profitability. However, the recent negative revenue growth rate in TTM suggests potential challenges in revenue generation. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust, reflecting efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is solid, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio suggests a healthy proportion of equity financing, but the increase in total debt in TTM warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Axos Financial demonstrates strong free cash flow growth and a high free cash flow to net income ratio, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low in TTM, suggesting potential discrepancies between cash flow and reported earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.91B1.93B1.77B1.26B757.91M711.97M
Gross Profit1.19B1.19B1.04B865.93M681.59M609.10M
EBITDA604.98M642.41M662.57M455.13M364.56M336.19M
Net Income432.92M432.91M450.01M307.17M240.72M215.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets27.43B24.78B22.86B20.35B17.46B14.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.62B2.00B2.12B2.47B1.47B902.96M
Total Debt1.35B372.67M415.68M451.78M562.74M574.86M
Total Liabilities24.64B22.10B20.56B18.43B15.81B12.86B
Stockholders Equity2.79B2.68B2.29B1.92B1.64B1.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow492.38M436.12M269.52M166.49M195.12M402.14M
Operating Cash Flow537.98M490.33M305.48M196.71M216.62M412.58M
Investing Cash Flow-2.83B-1.84B-2.59B-2.40B-2.78B-866.77M
Financing Cash Flow2.37B1.34B2.09B3.01B3.10B-458.56M

Axos Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price88.40
Price Trends
50DMA
81.68
Positive
100DMA
84.69
Positive
200DMA
77.81
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.91
Negative
RSI
64.74
Neutral
STOCH
77.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 88.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 85.11, above the 50-day MA of 81.68, and above the 200-day MA of 77.81, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.91 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AX.

Axos Financial Risk Analysis

Axos Financial disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Axos Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Axos Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$5.18B19.475.42%3.83%43.53%-21.74%
78
Outperform
$5.22B13.2210.34%1.02%2.20%20.88%
78
Outperform
$5.03B11.8316.65%1.66%-9.31%
72
Outperform
$5.49B11.7711.11%2.74%-0.78%25.39%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$4.43B18.3013.89%2.42%12.90%16.92%
55
Neutral
$5.36B-12.54-4.72%0.31%-18.33%92.89%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AX
Axos Financial
88.40
15.79
21.75%
ABCB
Ameris Bancorp
76.42
13.25
20.98%
FFIN
First Financial Bankshares
30.96
-5.19
-14.36%
HWC
Hancock Whitney
65.66
11.92
22.18%
FLG
Flagstar Financial
12.90
3.92
43.65%
AUB
Atlantic Union Bankshares
36.33
-0.68
-1.84%

Axos Financial Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Axos Financial announces resignation of commercial bank president
Neutral
Dec 19, 2025

On December 15, 2025, Axos Financial, Inc. announced that David Park had informed the company of his decision to resign from his role as President, Head of Commercial Bank at Axos Bank, its banking subsidiary, with his departure to take effect at a later date. The company stated that Park’s resignation was not the result of any disagreement relating to Axos Financial, suggesting an orderly leadership transition rather than a move prompted by internal conflict or strategic disputes.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Axos Financial Concludes Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Nov 14, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Axos Financial, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders, where 87.42% of eligible shares were represented. Key outcomes included the election of Class III directors, approval of executive compensation, amendment of the Stock Incentive Plan, and ratification of BDO USA, P.C. as the independent public accounting firm for fiscal year 2026.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Axos Financial Highlights Strong Q1 2026 Performance
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Axos Financial, Inc. announced its investor presentation, highlighting its strong financial performance and strategic initiatives. The company reported robust growth in assets, deposits, and net income for the fiscal first quarter of 2026 compared to the previous year. Axos continues to outperform its peers with a high return on equity and efficient operations. The presentation emphasized Axos’s holistic credit risk management framework and its diversified deposit gathering strategy, which includes a significant portion of FDIC-insured or collateralized deposits.

M&A Transactions
Axos Financial to Acquire Verdant Commercial Capital
Positive
Sep 22, 2025

On September 19, 2025, Axos Bank, a subsidiary of Axos Financial, Inc., signed an agreement to acquire Verdant Commercial Capital, LLC for $43.5 million, with the transaction expected to close on September 30, 2025. This acquisition is expected to enhance Axos Bank’s equipment leasing business, offering opportunities for cross-selling and is projected to be accretive to earnings per share by 2%-3% in fiscal 2026 and 5%-6% in fiscal 2027.

Private Placements and Financing
Axos Financial Completes $200 Million Subordinated Notes Sale
Neutral
Sep 19, 2025

On September 19, 2025, Axos Financial, Inc. completed the sale of $200 million in subordinated notes, which will mature in 2035. These notes, initially offering a fixed interest rate of 7.00% until 2030, will transition to a floating rate tied to the Three-Month Term SOFR plus 379 basis points. The transaction, facilitated by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc., reflects Axos Financial’s strategic financial maneuvering, potentially impacting its capital structure and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025